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A high-resolution 3-D P-wave velocity structure of the south-central Cascadia subduction zone from wide-angle shore-crossing seismic refraction data

This study addresses a significant gap in understanding the features of the south-central Cascadia subduction zone, a region characterized by complex geologic, tectonic, and seismic transitions both offshore and onshore. Unlike other segments along this margin, this area lacks a 3-D velocity model to delineate its structural and geological features on a fine scale. To address this void, we developed a high-resolution 3-D P-wave velocity model using active source seismic data from ship-borne seismic shots recorded on temporary and permanent onshore seismic stations and ocean-bottom seismometers. Our model shows velocity variations across the region with distinct velocity-depth profiles for the Siletz, Franciscan, and Klamath terranes in the overlying plate. We identified seaward dipping high-velocity static backstops associated with the Siletz and Klamath terranes, situated near the shoreline and further inland, respectively. Regions of reduced crustal velocity are associated with crustal faults. Moreover, there is significant along-strike depth variation in the subducting slab, which is about 4 km deeper near the thick, dense Siletz terrane and becomes shallower near the predominantly less-dense Franciscan terrane. This highlights a sudden tectonic and geologic transition at the southern boundary of the Siletz terrane. Our velocity model also indicates slightly increased hydration, though still minimal, in both the oceanic crust and the upper mantle of the subducting plate compared to other parts of the margin.

British Columbia, California, Oregon, Washington

A generalized deep learning model to detect and classify volcano seismicity

Volcano seismicity is often detected and classified based on its spectral properties. However, the wide variety of volcano seismic signals and increasing amounts of data make accurate, consistent, and efficient detection and classification challenging. Machine learning (ML) has proven very effective at detecting and classifying tectonic seismicity, particularly using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and leveraging labeled datasets from regional seismic networks. Progress has been made applying ML to volcano seismicity, but efforts have typically been focused on a single volcano and are often hampered by the limited availability of training data. We build on the method of Tan et al. [2024] ( 10.1029/2024JB029194 ) to generalize a spectrogram-based CNN termed the VOlcano Infrasound and Seismic Spectrogram Neural Network ( VOISS-Net ) to detect and classify volcano seismicity at any volcano. We use a diverse training dataset of over 270,000 spectrograms from multiple volcanoes: Pavlof, Semisopochnoi, Tanaga, Takawangha, and Redoubt volcanoes\replaced (Alaska, USA); Mt. Etna (Italy); and Kīlauea, Hawai`i (USA). These volcanoes present a wide range of volcano seismic signals, source-receiver distances, and eruption styles. Our generalized VOISS-Net model achieves an accuracy of 87 % on the test set. We apply this model to continuous data from several volcanoes and eruptions included within and outside our training set, and find that multiple types of tremor, explosions, earthquakes, long-period events, and noise are successfully detected and classified. The model occasionally confuses transient signals such as earthquakes and explosions and misclassifies seismicity not included in the training dataset (e.g. teleseismic earthquakes). We envision the generalized VOISS-Net model to be applicable in both research and operational volcano monitoring settings.

Volcanica

Potential warming-induced changes in stream water sources between proglacial and non-glacial streams, south-central Alaska

Snow and ice-melt are essential for global water resources. Rising air temperatures are causing vegetation encroachment and shrubification of previously snow- and ice-covered landscapes, and precipitation regimes are changing. Collectively, these changes will likely affect the hydrology of mountain environments, although the exact ways in which the hydrology will change are poorly understood. Changing source waters (i.e., the proportion of ice-melt, snowmelt, rain and groundwater) affect the timing and magnitude of streamflow and affect stream temperature, sediment, solute and nutrient fluxes. We investigate spatial and seasonal source water contributions across sub-watersheds of the Nellie Juan River watershed on Alaska's Kenai Peninsula, which differ in glacier cover, elevation and land cover, using a space-for-time approach. To do so, we use a three-endmember mixing model to quantify the contribution of rain, snow/ice-melt and deep groundwater. We show that snow/ice-melt peak later in proglacial streams compared to non-glacial streams. Endmember contributions in non-glacial streams generally vary with elevation and season. We also found that groundwater is a major contributor to streamflow across the study area, contributing between 12% and 47% seasonally, and may become increasingly important as snowpack and ice-melt decrease. This research characterises the shift from a glacierised to a deglaciating landscape through the lens of source water contribution. Broadly, these findings could help improve understanding of how water resources in glacierised watersheds are affected by warming air temperatures.

