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USGS2025

Estimated average annualized tsunami losses for the United States

Tsunami hazards are substantial threats to coastal communities across the United States (U.S.) and its territories. U.S. states and territories collaborate through the National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program (NTHMP) to develop their own tsunami-hazard information for outreach and evacuation planning. An effort to curate this tsunami-hazard information to support comprehensive risk analysis at the national level has not yet been completed. In support of this effort, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) collaborated with the NTHMP, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) starting in 2023. This collaboration included the collection and analysis of existing tsunami hazard data and methods in the U.S. Tsunami subject matter experts identified and selected scientifically defensible methods for estimating the risks to buildings and populations in coastal communities. These efforts may support decision making regarding resilience policies, priorities, strategies and funding levels. Tsunamis can be triggered by earthquakes, subaerial or submarine landslides, volcanic eruptions, glacial calving, near-earth objects, weather or other events. These events can cause severe destruction, injuries, and loss of life due to powerful currents and flooding. Tsunamis pose a substantial threat to the western United States and all U.S. territories, as described below. ■ Hawaii is threatened by distant tsunamis due to its central location in the Pacific Ocean basin and has a history of local events. ■ Alaska, particularly the Aleutian Islands, faces local tsunami threats due to proximity to the Alaska-Aleutian Subduction Zone, as well as distant tsunamis from around the Pacific Ocean basin. ■ The western coast of the U.S. is threatened by distant tsunamis from around the Pacific Ocean basin and local source tsunamis from earthquakes generated within the Cascadia Subduction Zone in the Pacific Northwest. ■ American Samoa faces local tsunami threats from earthquakes generated in the nearby Tonga Trench, as well as distant tsunami threats. ■ Guam and the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands are threatened by local tsunamis from the nearby Mariana Subduction Zone, as well as distant sources from around the Pacific Ocean Basin. ■ Puerto Rico and the United States Virgin Islands are threatened by multiple local and distant tsunami sources, such as the Puerto Rico Trench (PRT), given their location in the complex seismic region of the Caribbean Sea. Several historical events stand out because of their catastrophic impacts. ■ In the Pacific Northwest, the 1700 Cascadia earthquake caused a tsunami that affected coastal Native American communities, though the extent of the damage is not fully documented (Ludwin, et al., 2005). ■ In Puerto Rico, the 1918 earthquake triggered a tsunami that caused $77 million in damage in 2022 dollars and 116 fatalities, primarily along the western coast (Coffman et al., 1982). ■ The 1946 Aleutian Islands earthquake triggered a massive tsunami that devastated Hilo, Hawaii, killing 158 people and resulting in approximately $375 million in damage (adjusted to 2022 dollars) (Fisher et al., 2023). ■ The 1964 Alaska earthquake (M 9.2) generated tsunamis that caused severe destruction in some communities across Alaska, Oregon, and California. This disaster led to a total of 124 fatalities and approximately $2.9 billion in property damage (adjusted to 2022 dollars) (Brocher et al., 2014) (Alaska Science Center, 2024). ■ In American Samoa, a tsunami generated by the 2009 Samoa earthquake (Mw 8.1) caused widespread devastation, resulting in 34 confirmed fatalities (Apatu et al., 2013) and economic losses exceeding $160 million (adjusted to 2022 dollars) (DHS, 2011). More recent events, including the 2010 Chile earthquake, the 2011 Japan earthquake, and the 2022 Tonga volcanic eruption, resulted in millions of dollars in damage to numerous ports and harbors in the U.S. South Pacific territories, Hawaii, and along the west coast of the U.S. (Lynett, et al., 2022) (Wilson, et al., 2013). Since these events, the expansion of the built environment in lowlying areas along the coast has increased the exposure of buildings and people, thereby further escalating community risk from tsunamis. This report provides a comprehensive national assessment of earthquake-generated tsunami risk. It does not include impacts from tsunamis generated by landslides, volcanic eruptions, glacial calving, near-earth objects, weather, or other events. This study is based on the best available hazard data from the U.S. Pacific Coast (California, Oregon and Washington), Alaska, Hawaii, U.S. Pacific Territories (American Samoa, Guam and Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands) and Caribbean Territories (Puerto Rico and United States Virgin Islands). Tsunami risks associated with states along the East Coast, Gulf Coast, and Great Lakes are not included in this study because Hazus 6.1 software (FEMA 2024a) does not currently include the ability to analyze tsunami risk in those states. Once modeling capabilities and tsunami hazard data become available for additional states, FEMA may incorporate these data into future editions of this study.

