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At least 1,243 records · Page 69Linked to original sources

Energetic status of Alaskan Chinook Salmon: Interpopulation comparisons and predictive modeling using bioelectrical impedance analysis

Adult Pacific Salmon Oncorhynchus spp . undertake energetically demanding migrations wherein they must have adequate energy reserves to survive to spawning locations and reproduce. Proximate analysis provides insight into available energy stores (e.g., lipids), but the ability to non-lethally monitor energetic status may be useful for managers to better understand how energetic status affects salmon populations in light of population declines and threats from climate change and habitat alteration. Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha (N = 129) were sampled for proximate analysis from four populations in Alaska to examine variation in energetic status pre- and post-spawning migration and to create predictive bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) models for this species. We also tested two BIA devices (Q2 and CQR), whether models were generalizable to a con-specific (Chum Salmon Oncorhynchus keta), and the feasibility of integrating BIA into field studies. Populations sampled pre- spawning migration had higher percent lipid (N = 77; mean = 42.57%) than those collected post spawning migration (N = 52; mean = 19.71%). Total percent lipid and water were more accurately predicted from the Q2 device based on BIA measurements (RMSE = 5.33; RMSE = 2.43, respectively), relative to CQR device measurements (RMSE = 6.27; RMSE = 2.66). Between-species (Chinook to Chum RMSE = 19.47; Chum to Chinook RMSE = 7.69) models were less accurate than species specific models created for Chinook and Chum Salmon, therefore single species models should be used. We field-tested the BIA model to predict Chinook Salmon %lipid and %water on a remote Southeast Alaska river. Techniques were quickly taught to field crews and predictions were similar to other pre-spawning migration estimates. Our results indicate that integration of BIA into population monitoring could be a valuable tool to assess spatial and temporal patterns of energetic status of Chinook Salmon.

Alaska↗

The seismo-acoustics of submarine volcanic eruptions

Many of the world’s volcanoes are hidden beneath the ocean’s surface where eruptions are difficult to observe. However, seismo‐acoustic signals produced by these eruptions provide a useful means of identifying active submarine volcanism. A literature survey revealed reports of 119 seismo‐acoustically recorded submarine eruptions since 1939. Submarine eruptions have been recorded in all major tectonic settings, with a range of geochemistries, and at a variety of water depths, but the reports are dominated by eruptions in the Pacific and at only a few locations. Many of the reports offer little detail, with over half of the observations made from distances >500 km, and only about half were confirmed as eruptions by non‐seismo‐acoustic evidence. The reported seismo‐acoustic signals cover a wide variety of processes, including earthquakes, explosions, various types of tremor, signals related to lava extrusion, and landslides. Recorded signals can sometimes be difficult to classify or confidently associate with an eruption, although there has been progress in this regard. Real‐time monitoring of submarine eruptions has been on‐going for several decades on regional and global scales with growing interest and effort in local networks. Real‐time networks are complemented by short‐term instrument deployments that often give more detailed insights into the dynamics and processes of submarine eruptions. Thorough seismo‐acoustic monitoring and study has increased our understanding of submarine eruptions, especially of deep‐sea volcanoes and spreading centers. Despite this, there are still many outstanding questions that need to be addressed for submarine volcanoes to be as well understood and monitored as their terrestrial counterparts.

Journal of Geophysical Research↗

Reproductive biology of the brown tree snake, Boiga irregularis (Reptilia: Colubridae), during colonization of Guam and comparison with that in their native range