Alaska

Ground-water quality near an inactive landfill and sludge-spreading area, Tallahassee, Florida

Ground-water quality of a 120-acre area encompassing an inactive landfill southwest of Tallahassee, Florida, was assessed by installing and sampling 21 monitoring wells. Sludge from a municipal sewage-treatment plant was also applied to the land surface near the landfill site. Water samples were collected from the 21 monitoring wells from June 1987 through September 1990 and analyzed for concentrations of major ions, nitrogen species, trace metals, field measurements, and more than 140 organic constituents. Water quality in the Upper Floridan aquifer at the study site was compared to background water quality in other areas of Leon County. Ground-water quality of the study site was evaluated by the location of wells sampled in relation to the landfill and the sludge-spreading areas. Results of nonparametric statistical analysis indicated that potassium and nitrite plus nitrate as nitrogen concentrations in water samples from wells completed in the Upper Floridan aquifer at the study site were significantly different at the 5 percent probability level from those in samples from background wells completed in this aquifer in Leon County. Median potassium concentrations were 0.4 mg/L (milligrams per liter) in water from wells at the study site and 0.7 mg/L in water from background wells in Leon County. Median nitrite plus nitrate concentrations were 6.48 mg/L in water samples from wells at the study site and 0.51 mg/L in water samples from background wells. Graphical comparison of the water quality characteristics in water from six categories of wells; upgradient, landfill, adjacent to the landfill, downgradient onsite, downgradient offsite, and background Leon County, indicated that sodium, bicarbonate, sulfate, iron, manganese, and dissolved solids concentrations and specific conductance values were highest within the landfill. Upgradient and downgradient well categories include wells in areas affected by sludge spreading. Localized reducing conditions were indicated in a downgradient area by median iron concentrations of 930 and 30 ug/L (micrograms per liter) in samples from wells only 5 feet apart. Nitrite plus nitrate concentrations were lowest in water from wells in the landfill compared to water from the other categories. Concentrations of most trace elements and organic compounds were mostly below detection limits, although State maximum contaminant levels of 1 ug/L for benzene and vinyl chloride and 3 ug/L for tetrachloroethene were exceeded in 14 samples. Concentrations of sodium, potassium, chloride, sulfate, nitrite plus nitrate, total organic and ammonia nitrogen, and ammonia nitrogen in ground water were statistically analyzed in areas affected by sludge-spreading and other areas. Only nitrite plus nitrate and chloride concentrations were significantly different between the two areas. Median nitrite plus nitrate and chloride concentrations in sludge-spreading areas were 6.9 mg/L and 2.9 mg/L, respectively, compared to 1.1 mg/L and 1.8 mg/L in other areas.

Florida

Multi-site evaluation of a postfire debris-flow runout forecast method

Postfire debris flows pose a hazard to human life, property, and infrastructure when they travel from steep source areas to urbanized alluvial fans or other developed areas. Existing methods for rapid (<1 week) postfire debris-flow hazard assessment document the increase in the likelihood and size of debris flows as the magnitude of high-intensity rain necessary to initiate debris flows increases but do not indicate the extent of downstream debris-flow runout. Although many models for the simulation of debris-flow motion are available, there is no established approach for using these models to delineate locations susceptible to postfire debris-flow runout that (a) is feasible to use at the spatial scale of an entire fire; (b) is appropriate for runout onto unconfined areas; (c) reproduces observed relations between runout and rainfall intensity; and (d) characterizes inherent uncertainty in runout, even without spatiotemporally variable rainfall. We propose and evaluate a method for generating postfire debris-flow runout hazard maps that has all the above qualities. Selection of case studies prioritized events triggered by a range of rainfall intensities, locations within and outside of southern California, and observed runout onto unconfined topography. Qualitative and quantitative assessment of performance for four events indicate that simulation results broadly match observations albeit with some discrepancies at a scale larger than structure or land parcel level (approximately 20-m by 20-m). The method may be used to identify potentially hazardous areas immediately following a fire and to provide approximate runout forecasts when a storm is imminent.

