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Results for “Journal of the Mechanics and Physics of Solids”
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What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models
Fitting parametric seismological models to earthquake catalogs often comes with numerical challenges, especially when catalogs are small. An alternative way to quantify parameter values for a seismic region is by eliciting expert opinions on the seismological characteristics that each parameter corresponds to. For instance, expert beliefs on aftershock patterns can be formulated into prior distributions for aftershock parameters, for example, for the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model. We illustrate such a method by not only eliciting priors for ETAS parameters for the Pacific Northwest (PNW), a subduction zone with a complex tectonic environment, but also a relatively small catalog. We compare these priors with those suggested by the ETAS literature for global subduction zones, discussing implications for aftershock forecasting for the PNW.
Groundwater science relevant to the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement: An updated status report
No abstract available.
Contributions to economic geology (short papers and preliminary reports) 1911: Part II - mineral fuels
No abstract available.
Coalbed methane in Hungary, workshop and field trips: September 14 - October 1, 2002
No abstract available.
Preface to the focus section on environmental seismology
No abstract available.
Inflation and cooling data from pahoehoe sheet flows on Kilauea volcano
No abstract available.
Freshwater mussel studies in the Ohio River Islands National Wildlife Refuge
No abstract available.
Fish distribution and valley segment type data from Ohio Aquatic Gap Analysis Project (GAP)
No abstract available.