Since their introduction to Guam shortly after World War II, brown tree snakes, Boiga irregularis (Merrem), have seriously impacted the biota and human population of the island. Understanding the biology of this exotic species will likely be important to the success of control programs. We compared the reproductive biology of 782 B. irregularis caught on Guam during the 1980s with results from published studies of native-range populations. Average and maximum sizes of mature snakes on Guam were larger than those from Australian populations. The majority of female brown tree snakes matured at snoutvent lengths (SVLs) of 910-1,025 mm, and most males matured at SVLs of 940-1,030 mm. on Guam. Based on growth rates from the early 1990s on Guam, sexual maturity is estimated to occur during a snake's third or fourth year. Only one female (0.3%) in our data set had oviductal eggs. Clutch size was estimated at 4.3 (SD = 2.2), based on large vitellogenic ovarian follicle (???30 mm in length) and oviductal egg counts. Unlike their Australian counterparts, the Guam population reproduced year-round. Our data offer insights into the likely reproductive patterns of brown tree snakes should they infest other islands in the Pacific region. ?? 2007 by University of Hawai'i Press. All rights reserved.

Pacific Science↗

Energy-rich mesopelagic fishes revealed as a critical prey resource for a deep-diving predator using quantitative fatty acid signature analysis

Understanding the diet of deep-diving predators can provide essential insight to the trophic structure of the mesopelagic ecosystem. Comprehensive population-level diet estimates are exceptionally difficult to obtain for elusive marine predators due to the logistical challenges involved in observing their feeding behavior and collecting samples for traditional stomach content or fecal analyses. We used quantitative fatty acid signature analysis (QFASA) to estimate the diet composition of a wide-ranging mesopelagic predator, the northern elephant seal ( Mirounga angustirostris ), across five years. To implement QFASA, we first compiled a library of prey fatty acid (FA) profiles from the mesopelagic eastern North Pacific. Given the scarcity of a priori diet data for northern elephant seals, our prey library was necessarily large to encompass the range of potential prey in their foraging habitat. However, statistical constraints limit the number of prey species that can be included in the prey library to the number of dietary FAs in the analysis. Exceeding that limit could produce non-unique diet estimates (i.e., multiple diet estimates fit the data equally well). Consequently, we developed a novel ad-hoc method to identify which prey were unlikely to contribute to diet and could, therefore, be excluded from the final QFASA model. The model results suggest that seals predominantly consumed small mesopelagic fishes, including myctophids (lanternfishes) and bathylagids (deep sea smelts), while non-migrating mesopelagic squids comprised a third of their diet, substantially less than suggested by previous studies. Our results revealed that mesopelagic fishes, particularly energy-rich myctophids, were a critical prey resource, refuting the long-held view that elephant seals are squid specialists.

Frontiers in Marine Science↗

Seasonal shorebird use of intertidal habitats in Cook Inlet, Alaska

Seasonal shorebird use of intertidal habitats of Cook Inlet, Alaska, was studied from February 1997 to February 1999 using aerial surveys as the principal method of assessment. On-ground studies were conducted to validate aerial survey results and to assess shorebird use of vegetated habitats, especially during the breeding season. Twenty-eight species of shorebirds were recorded using the area, ranging from all being present during spring to a single species present during winter. The annual pattern of use was characterized by the sudden occurrence and rapid increase in numbers of birds during early May and their abrupt departure in mid- to late-May. During this period, survey totals frequently exceeded 150,000 birds per day. Comparatively little use occurred during summer and autumn, but use was significant from late autumn to early spring when Rock Sandpipers ( Calidris ptilocnemis ) resided in the Inlet. A single species, the Western Sandpiper ( C. maun ), was by far the numerically dominant shorebird, accounting for three-fourths of all birds recorded. The Pacific flyway population of this species numbers 2-3 million birds of which we estimated 20-47% used Cook Inlet embayments, especially southern Redoubt Bay. Cook .Inlet also supported between 11 and 21% of the Pacific flyway population of Dunlin ( C. alpina pacifica ) and what may be the entire population (ca. 20,000 birds) of the nominate race of the Rock Sandpiper ( C. p. ptilocnemis ). Several areas along the west side of Cook Inlet proved to be extremely important to shorebirds. Southern Redoubt Bay supported 73% of all shorebirds during spring (average 32,000 per day) while Susitna Flats accounted for 82% of use during winter (8,400 per day). International criteria used to assess the conservation importance of particular wetland sites to shorebirds not only place Cook Inlet at the highest level of recognition but afford similar recognition to several individual embayments therein. The large human population and the extent of oil and natural gas production facilities occurring in the Cook Inlet region potentially pose serious risks to shorebirds and intertidal habitats.