Arizona, California

Morphodynamics of snow barchans at Concordia Station, Antarctica

Barchans are crescent-shaped dunes that form and migrate under unimodal wind regimes in areas of low sediment availability. While sand barchan morphodynamics has been extensively studied, snow barchans remain poorly documented. Here, using hourly time-series images taken near Concordia Station, Antarctica, we measure the sizes (lengths 0.3 m to 13 m, widths 0.4 m to 7.5 m) and migration rates (0.13 m h −1 to 3.5 m h −1 ) of 44 populations of snow barchans during 2017–2022. We compare this dataset with established height–velocity and length-width relationships for sand barchans in both air and water. Our results show that snow barchans follow the same scaling as sand barchans, allowing us to estimate a characteristic sintering (bonding of snow particles) time of about one day. This sintering process limits the size of snow barchans when active, reduces their aspect ratios, and, once wind falls below the transport threshold, explains their preservation over a few years. During wind events, migrating barchans are too small to maintain their shape and orientation, making them highly responsive to fluctuations in wind direction. Thus, studying snow barchans improves understanding of an elementary bedform encountered in multiple environments and also of the surface properties of snow on different timescales, offering insights into snow accumulation and wind-blown snow in ice cores.

Geomorphica

The feasibility of using lidar-derived digital elevation models for gravity data reduction

Gravity data require submeter elevation accuracy for data processing, and differential global navigation satellite system (dGNSS) equipment is commonly used to acquire three-dimensional positional data to achieve such accuracy. However, lidar (light detection and ranging) data are commonly used to develop digital elevation models (DEMs) of Earth’s surface. Therefore, using elevations from lidar-derived DEMs for gravity-data acquisition and reduction may improve field efficiency and reduce cost. This study examines the feasibility of using DEMs for gravity-data reduction by comparing dGNSS elevation data from 435 gravity stations in Michigan, Wyoming, and Colorado with their respective DEM elevations. The results show that the average difference between DEM and dGNSS elevations is 13 centimeters (cm) and that 93 percent of those differences are less than 50 cm, even in areas with steep terrain. Because an elevation discrepancy of 50 cm corresponds to an error of roughly 0.1 milligals (mGal) in the simple Bouguer gravity anomaly, the results suggest that lidar-derived DEMs are a viable source for acquiring the elevation data needed to process gravity data, thus improving both the cost and efficiency of data collection for regional surveys where an accuracy of less than 1.0 mGal is desired.

Open-File Report

Risk implications of Poisson assumptions and declustering inferred from a fully time-dependent earthquake forecast

We use the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model, which is fully time-dependent in terms of including spatiotemporal clustering, to evaluate the effects of the Poisson assumption and declustering algorithms on statewide loss exceedance curves. The model is simulation based, meaning it produces synthetic catalogs that exhibit realistic behavior with respect to aftershocks and multi-fault earthquakes. A Poisson version of the model was constructed by randomizing event times, and the influence of two declustering algorithms was examined as well. We demonstrate that the probability of one-or-more loss exceedances (occurrence exceedance probability) is greater for the Poisson model because it has fewer seismically quiet time windows. The discrepancy between dollar loss estimates with a given exceedance probability is up to a factor of 32% but varies depending on the loss threshold (the x-axis value) and the forecast duration (we examined a range between 24 h and 50 years, with the discrepancy for the latter being negligible). We discuss how the one-or-more loss exceedance metric is questionable because it ignores all but the maximum loss experienced in each timeframe. An alternative metric based on total aggregate loss in each time window (aggregate exceedance probability) was therefore also examined, for which the Poisson model again implies higher risk at intermediate losses but lower risk at higher losses (because large, triggered events now contribute to total aggregate losses for the fully time-dependent model). We also argue that declustering is not a scientifically justifiable way to deal with full time dependence, in agreement with a chorus from other recent studies. It is difficult to draw generally applicable conclusions from our study, in part because application specific details will likely be important, but our results highlight how full time dependence can be reckoned with once authoritative forecast models are made available.