Alaska, California, Hawaii Oregon, Washington↗
USGS2024

Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake

On 5 April 2024, 10:23 a.m. local time, a moment magnitude 4.8 earthquake struck Tewksbury Township, New Jersey, about 65 km west of New York City. Millions of people from Virginia to Maine and beyond felt the ground shaking, resulting in the largest number (>180,000) of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) “Did You Feel It?” reports of any earthquake. A team deployed by the Geotechnical Extreme Events Reconnaissance Association and the National Institute of Standards and Technology documented structural and nonstructural damage, including substantial damage to a historic masonry building in Lebanon, New Jersey. The USGS National Earthquake Information Center reported a focal depth of about 5 km, consistent with a lack of signal in Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar data. The focal mechanism solution is strike slip with a substantial thrust component. Neither mechanism’s nodal plane is parallel to the primary northeast trend of geologic discontinuities and mapped faults in the region, including the Ramapo fault. However, many of the relocated aftershocks, for which locations were augmented by temporary seismic deployments, form a cluster that parallels the general northeast trend of the faults. The aftershocks lie near the Tewksbury fault, north of the Ramapo fault.

New Jersey↗
USGS2025

Widespread anhydrite saturation in Laramide-age arc magmas of southwestern USA

Anhydrite is considered a rare mineral phase in magmas, with only ∼33 documented occurrences worldwide. However, anhydrite readily decomposes in the near-surface environment, making it difficult to recognize its former presence in rocks collected at or near Earth’s surface. In such samples, only small anhydrite inclusions fully shielded within other minerals can have survived. During a recent field trip to the southwestern USA, we sampled 17 Laramide-age (ca. 40−80 Ma) magma systems, most of which are associated with porphyry copper deposits. A systematic search for anhydrite inclusions preserved within apatite, amphibole, plagioclase, and quartz phenocrysts in ∼100 rock samples by optical microscopy and Raman spectroscopy revealed that each of these 17 magma systems was at least temporarily anhydrite-saturated. Also, most previously identified magmatic anhydrite-bearing intrusions are associated with porphyry copper deposits, and both intrusive and volcanic rocks containing magmatic anhydrite show high Sr/Y ratios. These observations suggest that anhydrite saturation and porphyry copper formation are linked via magma fractionation at high pressure. Compared to average arc magmas, anhydrite-bearing magmas are unusually oxidized and sulfur-rich and seem to also be unusually water-rich. Hence, our preferred interpretation is that magma generation and/or fractionation at high pressure promotes the formation of superhydrous and oxidized magmas, which in turn promotes high sulfur contents and ultimately the precipitation of anhydrite. The high mineralization potential of these magmas does not need to result from their high sulfur content but could be caused by other properties of high-pressure magmas.