Alaska↗

Topographic, soil, and climate drivers of drought sensitivity in forests and shrublands of the Pacific Northwest, USA

Climate change is anticipated to increase the frequency and intensity of droughts, with major impacts to ecosystems globally. Broad-scale assessments of vegetation responses to drought are needed to anticipate, manage, and potentially mitigate climate-change effects on ecosystems. We quantified the drought sensitivity of vegetation in the Pacific Northwest, USA, as the percent reduction in vegetation greenness under droughts relative to baseline moisture conditions. At a regional scale, shrub-steppe ecosystems—with drier climates and lower biomass—showed greater drought sensitivity than conifer forests. However, variability in drought sensitivity was considerable within biomes and within ecosystems and was mediated by landscape topography, climate, and soil characteristics. Drought sensitivity was generally greater in areas with higher elevation, drier climate, and greater soil bulk density. Ecosystems with high drought sensitivity included dry forests along ecotones to shrublands, Rocky Mountain subalpine forests, and cold upland sagebrush communities. In forests, valley bottoms and areas with low soil bulk density and high soil available water capacity showed reduced drought sensitivity, suggesting their potential as drought refugia. These regional-scale drought-sensitivity patterns discerned from remote sensing can complement plot-scale studies of plant physiological responses to drought to help inform climate-adaptation planning as drought conditions intensify.

Washington, Oregon, Idaho↗

Rhyolitic and basaltic reference materials for TC/EA analysis: Investigation of water extraction and D/H ratios

Increasingly, water and D/H ratios of silicic and basaltic glasses are used to investigate magmatic degassing and secondary hydration, as well as for study these parameters in the mantle and crustal magmas. The advent of the High Temperature Conversion Element Analyzer (TC/EA) continuous flow mass spectrometry made the determination of hydrogen isotopes relatively quick and precise (±0.04 wt% H 2 O and 1–3‰ δ 2 H). Many labs around the world have such systems, thus there is a need to develop both silicic and basaltic volcanic glass reference materials (RMs) that can be used for interlaboratory comparison by bulk and microanalytical methods. Here, we report results of such investigation run against solid RMs (USGS micas) and water RMs (including VSMOW) in three different labs and describe analytical protocols. We report on the effects of glass size fraction, the mass of aliquots measured, and yield dependency for two glasses: UOR (drill cutting of IDDP-1 rhyolite, Iceland) and UOB (an E -MORB basalt from the East Pacific Rise). Proposed RM values are: UOB rhyolitic glass ( n = 31): H 2 O = 1.84 ± 0.06 wt% (1 s.d.), and δ 2 H = −115.5 ± 2.6‰ (1 s.d.). UOB basaltic glass ( n = 60): H 2 O = 0.37 ± 0.03 wt% (1 s.d.), and δ 2 H = −82.1 ± 5.7‰ (1 s.d.). Glass reference materials are available in 100 mg quantities from the Stable Isotope Laboratory at the University of Oregon for a nominal fee.

Chemical Geology↗

The influence of pre-existing structures on geothermal springs: Inferences from potential field mapping in Surprise Valley, CA and other sites In the northwestern Great Basin