California

Teach me how to pycap: A high-capacity well decision support tool using analytical solutions in Python

Regulatory agencies in humid temperate environments rely on timely evaluations of streamflow depletion and drawdown to protect aquatic ecosystems and existing water users. Numerical models offer detailed insights, but their complexity and time demands often preclude their practical use in rapid decision-making. We present pycap-dss, an open-source Python package that implements a suite of analytical solutions for estimating streamflow depletion and drawdown. The tool supports superposition of multiple wells and time-varying pumping, enabling cumulative impact assessments in situations with multiple wells and streams. The software is modular and extensible, allowing users to interchange solutions or add new analytical methods. A YAML-based configuration supports batch processing of multiple wells, and an optional AnalysisProject class facilitates integration with regulatory workflows. Rigorous unit and regression testing ensures computational reliability, and continuous integration supports ongoing development. We demonstrate deterministic examples of drawdown where multiple solutions are readily compared and streamflow depletion with multiple wells in the Central Sands region of Wisconsin. We also show the value of Monte Carlo analyses of streamflow depletion in the same Central Sands example, leveraging computational efficiency to evaluate the uncertainty of individual and cumulative streamflow depletion calculations from over 200 high-capacity wells.

Wisconsin

Selected water-quality data from the Cedar River and Cedar Rapids well fields, Cedar Rapids, Iowa, 2017–22

The Cedar River alluvial aquifer is the source of drinking water in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Production wells are completed in the alluvial aquifer approximately 40 to 80 feet below land surface. The City of Cedar Rapids and the U.S. Geological Survey have studied the groundwater-flow system and water quality of the aquifer in the vicinity of Cedar Rapids since 1992. Results of these studies documented hydrologic conditions, water quality, and geochemistry of the alluvial aquifer and interactions with the Cedar River. Water-quality samples were collected for studies involving well field monitoring, trends, source-water protection, groundwater geochemistry, surface-water–groundwater interaction, and pesticides in groundwater and surface water. Water quality was analyzed for dissolved major ions (boron, bromide, calcium, chloride, fluoride, iron, magnesium, manganese, potassium, silica, sodium, sulfate, and total dissolved solids), dissolved nutrients (ammonia as nitrogen, ammonia plus organic nitrogen as nitrogen, nitrite plus nitrate as nitrogen, nitrite as nitrogen, orthophosphate as phosphorus, and phosphorus), dissolved organic carbon, and selected pesticides. Physical characteristics (alkalinity, dissolved oxygen, pH, specific conductance, and water temperature) were measured on site and recorded for each water sample collected. This report presents the results of routine water-quality data-collection activities from October 2017 through September 2022. Methods of data collection, quality assurance, water-quality analyses, and statistical procedures are presented. Data include the results of water-quality analyses from quarterly sampling from monitoring wells, production wells, two water treatment plants, and the Cedar River at Blairs Ferry Road at Palo, Iowa, streamgage (U.S. Geological Survey station number 05464420), as well as monthly nutrient sampling from the Cedar River and Morgan Creek near Covington, Iowa, streamgage (U.S. Geological Survey station number 05464475).

Iowa

Widespread anhydrite saturation in Laramide-age arc magmas of southwestern USA

Anhydrite is considered a rare mineral phase in magmas, with only ∼33 documented occurrences worldwide. However, anhydrite readily decomposes in the near-surface environment, making it difficult to recognize its former presence in rocks collected at or near Earth’s surface. In such samples, only small anhydrite inclusions fully shielded within other minerals can have survived. During a recent field trip to the southwestern USA, we sampled 17 Laramide-age (ca. 40−80 Ma) magma systems, most of which are associated with porphyry copper deposits. A systematic search for anhydrite inclusions preserved within apatite, amphibole, plagioclase, and quartz phenocrysts in ∼100 rock samples by optical microscopy and Raman spectroscopy revealed that each of these 17 magma systems was at least temporarily anhydrite-saturated. Also, most previously identified magmatic anhydrite-bearing intrusions are associated with porphyry copper deposits, and both intrusive and volcanic rocks containing magmatic anhydrite show high Sr/Y ratios. These observations suggest that anhydrite saturation and porphyry copper formation are linked via magma fractionation at high pressure. Compared to average arc magmas, anhydrite-bearing magmas are unusually oxidized and sulfur-rich and seem to also be unusually water-rich. Hence, our preferred interpretation is that magma generation and/or fractionation at high pressure promotes the formation of superhydrous and oxidized magmas, which in turn promotes high sulfur contents and ultimately the precipitation of anhydrite. The high mineralization potential of these magmas does not need to result from their high sulfur content but could be caused by other properties of high-pressure magmas.

