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Projected future vegetation changes for the northwest United States and southwest Canada at a fine spatial resolution using a dynamic global vegetation model.

Future climate change may significantly alter the distributions of many plant taxa. The effects of climate change may be particularly large in mountainous regions where climate can vary significantly with elevation. Understanding potential future vegetation changes in these regions requires methods that can resolve vegetation responses to climate change at fine spatial resolutions. We used LPJ, a dynamic global vegetation model, to assess potential future vegetation changes for a large topographically complex area of the northwest United States and southwest Canada (38.0–58.0°N latitude by 136.6–103.0°W longitude). LPJ is a process-based vegetation model that mechanistically simulates the effect of changing climate and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations on vegetation. It was developed and has been mostly applied at spatial resolutions of 10-minutes or coarser. In this study, we used LPJ at a 30-second (~1-km) spatial resolution to simulate potential vegetation changes for 2070–2099. LPJ was run using downscaled future climate simulations from five coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (CCSM3, CGCM3.1(T47), GISS-ER, MIROC3.2(medres), UKMO-HadCM3) produced using the A2 greenhouse gases emissions scenario. Under projected future climate and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations, the simulated vegetation changes result in the contraction of alpine, shrub-steppe, and xeric shrub vegetation across the study area and the expansion of woodland and forest vegetation. Large areas of maritime cool forest and cold forest are simulated to persist under projected future conditions. The fine spatial-scale vegetation simulations resolve patterns of vegetation change that are not visible at coarser resolutions and these fine-scale patterns are particularly important for understanding potential future vegetation changes in topographically complex areas.

PLoS ONE↗

Growth and survival relationships of 71 tree species with nitrogen and sulfur deposition across the conterminous U.S.

Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) influences forest demographics and carbon (C) uptake through multiple mechanisms that vary among tree species. Prior studies have estimated the effects of atmospheric N deposition on temperate forests by leveraging forest inventory measurements across regional gradients in deposition. However, in the United States (U.S.), these previous studies were limited in the number of species and the spatial scale of analysis, and did not include sulfur (S) deposition as a potential covariate. Here, we present a comprehensive analysis of how tree growth and survival for 71 species vary with N and S deposition across the conterminous U.S. Our analysis of 1,423,455 trees from forest plots inventoried between 2000 and 2016 reveals that the growth and/or survival of the vast majority of species in the analysis (n = 66, or 93%) were significantly affected by atmospheric deposition. Species co-occurred across the conterminous U.S. that had decreasing and increasing relationships between growth (or survival) and N deposition, with just over half of species responding negatively in either growth or survival to increased N deposition somewhere in their range (42 out of 71). Averaged across species and conterminous U.S., however, we found that an increase in deposition above current rates of N deposition would coincide with a small net increase in tree growth (1.7% per Δ kg N ha -1 yr -1 ), and a small net decrease in tree survival (-0.22% per Δ kg N ha -1 yr -1 ), with substantial regional and among-species variation. Adding S as a predictor improved the overall model performance for 70% of the species in the analysis. Our findings have potential to help inform ecosystem management and air pollution policy across the conterminous U.S., and suggest that N and S deposition have likely altered forest demographics in the U.S.

PLoS ONE↗

Variation in the terrestrial isotopic composition and atomic weight of argon

The isotopic composition and atomic weight of argon (Ar) are variable in terrestrial materials. Those variations are a source of uncertainty in the assignment of standard properties for Ar, but they provide useful information in many areas of science. Variations in the stable isotopic composition and atomic weight of Ar are caused by several different processes, including (1) isotope production from other elements by radioactive decay (radiogenic isotopes) or other nuclear transformations (e.g., nucleogenic isotopes), and (2) isotopic fractionation by physical-chemical processes such as diffusion or phase equilibria. Physical-chemical processes cause correlated mass-dependent variations in the Ar isotope-amount ratios ( 40 Ar/ 36 Ar, 38 Ar/ 36 Ar), whereas nuclear transformation processes cause non-mass-dependent variations. While atmospheric Ar can serve as an abundant and homogeneous isotopic reference, deviations from the atmospheric isotopic ratios in other Ar occurrences limit the precision with which a standard atomic weight can be given for Ar. Published data indicate variation of Ar atomic weights in normal terrestrial materials between about 39.7931 and 39.9624. The upper bound of this interval is given by the atomic mass of 40 Ar, as some samples contain almost pure radiogenic 40 Ar. The lower bound is derived from analyses of pitchblende (uranium mineral) containing large amounts of nucleogenic 36 Ar and 38 Ar. Within this interval, measurements of different isotope ratios ( 40 Ar/ 36 Ar or 38 Ar/ 36 Ar) at various levels of precision are widely used for studies in geochronology, water–rock interaction, atmospheric evolution, and other fields.

