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USGS2025

Smectite-rich horizons in Inceptisols trigger shallow landslides in tropical granitic terranes

Puerto Rico was affected by >70,000 landslides in the wake of 2017 Hurricane Maria, and landslide prevalence was especially high in the Utuado region in the Cordillera Central. Landslide density was highest where soil parent material is granodiorite; landslide slip surfaces tended to be shallow (<60 cm), and often were mobilized rapidly and with long runout distances. This study combines field observations with soil mineralogy (bulk and clay fractions), soil geochemistry (bulk fraction), and soil strength as determined by field cone penetrometer testing (CPT) to test the hypothesis that clay-rich subsoil horizons function as slip planes when water-logged. Soil pits were excavated to depths of ∼200 cm in Ultisols on an undulating plateau and to ∼100 cm in Inceptisols on steep slopes (36-43 o ) that flank the plateau and cone penetrometer tests (CPT) were done within 2 m of the soil pit. Six pits were located adjacent to scarps from previous landslides, enabling analysis of soil profiles downward through extrapolated slip surfaces. Results from X-ray diffraction (XRD), X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) indicate that soils are heterogeneous, often with subsoil horizons enriched in clay minerals and immobile elements (Al, Fe, Ti). Inceptisols on steep slopes often contain smectite-rich horizons at 30–60 cm depth that appear to function as slip surfaces; in other Inceptisols, such horizons are not present and landslide susceptibility is potentially lower. In Ultisols, soil mineralogy is dominated by kaolinite with minor halloysite, and increased kaolinite content at soil depths ≥80 cm at some sites suggests potential slip surfaces enhancing probability of landslides. The origin of clay-rich horizons appears to be (1) fractures in granodiorite that facilitate water flow and leaching, accelerating mineral dissolution during early weathering stages, and (2) smectite-rich buried soils under permeable colluvium likely deposited by a prior mass wasting event. Where clay-rich layers occur beneath more-permeable horizons, rapid infiltration then absorption of water in clay-rich subsoil horizons causes decreased shear strength and increased landslide susceptibility.

Puerto Rico↗

USGS2024

Participatory engagement to reduce communication gaps

Underserved communities, especially those in coastal areas in Puerto Rico, face significant threats from natural hazards such as hurricanes and rising sea levels. Limited funding hinders the investment in costly mitigation measures, increasing exposure to natural disasters. Providing coastal resources and data products through effective communication mechanisms is fundamental to improving the well-being of these underserved coastal communities. The overall objectives of the pilot effort to engage and connect with underserved coastal communities in Puerto Rico were the following: (1) compile a comprehensive database of the projects and resources relevant to natural hazards in Puerto Rico; (2) foster connections with Puerto Rican interested parties to better understand their priorities regarding coastal hazards and provide them with pertinent U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) resources; and (3) identify knowledge gaps to guide future USGS projects in Puerto Rico. Here we outline our participatory engagement framework and process, along with two specific resources developed with the information collected from this effort. These resources are available in English and Spanish and consist of user-friendly, non-technical information products. Among them are: (1) a website where users can learn about USGS research on landslides, hurricanes, earthquakes, water resources, coastal hazards, tsunamis, and ecosystem hazards and environmental contaminants, and (2) a geonarrative highlighting shoreline changes in Puerto Rico with sections on historical shoreline trends, hurricane impacts, and potential solutions that could help protect communities and mitigate coastal hazards. Continuing participatory engagement in future projects could enhance the accessibility and usability of natural hazards resources within the community.

