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Extreme plate boundary localization promotes shallow earthquake slip at the Japan Trench

The 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku-oki earthquake is exceptional among great earthquakes for having peak slip of ~50-70 m on the shallowest portion of the plate boundary megathrust. International Ocean Discovery Program Expedition 405 drilled multiple holes through the megathrust in the large slip region and at a Pacific Plate input site. The megathrust preferentially develops at the top or base of the pelagic clay in the input section where pronounced contrasts in physical properties are present. This results in a narrow, weak fault located at a major mechanical contact between frontal prism mud and subducted clay. Localization imposed by the input section enhances the tendency for shallow seismic slip, showing the Japan Trench may be more susceptible to ruptures with large shallow slip than margins without weak clays.

Japan Trench

Key minerals in energy transmission

The electrical grid relies on minerals with unique properties to transform, transmit, and convert electricity. Transmission needs are growing—to support the expansion of data centers and link diverse energy resources into the grid. This expansion will require greater quantities of minerals. Although some minerals are produced in the United States, the United States relies on imports for others. This infographic shows the key minerals that support energy transmission, and how reliant the United States is on imports for these minerals.

General Information Product

Lunar grid systems, coordinate systems, and map projections for the Artemis missions and lunar surface navigation

Foreward This document contains design specifications of a navigational standard for the Moon, including a Lunar Transverse Mercator system, a Lunar Polar Stereographic system, a Lunar Grid Reference System, and a unique coordinate structure, Artemis Condensed Coordinates, for Artemis mission navigation and lunar surface science. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Artemis campaign seeks to place humans on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions. Early Artemis missions are heavily focused on the lunar south pole, which promises to return valuable data on the Moon’s geologic record, amongst other mission objectives. Coordinate systems in use today for the lunar south pole provides crew members on the surface neither an efficient nor intuitive means to communicate their position and orientation. A novel grid coordinate system, the Lunar Grid Reference System, is proposed to address these concerns for use in real-time extravehicular activity operations on the lunar surface. The many stakeholders involved in the Artemis missions will need a common system to communicate position and orientation while astronauts are operating on the lunar surface. To that end, Artemis crew members will need that system to be efficient and intuitive to promote efficient extravehicular activity timelines and reduce confusion. In the context of this document, these characteristics are addressed on the design of lunar coordinate systems: Efficient.—The number of characters required to communicate a location within a desired precision level in both local and global contexts, and how many steps are required for a recipient or sender to interpret a location. Intuitive.—How well the system aligns with human perceptual abilities, and whether the system yields distances that have the same relationship to actual lunar surface distance in all directions from the point where a person is located. Technological systems are currently being investigated to supplement the crew members’ ability to locate and orient themselves and other assets on the lunar surface; however, it is unlikely that those systems will be fully operational for the first few landed missions. Even with future positional aids, crew members will still need an efficient and intuitive means to communicate position and orientation. In addition, if technological systems fail, the crews will require land navigation skills and have maps available, thus providing further motivation for a crew-centric coordinate system. The contents of this U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) document detail a comprehensive framework for standardizing lunar crewed surface navigation within NASA and outlines the protocols, methods, and designs necessary for achieving consistency and interoperability across relevant space mission teams and lunar surface navigators. Key components of this document include designs of map projections, projected coordinate reference systems (Lunar Transverse Mercator and Lunar Polar Stereographic systems), and a grid system (Lunar Grid Reference System and Artemis Condensed Coordinates) for the Moon. The work proposed in this document seeks to accomplish something similar to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) document SIG 0012 (NGA, 2014a), but for using grid systems for the Moon. This report incorporates initial feedback and input from NASA’s Artemis Geospatial Data Team, NASA’s Flight Operations Directorate, National Geodetic Survey, USGS Astrogeology Science Center, and NGA and is intended to serve as a resource for all involved with the Artemis missions, as well as for engineers designing and operating lunar infrastructure.