Pure and Applied Chemistry↗

New measurements indicate that natural geologic methane emissions from microseepage in the Michigan Basin are likely negligible

The magnitude of natural geologic methane (CH 4 ) emissions to the atmosphere (including emissions of fossil CH 4 from offshore and onshore gas and oil seeps, diffuse microseepage, mud volcanoes, volcanic vents, and geothermal areas) is highly uncertain. The largest component of geologic emissions is thought to be microseepage, which is the diffuse flux of CH 4 from soils across large areas of productive hydrocarbon basins. The accuracy of existing bottom-up estimates of microseepage is limited by low spatial coverage of published microseepage measurements. We present the first soil—atmosphere CH 4 flux measurements from Michigan Basin, USA. Results from 335 measurements taken during summer and winter seasons across a large portion of the basin suggest microseepage is nonexistent in the sampled region. Even areas with predictive features for microseepage (e.g., underlying mature, organically rich source rocks, proven gas accumulations, faults, and lineaments) yield null or negative fluxes, suggesting that CH 4 emissions from microseepage are negligible throughout our study region. A Monte Carlo method was used to place an upper limit on the regional-mean microseepage flux, in which synthetic patchy microseepage distributions were generated and tested against our observations to assess the impact of possible emission hot spots that were missed by our sampling strategy. Our analysis finds it is very unlikely that regional-mean emissions are as high as assumed in a previous global microseepage study. The observed lack of seepage may be explained by groundwater flow, active methanotrophy, glacial sediments, and bedded salt deposits, which could inhibit vertical gas migration and release to atmosphere.

Michigan↗

Variation in soil carbon dioxide efflux at two spatial scales in a topographically complex boreal forest

Carbon dynamics of high-latitude regions are an important and highly uncertain component of global carbon budgets, and efforts to constrain estimates of soil-atmosphere carbon exchange in these regions are contingent on accurate representations of spatial and temporal variability in carbon fluxes. This study explores spatial and temporal variability in soilatmosphere carbon dynamics at both fine and coarse spatial scales in a high-elevation, permafrost-dominated boreal black spruce forest. We evaluate the importance of landscape-level investigations of soil-atmosphere carbon dynamics by characterizing seasonal trends in soil-atmosphere carbon exchange, describing soil temperature-moisture-respiration relations, and quantifying temporal and spatial variability at two spatial scales: the plot scale (0–5 m) and the landscape scale (500–1000 m). Plot-scale spatial variability (average variation on a given measurement day) in soil CO 2 efflux ranged from a coefficient of variation (CV) of 0.25 to 0.69, and plot-scale temporal variability (average variation of plots across measurement days) in efflux ranged from a CV of 0.19 to 0.36. Landscape-scale spatial and temporal variability in efflux was represented by a CV of 0.40 and 0.31, respectively, indicating that plot-scale spatial variability in soil respiration is as great as landscape-scale spatial variability at this site. While soil respiration was related to soil temperature at both the plot- and landscape scale, landscape-level descriptions of soil moisture were necessary to define soil respiration-moisture relations. Soil moisture variability was also integral to explaining temporal variability in soil respiration. Our results have important implications for research efforts in high-latitude regions where remote study sites make landscape-scale field campaigns challenging.

Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research↗

Introduction to the special section on seismoacoustics and seismoacoustic data fusion

A variety of geophysical hazards (e.g., volcanic activity, earthquakes, mass movements, marine storms, bolides) and anthropogenic sources (e.g., chemical and nuclear explosions, mining blasts, rocket launches) can release energy as mechanical waves in the ground, ocean, and atmosphere (Arrowsmith et al., 2010; Campus and Christie, 2009). Due to the mechanical coupling between a planetary body, its ocean, and its atmosphere, waves can propagate across these interfaces (Ben-Menahem and Singh, 1981) and carry information about the source and the media they propagated through. The field of seismoacoustics, driven by geophysical observations of both seismic and low-frequency acoustic (infrasound) waves, has several interdisciplinary applications. Observations of both seismic and infrasonic waves can be used to discriminate between atmospheric and subsurface events, such as sonic booms and earthquakes. Moreover, seismoacoustic analyses can provide useful information for the source characterization of shallow anthropogenic events, such as underground or surface explosions, volcanic, and tectonic events (e.g., Arrowsmith et al., 2020; Assink et al., 2016; de Groot-Hedlin and Hedlin, 2019; Matoza et al., 2009). Similarly, remote observations (e.g., on regional seismic and infrasonic arrays) can help monitor natural events such as volcanic eruptions and provide additional details about eruption dynamics. Recent works additionally suggest that infrasound can be used to discriminate between different volcanic processes (Watson et al., 2022). Finally, looking outwards, the study of seismo-acoustics has been a particularly valuable tool for planetary science (e.g., Krishnamoorthy et al., 2018; Martire et al., 2018; Krishnamoorthy et al., 2019; Martire et al., 2020; Garcia et al., 2020; Brissaud et al., 2021).

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America↗

Historical fire and multidecadal drought as context for piñon - Juniper woodland restoration in western Colorado

Fire is known to structure tree populations, but the role of broad-scale climate variability is less clear. For example, the influence of climatic “teleconnections” (the relationship between oceanic–atmospheric fluctuations and anomalous weather patterns across broad scales) on forest age structure is relatively unexplored. We sampled semiarid piñon–juniper ( Pinus edulis – Juniperus osteosperma ) woodlands in western Colorado, USA, to test the hypothesis that woodland age structures are shaped by climate, including links to oceanic–atmospheric fluctuations, and by past fires and livestock grazing. Low-severity surface fire was lacking, as fire scars were absent, and did not influence woodland densities, but stand-replacing fires served as long-rotation (>400–600 years), stand-initiating events. Old-growth stands (>300 years old) were found in 75% of plots, consistent with a long fire rotation. Juniper and piñon age structures suggest contrasting responses during the past several centuries to dry and wet episodes linked to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Juniper density increased slightly during periods of drought, positive (warm) AMO (after ∼10-year lag), and negative (cool) PDO. In contrast, piñon populations may still be recovering from a long, drought-filled period (AD 1620–1820), with pulses of recovery favored during cool AMO, warm PDO, and above-average moisture periods. Analysis of 20th-century tree establishment and instrumental climate data corroborate the long-term relationships between age structure and climate. After Euro–American settlement (AD 1881), livestock grazing reduced understory grasses and forbs, reducing competition with tree seedlings and facilitating climate-induced increases in piñons. Thus tree populations in these woodlands are in flux, affected by drought and wet periods linked to oceanic–atmospheric variability, Euro–American livestock grazing, and long-rotation, high-severity fires. Reductions in livestock grazing levels may aid ecological restoration efforts. However, given long-term fluctuations in tree density and composition, and expected further drought, thinning or burning to reduce tree populations may be misdirected.

Colorado↗

Origin of precambrian iron formations

A statistical study of the chemical composition of the Precambrian iron formations of the Canadian Shield affords a new approach to the origin of these unusual formations . The average total iron content of 2,200 samples from the literature and from unpublished mining company analyses is 26.7 percent Fe. The average Fe content for 16 iron formations in the United States and Canada ranges from 24.5 to 34.1 percent. Low contents of A1203, Ti02, P2O5, and CaO characterize the Precambrian iron formations compared to the relatively large amounts of these constituents in the post- Precambrian iron -bearing sediments. The chemical data emphasize that whereas iron , manganese, and silica were transported and deposited together in the cherty iron formations of the Precambrian , these same elements were chemically differentiated in younger geological time in large but separate deposits of iron and silica. Isotopic age determinations indicate that cherty iron formations were deposited during a long interval of geologic time from approximately 1,700 to 3,000 million years ago. A model is proposed to explain the origin of the iron formations of the Lake Superior type based on the absence or marked deficiency of free oxygen in the atmosphere prior to the Late Precambrian . Lateritic weathering under these conditions permitted the transport of iron and manganese together with silica. The weathered mantle effectively retained aluminum, titanium, phosphorus, and colloidal clay. Graphitic material of biogenic origin is closely associated with the Precambrian iron formations . Although it is uncertain whether iron was precipitated directly through biologic processes, the removal of C02 and the liberation of oxygen to the sea water through photosynthesis of primitive plants undoubtedly influenced the energy relationships among the iron minerals. As a result of the variable conditions the iron formations commonly are characterized by nonequilibrium mineral assemblages. In Late Precambrian time a critical level of free oxygen in the atmosphere was attained permitting a marked acceleration in plant growth and in accretion of oxygen. This stage in the development of an oxygenated atmosphere was reached at least 1,200 million years ago and effectively curtailed the development of cherty iron formations of the Lake Superior type.