Arizona, New Mexico

Solution-collapse breccia pipe uranium deposits of the southern Colorado Plateau, northwestern Arizona, USA

Some of the highest-grade uranium deposits in the United States occur in breccia pipes that formed by solution and collapse of sedimentary strata, which occur in the southern portion of the Colorado Plateau in northwestern Arizona. The host breccia pipes are up to 1200 m in vertical extent, average about 90 m in diameter, and can cross-cut strata from their base in the Mississippian Redwall Limestone to as stratigraphically high on some plateaus as the Triassic Chinle Formation. These uranium-base metal deposits are up to 600 m thick and formed within the breccia pipes where they transect the Permian Coconino Sandstone, Hermit Formation, and the Esplanade Sandstone. Of the hundreds of breccia pipes identified across this region, only a small percentage are known to contain mineralization. The main uranium ore mineral is uraninite that is intergrown with at least 20 base-metal sulfide minerals, which contribute Fe, Cu, Co, As, Pb, Zn, Ni, and Ag to the deposits. This study considered regional stratigraphy, sulfur isotope systematics, mineralogy, in situ dating, and compilation and analysis of previous work on the deposits. A comprehensive deposit model has not been published for these deposits. This analysis identified new additions to update the deposit model for these unusual, possibly unique deposits. Proposed modifications to the model include: (1) the source, mechanisms, timing of the base-metal sulfide mineral assemblages, and (2) the source, mechanism, and timing of the uranium mineralization. Sulfide and uranium deposition are shown to be separate mineralization events. The study proposes the possible role of gypsum as a source of sulfur for the sulfide minerals in the deposits. Groundwaters carrying uranium encountered the preexisting sulfides in breccia pipes, reducing the uranyl ions, and precipitating U oxide (as uraninite). Analysis of the regional stratigraphy recognized that numerous beds of gypsum are in the strata that lie only tens of meters above the breccia pipe deposits. In the breccia pipe region, if these stratigraphic units (Toroweap and Kaibab Formations) do not contain gypsum layers then the underlying pipes are not mineralized; where these Permian gypsum layers do occur, breccia pipes can host mineralization. This new understanding should be useful in identifying the prospective region for mineralized pipes.

Arizona

Tectonic controls on volcanism and associated hydrothermal activity in a sediment-dominated mid-ocean ridge; Escanaba Trough

Mid-ocean ridges, the Earth's most extensive volcanic system, exhibit unique characteristics in sediment-dominant environments. Thick sediment cover insulates the crust and channels fluid along pathways that can lead to the formation of distinct crustal alteration patterns, exceptionally large mineral deposits, and specialized chemosynthetic ecosystems. This study presents an interdisciplinary investigation into the tectonics of the Escanaba Trough, a heavily sedimented axial valley at the southern Gorda Ridge in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. A primary challenge in such environments is overcoming the masking effect of thick sediments on basement structures that control magmatic and hydrothermal activity. We address this by employing three-dimensional (3D) magnetic modeling of high-resolution near-seafloor magnetic data collected by an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV). The 2022 surveys with AUV Sentry provided data for 3D magnetic susceptibility models, refining our understanding of the geometry of sub-sediment laccoliths/saucer-shaped sills and hydrothermal alteration. In conjunction with a new 1:100,000 scale lithostratigraphic map, we outline the tectonic controls on the emplacement of Escanaba Trough's three main volcanic centers, characterize the geometry of its spreading segments, and provide volumetric data on the distribution of sub-sediment volcanism in the southern Gorda Ridge.

