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USGS2024

Limited evidence of late Quaternary tectonic surface deformation in the eastern Tennessee seismic zone, USA

The ~300-km-long eastern Tennessee seismic zone (ETSZ), USA, is the second-most seismically active region east of the Rocky Mountains. Seismicity generally occurs below the Paleozoic fold-and-thrust belt within the Mesoproterozoic basement, at depths of 5–26 km, and earthquake magnitudes during the instrumental record have been moment magnitude ( M w )≤4.8. Evidence of surface deformation may not exist or be difficult to detect because of the vegetated and soil-mantled landscape, landslides, locally steep topography, anthropogenic landscape modification, or long, irregular recurrence intervals between surface-rupturing earthquakes. Despite the deep seismicity, analog models indicate that accumulation of strike-slip or oblique-slip displacement at depth could be expected to propagate upward through the Paleozoic section, producing a detectable surficial signal of distributed faulting. To identify potential surface deformation, we interrogated the landscape at different spatial scales. We evaluated morphotectonic and channel metrics, such as channel sinuosity and catchment-scale hypsometry. Additionally, we mapped possible fault-related topographic features on 1-m lidar. Finally, we integrated our observations with available bedrock and Quaternary surficial mapping and subsurface geophysical data. At a regional scale, most morphotectonic and channel metrics have a strong lithologic control. Within smaller regions of similar lithology, we observe changes in landscape metrics like channel sinuosity and catchment-scale hypsometry that spatially correlate with new lineaments identified in this study and previously mapped east–west Cenozoic faults. These faults have apparent left-lateral offsets, are optimally oriented to slip in the current stress field, and match kinematics from recent focal mechanisms, but do not clearly preserve evidence of late Pleistocene or Holocene tectonic surface deformation. Most newly mapped lineaments might be explained by either tectonic or non-tectonic origins, such as fluvial or karst processes. We also re-evaluated a previously described paleoseismic site and interpret that the exposure does not record evidence of late Pleistocene faulting but instead is explained by fluvial stratigraphy.

Tennessee↗

USGS2025

Estimation of the accessible and useful resource base for electric-grade enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) resources of the Great Basin, USA

Scientists with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) recently completed a provisional assessment of the electric-grade geothermal resources associated with the low-permeability geologic formations of the Great Basin, USA, where resources are assumed to be accessible using enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) technologies (i.e., the engineering of sufficient permeability to facilitate efficient heat extraction). This assessment required estimation of the accessible resource base (electric-grade heat [>90ºC] at depths where drilling and stimulation are deemed achievable using current technology) and useful resource (heat that can be extracted from the accessible region). Electric-grade heat can be estimated from existing temperature models. The accessible resource base can be estimated as the electric-grade heat that exists at depths shallower than 6 km based on the limitations of current drilling and stimulation technologies, along with evidence for sustained natural fracture conductivity at depth. The useful part of the accessible heat can be estimated as the product of three efficiencies and factors: the heat extraction efficiency, the viable geology factor, and the reservoir spacing efficiency. The accessible and useful parts of the resource can be estimated in units of heat, or in units of electric power using an electrical conversion efficiency, which is a function of resource temperature. We also estimate the ranges for each of the efficiencies and describe the motivations behind the choice of best estimates used for the recent assessment. An analytic solution is provided for the useful resource above any depth (in units of electric power), where efficiency estimation assumes nearly steady heat extraction rates that cool reservoirs to 90ºC over 30 years of power generation.

Great Basin↗

USGS2025

Mineral commodity summaries 2025

Introduction Each mineral commodity chapter of the 2025 edition of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries (MCS) includes information on events, trends, and issues for each mineral commodity as well as discussions and tabular presentations on domestic industry structure, Government programs, tariffs, 5-year salient statistics, and world production, reserves, and resources. The MCS is the earliest comprehensive source of 2024 mineral production data for the world. More than 90 individual minerals and materials are covered by two-page synopses. Abbreviations and units of measure and definitions of selected terms used in the report are in Appendix A and Appendix B, respectively. Reserves and resources information is in Appendix C, which includes “Part A—Resource and Reserve Classification for Minerals” and “Part B—Sources of Reserves Data.” A directory of USGS minerals information country specialists and their responsibilities is in Appendix D. The USGS continually strives to improve the value of its publications to users. Constructive comments and suggestions by readers of the MCS 2025 are welcomed.