Economic Geology↗

The system arsenic-antimony

The one atmosphere isobaric phase relations have been determined for the system As-Sb, using a simple experimental arrangement where a low melting temperature alkali halide melt acts as a reaction vessel. The one atmosphere univariant temperature, where a liquid of composition 45.5 mol % As, plus a solid of composition 62 mol % As and a gas of composition 89 mol % As coexist, is 666° ± 3° C. The one atmosphere sublimation point of As was measured as 611° ±2° C. Arsenic and antimony are hexagonal isostructural compounds with a complete solid solution series between them. The a cell edge and volume of the unit cell vary linearly with composition in mol percent. The c edge changes in a markedly nonlinear manner with composition. The measured unit-cell parameters at 25° C are: As, a = 3.760 ± 0.001 A, c = 10.555 ± 0.003A, V = 129.2A3; Sb, a = 4.310 ± 0.001 A, c - 11.279 ± 0.003A, V = 181.4A3.

Economic Geology↗

The stable isotope geochemistry of acid sulfate alteration

Acid sulfate wall-rock alteration, characterized by the assemblage alunite + kaolinite + quartz + or - pyrite, results from base leaching by fluids concentrated in H 2 SO 4 . Requisite amounts of H 2 SO 4 can be generated by different mechanisms in three principal geologic environments: (1) by atmospheric oxidation of sulfides in the supergene environment, (2) by atmospheric oxidation at the water table in the steam-heated environment of H 2 S released by deeper, boiling fluids, and (3) by the disproportionation of magmatic SO 2 to H 2 S and H 2 SO 4 during condensation of a magmatic vapor plume at intermediate depths in magmatic hydrothermal environments in silicic and andesitic volcanic terranes. In addition, coarse vein alunite may form in a magmatic steam environment from rapid release of an SO 2 -rich magmatic vapor phase at high temperature and low pressure or from the oxidation of a more reduced magmatic vapor by entrained atmospheric oxygen in the carapace of a volcanic edifice.Alunite [KAl 3 (SO 4 ) 2 (OH) 6 ] contains four stable isotope sites and complete analyses (delta D, delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) , delta 18 O OH , and delta 34 S) are now possible. Except for delta 18 O OH in magmatic hydrothermal alunites, primary values are usually retained. In cooperation with many colleagues, over 500 measurements have been made on nearly 200 samples of alunite and associated minerals from 23 localities, and 55 additional analyses have been taken from the literature. This survey confirms that kinetic factors play an important role in the stable isotope systematics of alunite and acid sulfate alteration. To a very large extent they form the isotopic basis for distinguishing between environments of acid sulfate alteration, and they provide important insights into attendant processes. Stable isotope analyses of alunite, often in combination with those on associated sulfides and kaolinite, permit recognition of environments of formation and provide information on origins of components, processes (including rates), physical-chemical environments, and temperatures of formation.Supergene acid sulfate alteration may form over any sulfide zone when it is raised above the water table by tectonics or exposed by erosion. It may overprint earlier acid sulfate assemblages, particularly the magmatic hydrothermal assemblages which are pyrite rich such as at El Salvador, Chile; Rodalquilar, Spain; and Goldfield, Nevada. Supergene alunite normally has delta 34 S values virtually identical to precursor sulfides unless bacteriogenic reduction of aqueous sulfate takes place in standing pools of water. delta D values are close to that of local meteoric water unless extensive evaporation occurs. delta D and delta 18 O OH values of supergene alunites from a range of latitudes fall in a broad zone parallel to the meteoric water line much the way delta D and delta 18 O values of associated halloysite-kaolinite fall near the kaolinite line of Savin and Epstein (1970). delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) values are kinetically