San Juan↗

USGS2026

Development of liquefaction-targeted design basis in U.S. seismic provisions

Seismic design criteria for new buildings in the United States have historically focused on life safety performance objectives through minimizing the potential for structural collapse. Development of design criteria to meet this performance objective has evolved over time, leading to the current, risk-targeted maximum considered earthquake (MCE R ) design basis. Corresponding MCE R seismic design loads incorporate the full range of probabilistic ground motion hazard information available from U.S. Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Models, as well as a representation of the uncertainty in structural collapse capacity. Despite these considerable advances in structural design criteria, guidelines for geotechnical hazards such as liquefaction-induced damage, which continue to be based on uniform ground-shaking hazard (i.e., MCE ground motions), are not well-connected with risk-based, collapse prevention performance objectives. This study, undertaken as part of Building Seismic Safety Council efforts to update recommended seismic provisions through the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program, presents probabilistic, liquefaction-targeted design objectives and corresponding ground motion parameters, with a focus on improving consistency in first-level screening criteria for liquefaction hazard assessment. This study identifies a potential maximum acceptable annualized probability of liquefaction triggering ( P L,max ) of 2.5% in 50 years, above which liquefaction consequences and potential mitigation measures would be considered. The P L,max -based design basis is calibrated to effective probabilistic liquefaction hazard levels obtained in practice using current MCE peak ground accelerations, and could be implemented via a new liquefaction-targeted maximum considered earthquake (MCE L ) peak ground acceleration ( PGA L ). The proposed PGA L is derived from probabilistic liquefaction hazard curves and includes uncertainties inherent to liquefaction hazard modeling. The potential design effects of the proposed PGA L are demonstrated via comparison with current MCE PGA levels, effects on first-level liquefaction screening analyses, and improvements in the consistency of P L,max levels across the United States, and for a wide range of site conditions.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2023

Stratigraphic notes—Volume 1, 2022

This is the first volume in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) series of reports on stratigraphy entitled “Stratigraphic Notes,” which consists of short papers that highlight stratigraphic studies, changes in stratigraphic nomenclature, and explanations of stratigraphic names and concepts used on published geologic maps. “Stratigraphic Notes” is a long-term (multiyear), multivolume publication containing articles that address updates or revisions to stratigraphic nomenclature (and whose content ultimately will be incorporated by National Geologic Map Database personnel into Geolex, https://ngmdb.usgs.gov/Geolex/ ). We welcome papers for the “Stratigraphic Notes” series from geoscientists of the USGS, of State Geological Surveys, and from academicians. Papers can be submitted for publication in “Stratigraphic Notes” by contacting the USGS Geologic Names Committee ( gnc@usgs.gov ). As new “Stratigraphic Notes” volumes are published, links to the volumes will be posted at https://doi.org/10.3133/pp1879 . This first volume ("Stratigraphic notes—Volume 1, 2022") includes articles that provide guidance for those who wish to submit papers to “Stratigraphic Notes,” as well as information on how to make your manuscripts compliant for geologic names reviews and how to organize your paper’s content to facilitate inclusion of new or revised names in Geolex. This volume also includes some specific guidance on conducting geologic names reviews of geologic and hydrogeologic reports.

Professional Paper↗

USGS2025

Horizontal transport of Picture Gorge Basalt magma through the Monument Dike Swarm determined by magnetic fabric

Flood basalts of the mid-Miocene Columbia River Basalt Group (CRBG) cover 210,000 km 2 of Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. The source of CRBG melt is debated; widely spaced feeder dike swarms can be projected toward hypothetical sources near the Oregon-Idaho border. In this study, we use anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility (AMS) to track magma flow in the Monument dike swarm (MDS), the feeder dikes of the Picture Gorge Basalt (PGB). This small formation of the main-phase CRBG eruptions allows us to explore in detail the localized dynamics of a large igneous province feeder system, with implications for the larger CRBG picture. We measured the magnetic fabric of 205 oriented paleomagnetic specimens subsampled from 97 samples collected from 15 dikes of the MDS. Thermal demagnetization and hysteresis loops show that the magnetic minerals are a mixture of single domain and multidomain sized titanomagnetites. At three dikes, the paleodepth of sampling was determined to be shallow (<350 m). Magma flowing through dikes has been shown—in most cases— to acquire an anisotropic magnetic fabric with an AMS ellipsoid minimum axis perpendicular to the wall and maximum axis aligned in the direction of flow. Of 15 dikes, 12 show horizontal flow directions in the plane of the dike. Only one dike displayed imbricated fabrics, showing westward flow away from the Oregon-Idaho border. We conclude that magma flow in the MDS was sub-horizontal from a distal source.

Oregon↗

USGS2026

Decadal shifts in groundwater age detected by environmental tracers across California, USA

Groundwater age offers important insight into recharge, storage, and contamination risk. Although models predict age changes can be driven by pumping and climate variability, direct observational evidence remains limited. Here, we analyzed paired environmental tracer suites (tritium, carbon-14, and tritiogenic helium-3) collected a decade apart from 268 wells across California to assess the prevalence of groundwater age transience. Travel-time distribution models and statistical tests indicated age transience at 29% of sites, occurring most often in agricultural regions, such as the San Joaquin Valley and Southern Coast Ranges, where large carbon-14 changes coincided with substantial nitrate and chloride shifts. Sites with tritiogenic helium-3 data showed more frequent age transience, underscoring the value of multi-tracer data sets. These results provide the first regional evidence of widespread groundwater age change and a method for detecting changing water balances with implications for groundwater sustainability and water quality.