Escanaba Trough, Pacific Ocean

Ground-water flow in the surficial aquifer system and potential movement of contaminants from selected waste-disposal sites at Cecil Field Naval Air Station, Jacksonville, Florida

As part of the Installation Restoration Program, Cecil Field Naval Air Station, Jacksonville, Florida, is considering remedialaction alternatives to control the possible movement of contaminants from sites that may discharge to the surface. This requires a quantifiable understanding of ground-water flow through the surficial aquifer system and how the system will respond to any future stresses. The geologic units of interest in the study area consist of sediments of Holocene to Miocene age that extend from land surface to the base of the Hawthorn Group. The hydrogeology within the study area was determined from gamma-ray and geologists' logs. Ground-water flow through the surficial aquifer system was simulated with a seven-layer, finite-difference model that extended vertically from the water table to the top of the Upper Floridan aquifer. Results from the calibrated model were based on a long-term recharge rate of 6 inches per year, which fell in the range of 4 to 10 inches per year, estimated using stream hydrograph separation methods. More than 80 percent of ground-water flow circulates within the surficial-sand aquifer, which indicates that most contaminant movement also can be expected to move through the surficial-sand aquifer alone. The surficial-sand aquifer is the uppermost unit of the surficial aquifer system. Particle-tracking results showed that the distances of most flow paths were 1,500 feet or less from a given site to its discharge point. For an assumed effective porosity of 20 percent, typical traveltimes are 40 years or less. At all of the sites investigated, particles released 10 feet below the water table had shorter traveltimes than those released 40 feet below the water table. Traveltimes from contaminated sites to their point of discharge ranged from 2 to 300 years. The contributing areas of the domestic supply wells are not very extensive. The shortest traveltimes for particles to reach the domestic supply wells from their respective contributing areas ranged from 70 to 200 years.

Florida

Utility of an instantaneous salt dilution method for measuring streamflow in headwater streams

Streamflow records are biased toward large streams and rivers, yet small headwater streams are often the focus of ecological research in response to climate change. Conventional flow measurement instruments such as acoustic Doppler velocimeters (ADVs) do not perform well during low-flow conditions in small streams, truncating the development of rating curves during critical baseflow conditions dominated by groundwater inflow. We revisited an instantaneous solute tracer injection method as an alternative to ADVs based on paired measurements to compare their precision, efficiency, and feasibility within headwater streams across a range of flow conditions. We show that the precision of discharge measurements using salt dilution by slug injection and ADV methods were comparable overall, but salt dilution was more precise during the lowest flows and required less time to implement. Often, headwater streams were at or below the depth threshold where ADV measurements could even be attempted and transects were complicated by coarse bed material and cobbles. We discuss the methodological benefits and limitations of salt dilution by slug injection and conclude that the method could facilitate a proliferation of streamflow observation across headwater stream networks that are highly undersampled compared to larger streams.

Virginia

S/P amplitude ratios with Distributed Acoustic Sensing and application to earthquake focal mechanisms

Distributed acoustic sensing (DAS), which transforms a fiber optic cable into an array of high frequency strainmeters, has the potential to help us characterize earthquakes with a dense sampling of measurements. While earthquake focal mechanisms are frequently determined using P -wave polarities and S / P amplitude ratios with inertial seismometers, the dense sampling of DAS over potentially large portions of the focal sphere can aid our solutions. Here, we consider ∼200 regional earthquakes and thousands of S / P measurements on a DAS cable colocated with a network of inertial seismometers near Arcata, California. We demonstrate the S / P ratio measurements made on DAS are similar to those made on the inertial seismometers and can be used to constrain focal mechanism solutions.