Surprise Valley, located in the northwestern Great Basin, is an asymmetric extensional basin that marks a major tectonic transition between the relatively un-extended volcanic Modoc Plateau to the west, and the Basin and Range to the east that has undergone 10-15% extension. In addition, it sits just north of the Walker Lane which accommodates up to 20% of dextral slip associated with Pacific-North American plate interactions. Thermal springs issue from eight areas within Surprise Valley. Most of these occur within the basin and are not situated on the main basin forming range-front faults. As a result, efforts to resolve the structural setting of the valley’s hydrothermal system have relied on geophysics to characterize basin structure and geology. Extensive efforts to map the basin with ground and airborne magnetics have revealed a >35 km-long linear, intra-basin magnetic high, interpreted as a buried dike swarm. Geothermal springs on the eastern side of the valley, including Seifert hot springs, Leonards hot springs, and Surprise Valley hot springs (SVHS), are all situated along the magnetic high and occur at local breaks and bends in the anomaly, suggesting that fracture permeability is enhanced along the feature and particularly at these discontinuities. Recent studies, including drilling over the anomaly near SVHS that likely intersected dike material, as well as subsequent mapping and sampling of dikes outcropping along the anomaly on the playa surface south of SVHS, confirm (as previously inferred) that mafic intrusives are the principal source of the anomaly. Similar interpretations made in two other valleys (in southern Oregon and northwestern Nevada), where inferred intra-basin dikes appear to be spatially correlated with hot springs or prospective geothermal resource areas, suggest that the impact of pre-existing basement structure on hydrothermal activity may pertain more generally to other hydrothermal settings throughout the Great Basin. If so, efforts to map basement may enhance understanding structural controls on some geothermal systems. Furthermore, similarities across these disparate sites suggest that magmatism may play a much larger role in accommodating extension and influencing basin evolution across the western Great Basin than previously recognized.

Conference Paper↗

Contaminants in ospreys from the Pacific Northwest: I. Trends and patterns in polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and -dibenzofurans in eggs and plasma

Osprey ( Pandion haliaetus ) eggs were collected from 1991 to 1997 at nests (n = 121) upstream and downstream of bleached kraft pulp mills and at reference sites in the Fraser and Columbia River drainage systems of British Columbia, Washington, and Oregon. Blood samples were collected from nestling ospreys during the 1992 breeding season on the Thompson River. Samples were analyzed for polychlorinated dibenzo- p -dioxins (PCDDs) and -dibenzofurans (PCDFs). Mean concentrations of 2,3,7,8-TCDD were significantly higher in eggs collected in 1991 at downstream compared to upstream nests near pulp mills at Kamloops and Castlegar, British Columbia. There were no significant temporal trends in 2,3,7,8-TCDD, -TCDF or other measured compounds at a sample of nests monitored between 1991 and 1994 downstream of the Castlegar pulp mill, despite changes in bleaching technology (CIO 2 substitution). However, by 1997 concentrations of 2,3,7,8-TCDD and -TCDF were significantly lower than previous years in nests sampled downstream at both Castlegar and Kamloops. An unusual pattern of higher chlorinated PCDDs and PCDFs was found in many of the osprey eggs collected in this study, and considerable individual variation in the pattern existed among eggs from the same site. For example, eggs from four different nests at one study area (Quesnel) on the Fraser River had concentrations of 1,2,3,4,6,7,8-HpCDD ranging from <1 to 1,100 ng/kg and OCDD from <1 to 7,000 ng/kg wet weight. Higher mean concentrations of HpCDD and OCDD were found in eggs from the Thompson River, a tributary of the Fraser, compared to the Columbia River, and concentrations were generally higher at nests upstream of pulp mills. In plasma samples, 1,2,3,4,6,7,8-HpCDD and OCDD were the main compounds detected, with no significant differences measured between samples upstream versus downstream or earlier versus later in the breeding season. Use of chlorophenolic wood preservatives by lumber processors was considered the main source of higher chlorinated PCDD/Fs throughout the systems, based on patterns of trace PCDFs in eggs and significant correlations between egg concentrations of pentachlorophenol and both HpCDD (r = 0.891, p < 0.01) and OCDD (r = 0.870, p < 0.01).