California↗

USGS2026

Open-source gravity reduction workflows for geothermal resource assessment

Potential-field geophysical data such as gravity can enhance understanding of geothermal resources at all stages of the resource life cycle, including assessment, exploration, development, and monitoring, and at multiple scales, from the reservoir scale to regional scale. However, to make gravity data useful for geothermal resource characterization, several processing steps are required to isolate the effects of density variations in the Earth’s crust to enable the identification of structural features associated with geothermal resources. Although this process is well-established, standard computational implementations for processing gravity data that are FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reproduceable) are still lacking. This paper details ongoing efforts at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to develop a standard set of open-source Python tools for gravity data reduction that align with the FAIR principles. This workflow makes use of existing open-source tools for geophysical data processing with the goal of maximizing opportunities for rapid improvements, interoperability, and adaptability to other types of geophysical data.

Conference Paper↗

USGS2025

Modeling interconnected minerals markets with multicommodity supply curves: Examining the copper-cobalt-nickel system

Demand for many of the metals used in the energy transition is expected to grow rapidly. Many of these are by-products, often considered critical because their production responds weakly to prices and is instead tied to the economics of the host mineral. We present a model of prices and production for jointly produced commodities that accounts for interconnectivity between host and by-product markets at the mine level. We demonstrate this method using the copper–cobalt–nickel system, in which approximately 99% of cobalt is a by-product of copper or nickel mining. Our results show that the model more accurately captures the economic benefits of diversified mine outputs than previous approaches. Furthermore, changes in demand drivers for any two commodities produce non-linear effects on production and price. We challenge the prior best-practice assumption that cobalt cannot impact the copper or nickel markets. Recognizing the importance of both copper and cobalt for future electrification, we emphasize that incentivizing the copper industry to reduce cobalt supply risks could inadvertently undermine copper supply.

Nature Communications↗

USGS2026

Digitizer Suite: The Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory Digitizer Testing Suite

Laboratory testing of digitizers and seismometers helps ensure that prior to deployment the instrumentation can produce high quality data and is operating within specifications. In this work we detail the software package called: the Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory (ASL) Digitizer Test Suite. This Java software package provides several algorithms to verify various performance parameters of digitizers commonly used for recording analog seismic instruments. The goal of these tests is not to be exhaustive, but to identify common failures that could compromise the integrity of seismic data being recorded on the digitizer. For example, Sandia National Laboratories (e.g., Slad and Merchant, 2018) routinely do comprehensive testing of digitizers for various monitoring missions. While these tests reports are valuable for comprehensively characterizing a recording system, it would be resource intensive to conduct such tests on every seismic recorder used in a network. We focus on tests that include ways to estimate the sensitivity, timing, self-noise, and clip-level of the digitizer, as well as the fidelity of the signal being recorded. The software is publicly available and provides a way for the community to verify the integrity of a digitizer using a minimum amount of outside equipment.

Seismological Research Letters↗

USGS2024

Preparing for today's and tomorrow's water-resources challenges in eastern Long Island, New York

Freshwater is a vital natural resource. Although New York is a water-rich State, the wise and economical use of water resources is needed to ensure that there is enough water of adequate quality for both human and ecological needs—both for today and for tomorrow. Nowhere in New York is this more evident than in Nassau and Suffolk Counties on Long Island, where the public water supply is obtained from the sole-source aquifers located directly beneath the nearly 3 million people who live there. In 2023, in eastern Long Island’s Suffolk County, groundwater was pumped from these aquifers by more than 1,100 public water-supply wells to meet the needs of about 1.5 million people.

