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Groundwater quality near the Placerita Oil Field, California, 2018

Groundwater-quality data and potential fluid-migration pathways near the Placerita Oil Field in Los Angeles County, California, were examined by the U.S. Geological Survey to determine if oil-field fluids (water and gas from oil-producing and non-producing zones) have mixed with groundwater resources. Six of the 13 new groundwater samples collected for this study contained petroleum hydrocarbons, thermogenic gas, inorganic chemical signatures, and (or) isotopic values consistent with potential mixing with fluids from hydrocarbon-bearing formations. For historical groundwater samples, benzene was the most detected petroleum hydrocarbon. The historical groundwater samples with a benzene concentration greater than 0.5 micrograms per liter were from environmental monitoring wells at industrial or commercial facilities unrelated to oil and gas development that, in many cases, have identified soil or groundwater contamination and were not typically analyzed for other constituents that could provide additional lines of evidence for potential mixing with oil-field fluids. Methane was not detected in any of the 12 historical samples with a reported measurement. Reviewing historical data revealed factors that could potentially adversely affect groundwater quality in the study area. These factors include modified hydraulic gradients caused by large volumes of water extracted from the main production area and reinjected downgradient into nonproducing zones, well-barrier failures in wells constructed in the northern part of the oil field before the 1970s, well-barrier failures in produced-water disposal wells downgradient from the main production area, and naturally occurring hydrocarbons at shallow intervals. The groundwater samples most geochemically similar to samples from hydrocarbon-bearing formations were in areas where hydrocarbons are naturally occurring at shallow intervals and where oil development is at shallow depths. Additional data for hydraulic heads, water quality, and formation temperatures at multiple depths in areas with large injection volumes and well-integrity issues are needed to evaluate whether those factors have contributed to mixing between fluids from oil-producing or injection formations and groundwater resources.

California

Managing basin-scale carbon sequestration: A tragedy of the commons approach

The Tragedy of the Commons is a well studied problem in the literature of ecology, economics, and environmental policy which illustrates the deleterious consequences of managing common pool resources when individual and social incentives are misaligned. In this work, we apply a simple model of carbon sequestration in a deep saline aquifer by two neighboring geologic CO 2 storage (GCS) operators to begin investigating if a Tragedy of the Commons framework applies to GCS. Specifically, we consider the pressure space as a “commons” because the injection by each firm at its own well increases the downhole injection pressure at both wells. We assume that a firm will decrease its injection rate if the downhole pressure at its well exceeds a predefined maximum (i.e., exceeds the “pressure limit”). With this assumption in place, we find that the same injection flowrates are optimal for both wells, regardless of whether they are owned by the same firm or competing firms. This suggests that GCS may not be best represented by a pure Tragedy of the Commons framework under our initial assumptions. However, there could be economic incentives or contractual obligations that may result in either or both GCS operators being unwilling to reduce their injection rates. Thus, we conclude the conference paper with a discussion of future extensions of our approach that may demonstrate closer alignment with the Tragedy of the Commons, including explicit definitions of pore-space rights, firm uncertainty regarding the parameters of the Theis equation, and the potential role of unitization.

Conference Paper

Separating signals in elevation data improves supervised machine learning predictions for hydrothermal favorability

A recent study identified topography (land surface elevation above sea level) as an important input dataset (feature) for predicting the location of hydrothermal systems in the Great Basin in Nevada. Yet, topography is generally a result of more than one geological process and may consequently contain multiple distinct signals. For example, the geologic evolution of the Great Basin has produced both crustal thickening (i.e., regional-scale trends in elevation) and thinning via Basin and Range extensional faulting (i.e., valley-scale topographic relief). We postulate that these geologic processes may affect the occurrence of hydrothermal systems differently. Therefore, we separate the regional trend from the valley-scale signal in the Great Basin, and then use them separately to evaluate the importance of each as predictors for hydrothermal favorability. Our prior work applying supervised machine learning (ML) using the data from the Nevada Machine Learning Project demonstrated that employing a training strategy that randomly selects negative training sites produces better performing models for predicting hydrothermal favorability than a training strategy that uses expert-selected negatives. The models created using both training strategies exhibited a west-east geographic trend in the predictions for the favorability of hydrothermal resources. These models generally predicted higher favorability in western Nevada and lower favorability in eastern Nevada. This west-east trend in predicted favorability correlates with elevation across the Great Basin, which trends higher from west to east. By separating the original elevation feature into distinct features for elevation trend (i.e., regional-scale topography) and detrended elevation (i.e., valley-scale or local relative topography), we find that models using the separated topographic signals consistently outperform competing models that use the original elevation feature. Although western Nevada still exhibits higher favorability than eastern Nevada, using separated signals for regional elevation and local structure reduces the west-east prediction trend in the region and emphasizes structures associated with hydrothermal upflow. This work emphasizes how carefully engineering features to represent geological conditions relevant to hydrothermal systems allows ML algorithms to detect important patterns for predicting hydrothermal resource favorability and leads to better model performance.