Arizona, New Mexico↗
USGS2026

Evaluating the effects of a multi-modal deterrent on upstream passage by invasive carp and native species

Invasive carp, including Silver Carp ( Hypophthalmichthys molitrix ) and Grass Carp ( Ctenopharyngodon idella ), are increasing their range within the Mississippi River Basin, threatening native fishes and ecosystem function. We conducted a 3-year field test of a multi-modal deterrent that uses sound, bubbles, and light to test its ability to impede upstream passage by invasive carp. The test was performed at a lock and dam on the Cumberland River, Kentucky, USA, using acoustic telemetry to track the movements of Silver Carp, Grass Carp, and several native fish species. When the deterrent was operating, the estimated probability of upstream lock passage was 53% lower (95% CI: 41%–63%) for Silver Carp but 74% higher (95% CI: 3%–190%) for Grass Carp compared to times when the deterrent was not operating. Paddlefish ( Polyodon spathula ) passage was reduced by 43% (95% CI: 71% reduction to 9% increase), although this was not statistically significant. We detected no significant effects on Freshwater Drum ( Aplodinotus grunniens ) or Smallmouth Buffalo ( Ictiobus bubalus ). However, sample sizes were small for these native species, limiting our ability to identify effects. Water temperature, tailwater elevation, and vessel lockages affected passage rates, although this varied among species.

Kentucky↗
USGS2026

Black rails in Baja California

Summarizing records from 1905 to 2025, we document the presence and distribution of the California black rail ( Laterallus jamaicensis coturniculus ) in northwestern México, particularly Baja California and the Colorado River Delta. This subspecies has a restricted distribution in the western U.S. and northwestern México. We found few records over the past century: sparse detections in the early 1900s and an increase in reported records after 2000. Over 120 years, we compiled 35 documented records of California black rail occurrence in Baja California with a minimum reported count of 56 rails. Our call-broadcast survey methods reconfirmed previously occupied sites and documented the species at a previously unreported site. Surveys in the Baja California portion of the Colorado River Delta yielded 20 detections across nine survey events between 2000 and 2022. In April 2003, standardized surveys detected 12 California black rails: 7 in Bahía de San Quintín, 3 in Arroyo San Telmo, and 2 in Arroyo El Rosario. Our recent survey work (2022–2025) recorded maximum monthly counts of 31 detections at Bahía de San Quintín and 15 detections at Estero de Punta Banda, the latter representing a previously undocumented location for the subspecies. These surveys also yielded the first photographic and acoustic documentation of California black rail in México. The contribution of spatial and temporal data provided by citizen science platforms increased our understanding of the subspecies’ distribution. Enforceable protection of this subspecies’ habitat is needed to safeguard its persistence.

Baja California↗
USGS2024

New U-Pb geochronology and geochemistry of Paleozoic metaigneous rocks from western Yukon and eastern Alaska, cross-border synthesis, and implications for tectonic models