New York↗

USGS2026

Ductile and brittle Rio Grande Rift deformation in Oligocene granite records a two-stage rift history in southern Colorado

The timing and nature of early deformation in the Rio Grande Rift remains poorly constrained. We present evidence for the earliest structural signature of rift extension in the Sangre de Cristo Range, southern Colorado, based on new geologic mapping, structural analysis, rock magnetic data, and thermochronology. These analyses focus on the ~30.0 Ma granite of Chokecherry Canyon, which hosts discrete low-angle mylonitic shear zones and a distributed, gently SW-dipping protomylonitic fabric. Incremental stretching axes, stretching lineations, and Kmax magnetic lineations plunge gently WSW. Quartz microstructures and crystallographic orientations indicate dominantly coaxial strain in the protomylonite and general shear in the discrete shear zones. Quartz c-axis opening-angle thermometry suggests deformation at ~420–540°C. Thermal modeling of ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar K-feldspar data indicates rapid post magmatic cooling below the brittle–plastic transition, supporting shear-zone formation immediately after emplacement. Slow cooling from ~20–13 Ma was followed by renewed rapid cooling at ~13 Ma, interpreted as the onset of extensional exhumation along the Sangre de Cristo Fault System. These results show that extension in the northern Rio Grande Rift was active by ~30 Ma, earlier than previously recognized. We propose a two-stage model for northern Rio Grande Rift evolution: Stage I (30–23 Ma) records ENE–WSW extension localized in low-angle mylonitic shear zones associated with mid-crustal intrusions; Stage II (≤18 Ma) reflects brittle high-angle normal faulting, focused exhumation, and rift narrowing. Stage I magmatism and deformation along the western range front likely established crustal weaknesses that guided later fault development.

Colorado↗

USGS2026

A diatom-based quantitative sea-ice proxy for the Bering and Chukchi seas

Sea ice affects Earth's climate system on both regional and global scales. Its incorporation into climate can be used to achieve more accurate predictions of future climate. However, instrumental records of sea-ice concentration do not extend earlier than 1978. In an effort to extend this record, we constructed a proxy using the generalized additive model based on relative abundances of five easy-to-identify diatom species found in sediment samples across the Bering and Chukchi seas. Here we present the first quantitative diatom-based sea-ice proxy developed for Beringia. The developed proxy has been applied to two sediment cores in the Bering Sea ranging from 0 to 25.7 ka (HLY0204 51JPC) and 369 to 430 ka (IODP Exp 323 Site U1345) and one in the Chukchi Sea ranging from 2.7 to 10 ka (HLY0204 24JPC). The obtained reconstructions of sea-ice concentrations are similar, but not identical to previously published qualitative and nearby records based on other proxies. Because our results are quantitative, they can be incorporated into regional climate models. The proxy is publicly available as an R Shiny application (app) and can be applied to any diatom count from marine sediments in the region.

Bering Sea, Chukchi Sea↗

USGS2024

Trimming the UCERF3-TD logic tree: Model order reduction for an earthquake rupture forecast considering loss exceedance

The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast version 3-Time Dependent depicts California’s seismic faults and their activity. Its logic tree has 5760 leaves. Considering 30 more model combinations related to ground motion produces 172,800 distinct models representing so-called epistemic uncertainties. To calculate risk to a portfolio of buildings, one also considers millions of earthquakes and spatially correlated ground-motion variability. We offer a tree-trimming technique that retains the probability distribution of portfolio loss and identifies the leading sources of uncertainty for further study. We applied it to a California statewide building portfolio and various levels of nonexceedance probability between one in 100 and one in 2500. We trimmed the logic tree from 172,800 leaves to as few as 15. The result: a supercomputer that would otherwise run 24 h to estimate the distribution of one-in-250-year loss can calculate it in moments with the reduced-order model. Others can use the reduced-order model to calculate risk to different California portfolios, and scientists can prioritize study to reduce the remaining epistemic uncertainty.

Earthquake Spectra↗

USGS2026

A Lake Charr pangenome reveals highly conserved Ohnologs as drivers of phenotypic diversity

Whole-genome duplication (WGD) is hypothesized to spur evolutionary diversification by producing genome-wide duplicate gene sets (Ohnologs) that are initially functionally redundant but can diverge markedly as the effects of relaxed selection accumulate over time. However, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear, in part because genomic studies often reconstruct Ohnolog evolution over millions of years, during which subsequent mutations can obscure deep-time signals. Investigating the relationship between Ohnolog evolution and diversification on a contemporary timescale offers clearer insights. We explore this relationship in Lake Charr ( Salvelinus namaycush ), where ∼10% of genes are retained highly conserved polyploid duplicates following the Salmonid-Specific Fourth Round WGD. Using 31 chromosome-level assemblies of Lake Charr from morphologically and ecologically diverse populations, joined into a pangenome graph, we characterized 189,555 structural variants (SVs) that were significantly less likely to affect genes retained as sequence-conserved Ohnolog pairs, nuancing the hypothesis that gene redundancy, relaxed selection, and functional diversification are intertwined. However, we found that SVs affecting such conserved Ohnologs may be potent drivers of adaptive evolution. Notably, we identified a putative 938-Kb interchromosomal translocation containing 25 genes with highly conserved Ohnologs in a paralogous (but untranslocated) genomic block. This putative translocation appears to have facilitated Ohnolog divergence in ankrd11 and hp , genes putatively linked to craniofacial and lipid metabolic diversity in sympatric Lake Superior morphs. This research reveals that conserved Ohnologs previously presumed to be redundant remain a reservoir for adaptive change.