British Columbia, Oregon, Washington↗

Helminth community structure in two species of arctic-breeding waterfowl

Climate change is occurring rapidly at high latitudes, and subsequent changes in parasite communities may have implications for hosts including wildlife and humans. Waterfowl, in particular, harbor numerous parasites and may facilitate parasite movement across broad geographic areas due to migratory movements. However, little is known about helminth community structure of waterfowl at northern latitudes. We investigated the helminth communities of two avian herbivores that breed at high latitudes, Pacific black brant ( Branta bernicla nigricans ), and greater white-fronted geese ( Anser albifrons ), to examine effects of species, geographic area, age, and sex on helminth species richness, aggregation, prevalence, and intensity. We collected 83 and 58 black brant and white-fronted geese, respectively, from Arctic and Subarctic Alaska July-August 2014. We identified 10 known helminth species ( Amidostomum anseris , Amidostomum spatulatum , Drepanidotaenia lanceolata , Epomidiostomum crami , Heterakis dispar , Notocotylus attenuatus , Tetrameres striata , Trichostrongylus tenuis , Tschertkovilepis setigera , and Wardoides nyrocae ) and 1 previously undescribed trematode. All geese sampled were infected with at least one helminth species. All helminth species identified were present in both age classes and species, providing evidence of transmission at high latitudes and suggesting broad host susceptibility. Also, all but one helminth species were present at both sites, suggesting conditions are suitable for transmission across a large latitudinal/environmental gradient. Our study provides important baseline information on avian parasites that can be used to evaluate the effects of a changing climate on host-parasite distributions.

Alaska↗

Cascadia Subduction Zone science: Call for the next generation community seismic velocity model

The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) hosts major seismic and tsunami hazards, yet key questions persist about the relationship between margin structure, fluid distribution, episodic tremor and slip, shallow megathrust behavior, shaking and tsunamigenesis, and the resulting hazard estimates. Addressing these problems requires an empirically grounded, three‐dimensional seismic velocity model to illuminate subsurface structure and properties and to provide a basis for geophysical studies such as earthquake simulations and ground‐motion estimation. In May 2024, the National Science Foundation‐funded Cascadia Region Earthquake Science Center (CRESCENT) community velocity model (CVM) working group, with U.S. Geological Survey and regional partners, convened a workshop to identify priorities for such a model. Participants emphasized the features necessary for addressing key science questions, including implementing findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability (FAIR) access, capturing along‐strike and along‐dip structural heterogeneity, resolving shallow offshore–onshore structure, constraining elastic properties and quantifying their uncertainties for numerical wave propagation simulations, their validation benchmarks, and supporting associated accurate earthquake ground‐motion simulations and hazard assessments. This article describes the priorities defined in the workshop, and a description of how, guided by these needs, CRESCENT plans to develop multiple generations of a CVM to advance CSZ science and improve seismic and tsunami hazard modeling across the Pacific Northwest. The CVM will span the CSZ from the surface to ∼100 km depth, offshore and east of the Cascades into Idaho (∼132°–110° W) and the southern and northern tectonic regime transitions (∼36°–52° N) to capture the entire tectonic system as well as its surroundings.

Cascadia Subduction Zone↗

Efficacy of injectable tulathromycin for reduction of vertical transmission of Renibacterium salmoninarum in Spring Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha

Bacterial kidney disease (BKD) caused by Renibacterium salmoninarum (Rs) occurs nearly worldwide where wild or cultured salmonid fishes are present. Control of BKD is confounded by its two modes of transmission, horizontal (fish-to-fish) and vertical (from female parent to progeny via the eggs). A highly successful BKD control strategy employed in Pacific Northwest hatcheries culturing spring Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) includes: (1) injecting pre-spawning adults with a macrolide antibiotic to improve survival and reduce Rs infection levels, (2) broodstock culling of highly infected females and (3) improved fish husbandry. However, the future availability of the injectable macrolide antibiotic (erythromycin) used for adults is uncertain. This drug shortage has resulted in an urgent need to identify a replacement injectable antibiotic to ensure continued successful control of BKD. The research conducted was intended to provide information for addressing this need via preliminary tests of the safety and efficacy of a new macrolide antibiotic, injectable tulathromycin, which is sold under the trade name DRAXXIN® (Zoetis Animal Health). A long-term goal is to reduce or eliminate the use of antibiotic treatment in spring Chinook salmon hatchery culture. Non-treated females were included in the study to provide empirical data in support of this goal. A subset of pre-spawning spring Chinook salmon at Leavenworth NFH was injected on July 10, 2014 with DRAXXIN at 5 mg per kg body weight (31 fish, left pelvic fin clip). Another subset of females (30 fish, right pelvic fin clip) was left uninjected. The surviving fish (31 DRAXXIN-injected fish and 28 uninjected fish) were spawned between August 18 and September 2, 2014. Although there were apparent trends toward higher pre-spawn survival and lower Rs prevalence and levels for the DRAXXIN-injected females in comparison to the uninjected females, the differences were not statistically significant for any of the Rs assays used (P > 0.05). Based on USFWS enzyme-linked immnosorbent assay (ELISA) test results of kidney tissue samples from the spawning females, egg lots from DRAXXIN-injected and uninjected females were assigned to Rs vertical transmission risk groups (low, medium or high). A subset of 220 eyed eggs from each female was transferred to the Western Fisheries Research Center (USGS) on October 8, 2014, hatched and reared until the study was terminated on September 22, 2015. The study results provided no evidence that DRAXXIN injection of adult female Chinook salmon affected their fecundity, egg eye-up, or survival and growth of progeny fry. There was little evidence of Rs infection in progeny of either DRAXXIN-injected or uninjected females, so the effect of DRAXXIN injection on vertical transmission of Rs could not be assessed. To adequately evaluate the efficacy of DRAXXIN injection for reducing Rs vertical transmission to progeny, additional studies should be conducted with larger numbers of DRAXXIN-injected and uninjected Chinook salmon females with a greater range of Rs levels.

Report↗

Order and diversity in the modes of circum-Pacific earthquake recurrence

Recurrence characteristics of great circum-Pacific earthquakes and determinations of spatial distribution of seismic moment release are surveyed in order to delineate their general features and relate earthquake slip distribution to models of recurrent rupture. As noted by others, the pattern of moment release is typically very irregular, with strong concentrations in a few isolated regions of a much larger aftershock zone. Despite this complexity, rupture nucleation is notably systematic, with mainshock epicenter showing a strong tendency to locate in or immediately adjacent to identified regions of high moment release. This generalization suggests that earthquake recurrence is more likely to be controlled by maximum rather than average fault slip. Well-documented case histories from twelve plate boundary regions demonstrate that seismic strain release tends to be temporally well-ordered, while source dimensions, slip, and cumulative moment release vary considerably from cycle to cycle. On none of the segments studied do earthquakes consistently recur in nearly identical events. Instead, individual great earthquakes differ significantly from cycle to cycle or rerupture takes place in a sequence of two or more smaller events. Despite these differences the duration of the seismic cycle is approximately uniform. Furthermore, when strain release occurs in a sequence of large earthquakes, these events take place towards the end of the cycle and occur with increasing rupture length and magnitude. These ordered and irregular features of earthquake recurrence argue for the existence of corresponding elements on plate boundary faults. The ordered characteristics are identified with zones of concentrated moment release that slip comparable amounts in each cycle and have high shear strength. The irregular features are associated with intervening weaker regions that move in response to the stress concentration of dynamic rupture and slip by differing amounts in each event. Although these mechanistic associations are indirect and tentative, the features of recurrent behavior documented here have implications for long-term earthquake hazard assessment that are not dependent on the models proposed to explain them. Chief among these are the cycle-to-cycle differences among gap-filling events and the absence of shocks that fill major slip-deficient regions early in the seismic cycle.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗

Frequency-dependent Lg Q within the continental United States

Frequency-dependent crustal attenuation (1/ Q ) is determined for seven distinct physiographic/tectonic regions of the continental United States using high-quality Lg waveforms recorded on broadband stations in the frequency band 0.5 to 16 Hz. Lg attenuation is determined from time-domain amplitude measurements in one-octave frequency bands centered on the frequencies 0.75, 1.0, 3.0, 6.0, and 12.0 Hz. Modeling errors are determined using a delete-j jackknife resampling technique. The frequency-dependent quality factor is modeled in the form of Q = Q 0 f η. Regions were initially selected based on tectonic provinces but were eventually limited and adjusted to maximize ray path coverage in each area. Earthquake data was recorded on several different networks and constrained to events occurring within the crust (<40 km depth) and at least m b 3.5 in size. A singular value decomposition inversion technique was applied to the data to simultaneously solve for source and receiver terms along with Q for each region at specific frequencies. The lowest crustal Q was observed in northern and southern California where Q is described by the functions Q = 152(±37) f 0.72(±0.16) and Q = 105(±26) f 0.67(±0.16) , respectively. The Basin and Range Province, Pacific Northwest, and Rocky Mountain states also display lower Q and a strong frequency dependence characterized by the functions Q = 200(±40) f 0.68(±0.12) , Q = 152(±49) f 0.76(±0.18) , and Q = 166(±37) f 0.61(±0.14) , respectively. In contrast, in the central and northeast United States Q functions are Q = 640(±225) f 0.344(±0.22) and Q = 650(±143) f 0.36(±0.14) , respectively, show a high crustal Q and a weaker frequency dependence. These results improve upon previous Lg modeling by subdividing the United States into smaller, distinct tectonic regions and using significantly more data that provide improved constraints on frequency-dependent attenuation and errors. A detailed attenuation map of the continental United States can provide significant input into hazard map mitigation. Both scattering and intrinsic attenuation mechanisms are likely to play a comparable role in the frequency range considered in the study.

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America↗

Reducing risk from lahar hazards: Concepts, case studies, and roles for scientists

Lahars are rapid flows of mud-rock slurries that can occur without warning and catastrophically impact areas more than 100 km downstream of source volcanoes. Strategies to mitigate the potential for damage or loss from lahars fall into four basic categories: (1) avoidance of lahar hazards through land-use planning; (2) modification of lahar hazards through engineered protection structures; (3) lahar warning systems to enable evacuations; and (4) effective response to and recovery from lahars when they do occur. Successful application of any of these strategies requires an accurate understanding and assessment of the hazard, an understanding of the applicability and limitations of the strategy, and thorough planning. The human and institutional components leading to successful application can be even more important: engagement of all stakeholders in hazard education and risk-reduction planning; good communication of hazard and risk information among scientists, emergency managers, elected officials, and the at-risk public during crisis and non-crisis periods; sustained response training; and adequate funding for risk-reduction efforts. This paper reviews a number of methods for lahar-hazard risk reduction, examines the limitations and tradeoffs, and provides real-world examples of their application in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and in other volcanic regions of the world. An overriding theme is that lahar-hazard risk reduction cannot be effectively accomplished without the active, impartial involvement of volcano scientists, who are willing to assume educational, interpretive, and advisory roles to work in partnership with elected officials, emergency managers, and vulnerable communities.

Journal of Applied Volcanology↗

Detecting hidden volcanic explosions from Mt. Cleveland Volcano, Alaska with infrasound and ground-couples airwaves

In Alaska, where many active volcanoes exist without ground-based instrumentation, the use of techniques suitable for distant monitoring is pivotal. In this study we report regional-scale seismic and infrasound observations of volcanic activity at Mt. Cleveland between December 2011 and August 2012. During this period, twenty explosions were detected by infrasound sensors as far away as 1827 km from the active vent, and ground-coupled acoustic waves were recorded at seismic stations across the Aleutian Arc. Several events resulting from the explosive disruption of small lava domes within the summit crater were confirmed by analysis of satellite remote sensing data. However, many explosions eluded initial, automated, analyses of satellite data due to poor weather conditions. Infrasound and seismic monitoring provided effective means for detecting these hidden events. We present results from the implementation of automatic infrasound and seismo-acoustic eruption detection algorithms, and review the challenges of real-time volcano monitoring operations in remote regions. We also model acoustic propagation in the Northern Pacific, showing how tropospheric ducting effects allow infrasound to travel long distances across the Aleutian Arc. The successful results of our investigation provide motivation for expanded efforts in infrasound monitoring across the Aleutians and contributes to our knowledge of the number and style of vulcanian eruptions at Mt. Cleveland.