California

Groundwater budget for the Mountain Home area, southern Idaho, 2022–23

The U.S. Geological Survey, with funding from the Idaho Department of Water Resources, developed a groundwater budget for the Mountain Home area in southern Idaho for irrigation year 2023 (November 1, 2022–October 31, 2023). This study focused on the water balance across the Cinder Cone Butte Critical Groundwater Area (CGWA), Mountain Home Groundwater Management Area (GWMA), and the rest of the study area (RoSA), compiling data from various sources, including precipitation records, groundwater level measurements, metered groundwater pumpage data, surface water diversions and evapotranspiration (ET) estimates derived from remote sensing satellite imagery, and ground-based reference data. Key inflow components included recharge from applied surface water irrigation (which incorporates incidental recharge from irrigation practices and conveyance losses), estimated tributary streamflow, and estimated mountain block recharge. The key outflow components were groundwater pumpage for irrigation, municipal, industrial, and domestic uses, and ET. Recharge from applied irrigation and mountain block recharge were the largest inflows, and groundwater pumpage for irrigation was the largest outflow. The CGWA had a positive groundwater budget residual of 2,170 acre-feet (acre-ft), which contrasts with observed long-term groundwater level declines and historical trends of storage depletion. This positive residual is likely associated with unquantified outflows, including lateral groundwater flow out of the subregion, or other complexities, such as overestimated tributary contributions relative to the actual recharge for the 2023 water budget. The GWMA exhibited a positive residual of 56,563 acre-ft, primarily owing to recharge from applied surface water irrigation and areal recharge during a wetter-than-average year, which allowed irrigation entities to deliver more water from in-basin and out-of-basin reservoirs. The RoSA showed a large positive residual of 124,933 acre-ft. The interpretation of these positive residuals must account for significant uncertainties, including estimations of areal recharge, tributary streamflow (particularly losses and diversions), ET, the volume of surface water loss to the Snake River, lateral groundwater flows between subregions and across study area boundaries, and the unquantified groundwater discharge to the Snake River. These uncertainties, in combination with the complex hydrogeologic controls on water movement and limitations of remotely sensed data, directly affect the accuracy of water availability assessments. Future data collection efforts would help reduce these uncertainties and support water resource management decisions in the Mountain Home area. Key efforts could include installing additional streamflow gaging stations (particularly to quantify tributary losses and gains and surface water losses to the Snake River), improving groundwater pumpage metering, and validating remotely sensed ET data with ground-based measurements. Furthermore, to better quantify unrepresented or highly uncertain fluxes, focused investigations on groundwater discharge to the Snake River, lateral groundwater flows between subregions and across study area boundaries, and a more robust determination of the actual influence and volume of mountain block recharge would help refine future water availability assessments for the Mountain Home area.

Idaho

Water use across the conterminous United States, water years 2010–20

Withdrawals of water for human use are fundamental to the evaluation of the Nation’s water availability. This chapter provides an analysis of public supply, crop irrigation, and thermoelectric power water use for the conterminous United States (CONUS) during water years 2010–20. These three categories account for about 90 percent of water withdrawals in the Nation. The values presented here are based on modeling approaches that estimate water use at temporal (monthly) and spatial scales (12-digit hydrologic unit code—small watersheds sized 50–100 square kilometers) compatible for integration into a broader national assessment of water availability. Models also provide an understanding of factors that influence water use. An estimated 244,817 million gallons per day (Mgal/d; 28,677 million cubic meters per month [Mm 3 /mo]) were withdrawn on average within the CONUS during water years 2010–20 from fresh water and saline water for crop irrigation, public supply, and thermoelectric power, with shares of 43, 14.5, and 42.5 percent for each of these categories, respectively. In the same period, estimated withdrawals and consumptive use (1) for public supply were 35,400 and 4,219 Mgal/d (4,081 and 486 Mm 3 /mo), respectively; (2) for crop irrigation were 105,497 and 75,698 Mgal/d (12,147 and 8,716 Mm 3 /mo), respectively; and (3) for thermoelectric power from fresh water were 82,656 and 2,904 Mgal/d (9,952 and 345 Mm 3 /mo), respectively. Withdrawals for these categories of water use are highly spatially variable, with western States dominated by crop irrigation and eastern States dominated by thermoelectric-power water use. Public supply accounts for the largest percentage of water use in several heavily populated northeastern States. Reliance on groundwater compared to surface water depends on the availability of water sources and the type of water use. For public supply, withdrawals from groundwater are greater than withdrawals from surface water in the Western aggregated hydrologic regions, whereas the balance shifts to more surface water for the rest of the CONUS. In all aggregated hydrologic regions, the predominant source of water for crop irrigation is groundwater. Most thermoelectric power facilities in the eastern half of the CONUS use surface water from freshwater and saline sources; most thermoelectric power facilities in the western half of the CONUS use groundwater.

conterminous United States