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Challenges in observational seismology

Earthquake seismology became a quantitative scientific discipline after instruments were developed to record seismic waves in the late 19th century ( Dewey and Byerly, 1969 ; Chapter 1 by Agnew). Earthquake seismology is essentially based on field observations. The great progress made in the past several decades was primarily due to increasingly plentiful and high-quality data that are readily distributed. Our ability to collect, process, and analyze earthquake data has been accelerated by advances in electronics, communications, computers, and software (see Chapter 85 edited by Snoke and Garcia-Fernandez). Instrumental observation of earthquakes has been carried out for a little over 100 years by seismic stations and networks of various sizes, from local to global scales (see Chapter 87 edited by Lahr and van Eck). The observed data have been used, for example, (1) to compute the source parameters of earthquakes, (2) to determine the physical properties of the Earth's interior, (3) to test the theory of plate tectonics , (4) to map active faults, (5) to infer the nature of damaging ground shaking, and (6) to carry out seismic hazard analysis. Construction of a satisfactory theory of the earthquake process has not yet been achieved within the context of physical laws. Good progress, however, has been made in building a physical foundation of the earthquake source process, partly as a result of research directed toward earthquake prediction. This chapter is intended for a general audience. Technical details are not given, but relevant references and chapters in this Handbook are referred to. The first part of this chapter presents a brief overview of the observational aspects of earthquake seismology, concentrating on instrumental observations of seismic waves generated by earthquakes (i.e., seismic monitoring), and readers are referred to Chapter 49 by Musson and Cecic for noninstrumental observations. A few key developments and practices are summarized by taking a general view, since many national and regional developments have been chronicled in national and institutional reports (see Chapter 79 edited by Kisslinger). In the latter part of this chapter, the nature of seismic monitoring and some challenges in observational seismology are discussed from a personal perspective. Comments of a technical or philosophical nature are given in the Notes at the end of the chapter, and they are referenced by superscript numbers in the text.

International Geophysics

32 - Rock failure and earthquakes

This chapter summarizes experimental observations and related theoretical developments of faulted and intact rock properties related to earthquake nucleation, failure and dynamic slip. We will be concerned primarily with earthquakes occurring in the brittle crust. Intermediate and deep-focus earthquakes have unique mechanical considerations that are discussed in Section 7 . We focus on repeatable laboratory observations and their direct implications for fault strength and stability. Important results that may be new, incomplete or controversial have also been included. To distinguish the well-established findings from others, the latter appear in “new and provisional results” sections.

International Geophysics

34 - State of stress in the Earth's lithosphere

The state of stress in the lithosphere is the result of the forces acting upon and within it. Knowledge of the magnitude and distribution of these forces can be combined with mechanical, thermal and rheological constraints to examine a broad range of lithospheric deformational processes. For example, such knowledge contributes to a better understanding of the processes that both drive and inhibit lithospheric plate motions as well as the forces responsible for the occurrence of crustal earthquakes − both along plate boundaries and in intraplate regions. Although the topic of this chapter is the state of stress in the Earth's lithosphere, the comments below come primarily from the perspective of the state of stress in the brittle upper crust. As defined by the depth of shallow earthquakes, the brittle crust extends to ˜15–20 km depth at most continental locations around the world. This perspective is adopted here because nearly all the data available on lithospheric stress come from the upper crust of continents. Furthermore, in the sections that follow, we argue that, to first order, the state of stress in the brittle crust results from relatively large-scale lithospheric processes so that knowledge of crustal stress can be used to constrain the forces involved in these processes.