Conference Paper

Drone-based radiometric surveys provide high-resolution mine waste characterization

Airborne radiometric surveys use passive geophysical techniques to characterize geochemical variations at or near earth’s surface. These methods have been used for a variety of mapping applications, including mineral resource evaluation. However, detailed characterization of smaller geologic targets, including mine waste features, requires flying at lower altitudes and with tighter line spacing than is feasible with traditional aircraft. Here, a small uncrewed aircraft system (sUAS) equipped with a radiometric sensor was used to acquire high-resolution gamma-spectrometry over small mine waste features and a low-grade stockpile in southwestern New Mexico. The sUAS radiometric system mapped local variability within each survey area and revealed ~2–10 m wide zones where radioelements K, Th, and U may be elevated 2–10× the surrounding material. Additionally, the sUAS radiometric data revealed radioelement variability across survey sites, which correlated reasonably well with variability seen in geochemical samples at each survey site, even though samples collected from individual sites showed high local variability. The sUAS data characterized local heterogeneity within mine waste and other small geologic targets at scales of a few meters to tens of meters, which is not possible with traditional crewed aircraft, and with continuity of coverage that is not possible with ground surveys, thus filling a key gap in geophysical survey spatial resolution.

New Mexico

Geochemical disequilibrium at the brittle-ductile transition

We investigate the microtextural, microchemical, and isotopic effects of late-stage ductile deformation in quartzite mylonites and kyanite–muscovite–quartz veins from the Raft River shear zone (Utah). Quartz microstructures record pervasive disequilibrium, expressed by unannealed features including undulatory extinction, deformation lamellae, and poorly defined fabrics, typical of waning deformation in shear zones. Microchemical disequilibrium is best preserved in kyanite quartzites, where CL-zoned kyanite records repeated fractures, overgrowth, and mineral precipitation, and in muscovite from muscovite-poor quartzite mylonites that shows minor-element zoning consistent with syn-deformational overgrowth on detrital cores. In contrast, muscovite from muscovite-rich kyanite quartzites exhibits minimal chemical zoning. These microchemical variations correlate with 40 Ar/ 39 Ar age systematics. Chemically zoned muscovite preserves variable single-step ages, including ∼150 Ma ages, reflecting retention of detrital cores. In contrast, syndeformational muscovite consistently yields Miocene ages, indicating recrystallization and new growth below argon closure temperatures that reset inherited isotopic signatures. Similar trends are observed in quartzite mylonites, where increasing quartz recrystallization and stronger crystallographic preferred orientations occur toward deeper structural levels. Together, these observations indicate increasing retrograde deformation and recrystallization with depth in the Raft River shear zone and demonstrate that strain-driven recrystallization exerts a first-order control on muscovite ages. We suggest that apparent thermochronologic gradients in retrograde shear zones may reflect recrystallization gradients rather than temperature gradients. Where cooling limits the thermal driving force for recrystallization, isotopic relics are preserved, and local deformation and fluid availability control re-equilibration. Consequently, isotopic disequilibrium—particularly in the 40 Ar/ 39 Ar system—may be the rule rather than the exception of retrograde tectonic environments.

Idaho, Utah

Intense alteration on early Mars revealed by high-aluminum rocks at Jezero Crater

The NASA Perseverance rover discovered light-toned float rocks scattered across the surface of Jezero crater that are particularly rich in alumina ( ~ 35 wt% Al 2 O 3 ) and depleted in other major elements (except silica). These unique float rocks have heterogeneous mineralogy ranging from kaolinite/halloysite-bearing in hydrated samples, to spinel-bearing in dehydrated samples also containing a dehydrated Al-rich phase. Here we describe SuperCam and Mastcam-Z observations of the float rocks, including the first in situ identification of kaolinite or halloysite on another planet, and dehydrated phases including spinel and apparent partially dehydroxylated kaolinite. The presence of spinel in these samples is likely detrital in origin, surviving kaolinitization, pointing to an ultramafic origin. However, the association of low hydration with increased Al 2 O 3 abundances suggests heating-induced dehydration which could have occurred during the lithification or impact excavation of these rocks. Given the orbital context of kaolinite-bearing megabreccia in the Jezero crater rim, we propose an origin for these rocks involving intense aqueous alteration of the parent material, followed by dehydration/lithification potentially through impact processes, and dispersion into Jezero crater through flood or impact-related processes.