Techniques and Methods

Geochemical disequilibrium at the brittle-ductile transition

We investigate the microtextural, microchemical, and isotopic effects of late-stage ductile deformation in quartzite mylonites and kyanite–muscovite–quartz veins from the Raft River shear zone (Utah). Quartz microstructures record pervasive disequilibrium, expressed by unannealed features including undulatory extinction, deformation lamellae, and poorly defined fabrics, typical of waning deformation in shear zones. Microchemical disequilibrium is best preserved in kyanite quartzites, where CL-zoned kyanite records repeated fractures, overgrowth, and mineral precipitation, and in muscovite from muscovite-poor quartzite mylonites that shows minor-element zoning consistent with syn-deformational overgrowth on detrital cores. In contrast, muscovite from muscovite-rich kyanite quartzites exhibits minimal chemical zoning. These microchemical variations correlate with 40 Ar/ 39 Ar age systematics. Chemically zoned muscovite preserves variable single-step ages, including ∼150 Ma ages, reflecting retention of detrital cores. In contrast, syndeformational muscovite consistently yields Miocene ages, indicating recrystallization and new growth below argon closure temperatures that reset inherited isotopic signatures. Similar trends are observed in quartzite mylonites, where increasing quartz recrystallization and stronger crystallographic preferred orientations occur toward deeper structural levels. Together, these observations indicate increasing retrograde deformation and recrystallization with depth in the Raft River shear zone and demonstrate that strain-driven recrystallization exerts a first-order control on muscovite ages. We suggest that apparent thermochronologic gradients in retrograde shear zones may reflect recrystallization gradients rather than temperature gradients. Where cooling limits the thermal driving force for recrystallization, isotopic relics are preserved, and local deformation and fluid availability control re-equilibration. Consequently, isotopic disequilibrium—particularly in the 40 Ar/ 39 Ar system—may be the rule rather than the exception of retrograde tectonic environments.

Idaho, Utah

Gulf Coast Basin CORE-CM initiative final report

The Bureau of Economic Geology at the University of Texas at Austin (UT-BEG) is leading the Gulf Coast Carbon Ore, Rare Earth, and Critical Minerals (CORE-CM) Initiative to assess the potential to produce critical minerals (CMs), including rare earth elements (REEs) from coal, coal ash, and produced water related to oil and gas production, and related materials (alumina processing waste [red mud], heavy mineral sands, graphite, and zeolite) within the Gulf Coast Basin. This project represents the first phase in a long-term program and provides reconnaissance data that will be foundational for future work by assessing resources and suggesting plans to be conducted in future work and expanding stakeholder engagement. The project includes several tasks designed to identify, characterize, and assess several necessary aspects for development of CMs and REEs in the Gulf Coast Basin.

Gulf Coast basin

Using stable oxygen isotope dual-inlet isotope-ratio mass spectrometry to elucidate uranium transport and mixed 230Th/U calcite formation ages at the seminal Devils Hole, Nevada, natural laboratory