International Geophysics

35 - Strength and energetics of active fault zones

The strength of active fault zones, i.e., the shear stress level required to cause fault slip, is fundamental to understanding the physics of earthquakes and to assessing earthquake hazard. Although many researchers have concluded that fault zones are weak (shear stresses 10 MPa or less averaged between 0 and ˜20 km depth), others maintain that faults are strong (˜100 MPa average of an approximate linear increase with depth). Thus, despite 30 y of dedicated research, relevant data remain inconclusive and fault strength remains uncertain by an order of magnitude. In part, this is because the main source of energy release in earthquakes is at depths greater than 5 km, inaccessible to direct instrumental observation. Very large earthquakes rupture to the Earth's surface where direct observation of the shallow rupture process is possible. However, the rupture characteristics at shallow depth may differ from those at seismogenic depths. To date no great ( M ≥ 7.75) earthquakes have occurred within a network of modern strong-motion instruments, but the large, well-recorded 1999 earthquakes in Turkey and Taiwan, both M = 7.6, show that this data gap is rapidly being filled. Furthermore, shear stress changes at the earthquake source (and the resulting seismic waves) are nearly linear perturbations of the absolute stress field. Thus, an unknown absolute background stress does not greatly affect the basic characteristics of the observed low frequency seismic waves and the observed geodetic deformation. Other, less-direct data must then be used to infer the physical state and ambient stress levels on active faults. This chapter discusses available evidence and current ideas about fault zone strength and energetics. In our review we begin by outlining the general physical conditions prevailing in the Earth around active faults and summarize the generally agreed upon observational features of faulting and earthquake occurrence ( Section 2 ). In doing so we make as few assumptions as possible, because making uncertain assumptions may lead to logical inconsistencies and apparent paradoxes. For example, the absence of a measurable, frictionally generated heat flow anomaly near active faults, the so-called stress-heat flow paradox, rests upon assumptions that must somehow be incorrect. We wish to avoid such inconsistencies and to begin we introduce the observations and briefly state what they imply about fault zones. Subsequently, in Sections 3–8 , we place these observations in an interpretative context and show how they have been used to infer various measures of fault shear stress. Section 9 summarizes our assessment of the average shear stress state near faults, argues for the general importance of stress heterogeneity in faulting processes, and discusses its implications.

International Geophysics

36 - Implications of crustal strain during conventional, slow, and silent earthquakes

Uniform block-slip motion consistent with simple shear on locked fault segments is the primary feature apparent in geodetic measurements of strain accumulation along plate boundaries (Savage, 1983). However, almost every aspect of fault failure is nonlinear in character. This premise derives from theoretical models (Kostrov, 1966; Richards, 1976; Andrews, 1976; Freund, 1979; Rice and Rudnicki, 1979; Rice, 1983, 1992; Stuart, 1979, Stuart and Mavko, 1979; Das and Scholz, 1981; Rundle et al., 1984; Tse and Rice, 1986; Lorenzetti and Tullis, 1989; Segall and Rice, 1995; Shaw, 1997; Miller et al., 1999) and laboratory-generated frictional failure of crustal materials (Dieterich, 1979, 1981; Mogi, 1981; Mogi et al., 1982) which predict accelerating deformation will occur before dynamic slip instabilities, better known as earthquakes.

International Geophysics

38 - Electromagnetic fields generated by earthquakes

Independent knowledge of the physical processes that occur with seismic events can be obtained from observations of electric and magnetic fields generated by these complex processes. During the past few decades, we have seen a remarkable increase in the quality and quantity of electromagnetic (EM) data recorded before and during earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. This paper describes the most significant recent data and the implications these data have for different generating mechanisms. We note that, despite several decades of relatively high quality monitoring, clear demonstration of the existence of precursory EM signals has not been achieved, although causal relations between coseismic magnetic field changes and earthquake stress drops are no longer in question. This paper extends discussions of tectonomagnetism and tectonoelectricity, over the various parts of the electromagnetic spectrum from radio frequencies (RF) to submicrohertz frequencies, that are covered in Johnston (1989, 1997), Park et al. (1993), Park (1996) special journal issues ( Johnston and Parrot, 1989 , 1998; Parrot and Johnston, 1993 ), and books ( Hayakawa and Fujinawa, 1994 ).