BioRxiv↗

USGS2025

Strong shaking from past Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquakes encoded in coastal landforms

Strong earthquakes along subduction zones are often devastating events, but sparse records along some tectonic margins limit our understanding of seismic hazards. Constraining shaking intensities is critical, especially in subduction zones with infrequent but large-magnitude earthquakes like the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ), where the lack of recorded ground motions has led to uncertainty in the severity and potential impacts of future earthquakes. Here we fill this observational gap with a novel inventory of quantitative estimates of past shaking intensities from geotechnical modeling of coastal landforms. One hundred fifty-four deep-seated landslides and 65 fragile geologic features constrain minimum and maximum peak ground accelerations, respectively. These estimates are broadly consistent with model predictions of M9 ruptures, suggesting strong shaking of 0.4–0.8 g during past CSZ earthquakes. Local discrepancies between our geologic shaking constraints and earthquake simulations may inform past rupture behavior, leading to better predictions of shaking intensity for future earthquakes.

California, Oregon, Washington↗

USGS2025

Annual NLCD (National Land Cover Database)—The next generation of land cover mapping

Introduction The widely used National Land Cover Database (NLCD) has long been the foundational land cover source for scientists, resource managers, and decision makers across the United States. In 2024, a reinvention as Annual NLCD added the key improvement of annual time steps to show decades of change at a higher frequency than the intervals of 2–3 years used in the legacy NLCD. Annual NLCD was derived primarily from the long Landsat satellite data record, and it includes data from other sources. The first release in 2024 of Annual NLCD provides Collection 1.0 of products encompassing land cover and land change from 1985 through 2023 for the conterminous United States (CONUS). The Annual NLCD Collection 1.0 consists of six operational products that map the unique characteristics of land cover. A map created from Annual NLCD shows 16 land cover classes for the CONUS in 2023.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2024

Summary of annual repeat magnetotelluric surveys of the Geysers geothermal field

As part of a multi-year project, funded by the California Energy Commission, annual magnetotelluric (MT) surveys have been collected at The Geysers geothermal field in northern California with the goal of measuring temporal changes within the steam field. The repeat surveys started in 2021 and repeated a 2017 survey (Peacock et al., 2020) with further extension to the southern part of the geothermal field. Temporal variations in the MT transfer functions are observed to be spatially coherent and compartmentalized. Mapping residual phase tensor ellipses demonstrates the direction of maximum change is often aligned with existing fracture orientations. Three dimensional inversion of the MT data, using the inversion results from previous years as the starting model, indicates that the steam reservoir has generally become more resistive over time (~10%), suggesting more steam in the field. A few pockets within the steam field have become more electrically conductive over time and are collocated with injection wells, suggesting either more fluid content in those zones, less steam, or more saline fluids.

California↗

USGS2024

Reduced injection rates and shallower depths mitigated induced seismicity in Oklahoma

The proximity of wastewater disposal to the Precambrian basement is a critical factor influencing induced earthquake rates in the Central United States, but the impact of reducing injection depths has not been widely demonstrated. Beginning in 2015, state regulatory efforts in Oklahoma and Kansas mandated that wells injecting into the lower Arbuckle Group, a basal sedimentary unit, be backfilled with cement (i.e. “plugged back”) so that they inject into shallower formations. This plug back activity gives us a unique opportunity to investigate the relationship between injection depth and induced seismicity rate. To evaluate the impact that decreased injection rates and plug backs had on the seismicity rates, we create a suite of rate-state earthquake models. Observed seismicity rates are best fit when only lower Arbuckle volumes are considered, suggesting the lower Arbuckle injectors were primarily responsible for the seismicity and that plug backs were effective at isolating the injected volumes to shallower formations. Our models demonstrate that if these wells had not been plugged back, seismicity rates would be multiple times larger than they are today. We find that the combination of well plug backs and injection volume decreases can be effective strategies for reducing induced seismicity rates.

Oklahoma↗