Rationale Vein calcite in Devils Hole has been precipitating continuously in oxygen-isotope equilibrium at a constant temperature for over 500 000 years, providing an unmatched δ 18 O paleoclimate time series. A substantial issue is that coeval calcite (based on matching δ 18 O values) has uranium-series ages differing by 12 000 years. Methods An unparalleled high-accuracy δ 18 O chronology series from continuously submerged calcite was used to correct the published uranium-series ages of non-continuously formed calcite in two cores, cyclically exposed by water-table decline during glacial–interglacial transitions. This method relies on the premise that the δ 18 O values of coevally precipitated calcite are identical, allowing matching calcite δ 18 O values to establish formation ages. Results Exposed calcite can have apparent ages that are 12 000 years too young due to unrecognized uranium mobility and resulting mixed ages identified in over 50 mixed uranium-series ages from previous studies. Secondary uranium in fluids, sourced from the formation or dissolution of porous carbonate deposits (folia) with high uranium-238 ( 238 U) concentrations, has migrated up to 10 mm into vein calcite. Conclusions The continuously submerged Devils Hole δ 18 O chronology is not explained by orbital forcing. Rather, this chronology represents a regional climate record in the southern Great Basin of sea-surface-temperature (SST) variations off California, variations that preceded the last and penultimate deglaciations by 5000 to approximately 10 000 years. Temporal discrepancies between the continuously submerged Devils Hole chronology and other regional δ 18 O records (e.g., the Leviathan chronology) can be explained by unrecognized cryptic, pernicious uranium mobility, leading to model estimations that may be thousands of years younger than actual ages. Consequently, paleo-moisture availability, water-table, and groundwater recharge models based on these mixed uranium-series ages are too young by as much as 12 000 years. The potential for post-formation uranium addition in subaerial cores and speleothems underscores the need for caution in uranium-series dating, highlighting δ 18 O time-series comparisons as a method for identifying mixed ages.

Nevada

Earth Mapping Resources Initiative protocols—Sampling hard-rock mine waste and perpetual mine water sources

Supporting the overarching goal to evaluate critical minerals nationwide, the mine waste characterization effort in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Earth Mapping Resources Initiative has created a series of protocols to standardize sampling carried out under this effort by the participating State geological surveys and their cooperators. The protocols are based on published, reviewed methods that can be deployed in the field. The protocols include (1) collecting and processing composite samples of mine and mill waste, including tailings, waste rock, gangue, heap leach piles, ore stockpiles, slag, or other mineralized and processed materials and (2) collecting and preserving water samples from perpetual or long-term mine water sources. The protocols also specify information to document on field sheets and detail the collection of geospatial data. The analytical methods used by the USGS and USGS contract laboratories are described in this report, including the data delivery pathway for USGS-derived data.

Scientific Investigations Report

Megafaunal community structure on ferromanganese and phosphorite hardgrounds in the Southern California Borderland

The Southern California Borderland (SCB) is a topographically complex region on the active continental margin that hosts varied hardground habitats, including ferromanganese (FeMn) crusts and phosphorites, marine minerals being considered for resource extraction. The SCB is influenced by seasonal upwelling and terrestrial inputs, and has a well-defined oxygen-minimum zone (OMZ). We analyzed megafaunal community composition, density, and diversity across 41 ROV video transects at 10 SCB hard substrate sites spanning depth (378–2765 m), temperature (1.79–7.96 °C), and oxygen (3.91–105.67 μM) gradients, with varying rock types (FeMn crusts, phosphorites, other rocks). We counted 32,426 individuals representing 146 unique taxa over a total area of 21,935 m 2 . Echinodermata contributed 48 % of the total abundance; Cnidaria 24 %; Porifera 13 %; Annelida 6 %; Arthropoda 6 %; Chordata 2 %; Mollusca, Foraminifera, and Hemichordata <1 %. Megafauna communities showed clear heterogeneity, with density, diversity, and community composition varying among transects within sites and across sites. Rock type recorded no influence on megafaunal density, but habitats that included FeMn crusts had higher diversity and distinct taxonomic composition. Location, depth, and oxygen were the most important variables explaining variance among megafaunal communities, with distinct communities formed at deeper depths and within the OMZ. This study provides baseline information about the megafauna inhabiting SCB hardgrounds, particularly those associated with minerals considered for their resource potential. It extends existing documentation of such communities to greater depths, reveals increased representation of sponges and corals below 1000 m, and highlights the variability within and among deep-sea megafaunal communities, offering context for informed policy decisions.