controlled and will reflect the hydro-geochemistry of the environment. delta 18 O (sub SO 4 -OH) alues are grossly out of equilibrium and large negative values are definitive of a supergene origin.In steam-heated environments, such as those at the Tolfa district, Italy, and Marysvale, Utah, and numerous modern geothermal systems, acid sulfate alteration zones are characterized by pronounced vertical zoning. Such acid sulfate alteration may occur over adularia-sericite-type base and precious metal ore deposits such as the one at Buckskin, Nevada. Initial delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) and delta 34 S values are kinetically controlled, but delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) values usually reach equilibrium with fluids, and even delta 34 S values may reflect partial exchange with H 2 S where the residence time of aqueous sulfate is sufficient. Most alunites of steam-heated origin have delta 34 S values the same as those of precursor H 2 S (and as related sulfides, if present) and delta D values similar to that of local meteoric water. In the samples analyzed, most delta 18 O (sub SO 4 -OH) values give reasonable temperatures of 90 degrees to 160 degrees C, indicating that delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) and delta 18 O OH values reflect a close approach to equilibrium with the fluid. The delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) and delta 18 O OH values also reflect the degree of exchange of the meteoric fluids with wall rock. Coeval kaolinites typically have delta 18 O and delta D values to the left of the kaolinitc line.Magmatic hydrothermal, acid sulfate alteration zones in near-surface epithermal deposits such as Summitville, Colorado. Julcani, Peru, and Red Mountain and Lake City, Colorado, are characterized by vertical orientation and horizontal zoning, the presence of coeval pyrite, PO 4 analogues of alunite, zunyite, and later gold, pyrite and enargite, and often other Cu-As-Sb-S minerals. Acid sulfate alteration assemblages also occur as late stages in the porphyry-copper deposit at E1 Salvador, Chile. In the examples studied, magmatic hydrothermal alunites have delta D values close to those for magmatic water. delta 34 S values are 16 to 28 per mil larger than those for associated pyrite, reflecting equilibrium between aqueous H 2 S and SO 4 formed by the disproportionation of magmatically derived SO 2 . delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) values are usually 8 to 18 per mil and vary systematically with delta 34 S values, reflecting variations in temperature and/or H 2 S/SO 4 fluid ratios. Further variation in delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) values may result if SO 2 condenses in mixed magmatic meteoric water fluids. delta 18 O (sub SO (sub 4-) OH) values of magmatic hydrothermal alunites are generally unsuitable for temperature determinations because of retrograde exchange in the OH site, but delta 34 S (sub alunite-pyrite) values provide reliable temperature estimates.Magmatic steam environments appear to occur over a range of depths and are characterized by monomineralic veins of coarse alunite in variably alunitized and kaolinized wall rocks containing minor pyrite. Alunite formed in the magmatic steam environment can usually be recognized by delta 34 S near delta 34 S (sub Sigma S) values and delta D and delta 18 O (sub SO 4 ) values near magmatic values. Magmatic steam alunite differs from magmatic hydrothermal alunite by having delta 34 S close to delta 34 S (sub Sigma S) values of the system. delta 18 O (sub SO (sub 4-) OH) values of most magmatic steam alunite give temperatures ranging from 90 degrees to 210 degrees C but, for reasons which are not understood, some temperatures as well as calculated delta 18 O (sub H 2 O) values are too low for presumed precipitation from a magmatic vapor phase. Magmatic steam environments may occur over porphyry-type mineralization as at Red Mountain, Colorado, and Alunite Ridge, Utah, and over or adjacent to adularia-sericite-type deposits in volcanic domes as at Cactus, California.