Alaska↗

Nest survival is influenced by parental behaviour and heterospecifics in a mixed-species colony

Studies of avian nest success often focus on examining influences of variation in environmental and seasonal factors. However, in-depth evaluations can also incorporate variation in individual incubation behaviour to further advance our understanding of avian reproductive ecology. We examined these relationships in colonially nesting Black-crowned Night-Herons Nycticorax nycticorax using intensive video-monitoring methods to quantify incubation behaviours. We modelled nest survival as a function of both extrinsic factors and incubation behaviours over a 3-year period (2010&ndash;12) on Alcatraz Island, USA. Model-averaged parameter estimates indicated that nest survival increased as a function of greater incubation constancy (% of time spent incubating eggs within a 24-h period), and average daily precipitation throughout the nesting stage. Common Ravens Corvus corax are the only known nest predator of Night-Herons on Alcatraz Island, as on many other coastal Pacific islands. We also investigated the effects of heterospecific nesting of California Gulls Larus californicus and Western Gulls Larus occidentalis in a mixed-species colony with Night-Herons, based on nesting proximity data collected over a 2-year period (2011&ndash;12). This second analysis indicated that, in addition to incubation behaviours, nesting heterospecifics are an important factor for explaining variation in Night-Heron nest survival. However, contrary to our original expectation, we found that Night-Herons experienced increased nest survival with increasing distance from gull colony boundaries. These results may apply to other areas with multiple colonial nesting species and similar predator communities and climatic patterns.

Ibis↗

Descriptors of natural thermal regimes in streams and their responsiveness to change in the Pacific Northwest of North America

1. Temperature is a major driver of ecological processes in stream ecosystems, yet the dynamics of thermal regimes remain poorly described. Most work has focused on relatively simple descriptors that fail to capture the full range of conditions that characterise thermal regimes of streams across seasons or throughout the year. 2. To more completely describe thermal regimes, we developed several descriptors of magnitude, variability, frequency, duration and timing of thermal events throughout a year. We evaluated how these descriptors change over time using long-term (1979–2009), continuous temperature data from five relatively undisturbed cold-water streams in western Oregon, U.S.A. In addition to trends for each descriptor, we evaluated similarities among them, as well as patterns of spatial coherence, and temporal synchrony. 3. Using different groups of descriptors, we were able to more fully capture distinct aspects of the full range of variability in thermal regimes across space and time. A subset of descriptors showed both higher coherence and synchrony and, thus, an appropriate level of responsiveness to examine evidence of regional climatic influences on thermal regimes. Most notably, daily minimum values during winter–spring were the most responsive descriptors to potential climatic influences. 4. Overall, thermal regimes in streams we studied showed high frequency and low variability of cold temperatures during the cold-water period in winter and spring, and high frequency and high variability of warm temperatures during the warm-water period in summer and autumn. The cold and warm periods differed in the distribution of events with a higher frequency and longer duration of warm events in summer than cold events in winter. The cold period exhibited lower variability in the duration of events, but showed more variability in timing. 5. In conclusion, our results highlight the importance of a year-round perspective in identifying the most responsive characteristics or descriptors of thermal regimes in streams. The descriptors we provide herein can be applied across hydro-ecological regions to evaluate spatial and temporal patterns in thermal regimes. Evaluation of coherence and synchrony of different components of thermal regimes can facilitate identification of impacts of regional climate variability or local human or natural influences.

Freshwater Biology↗