International Geophysics

Seismic velocity structure of the continental lithosphere from controlled source data

The purpose of this chapter is to provide a summary of the seismic velocity structure of the continental lithosphere, i.e., the crust and uppermost mantle. We define the crust as the outer layer of the Earth that is separated from the underlying mantle by the Mohorovičić discontinuity (Moho). We adopted the usual convention of defining the seismic Moho as the level in the Earth where the seismic compressional-wave ( P -wave) velocity increases rapidly or gradually to a value greater than or equal to 7.6 km sec −1 (Steinhart, 1967), defined in the data by the so-called “ Pn ” phase ( P-n ormal). Here we use the term uppermost mantle to refer to the 50–200+ km thick lithospheric mantle that forms the root of the continents and that is attached to the crust (i.e., moves with the continental plates). This summary has been preceded by 90 y of intense scientific activity. Mohorovičić (1910) was the first to publish an estimate for crustal thickness (54 km near Zagreb, Croatia), and to describe the seismically defined boundary between the crust and mantle that now bears his name (often shortened to “the Moho”). The fact that the oceanic crust is significantly thinner than continental crust (5 km versus about 40 km) was documented 40 y later (e.g., Hersey et al., 1952). Numerous later studies demonstrated that the continental crust varies in thickness from about 15 km to greater than 70 km beneath the Tibet plateau. Jarchow and Thompson (1989) provide a useful summary of early crustal studies, and Table 1 provides additional references. We emphasize results from active-source seismic refraction profiles that provide detailed P -wave velocity information. The shear-wave ( S -wave) structure of the crust and uppermost mantle, as determined by surface waves, is discussed, for example, by Ekström et al. (1997) and Ritzwoller et al. (1998).

International Geophysics

Seismic design provisions and guidelines in the United States: A prologue

Seismic design provisions and guidelines are the basis for reduction of potentially devastating losses of life and property from earthquakes. Six tragic earthquakes since 1985, affecting Mexico, Armenia, the United States, Japan, Turkey, and Taiwan, caused combined property losses exceeding $320 billion and loss of lives exceeding 143,900. These losses emphasize the need to improve the earthquake resistance of the built environment in zones of high seismic risk. With present population exceeding 290 million in major earthquake zones and world population expected to increase by 2 to 4 billion people in the next 50 years, losses from future earthquakes can be expected to reach even greater levels if worldwide improvements in earthquake resistance are not made.

International Geophysics

The HYPO71 Earthquake Location Program

HYPO71, a computer program for determining hypocenter, magnitude, and first-motion pattern of local earthquakes, was first released in 1971. It is perhaps the first earthquake location program that achieved worldwide usage, as evidenced by the fact that about 1000 copies of the HYPO71 manual were requested and distributed (Lee, 1990). It is included here for historical documentation.

International Geophysics

Observations of quasistatic fault growth from acoustic emissions

The location of acoustic emission (AE) sources during deformation of rock has proven to be a useful non-destructive analytic technique. We present experimental results,based on AE observations, that show the nucleation and growth of macroscopic fault planes in granite and sandstone samples. By controlling axial stress to maintain constant AE rate rather than more conventional loading conditions such as constant strain rate or constant stress, we have been successful in retarding the failure process in triaxial experiments. As a result, the post-failure stress curve has been followed quasistatically, extending to minutes or hours the fault growth process that normally would occur violently in a fraction of a second. In addition to this novel control system, three-dimensional locations of AE events were determined by analyzing the relative arrival times of AE pulses recorded on a network of transducers attached to the sample. In this manner, as many as 40 000 AE events were located in the course of a single experiment. While the details of fault formation varied from experiment to experiment, a number of features were consistently observed. In all three granite experiments, the fault plane nucleated abruptly at a point on the sample surface soon after reaching peak stress. Prior to fault nucleation, microcrack growth was distributed evenly throughout the granite samples. From the nucleation site, the fault plane grew across the sample, accompanied by a gradual drop in axial stress. AE locations showed that the fault propagated as a fracture front (process zone) with in-plane dimension of 10-50 mm. As the fracture front passed, the AE from a given region would drop to a low level. If allowed to progress to completion, stress eventually dropped to the frictional sliding strength. Sandstone samples showed somewhat different response. In these experiments, a diffuse damage zone appeared prior to peak strength and gradually localized into an incipient fault plane. After passing through peak stress, this plane grew, as in the granite samples, to eventually bisect the sample.