The tectonic evolution of and relation between the Yukon-Tanana terrane and the Lake George assemblage, as well as other associated tectonic assemblages in western Yukon and eastern Alaska, have been debated for decades. The Yukon-Tanana terrane is widely considered to be an allochthonous rifted fragment derived from the Laurentian continental margin, whereas the Lake George assemblage and associated assemblages are currently interpreted to be part of the parautochthonous continental margin of western North America (Laurentia). To address these topics, we present 40 new U-Pb zircon ages and 20 new whole-rock geochemical analyses. We incorporate these data into a new compilation of available geological mapping for a large area that straddles the Alaska-Yukon border, together with 34 previously published U-Pb age determinations and an extensive geochemical database of metaigneous rocks from Late Devonian to Early Mississippian and middle to late Permian assemblages in this area. Magmatism in the Lake George assemblage and related assemblages occurred in two pulses from about 371 to 360 and from about 358 to 347 million years ago (Ma); geochemical discrimination diagrams indicate a large crustal component, possibly indicative of arc magmatism, for felsic metaigneous rocks and a range of tectonic environments for mafic rocks. Magmatism in the Fortymile River and related assemblages, and parts of the Nasina assemblage—all parts of the Yukon-Tanana terrane—are mainly Early Mississippian and span a crystallization age range from about 361 to 343 Ma; geochemical discrimination diagrams for these rocks indicate primarily arc geochemical signatures for both mafic and felsic rocks. Middle to late Permian crystallization ages (about 261–253 Ma) are indicated for felsic metaigneous rocks in the Klondike assemblage and some of the felsic metaigneous rocks in the Nasina assemblage. Based on our mapping, we propose the existence of a possible unconformity between the Mississippian and Permian felsic metavolcanic rocks within the Nasina assemblage that is marked by sporadic occurrences of stretched-pebble conglomerate. Our combined database supports the well-established model of a magmatic arc comprising the Fortymile River and Finlayson assemblages of the rifted Yukon-Tanana terrane continental fragment on which a middle to late Permian arc (Klondike assemblage) was later built. The assemblages of the Yukon-Tanana terrane were subsequently intruded by Late Triassic to Early Jurassic granitoids, presumably during reaccretion of the Yukon-Tanana terrane to the continental margin. Permian and Late Triassic to Early Jurassic intrusions have not been mapped in the now structurally lower plate Lake George assemblage; their absence is one of the lines of evidence that have been used to support the parautochthonous, rather than allochthonous, origin of the Lake George assemblage and related assemblages. Our new data, together with previously published ranges of igneous crystallization ages and geochemical tectonic signatures of the Late Devonian to Early Mississippian magmatic rocks in the Lake George assemblage and associated assemblages and in the Fortymile River, Nasina, and correlated assemblages of the Yukon-Tanana terrane, indicate that the currently accepted interpretation of the Lake George assemblage and associated rocks being part of parauthochthonous North America is not the only possible interpretation of this tectonic entity. Approximately half of the dated intrusive rocks in the Lake George assemblage are contemporaneous with the metaigneous rocks of the Yukon-Tanana terrane arc (<361 Ma). We speculate that our approximately 361 Ma U-Pb age for quartz syenite in part of the North American continental margin in south-central Yukon defines the beginning of rifting of the Laurentian margin. Although the currently favored model of prolonged middle Paleozoic subduction and extension in both the Yukon-Tanana terrane and parautochthonous North America allows for simultaneous middle Paleozoic magmatism on both sides of the Slide Mountain Ocean, we now propose an alternative hypothesis in which the Lake George assemblage represents a deeper part of the rifted Yukon-Tanana terrane arc. If this is the case, the absence of Permian and Late Triassic to Early Jurassic arc rocks in the Lake George assemblage could be explained either by the arcs of these ages not being wide enough to have affected the Lake George assemblage or by tectonic displacement of these arc rocks away from the Lake George assemblage. Our approximately 259 Ma U-Pb zircon age and geochemical analyses of metarhyolite in the Seventymile terrane in Alaska, which comprises remnants of the back-arc basin that separated the Yukon-Tanana terrane from the Laurentian continental margin, confirm the presence of a late middle Permian volcanic arc component to the terrane. Our approximately 319 Ma U-Pb zircon age from the Chicken assemblage (as redefined in this study) in eastern Alaska, combined with previously reported fossil ages and a U-Pb zircon age from this assemblage, indicate that it is a Late Mississippian to Early Pennsylvanian arc assemblage. We propose several other relatively young, locally developed arc assemblages outboard of the ancient continental margin of Laurentia that may correlate with the Chicken assemblage, but we consider its origin to remain an enigma.

Alaska↗
USGS2025

Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards

Subaerial rock slopes may generate a tsunami by rapidly moving into the water. Large uncertainty in landslide characteristics propagates into large uncertainty in tsunami hazard, making hazard assessment more difficult for land and emergency managers. Once a potentially tsunamigenic landslide is identified, it may not be clear which landslide characteristics contribute most significantly to uncertainty in the tsunami hazard. Our aim is to document the relative worth of different landslide characteristics (e.g., size, material properties) for reducing uncertainty in landslide-tsunami hazard assessments. Isolating the relative importance of specific landslide characteristics may inform prioritization of data collection and improve efficiency in understanding hazard. To accomplish this, we generated a set of 288 landslide-tsunami simulations in which we systematically varied the size and material properties of possible failure extents at the Barry Arm landslide complex in northwestern Prince William Sound, Alaska, USA. We find that for landslides smaller than the receiving waterbody, the landslide volume has the strongest effect on resulting wave characteristics and thus the highest leverage on reducing uncertainty in tsunami hazard. In contrast, for landslides substantially larger than the waterbody, the duration of rapid movement of the landslide has the highest leverage. Based on our results, we propose a classification scheme for subaerial landslides based on the relative size of the landslide and waterbody. Additionally, our results support the generation of a tsunami height transfer function between existing tide gages and a nearby coastal city. These results have direct implications for the practice of operational early warning.