Mineral Commodity Summaries↗

USGS2026

Mineral commodity summaries 2026

Introduction Each mineral commodity chapter of the 2026 edition of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries (MCS) includes information on events, trends, and issues for each mineral commodity as well as discussions and tabular presentations on domestic industry structure, Government programs, tariffs, 5-year salient statistics, and world production, reserves, and resources. The MCS is the earliest comprehensive source of 2025 mineral production data for the world. More than 90 individual minerals and materials are covered by two-page synopses. Abbreviations and units of measure and definitions of selected terms used in the report are in Appendix A and Appendix B, respectively. Reserves and resources information is in Appendix C, which includes “Part A—Resource and Reserve Classification for Minerals” and “Part B—Sources of Reserves Data.” A directory of USGS minerals information country specialists and their responsibilities is in Appendix D. The USGS continually strives to improve the value of its publications to users. Constructive comments and suggestions by readers of the 2026 MCS are welcomed.

Mineral Commodity Summaries↗

USGS2026

Cotton farming pesticides affect ileal microbiota activity expressions of virulome but not resistome or metabolic pathways in a sedentary wild passerine

The increased use of agrochemicals to enhance crop production has had detrimental environmental effects including implication in the sharp decline of North American farmland-breeding birds. Here, using a combination of deep shotgun metatranscriptomics and pesticide exposure data, we sought to assess whether exposure to cotton ( Gossypium spp.) production had a differential effect on ileum multi-kingdom microbial activity, metabolism, anti-microbial resistance, and virulence factors of sedentary northern mockingbirds ( Mimus polyglottos ) sampled from two cotton-producing areas (16 birds in total) and one uncultivated area (7 birds) in Texas, USA. Both Shannon Index values (Adj. r 2 = 0.174, F (1,21) = 5.633, p = 0.027) and a Mantel test (Spearman ρ = 0.184, p = 0.013) supported a relationship between metabolically active microbiota Bray–Curtis dissimilarities and differences in pesticide mixtures among study areas. Virulence factor richness (Adj. r 2 = 0.182, F (1,21) = 5.890, p = 0.024), Shannon Index (Adj. r 2 = 0.231, F (1,21) = 7.612, p = 0.012), and load (sum of virulence factor abundances; Adj. r 2 = 0.160, F (1,21) = 5.194, p = 0.033) were related to total pesticide load (total quantity of pesticides). We found no pesticide effects on expression of either antimicrobial resistance genes or metabolic pathways.

Texas↗

USGS2026

Is satellite-derived bathymetry vertical accuracy dependent on satellite mission and processing method?

This research focusses on three satellite-derived bathymetry methods and optical satellite instruments: (1) a stereo photogrammetry bathymetry module (SaTSeaD) developed for the NASA Ames stereo pipeline open-source software (version 3.6.0) using stereo WorldView data; (2) physics-based radiative transfer equations (PBSDB) using Landsat data; and (3) a modified composite band-ratio method for Sentinel-2 (SatBathy) with an initial simplified calibration, followed by a more rigorous linear regression against in situ bathymetry data. All methods were tested in three different areas with different geological and environmental conditions, Cabo Rojo, Puerto Rico; Key West, Florida; and Cocos Lagoon and Achang Flat Reef Preserve, Guam. It is demonstrated that all satellite derived bathymetry (SDB) methods have increased accuracy when the results are aligned with higher-accuracy ICESat-2 ATL24 track bathymetry data using the iterative closest point (ICP). SDB vertical accuracy depends more on location characteristics than the method or optical satellite instrument used. All error metrics considered (mean absolute error, median absolute deviation, and root mean square error) can be less than 5% of the maximum bathymetry depth penetration for at least one method, although not necessarily for the same method for all sites. The SDB error distribution tends to be bimodal irrespective of method, satellite instrument, alignment, site, or maximum bathymetry depth, leading to the potential ineffectiveness of traditional error metrics, such as the root mean square error. However, our analysis demonstrates that performing detrending where possible can achieve an error distribution as close to normality as possible for which error metrics are more diagnostic.