International Geophysics

Frictional strength and the effective pressure law of montmorillonite and illite clays

Low-strength clay minerals are a common constituent of fault gouges, and are often cited as a possible explanation for the low ambient shear stresses along the San Andreas fault inferred from heat flow constraints and in situ stress measurements. Montmorillonite, the weakest of the clay minerals, undergoes a gradual phase transition to illite with depth. In order to compare the shear stresses supported by these two minerals with those thought to exist along the San Andreas, we have measured the frictional sliding behavior of pure montmorillonite, mixed montmorillonite/illite and pure illite as a function of effective pressure, simulating burial to seismogenic depths. Strength measurements verify that the effective pressure law for friction holds for these minerals under all conditions. That is, the measured stresses were a function of the effective pressure, P c - P p , independent of the choice of confining and pore pressure. This relation, common for many other rock types, was previously untested for these clays under most conditions. Results show that dry samples were consistently stronger than saturated samples, and that strength increased with increasing illite content. In addition, the coefficient of friction increased as a function of pressure for the montmorillonite gouge, but was independent of pressure for the illite gouge. This behavior may be explained by the presence of loosely bonded interlayer water in the montmorillonite, which is squeezed out at higher pressures, changing the frictional characteristics of the clay. The nonexpanding illite was not affected in this way. For the montmorillonite-to-illite compositional profile, an average shear stress of 60 MPa was determined for crustal conditions to 15 km, assuming a normal hydrostatic gradient. If montmorillonite remains stable at depth, the resulting average shear stress is reduced to 30 MPa. In either case, these values are above the 10-20 MPa shear stress limit along the San Andreas inferred from heat flow constraints. Strength may be reduced to in-situ levels if fluid pressures become greater than hydrostatic within the gouge zone.

International Geophysics

Growth of grain contacts in halite by solution-transfer: Implications for diagenesis, lithification, and strength recovery

Lithification of a sediment to form a rock may involve cementation, diagenetic reactions, or compaction under load. In these experiments, convex halite lenses were pressed against fiat halite plates at 50° C in a specially designed microscope stage. A saturated brine surrounded the samples, which were observed during the experiment in transmitted and reflected light. No time-dependent convergence was observed between the two crystals, even at mean normal stresses of up to 14 M Pa at the contact. In all experiments, however, the contact (or neck) between the two crystals grew with time as material dissolved from the surrounding lens surfaces, diffused through the pore fluid, and precipitated at the neck. Neck growth rates did not appear to correlate with the applied load, but did systematically increase as the misorientation between the two crystals decreased. Our analysis of the shapes of fluid inclusions formed along the grain boundary within the neck suggests that the grain boundary energy is about 1.8 times greater than the fluid-solid interfacial energy. Neck growth appears to be driven by the reduction of interfacial energy rather than by mechanical loads. Assuming that the interfacial energy is isotropic, and incorporating some geometric simplifications, two models of neck growth were formulated. The rate-controlling steps in the models were either precipitation or diffusion in the pore fluid. The data fit either model equally well. Both models predict that neck growth rate will be rapid at first but will decrease with time, as was observed. Neck growth will lead to an increase in real area of contact between grains in a granular aggregate even without the introduction of supersaturated solutions and may be important in the induration of sediments and the strengthening of fault gouge.

International Geophysics