Alaska↗
USGS2025

Beyond the mangroves: A global synthesis of tidal forested wetland types, drivers and future information opportunities

There is increasing awareness of the global diversity of tidal forested wetlands (TFWs) and their significance in the provision of ecosystem services. These ecosystems, including mangrove forests, tidal freshwater forested wetlands, supratidal forests and transitional forests together span multiple climatic zones, geomorphic settings, and inundation and salinity regimes. We utilise case studies across five continents to demonstrate the state of knowledge among TFWs. Intertidal mangroves are the best-defined of the TFWs thanks to decades of research on their geomorphology, hydrology and ecology across their broad distribution. Non-mangrove forest settings, however, demonstrate more diverse hydrological, biochemical and vegetation conditions. In many cases, non-mangrove forests are situated at upper intertidal or supratidal elevations, where surface waters and groundwater are subject to interactions between tides freshwater inputs. Salinity datasets show variations ranging from tidal freshwater forested wetlands and ‘low-salinity mangroves’ to mesohaline or marine salinities, often with high temporal variability. While the floristic composition of non-mangrove forests vary among biogeographic regions, locally dominant TFW species are commonly distributed beyond the tidal niche into non-tidal wetland and upland forests. This presents challenges for traditional remote sensing approaches to ecosystem mapping, which are mostly lacking for non-mangrove forests. Geomorphic approaches and developments in machine learning offer opportunities to address this.

Preprint↗
USGS2026

Hydrologic variability drives environmental and geospatial relationships in Smallmouth Bass (Micropterus dolomieu) distribution

Hydrologic variation is a primary driver of stream ecosystems. Changing hydrology can lead to assemblage shifts and alterations in suitable habitat for freshwater species. As climate change is predicted to alter flow patterns in addition to increasing water temperatures, insight into relationships between species occupancy, hydrology, and temperature is critical for understanding current and future distributions. We examined how hydrologic variability, temperature, and other environmental variables interact to influence Micropterus dolomieu (Smallmouth Bass) occurrence. We used Spatial Stream Network models, allowing for the incorporation of spatial autocorrelation along streams' unique dendritic network, to examine Smallmouth Bass occupancy across a range of hydrologic variation in the Ozark-Ouachita Interior Highlands, USA. Hydrologic variation was the main driver of Smallmouth Bass occurrence, with occurrence more likely in groundwater streams with low hydrologic variation and high flow permanence. For groundwater streams, occurrence was positively associated with summer stream temperature and negatively associated with annual stream temperature. As variation increased, more variables showed significant relationships with occurrence. Distance metrics were important for all models, however as hydrologic disturbance increased, flow connected distance played a lesser role and stream distance played a greater role. Hydrologic variability was the overarching determinant of Smallmouth Bass occurrence and strongly influenced the predictive importance of environmental variables and geospatial relationships. Greater hydrologic variability resulted in stronger statistical relationships between occurrence and environmental variables and an increased importance of system connectivity. As climate change alters hydrologic processes and streams become more variable, understanding and accounting for these shifting relationships is essential.

Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma↗
USGS2025

Extremophile hotspots linked to containerized industrial waste dumping in a deep-sea basin

Decaying barrels on the seafloor linked to DDT contamination have raised concerns about the public health implications of decades old industrial waste dumped off the coast of Los Angeles. To explore their contents, we collected sediment cores perpendicular to five deep-sea barrels. The concentration of DDT and its breakdown products were highly elevated relative to control sites yet did not vary with distance from the barrels, suggesting that they were not associated with the contamination. Sediment cores collected through white halos surrounding three barrels were enriched in calcite and had elevated pH. The associated microbial communities were low diversity and dominated by alkalophilic bacteria with metagenome-assembled genomes adapted to high pH. A solid concretion sampled between a white halo and barrel was composed of brucite, a magnesium hydroxide mineral that forms at high pH. Based on these findings, we postulate that leakage of containerized alkaline waste triggered the formation of mineral concretions that are slowly dissolving and raising the pH of the surrounding sediment pore water. This selects for taxa adapted to extreme alkalinity and drives the precipitation of “anthropogenic” carbonates forming white halos, which serve as a visual identifier of barrels that contained alkaline waste. Remarkably, containerized alkaline waste discarded >50 years ago represents a persistent pollutant creating localized mineral formations and microbial communities that resemble those observed at some hydrothermal systems. These formations were observed at one-third of the visually identified barrels in the San Pedro Basin and have unforeseen, long-term consequences for benthic communities in the region.

California↗
USGS2025

Searching for seismic precursors - The Barry Landslide hazard clean up

The Barry Landslide, located in Barry Arm of Prince William Sound, Alaska, poses a major hazard due to its steep, unstable slopes and the potential for a massive landslide-generated tsunami. With an estimated volume of 500–700 million cubic meters, the Barry Landslide could trigger highly destructive waves. In this study, we focus on seismic signals from the Barry Landslide, which are critical for providing timely tsunami warnings. Since the summer of 2020, the region has been instrumented to monitor the landslide, but the seismic record is complicated by the presence of nearby glaciers and frequent regional earthquakes. Among these signals, we analyze a specific class of short-duration, high-frequency seismic events that exhibit strong seasonal variability, increasing in rate from late summer to mid-winter before ceasing abruptly in late winter or early spring. Our analysis suggests that the source of these signals is likely near or beneath Cascade Glacier, adjacent to the landslide, rather than within the landslide mass itself. We apply detection algorithms to construct a time history for this signal type, which we then compare with environmental factors like precipitation, temperature, and slope displacement data from ground-based radar and remote sensing. Correlations indicate that these seismic events may be driven by seasonal hydrological changes, particularly the freeze-up of subglacial water pathways. While these events are not directly linked to landslide motion, they serve as indirect markers of subsurface hydrological conditions that influence slope stability. Our findings highlight the complex interplay between glaciers, groundwater, and landslide dynamics, emphasizing the need for multi-parameter monitoring to assess evolving geohazards in the region.

Alaska↗
USGS2026

Surface variable‐based machine learning for scalable arsenic prediction in undersampled areas

In the United States, private wells are not federally regulated, and many households do not test for Arsenic (As). Chronic exposure is linked with multiple health outcomes, and risk can change sharply over short distances and with well depth. Coarse maps or sparse sampling often miss exceedances. Most existing models operate at ∼1 km resolution and use groundwater chemistry or detailed geologic logs, which limits their use in undersampled areas where improved guidance is most needed. We overcome these limitations by developing a machine learning model for Minnesota, USA, that predicts As exposure risk using only surficial variables from remote sensing and global data sets. Variables related to surface water hydrology and geomorphology are selected based on mechanistic links that control redox conditions and As mobilization. Local training was essential, and surficial geology variables that are more sensitive to local conditions were needed to maximize model accuracy. The resulting complete model was sufficiently sensitive to generate accurate and detailed risk maps and depth profiles of As concentrations above the 10 μg/L maximum contaminant level. Accuracy depended on local training data density. We identified a training data density of 0.07 wells/km 2 as a practical target for stable county-level performance. Maps of exceedance probabilities highlight priority areas for testing that are particularly important in rural communities that have received less sampling. These results support public health action by guiding where to install wells and where to test them, how much new sampling is needed, and where treatment outreach is most urgent.