Florida↗

USGS2026

A cross-site comparison of ecosystem- and plot-scale methane fluxes across multiple sites

Wetland and upland ecosystems play significant but opposing roles in the global methane (CH 4 ) budget, acting as natural sources and sinks, respectively. Two of the most common approaches for measuring CH 4 fluxes (FCH 4 ) are chambers, which measure fluxes at fine spatial scales (ca. 1 m 2 ), and eddy covariance (EC) towers, which integrate fluxes across larger footprints (ca. 100–10 000 m 2 ). Although chamber and EC observations have been combined in various syntheses and databases to estimate CH 4 budgets, a unified cross-site evaluation of FCH 4 estimates at plot and ecosystem scales is lacking. As a first step toward a systematic spatiotemporal scaling of EC tower and chamber footprints, we quantified differences in site-level aggregate FCH 4 between EC and chamber measurements ( Δ FCH 4 ) across ten wetland and upland sites at half-hourly, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual timescales. We found that ecosystem-scale median FCH 4 was consistently higher than plot-scale FCH 4 at all temporal scales, with the smallest difference at the daily timescale (multi-site median Δ FCH 4 : 1.36 nmol m −2 s −1 ; median ecosystem-scale FCH 4 = 1.56 nmol m −2 s −1 , median plot-scale FCH 4 = 0.06 nmol m −2 s −1 ) and the largest at annual scales (2.58 nmol m −2 s −1 ; median ecosystem-scale FCH 4 = 25.91 nmol m −2 s −1 , median plot-scale FCH 4 = 6.55 nmol m −2 s −1 ). In general, the agreement between ecosystem- and plot-scale FCH 4 decreased with finer temporal resolution (from Spearman ρ = 0.95 at the annual scale to ρ = 0.65 at the half-hourly scale), while Δ FCH 4 variation was greatest at daily-to-annual scales. Key environmental predictors of Δ FCH 4 across the ten sites included plot-scale spatial heterogeneity, dominant vegetation type, vapor pressure deficit, atmospheric pressure, and friction velocity at the daily and monthly scales. Wind direction was a significant predictor only at the monthly scale, suggesting EC footprint effects at these sites. These findings suggest that accounting for variability in EC footprint extent, chamber measurement placement, and measurement artifacts is key to reconciling multi-scale FCH 4 observations across diverse ecosystems and refining CH 4 budgets.

Biogeosciences↗

USGS2026

Assessing the state of hydrologic science in the Upper Klamath Basin—A comprehensive review of data, tools, and models

Water demand in the Upper Klamath Basin (UKB) from various stakeholders and ecological needs often outstrips available supply, leading to persistent management challenges. This study reviews the state of hydrologic science within the UKB as of 2025—specifically, the tools, data, and models available for assessing five key components of the water system: (1) surface water; (2) precipitation; (3) evapotranspiration; (4) groundwater; and (5) water use. The UKB water supply is critical for Native American communities, regional agriculture, and federally listed fishes and faces challenges from competing needs, climate variability, and operational/regulatory requirements. We assess existing datasets, regional and national models, and historical studies to understand the available resources and identify gaps that may hinder integrated water assessments and management. Our findings indicate areas where improvements in data collection and model precision could improve the accuracy of water-availability forecasts and support water-management practices. This review can inform near-term forecasting, assist in optimizing water-resource data collection and management strategies, and support regional water-availability assessments of the basin.