Economic Geology↗

Causes of acidification of four streams on Laurel Hilld in southwestern Pennsylvania

Atmospheric deposition, soils developed from bedrock, a natural bog, gas wells, and a ski area were all investigated as possible sources of water quality degradation for four streams on Laurel Hill in southwestern Pennsylvania where fish kills have been reported since 1960. An intensive study of the chemistry of atmospheric deposition, soil leachate, and stream water and fish populations was conducted on these basins during 1980–1981 with emphasis on dormant season periods with runoff from snowmelt and rain. Although bedrock geology was found to control the natural buffering capacity of these streams, only acid precipitation could be linked to sharp drops in pH and increases in total Al concentrations observed during stormflows in the poorly buffered streams. Three poorly buffered streams exhibited drops to pH 4.4 to 4.5 and increases in total Al concentrations up to 1.5 mg/L during observed peak flows. Mineral soil leachate from the three major soil series on the basins during this time exhibited a low pH of 4.3 and mean total Al concentrations of 3.6 mg/L, indicating stream response during storms was closely linked to chemistry of soil leachate. Poorly buffered streams did not support reproducing populations of trout ( Salmonidae sp.) or other fishes. In contrast, one well-buffered stream (20 mg/L CaCO 3 ) exhibited drops to pH 5.5 during peak flow and supported reproducing trout and sculpin ( Cottus bairdi ) populations. The acidification of the four streams studied was attributed to atmospheric deposition.

Journal of Environmental Quality↗

Soil, plant, and terrain effects on natural perchlorate distribution in a desert landscape

Perchlorate (ClO 4 − ) is a contaminant that occurs naturally throughout the world, but little is known about its distribution and interactions in terrestrial ecosystems. The objectives of this Amargosa Desert, Nevada study were to determine (i) the local-scale distribution of shallow-soil (0–30 cm) ClO 4 − with respect to shrub proximity (far and near) in three geomorphic settings (shoulder slope, footslope, and valley floor); (ii) the importance of soil, plant, and terrain variables on the hillslope-distribution of shallow-soil and creosote bush [ Larrea tridentata (Sessé & Moc. ex DC.) Coville] ClO 4 − ; and (iii) atmospheric (wet plus dry, including dust) deposition of ClO 4 − in relation to soil and plant reservoirs and cycling. Soil ClO 4 − ranged from 0.3 to 5.0 μg kg −1 . Within settings, valley floor ClO 4 − was 17× less near shrubs due in part to enhanced leaching, whereas shoulder and footslope values were ∼2× greater near shrubs. Hillslope regression models (soil, R 2 = 0.42; leaf, R 2 = 0.74) identified topographic and soil effects on ClO 4 − deposition, transport, and cycling. Selective plant uptake, bioaccumulation, and soil enrichment were evidenced by leaf ClO 4 − concentrations and Cl − /ClO 4 − molar ratios that were ∼8000× greater and 40× less, respectively, than soil values. Atmospheric deposition ClO 4 − flux was 343 mg ha −1 yr −1 , ∼10× that for published southwestern wet-deposition fluxes. Creosote bush canopy ClO 4 − (1310 mg ha−1) was identified as a previously unrecognized but important and active reservoir. Nitrate δ 18 O analyses of atmospheric deposition and soil supported the leaf-cycled–ClO 4 − input hypothesis. This study provides basic data on ClO 4 − distribution and cycling that are pertinent to the assessment of environmental impacts in desert ecosystems and broadly transferable to anthropogenically contaminated systems.

Nevada↗

Transport and time lag of chlorofluorocarbon gases in the unsaturated zone, Rabis Creek, Denmark

Transport of chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) gases through the unsaturated zone to the water table is affected by gas diffusion, air–water exchange (solubility), sorption to the soil matrix, advective–dispersive transport in the water phase, and, in some cases, anaerobic degradation. In deep unsaturated zones, this may lead to a time lag between entry of gases at the land surface and recharge to groundwater. Data from a Danish field site were used to investigate how time lag is affected by variations in water content and to explore the use of simple analytical solutions to calculate time lag. Numerical simulations demonstrate that either degradation or sorption of CFC-11 takes place, whereas CFC-12 and CFC-113 are nonreactive. Water flow did not appreciably affect transport. An analytical solution for the period with a linear increase in atmospheric CFC concentrations (approximately early 1970s to early 1990s) was used to calculate CFC profiles and time lags. We compared the analytical results with numerical simulations. The time lags in the 15-m-deep unsaturated zone increase from 4.2 to between 5.2 and 6.1 yr and from 3.4 to 3.9 yr for CFC-11 and CFC-12, respectively, when simulations change from use of an exponential to a linear increase in atmospheric concentrations. The CFC concentrations at the water table before the early 1990s can be estimated by displacing the atmospheric input function by these fixed time lags. A sensitivity study demonstrates conditions under which a time lag in the unsaturated zone becomes important. The most critical parameter is the tortuosity coefficient. The analytical approach is valid for the low range of tortuosity coefficients (τ = 0.1–0.4) and unsaturated zones greater than approximately 20 m in thickness. In these cases the CFC distribution may still be from either the exponential or linear phase. In other cases, the use of numerical models, as described in our work and elsewhere, is an option.