Communications Earth & Environment

Correction to A regime shift in sediment export from a coastal watershed during a record wet winter, California: Implications for landscape response to hydroclimatic extremes

In the referenced article, the authors would like to correct text in the first paragraph on page 2571, Figure 9 and its caption. The changes reflect an error made in the processing of the rainfall intensity-duration data used to compare storms to published debris flow triggering thresholds. The correctly processed data does not change the interpretations made in the paper but does correctly indicate that the investigated storms did not exceed the rainfall intensity – duration threshold of Cannon (1988) but did significantly exceed the debris flow triggering threshold of Wieczorek (1987).

Earth Surface Processes and Landforms

Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite by LA-ICP-MS/MS

Re-Os geochronology is a powerful tool to directly date sulphide mineralisation using phases such as molybdenite, pyrite and chalcopyrite. We present a snapshot of a method in development utilizing laser ablation inductively coupled-plasma ‘triple quad’ mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS/MS) for Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite. While traditional LA-(MC)-ICP-MS measurements are limited by the >90% isobaric interference correction of parent radioactive 187 Re on radiogenic daughter 187 Os, the MS/MS technology minimizes this correction through careful instrument tuning and use of a (CH 4 + H 2 + He) reaction gas mixture to mass shift 187 Os away from 187 Re. We demonstrate the potential of the MS/MS technique by presenting robust Re-Os dates for three different molybdenite samples ranging in age from ~28 to 1520 Ma.

Conference Paper

A model uncertainty quantification protocol for evaluating the value of observation data

The history-matching approach to parameter estimation with models enables a powerful offshoot analysis of data worth—using the uncertainty of a model forecast as a metric for the worth of data. Adding observation data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will reduce it. Removing existing data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will increase it. The history-matching framework makes it possible to perform this quantitative analysis leveraging the connections among observations, model parameters, and model forecasts. We show this behavior on a specific groundwater flow model of the Mississippi Alluvial Plain and show where the analysis can be informative for considering the potential design of an observation network based on existing or potential observations.

Scientific Investigations Report

GST-1: A high-resolution global sediment thickness model

Global Sediment Thickness 1 (GST-1) is a high-resolution sedimentary thickness model calculated on a 0.125° x 0.125° grid. It modifies the sediment thickness of the 1° x 1° Earth Crustal Model 1 (ECM1) by means of 3D inversions of free air gravity anomalies. GST-1 is calculated by performing structural inversions on high-density contrasts across two crustal boundaries: the sediment – basement interface and the crystalline crust – upper mantle interface. The inversions are calculated in each of ten overlapping 3D models that span the globe. These ten models are merged to obtain the GST-1 global model, providing an eight-fold increase in lateral spatial resolution in comparison with ECM1 and CRUST 1.0. Our sediment thickness model exploits the nearly continuous sampling of gravity data when compared to the irregular, sparse sampling of seismic refraction data. Sediment thickness values in GST-1 are in excellent agreement with independently derived cross sections from well-studied sedimentary basins, and within expected resolution limits of seismic refraction data. GST-1 offers a robust, high resolution global model of sedimentary thickness to support studies of sedimentary basins.

Tectonophysics

Analyzing multi-year nitrate concentration evolution in Alabama aquatic systems using a machine learning model

Rising nitrate contamination in water systems poses significant risks to public health and ecosystem stability, necessitating advanced modeling to understand nitrate dynamics more accurately. This study applies the long short-term memory (LSTM) modeling to investigate the hydrologic and environmental factors influencing nitrate concentration dynamics in rivers and aquifers across the state of Alabama in the southeast of the United States. By integrating dynamic data such as streamflow and groundwater levels with static catchment attributes, the machine learning model identifies primary drivers of nitrate fluctuations, offering detailed insights into the complex interactions affecting multi-year nitrate concentrations in natural aquatic systems. In addition, a novel LSTM-based approach utilizes synthetic surface water nitrate data to predict groundwater nitrate levels, helping to address monitoring gaps in aquifers connected to these rivers. This method reveals potential correlations between surface water and groundwater nitrate dynamics, which is particularly meaningful given the lack of water quality observations in many aquifers. Field applications further show that, while the LSTM model effectively captures seasonal trends, limitations in representing extreme nitrate events suggest areas for further refinement. These findings contribute to data-driven water quality management, enhancing understanding of nitrate behavior in interconnected water systems.