Southern California borderland

Developing international standards and guidelines for disseminating and validating simulated ground motions

We are leading an effort to develop international standards and guidelines for curating, disseminating, and validating simulated ground-motion data. This effort is organized as a working group within the Consortium of Organizations for Strong Motion Observation Systems (COSMOS). In 2022 we held online workshops on 7 and 8 June and 20 October. The first workshop focused on curating and disseminating simulated ground-motion data. The second workshop focused on validating simulated ground-motions for engineering applications. About 100 people participated in each of the workshops with strong representation from North America, Europe, and western Asia. In the coming year, we intend to form a technical committee to draft the international guidelines and standards while continuing to engage stakeholders from across the globe through online and in-person meetings. The key points from the workshops include: (1) Numerous groups are generating simulated earthquake ground motions and making them openly available; however there is very little coordination among groups to provide consistent interfaces for searching and retrieving data; (2) Standardizing interfaces for metadata and data access should consider agile approaches that can adapt to changing capabilities and user needs while building upon existing efforts; (3) A distributed architecture is preferred by most participants to allow institutions to host and manage their own data while broadcasting their holdings to a combined catalog; (4) Validation of ground-motion simulations applies to the entire workflow for simulating earthquake ground-motions, including the rupture model, seismic velocity model, and seismic wave propagation software; (5) Metrics to evaluate the validation are application dependent; more research is needed to tie structural response characteristics to ground-motion characteristics; and (6) Validation results should provide a clear, transparent, and quantitative assessment of the simulated ground motions.

Conference Paper

Will there be water? Climate change, housing needs, and future water demand in California

Climate change in California is expected to alter future water availability, impacting water supplies needed to support future housing growth and agriculture demand. In groundwater-dependent regions like California's Central Coast, new land-use related water demand and decreasing recharge is already stressing depleted groundwater basins. We developed a spatially explicit state-and-transition simulation model that integrates climate, land-use change, water demand, and groundwater gain-loss to examine the impact of future climate and land use change on groundwater balance and water demand in five counties along the Central Coast from 2010 to 2060. The model incorporated downscaled groundwater recharge projections based on a Warm/Wet and a Hot/Dry climate future from a spatially explicit hydrological process-based model. Two urbanization projections from a parcel-based, regional urban growth model representing 1) recent historical and 2) state-mandated housing growth projections were used as alternative spatial targets for future urban growth. Agricultural projections were based on recent historical trends from remote sensing data. Annual projected changes in groundwater balance were calculated as the difference between land-use related water demand, based on historical estimates, and climate-driven recharge plus agriculture return flows. Results indicate that future changes in climate-driven groundwater recharge, coupled with cumulative increases in agricultural water demand, result in overall declines in future groundwater balance, with a Hot/Dry future resulting in cumulative groundwater decline in all but Santa Cruz County. Cumulative declines by 2060 are especially prominent in San Luis Obispo (−2.9 to −5.1 Bm 3 ) and Monterey counties (−6.5 to −8.7 Bm 3 ), despite limited changes in agricultural water demand over the model period. These two counties show declining groundwater reserves in a Warm/Wet future as well, while San Benito and Santa Barbara County barely reach equilibrium. These results suggest future groundwater supplies may not be able to keep pace with regional demand and declining climate-driven recharge, resulting in a potential reduction in water security in the region. However, our county-scale projections showed new housing and associated water demand does not conflict with California's groundwater sustainability goals. Rather, future climate coupled with increasing agricultural groundwater demand may reduce water security in some counties, potentially limiting available groundwater supplies for new housing.

California

Beaver dam analogs as nature-based solutions to mitigate snowpack loss in northern New Mexico

Reductions in snow have left many streams in northern New Mexico dry or with very low flows during the summer. Base flow, defined as the contribution of groundwater to streamflow, can sustain streamflow during the summer and during drought conditions. Beaver dam analogs can be used to “slow the flow,” or increase the infiltration of rain-based runoff to replenish shallow groundwater reservoirs and increase base flow and potentially increase summertime streamflow.