Oregon↗

USGS2024

Deep syntectonic burial of the Anthracite belt, Eastern Pennsylvania

Fluid inclusion microthermometry and Raman spectroscopy of fluid inclusions in quartz veins from the Pennsylvanian rocks of the Anthracite belt, eastern Pennsylvania support a deep burial model of coalification in favor of focused orogenic hot fluid flow. High-temperature (250 to 255 °C) trapping of CH 4 ± CO 2 saturated aqueous fluids and CH 4 ± CO 2 inclusions indicate fluid trapping at depths of 11.5 to 13.4 km under a cover of Pennsylvanian to Permian(?) syntectonic load. In the folded rocks to the south of the Anthracite belt, CH 4 ± CO 2 fluid inclusions indicate a sediment load that was up to 16.3 km thick. Re -equilibrated aqueous fluid inclusions from veins in Silurian through Devonian rocks give the same range of trapping conditions but a wide range of fluid salinities suggesting that folding, fracturing, and meteoric recharge resulted in the intermixing of fluids from throughout the stratigraphic succession.

Pennsylvania↗

USGS2024

A partially nonergodic ground-motion model for Fourier amplitude spectra for the San Francisco Bay area, California, USA

We develop a partially nonergodic ground-motion model (GMM) for Fourier amplitude spectra for the San Francisco Bay Area, California, USA, using the Bayless and Abrahamson (2019) GMM as a reference ergodic GMM and developing location-dependent adjustments to the predicted median and variance. We compile regional ground-motion data from moment magnitude (𝑀 w ) >3 earthquakes occurring during 2000–2022 for which magnitude information is available in the U.S. Geological Survey Comprehensive Catalog (Guy et al., 2015). The data set predominantly consists of records from 𝑀 w 3.5–4.5 earthquakes but includes three well-recorded 𝑀 w > 5 events. Ground-motion residuals are evaluated using the time-averaged shear-wave velocity in the top 30 m (𝑉 S30 ) from the California-specific map of Thompson et al. (2018) and basin-depth site parameters from the seismic velocity model of Aagaard and Hirakawa (2021). The 𝑉 S30 dependence and basin-depth scaling of the reference ergodic GMM of Bayless and Abrahamson (2019) are evaluated and modified with the updated data set. We compute maps of site adjustments using a varying-coefficient model that considers the spatial correlation structure and uncertainties at each observation location. The spatial covariance model is developed using ground-motion residuals that are standardized by the uncertainty model, which allows for consideration of the aleatory variability in developing the site adjustments. The covariance model is fit considering the means and standard deviations of the site terms at all locations. The use of partially nonergodic median adjustments results in modified variance components of the within-event variability. Due to the low number of large-magnitude earthquakes that control seismic hazard in the data set, we do not modify between-event variance; however, we present adjustments to site-to-site variability for use in partially nonergodic hazard assessments.

California↗

USGS2026

Remote sensing enables basin-scale inventories of coal mine methane

Underground coal mines are important global sources of methane, but emission estimates are uncertain. We show that emission estimates for individual mines from aircraft remote-sensing surveys in the United States agree within 40% with direct measurements used for national emission reporting (IPCC Tier 3 estimate). Such direct measurements are unavailable in most countries, which rely on estimated emission factors (EFs) applied to coal-production rates. We find that EFs from IPCC Tier 1 and the Model for Calculating Coal Mine Methane (MC2M) methods overestimate U.S. emissions 3-fold due to incorrect dependence on mine depth. An IPCC Tier 2 method using measured basin-specific mine gas content agrees with direct emission measurements but does not account for gob well emissions and requires gas content data that are generally unavailable. We show that aircraft remote sensing for a small sample of mines can successfully estimate basin-specific EFs for ventilation shafts and gob wells, enabling estimates of basin- and national-scale emissions. We discuss how the method can be applied with satellite remote sensing to quantify coal emissions worldwide.

Alabama, Colorado, Kentucky, New Mexico, Ohio, Pen↗

USGS2024

The importance of nodal plane orientation diversity for earthquake focal mechanism stress inversions

Inversions of earthquake focal mechanisms are among the most accessible and reliable methods for determining crustal stress. However, the use of this method varies widely, and assumptions that underpin it are often violated, potentially compromising stress estimates. We investigate the consequences of violating the little-studied assumption that the focal mechanisms have diverse orientations. Our approach is to employ data-informed synthetic mechanisms, with nodal plane orientations defined by recent earthquake lineaments in the Midland Basin, western Texas, and rakes consistent with slip in the mapped stress field. Using both the traditional stress inversion method that assumes constant shear stress magnitudes on the causative faults as well as a recently published variable shear stress method, we show that low fault plane diversity can cause maximum horizontal stress ( S Hmax ) orientation and relative principal stress magnitude (faulting regime) estimates to differ markedly from the true values. This problem is compounded for catalogs with even modest amounts of noise (≤15°) or few (e.g., 20) mechanisms. Significantly, traditional approaches for quantifying uncertainty such as the bootstrap can severely underestimate the true uncertainty under these circumstances. To remedy this, we provide simple tools to quantify nodal plane orientation diversity and stress inversion reliability.