Alabama

Measuring stress In high pressure deformation experiments with high speed fiber-optics

High‐pressure, high‐temperature rock deformation experiments are essential for understanding deep Earth processes, but accurately measuring stress is challenging due to the inaccuracy introduced by seal friction within the apparatus and large inertia, which affects earthquake process measurements made far from the experimental fault. To overcome these limitations, we developed and implemented a simple, compact fiber‐optic sensor based on an External Cavity Fabry–Perot Interferometer for in situ load measurement on a piston inside the pressure vessel of a Griggs‐type high‐pressure apparatus. The sensor can be used at sample temperatures up to 800°C for both slow creep and fast rupture testing with bandwidth capability from DC to 6 MHz. Two important experimental results are described: (1) the first direct measurements of seal friction in this apparatus type; these measurements record seal friction approximately one‐tenth of the confining pressure under both low (150 MPa) and high (1 GPa) pressure conditions; and (2) high‐temporal resolution capture of dynamic stress drops during stick‐slip faulting events at high‐confining pressure, revealing near‐fault wave propagation details, high‐frequency oscillations, and implying high‐transient slip rates (6–12 m/s) previously inaccessible with external sensors.

The Seismic Record

Using stable oxygen isotope dual-inlet isotope-ratio mass spectrometry to elucidate uranium transport and mixed 230Th/U calcite formation ages at the seminal Devils Hole, Nevada, natural laboratory

Rationale Vein calcite in Devils Hole has been precipitating continuously in oxygen-isotope equilibrium at a constant temperature for over 500 000 years, providing an unmatched δ 18 O paleoclimate time series. A substantial issue is that coeval calcite (based on matching δ 18 O values) has uranium-series ages differing by 12 000 years. Methods An unparalleled high-accuracy δ 18 O chronology series from continuously submerged calcite was used to correct the published uranium-series ages of non-continuously formed calcite in two cores, cyclically exposed by water-table decline during glacial–interglacial transitions. This method relies on the premise that the δ 18 O values of coevally precipitated calcite are identical, allowing matching calcite δ 18 O values to establish formation ages. Results Exposed calcite can have apparent ages that are 12 000 years too young due to unrecognized uranium mobility and resulting mixed ages identified in over 50 mixed uranium-series ages from previous studies. Secondary uranium in fluids, sourced from the formation or dissolution of porous carbonate deposits (folia) with high uranium-238 ( 238 U) concentrations, has migrated up to 10 mm into vein calcite. Conclusions The continuously submerged Devils Hole δ 18 O chronology is not explained by orbital forcing. Rather, this chronology represents a regional climate record in the southern Great Basin of sea-surface-temperature (SST) variations off California, variations that preceded the last and penultimate deglaciations by 5000 to approximately 10 000 years. Temporal discrepancies between the continuously submerged Devils Hole chronology and other regional δ 18 O records (e.g., the Leviathan chronology) can be explained by unrecognized cryptic, pernicious uranium mobility, leading to model estimations that may be thousands of years younger than actual ages. Consequently, paleo-moisture availability, water-table, and groundwater recharge models based on these mixed uranium-series ages are too young by as much as 12 000 years. The potential for post-formation uranium addition in subaerial cores and speleothems underscores the need for caution in uranium-series dating, highlighting δ 18 O time-series comparisons as a method for identifying mixed ages.

Nevada

A multi-channel digital telemetry system for low frequency geophysical data

An inexpensive general purpose digital telemetry system for collection of low frequency geophysical data from U.S. Geological Survey instruments (eg. tilt, strain, gravity, creep, water level, radon, magnetic field, resistivity, telluric current, temperature, etc.) has been designed and built. This system provides data for a more general interactive data acquisition, retrieval and analysis system. The field stations are self-contained, battery operated and housed in weather proof containers. Each accepts up to 15 analog data inputs in the range of -5 to +5 volts. The dynamic range is 70db. The units transmit information as FSK (Frequency Shift Keyed) tones onto either a phone line or radio link with up to 150 transmitters sharing one line. The average power consumption is 0.06 nR watts where n is the 1 number of input channels transmitted and R is the sample rate in minutes -1 . The central receiver-recorder unit accepts and decodes the FSK tones and converts, formats and records the digital data together with time information and station identification on IBM combatible magnetic tape. The digital data are also converted and recorded in analog form for visual monitoring.