New Mexico

Climate-driven sulfate export in alpine watersheds may stimulate methylmercury production

Climate change is increasing sulfate export and changing wetland extent in mountain regions. These changes may increase microbially mediated production of the neurotoxic substance methylmercury due to enhanced sulfate metabolism in mountain environments. Here, we assess methylmercury concentrations and formation rates across high-elevation wetlands in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. We also investigate sulfate controls on methylmercury production within subalpine peatlands by amending soils with sulfate to mimic increased stream export of sulfate from the alpine zone and measuring methylmercury formation rates for different sulfate treatments. We found that subalpine peatlands have statistically significant higher methylmercury concentrations and formation rates compared to alpine, mineral-soil wetlands. Methylmercury production in subalpine peatlands also increased significantly ( p < 0.05) following sulfate additions; the highest rates occurred in sediments with intermediate extractable sulfate concentrations (∼0.60–1.4 mg sulfate g −1 dry soil). Our study is the first to identify soil sulfate-related thresholds for methylmercury production and sulfate-limitation of methylmercury production in subalpine peatlands. These findings highlight important linkages between climate-driven mineral weathering and mercury cycling in mountain regions globally.

Colorado

A multi-channel digital telemetry system for low frequency geophysical data

An inexpensive general purpose digital telemetry system for collection of low frequency geophysical data from U.S. Geological Survey instruments (eg. tilt, strain, gravity, creep, water level, radon, magnetic field, resistivity, telluric current, temperature, etc.) has been designed and built. This system provides data for a more general interactive data acquisition, retrieval and analysis system. The field stations are self-contained, battery operated and housed in weather proof containers. Each accepts up to 15 analog data inputs in the range of -5 to +5 volts. The dynamic range is 70db. The units transmit information as FSK (Frequency Shift Keyed) tones onto either a phone line or radio link with up to 150 transmitters sharing one line. The average power consumption is 0.06 nR watts where n is the 1 number of input channels transmitted and R is the sample rate in minutes -1 . The central receiver-recorder unit accepts and decodes the FSK tones and converts, formats and records the digital data together with time information and station identification on IBM combatible magnetic tape. The digital data are also converted and recorded in analog form for visual monitoring.

Open-File Report

Increasing artificial light at night enhances salmonid predator foraging efficiency in an urbanized lake

Artificial light at night (ALAN) poses a threat to ecosystems globally. It includes both direct and indirect light, or skyglow, which occurs when ALAN scatters in the atmosphere, extending beyond its original source. We analyzed ALAN trends in Lake Washington, WA, from 2014 to 2023 using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) nighttime light measurements, evaluated the relationship between in situ and satellite measurements, and modeled predator search volumes for a juvenile salmon predator, cutthroat trout ( Oncorhynchus clarki ), as a function of ambient light and turbidity conditions. Open water regions experienced significant increases in ALAN, while nearshore areas primarily showed no or negative trends, revealing the role of skyglow in shaping open water light environments. Using a visual foraging model for cutthroat trout, we found that juvenile salmon at the shallow southern pelagic site experienced light 28 times brighter, resulting in a 168% greater predation vulnerability than those at the northern site. In the Ship Canal, a narrow corridor for outmigrating salmon, predator search volumes were 249% higher than at the southern site. These contrasts in predation vulnerability demonstrate how local conditions influence predator–prey dynamics and provide critical insight for targeting mitigation of both nearshore and distant light sources.

Washington

U.S. Geological Survey Monitoring Milestones—Oe-151 at Woodgate, NY (433112075091501)

On July 9, 1926, monitoring well Oe-151 at Woodgate, New York (USGS ID 433112075091501) recorded its first groundwater data. Since then, the well has provided water data nearly continuously and has now reached a 100-year milestone for data collection. The well is part of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Climate Response Network (CRN), which is a national network of wells selected to monitor natural groundwater conditions. Well Oe-151 is the first well in the network to reach a 100-year Centennial milestone.