Geological Society of London Special Publications↗

USGS2026

Hydrological control on soil redox condition and carbon loss of coastal wetland under sea-kevel rise

Coastal wetlands are critical carbon sinks with their biogeochemical and ecological functioning shaped by dynamic hydrological conditions that are increasingly influenced by climate change. A key unresolved question is how hydrologic flow, vegetation response, and rising sea levels interact to regulate soil redox condition and carbon loss in coastal wetlands. Using a field-tested hydrological–biogeochemical–ecological modeling framework, we reveal how the interplay between terrestrial groundwater discharge and tidal fluctuations generates complex groundwater flow patterns at the terrestrial–aquatic interface, and how these patterns modulate soil redox conditions, in turn influencing soil organic matter decomposition and carbon loss. Notably, rising sea levels suppress soil CO 2 emissions while reducing lateral dissolved carbon losses, thereby enhancing litter carbon sequestration under anoxic conditions. As vegetation responds to sea-level rise and carbon inputs diminish, litter carbon subsequently declines. These findings underscore a critical hydrological control on carbon cycling, advancing our understanding of coastal ecosystem resilience in a warming world.

Louisiana↗

USGS2026

Cnidarian–algal partnerships structure bacterial communities during strobilation in Cassiopea xamachana

Cnidarian–algal (Symbiodiniaceae) symbioses rely on complex interactions among the cnidarian host, algal symbionts, and associated bacterial communities. In the upside-down jellyfish Cassiopea xamachana , the polyp-to-medusa transition (strobilation) requires the establishment of symbiosis with Symbiodiniaceae algal partners, yet bacterial community dynamics during this developmental process remain unknown. Here, we experimentally induced symbiosis in aposymbiotic polyps using four algal treatments: xenic Symbiodinium microadriaticum (native symbiont), xenic Breviolum minutum , antibiotic-treated B. minutum , and a photosynthetically impaired B. minutum mutant. We combined 16S rRNA gene sequencing with measurements of photosynthetic efficiency, asexual budding, and algal surface N-glycan profiles to characterize holobiont assembly during symbiosis onset and strobilation. Algal treatment structured bacterial communities in both algal cultures and polyp tissues. Our analyses identified a set of amplicon sequence variants that consistently distinguished strobilating polyps from non-strobilating aposymbiotic and mutant polyps, in addition to potential bacterial biomarkers associated with successful metamorphosis. Strobilation was associated with the enrichment of bacterial communities putatively involved in sulfur and nitrogen cycling, whereas non-strobilating aposymbiotic and mutant polyps were characterized by opportunistic bacteria and increased community variability. Together, these results reveal coordinated changes in algal physiology, surface glycan profiles, and bacterial community structure associated with successful strobilation in C. xamachana and support a model in which tripartite host–alga–bacteria interactions influence cnidarian life stage transitions.

ISME Communications↗

USGS2025

Component identification of solid biomass fuels using reflected light microscopy: Interlaboratory study 2