Open-File Report

New constraints on northeast Seattle basin structure from converted seismic waves

The Seattle basin is a deep sedimentary basin in the Seattle–Bellevue, Washington metropolitan area within the Puget Lowland of Washington State. We determine the structure of a portion of the basin and the underlying basement using analysis of P waves converted from direct S incident from below. A deep local crustal event beneath Monroe, about 35 km northeast of Seattle, was recorded by a 100‐station nodal array deployed in 2019. The event produced a variety of coherent seismic phases, including converted waves from the sediment—basement boundary, internal structure within the basin, and additional crustal discontinuities. Using observed Sp converted waves, we apply an adjoint‐based full waveform inversion (FWI) method to determine the amplitude and extent of seismic discontinuities at depth. We find the strongest source of converted waves for this event lies ∼6 to 7 km depth below northern Lake Washington, interpreted to be the local depth to basement rock. The newly imaged shallow basement structure may be part of a deformation zone associated with the Siletzia eastern boundary. Our results highlight the utility of converted seismic waves recorded by a dense array, combined with an FWI method, to illuminate crustal structure.

Washington

Increasing artificial light at night enhances salmonid predator foraging efficiency in an urbanized lake

Artificial light at night (ALAN) poses a threat to ecosystems globally. It includes both direct and indirect light, or skyglow, which occurs when ALAN scatters in the atmosphere, extending beyond its original source. We analyzed ALAN trends in Lake Washington, WA, from 2014 to 2023 using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) nighttime light measurements, evaluated the relationship between in situ and satellite measurements, and modeled predator search volumes for a juvenile salmon predator, cutthroat trout ( Oncorhynchus clarki ), as a function of ambient light and turbidity conditions. Open water regions experienced significant increases in ALAN, while nearshore areas primarily showed no or negative trends, revealing the role of skyglow in shaping open water light environments. Using a visual foraging model for cutthroat trout, we found that juvenile salmon at the shallow southern pelagic site experienced light 28 times brighter, resulting in a 168% greater predation vulnerability than those at the northern site. In the Ship Canal, a narrow corridor for outmigrating salmon, predator search volumes were 249% higher than at the southern site. These contrasts in predation vulnerability demonstrate how local conditions influence predator–prey dynamics and provide critical insight for targeting mitigation of both nearshore and distant light sources.

Washington

The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA

Landslides can dam rivers and require rapid response to mitigate catastrophic outburst floods. Here, we present a workflow to map landslide dam formation susceptibility at a regional scale. We define a probabilistic function that combines river valley width and landslide volume to efficiently determine the likelihood of a landslide dam or “damability”. We combine damability values with landslide susceptibility to estimate landslide dam susceptibility. The valley width measurements are automated using a new elevation threshold-based algorithm. Landslide volume is represented as a statistical distribution from mapped landslides. We validate and apply our approach to the Oregon Coast Range, USA and find that 36 % of river stretches exceed a dam potential threshold; these are in river headwaters and steeper terrain, which in this case correlate with more resistant lithologies. We also estimate volumes of the potential dammed lakes and find that most rivers with high dam susceptibility are less likely to impound large lakes because they have low drainage areas. However, widespread susceptibility, and the potential impacts from exceptionally large landslides, suggest that this hazard should be considered in the Pacific Northwest. The damability function workflow can ingest new data and be applied more broadly to assess future landslide dam hazards.

Oregon

Flood-inundation maps for the Cuyahoga River at Jaite, Ohio, 2024

Digital flood-inundation maps for a nearly 6-mile reach of the Cuyahoga River at Jaite, Ohio, were created by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in cooperation with the Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District Board of Trustees. The maps depict estimates of the extent and depth of flooding corresponding to selected water levels (stages) at USGS streamgage 04206425 on the Cuyahoga River at Jaite, Ohio. Water-surface profiles were computed for the stream reach by using a one-dimensional steady-state step-backwater model. The hydraulic model was calibrated to the current USGS streamgage data and then used to compute 15 water-surface profiles for flood stages at 1-foot intervals referenced to the streamgage datum and ranging from 6 to 20 feet, which correspond to below “action stage” to “major flood stage” as reported by the National Weather Service. The simulated water-surface profiles were then used with a geographic information system digital elevation model derived from light detection and ranging data to delineate the areas flooded at each stage. These maps, along with current stage data from the USGS streamgage and forecasted high-flow stages from the National Weather Service, can provide emergency management personnel and residents with information that is critical for flood response activities such as evacuations and road closures, as well as for postflood recovery efforts.

Ohio