New York

A soil velocity model for improved ground motion simulations in the U. S. Pacific Northwest

Near-surface seismic velocity structure may significantly impact the intensity, duration, and frequency content of ground shaking during an earthquake. In this study, we compile 649 shear wave velocity (Vs) profiles throughout the U.S. Pacific Northwest and southern British Columbia (PNW) and use these measured profiles to develop a representative soil velocity model for four major Holocene soil provinces: Puget Lowlands, Willamette Valley, fill and alluvium, and `other' soils. The resulting soil velocity model shows good agreement to measured data for a wide range of site conditions, with variability between different geologic domains reflecting fundamental differences in depositional environments. We then show that using this regional soil velocity model in simulations of the 2001 M6.8 Nisqually, Washington earthquake improves the fit to observed high-frequency (≥ 0.5 Hz) ground motions in the Puget Sound region compared to simulations that do not incorporate shallow (≤ 200 m) seismic velocity structure. Overall, this work shows that incorporating localized soil velocity profiles into seismic velocity models is important for accurately estimating high-frequency ground motion and regional seismic hazard in earthquake simulations. Future earthquake simulations and hazard studies in the PNW could incorporate these soil velocity profiles to capture the region's distinct site response characteristics.

Washington

The 2025 Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Ground motion model selection and comparison

We evaluate, select, and describe the ground-motion models (GMMs) used in the 2025 update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands (PRVI). We identify the most appropriate models that align with GMM selection criteria for use in the PRVI region to improve the accuracy of seismic hazard assessments. The update incorporates globally applicable GMMs suited for the active crustal and subduction earthquakes in the region. We include region-specific adjustments to these GMMs derived from local site response analyses derived from ground motion records. The unadjusted and regionally-corrected GMMs are combined to create a robust model for predicting median ground motion. The model integrates epistemic uncertainty through a median ground motion logic tree that accounts for variations in magnitude and distance. This study compares the GMMs selected for the 2025 PRVI NSHM, including both as-provided and regionally adjusted NGA-West2 and NGA-Subduction models, with those used in the 2003 PRVI NSHM. We evaluate how changes in model selection, weighting, aleatory variability, and epistemic uncertainty influence seismic hazard estimates. Trends with distance, magnitude, and spectral period are analyzed to evaluate how the scaling behavior of the newer GMMs differs from that of earlier models. Relative to the GMMs used in the 2003 NSHM for this region, the 2025 models generally predict lower ground motions. Comparisons with additional GMMs indicate that the adjustments applied for PRVI are consistent with regional-specific modifications developed elsewhere globally. The increase in aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty in the 2025 update results in a notable increase in hazard levels from these wider uncertainty bounds. These changes can result in as much as a 10%–20% variation in probabilistic ground motion at the 2% in 50 years exceedance level for hazard maps computed across the region for representative site classes and periods.

Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands

The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA

Landslides can dam rivers and require rapid response to mitigate catastrophic outburst floods. Here, we present a workflow to map landslide dam formation susceptibility at a regional scale. We define a probabilistic function that combines river valley width and landslide volume to efficiently determine the likelihood of a landslide dam or “damability”. We combine damability values with landslide susceptibility to estimate landslide dam susceptibility. The valley width measurements are automated using a new elevation threshold-based algorithm. Landslide volume is represented as a statistical distribution from mapped landslides. We validate and apply our approach to the Oregon Coast Range, USA and find that 36 % of river stretches exceed a dam potential threshold; these are in river headwaters and steeper terrain, which in this case correlate with more resistant lithologies. We also estimate volumes of the potential dammed lakes and find that most rivers with high dam susceptibility are less likely to impound large lakes because they have low drainage areas. However, widespread susceptibility, and the potential impacts from exceptionally large landslides, suggest that this hazard should be considered in the Pacific Northwest. The damability function workflow can ingest new data and be applied more broadly to assess future landslide dam hazards.

Oregon