Rabis Creek↗

Comparative effects of climate on ecosystem nitrogen and soil biogeochemistry in U.S. national parks. FY 2001 Annual Report (Res. Rept. No. 94)

In 1998, the USGS Global Change program funded research for a network of Long-Term Reference Ecosystems initially established in national parks and funded by the National Park Service. The network included Noland Divide, Great Smoky Mountains National Park, Tennessee; Pine Canyon, Big Ben National park, Texas; West Twin Creek, Olympic National Park, Washingtona?? Wallace Lake, Isle Royale National Park, Michigan; and the Asik watershed, Noatak National Preserve, Alaska. The watershed ecosystem model was used since this approach permits additional statistical power in detection of trends among variables, and the watershed in increasingly a land unit used in resource management and planning. The ecosystems represent a major fraction of lands administered by the National Park Service, and were chosen generally for the contrasts among sites. For example, tow of the site, Noland and West Twin, are characterized by high precipitation amounts, but Noland receives some of the highest atmospheric nitrogen (N) inputs in North America. In contrast, Pine Canyon and Asik are warm and cold desert sites respectively. The Asik watershed receives <1% the atmospheric N inputs Noland receives. The Asik site is at the northern extent (treeline) of the boreal biome in the North America while Wallace is at the southern ecotone between boreal and northern hardwoods. The research goal for these sites is to gain a basic understanding of ecosystem structure and function, and the response to global change especially atmospheric inputs and climate.

Report↗

Mercury in the nation's streams - Levels, trends, and implications

Mercury is a potent neurotoxin that accumulates in fish to levels of concern for human health and the health of fish-eating wildlife. Mercury contamination of fish is the primary reason for issuing fish consumption advisories, which exist in every State in the Nation. Much of the mercury originates from combustion of coal and can travel long distances in the atmosphere before being deposited. This can result in mercury-contaminated fish in areas with no obvious source of mercury pollution. Three key factors determine the level of mercury contamination in fish - the amount of inorganic mercury available to an ecosystem, the conversion of inorganic mercury to methylmercury, and the bioaccumulation of methylmercury through the food web. Inorganic mercury originates from both natural sources (such as volcanoes, geologic deposits of mercury, geothermal springs, and volatilization from the ocean) and anthropogenic sources (such as coal combustion, mining, and use of mercury in products and industrial processes). Humans have doubled the amount of inorganic mercury in the global atmosphere since pre-industrial times, with substantially greater increases occurring at locations closer to major urban areas. In aquatic ecosystems, some inorganic mercury is converted to methylmercury, the form that ultimately accumulates in fish. The rate of mercury methylation, thus the amount of methylmercury produced, varies greatly in time and space, and depends on numerous environmental factors, including temperature and the amounts of oxygen, organic matter, and sulfate that are present. Methylmercury enters aquatic food webs when it is taken up from water by algae and other microorganisms. Methylmercury concentrations increase with successively higher trophic levels in the food web—a process known as bioaccumulation. In general, fish at the top of the food web consume other fish and tend to accumulate the highest methylmercury concentrations. This report summarizes selected stream studies conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) since the late 1990s, while also drawing on scientific literature and datasets from other sources. Previous national mercury assessments by other agencies have focused largely on lakes. Although numerous studies of mercury in streams have been conducted at local and regional scales, recent USGS studies provide the most comprehensive, multimedia assessment of streams across the United States, and yield insights about the importance of watershed characteristics relative to mercury inputs. Information from other environments (lakes, wetlands, soil, atmosphere, glacial ice) also is summarized to help understand how mercury varies in space and time.