As nations transition toward sustainable energy systems , biomass has become a vital component of global energy portfolios. Derived from organic materials such as wood, agricultural residues, forestry byproducts, and organic waste, biomass is a renewable energy source with significant environmental and economic benefits. Responsible biomass energy production can improve waste management, reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, and mitigate environmental pollution. However, as the diversity of biomass-derived fuels increases, robust quality assessment methods are essential to ensure their efficiency, safety, and minimal environmental impact. Reflected light microscopy (RLM) is one such technique with the potential to complement conventional physico-chemical analyses by enabling a rapid identification of material constituents and impurities. To refine this methodology and evaluate the reproducibility of solid biomass component identification using RLM, an interlaboratory study (ILS) was conducted. The study involved the recognition of 58 components across 45 photomicrographs, with the participation of 65 scientists and students from 25 countries. The participants faced high difficulty identifying some of the marked components, and as a result, the percentage of correct answers ranged from 19.0 % to 98.3 %, with an average correct identification rate of 62.7 %. The most challenging aspects of the identification process included distinguishing between woody and non-woody (agro) biomass, accurately identifying petroleum-derived materials, and differentiating agro biomass from inorganic matter. The results suggest that while RLM is an important tool for characterizing solid biomass, further development of methodology guidelines and training are necessary to enhance its effectiveness. Future research should prioritize preparing detailed, image-rich, microscopic morphological descriptions of biomass fuel components, which could improve the accuracy and reliability of using RLM in biomass fuel characterization.

International Journal of Coal Geology↗

USGS2025

Unveiling coseismic deformation from differenced legacy aerial photography and modern lidar topography: The 1983 M6.9 Borah Peak earthquake, Idaho, USA

The 1983 M6.9 Borah Peak, Idaho, earthquake is one of the largest historical normal fault earthquakes in the western United States. We quantified meter-scale vertical change along the 35 km-long rupture using topographic differencing of 1966 aerial imagery and 2019 lidar-derived data. The initial differencing results are largely obscured by horizontal and vertical georeferencing errors and flight-line stripes. Our error corrections are designed to be insensitive to the coseismic deformation and reduced error by 50%. We calculated vertical separation and resolved a maximum of 2.02 ± 0.46 m at Doublespring Pass. Our vertical separation measurements are generally consistent with those from prior studies using field data and post-earthquake topographic data. However, the differencing measurements are a few decimeters lower than these prior measurements, indicating that differencing can isolate historical from prehistoric earthquake deformation. Our study demonstrates that revisiting historical earthquakes can provide new insights into the magnitude and patterns of coseismic deformation.

Idaho↗

USGS2025

Aftershocks in stress shadows are inconsistent with modeled static Coulomb stress changes

Aftershock triggering is commonly attributed to increases in static Coulomb stress. In some areas, termed "stress shadows", a decrease in Coulomb stress is predicted to suppress earthquake occurrence. However, aftershocks are often observed in the modeled stress shadows. We examine several hypotheses that attempt to reconcile these shadow aftershocks with the static Coulomb stress change model: (1) they appear to be in shadows because of inaccuracy in the stress change calculations, (2) they occur on faults of unusual orientation which actually experienced increased Coulomb stress, (3) they occur on faults with different frictional properties, not modeled well by Coulomb stress, and (4) they are secondary aftershocks triggered by prior aftershocks or afterslip. When tested on the 2016 Mw7.0 Kumamoto, Japan, and 2019 Mw7.1 Ridgecrest, California, aftershock sequences, none of these hypotheses can explain the majority of the shadow aftershocks, and taken together these hypotheses can explain only about half of these aftershocks. This implies that Coulomb stress modeling that lacks small-scale fault zone heterogeneity might be inadequate to fully capture the true static stress changes and/or that other physical triggering models are needed, for example transient processes such as delayed triggering by dynamic stress changes from the passing seismic waves.

California↗

USGS2024

Aftershock forecasting

Aftershocks can compound the impacts of a major earthquake, disrupting recovery efforts and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the probability of aftershocks can therefore aid decision-making during earthquake response and recovery. Several countries issue authoritative aftershock forecasts. Most aftershock forecasts are based on simple statistical models that were first developed in the 1980s and remain the best available models. We review these statistical models, and the wide-ranging research to advance aftershock forecasting through better statistical, physical, and machine learning methods. Physics-based forecasts based on mainshock stress changes can sometimes match the statistical models in testing, but don’t yet outperform them. Physical models are also hampered by unsolved problems such as the mechanics of dynamic triggering and the influence of background conditions. Initial work on machine learning forecasts shows promise, and new machine learning earthquake catalogs provide an opportunity to advance all types of aftershock forecasts.

Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences↗