Circular↗

Mercury in soil gas and air--A potential tool in mineral exploration

The mercury content in soil gas and in the atmosphere was measured in several mining districts to test the possibility that the mercury content in the atmosphere is higher over ore deposits than over barren ground. At Cortez, Nev., the distribution of anorhalous amounts of mercury in the air collected at ground level (soil gas) correlates well with the distribution of gold-bearing rocks that are covered by as much as 100 feet of gravel. The mercury content in the atmosphere collected at an altitude of 200 feet by an aircraft was 20 times background over a mercury posit and 10 times background over two porphyry copper deposits. Measurement of mercury in soil gas and air may prove to be a valuable exploration tool.

Circular↗

USGS Field Activities 12BHM01, 12BHM02, 12BHM03, 12BHM04, and 12BHM05 on the West Florida Shelf, in February, April, May, June, and August 2012

Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is absorbed by the ocean&rsquo;s surface where it combines with seawater to form a weak, naturally occurring acid called carbonic acid (H 2 CO 3 ). Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere results in the absorption of more CO 2 by the ocean and, therefore, increases in the acidity of seawater. This process, known as ocean acidification, has the potential to elicit change in ecosystems and organisms by disrupting biological processes. For example, ocean acidification is a problem for marine organisms such as corals, foraminifera, and algae that precipitate calcium carbonate to form their skeletons and shells (Kleypas and others, 2006). The effects are related to corresponding changes in the carbonate saturation state (&Omega;), where &Omega; is the ratio of the ion concentration product (Ca 2+ x CO 3 2- ) to the stoichiometric aragonite solubility product (K*sp) (Langdon and Atkinson, 2005). Because pH and CO 3 2- are strongly interdependent through the inorganic carbon system, the decrease in pH will cause a proportionally greater decrease in CO 3 2- . Globally, ocean acidification is occurring faster than at any time in the last 300 million years (Broeker and others, 1979). Recent evidence indicates that individual oceans are responding at different rates, depending on physical and biological processes. For example in the Arctic Ocean, the rate of saturation state decrease was 2.1 percent per year between 1997 and 2010 (Robbins and others., 2013) in an area as large as Montana, largely because of increases in melt of ice, versus the average rate observed for the Pacific Ocean (0.36 percent per year) (Feely and others, 2012). Unfortunately, comparative data sets over multiyear time frames are often not available because time series baseline carbon information has not been collected in many oceans. Data are needed in subtropical latitudes where carbonate saturation states are already naturally low and fluctuate seasonally. These data will help construct a baseline for the assessment of future changes. As part of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Coastal and Marine Geology Program project "R esponse of Florida Shelf Ecosystems to Climate Change " and in partnership with Kendra Daly, University of South Florida ( USF ), data on surface ocean carbonate chemistry were collected on five cruises along transects on the shallow inner west Florida shelf and northern Gulf of Mexico in 2012. Data from the 2011 cruises were also published (Robbins and others., 2013). The data collected allows the USGS, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ), and USF scientists to map variations in ocean chemistry including carbonate saturation states along designated tracks. The USGS also partners with NOAA and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( NASA ) to model air-sea flux as part of a Gulf of Mexico Carbon Synthesis project led by NASA.

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Latitudinal variation in carbon storage can help predict changes in swamps affected by global warming

Plants may offer our best hope of removing greenhouse gases (gases that contribute to global warming) emitted to the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels. At the same time, global warming could change environments so that natural plant communities will either need to shift into cooler climate zones, or become extirpated (Prasad and Iverson, 1999; Crumpacker and others, 2001; Davis and Shaw, 2001). It is impossible to know the future, but studies combining field observation of production and modeling can help us make predictions about what may happen to these wetland communities in the future. Widespread wetland types such as baldcypress (Taxodium distichum) swamps in the southeastern portion of the United States could be especially good at carbon sequestration (amount of CO2 stored by forests) from the atmosphere. They have high levels of production and sometimes store undecomposed dead plant material in wet conditions with low oxygen, thus keeping gases stored that would otherwise be released into the atmosphere (fig. 1). To study the ability of baldcypress swamps to store carbon, our project has taken two approaches. The first analysis looked at published data to develop an idea (hypothesis) of how production levels change across a temperature gradient in the baldcypress region (published data study). The second study tested this idea by comparing production levels across a latitudinal range by using swamps in similar field conditions (ongoing carbon storage study). These studies will help us make predictions about the future ability of baldcypress swamps to store carbon in soil and plant biomass, as well as the ability of these forests to shift northward with global warming.

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