Minnesota↗
USGS2025

Structural controls on splay fault rupture dynamics during Cascadia megathrust earthquakes

Great subduction earthquakes ( M w ≥ 8.0) can generate devastating tsunamis by rapidly displacing the seafloor and overlying water column. These potentially tsunamigenic seafloor offsets result from coseismic fault slip and deformation beneath or within the accretionary wedge. The mechanics of these shallow rupture phenomena and their dependence on subduction zone properties remain unresolved, partly due to the sparsity of offshore observations of shallow megathrust earthquake deformation. Here, we analyze how offshore structure influences shallow rupture mechanics and slip partitioning using 3D dynamic earthquake simulations of the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) megathrust with and without variably dipping seaward- or landward-vergent splay faults in the wedge that sole into the megathrust. Resulting tradeoffs between splay and megathrust slip reveal structural controls on rupture partitioning, with greater splay slip leading to less shallow megathrust slip updip. Gently dipping and seaward-vergent splays host more slip than those with steeper, landward-vergent splays. To isolate the underlying mechanisms, we compare models with Andersonian and plunging principal stresses. Results suggest distinct static and dynamic processes control the dip- and vergence-dependence of splay rupture: static (mis)alignment relative to far-field tectonic loading favors slip on more optimally oriented, shallowly dipping splay faults. In contrast, dynamic stress interactions of an updip-propagating megathrust rupture front with the free surface and potential branch faults favor forward branching onto seaward-vergent splays and inhibit backward branching onto landward-vergent splays. Resulting seafloor displacements suggest splay fault structure may influence coseismic tsunami source processes, highlighting the importance of dynamically viable rupture scenarios in subduction hazard assessments.

Cascadia subduction zone↗
USGS2026

Miocene evolution of the Humboldt Current

Diatom records from the East Pisco Basin (EPB) of southern Peru and offshore Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Hole 682 A reveal stepwise increases in the primary productivity of the Humboldt Current during the middle and late Miocene. Although diatoms are present back through the late middle Eocene, successively enhanced diatom production occurs during the Miocene in four steps. The first step between 14.2 and 13.8 Ma marks the onset of diatom deposition in the Pisco-0 sequence. A second step at ∼12.9 Ma coincides with a major drop in global sea level during which diatom deposition ceased in the EPB but continued in ODP 682 A as well as in Chile, Ecuador, and Colombia. Beginning at 10.4 to 10.0 Ma, a major increase in diatom sedimentation rates in both the EPB and in ODP 682 A signals an abrupt intensification of the Humboldt Current productivity, which may be related to the closure of the Central American Seaway to deeper water circulation. A fourth step coincides with the transgressive deposition of the diatom-rich Pisco-2 sequence at 8.4 Ma and is enhanced by the onset of the global Late Miocene Biogenic Bloom (8.0–4.5 Ma). Between 7 and 6 Ma, common subtropical diatoms in ODP 682 A contrast with high diatom deposition rates in the EPB, suggesting variable El Niño-La Niña conditions. During this time, fossil vegetation evidence from southern Peru supports the presence of seasonal periods of enhanced rainfall typical of El Niño conditions. The Miocene trend of increasing sea mammal diversity in the EPB parallels these steps, further supporting stepwise enhancement of primary productivity in the Humboldt Current during the Miocene.

Humboldt Current↗
USGS2024

Agricultural tile drains increase the susceptibility of streams to longer and more intense streamflow droughts

Streamflow droughts are receiving increased attention worldwide due to their impact on the environment and economy. One region of concern is the Midwestern United States, whose agricultural productivity depends on subsurface pipes known as tile drains to improve trafficability and soil conditions for crop growth. Tile drains accomplish this by rapidly transporting surplus soil moisture and shallow groundwater from fields, resulting in reduced watershed storage. However, no work has previously examined the connection between tile drainage and streamflow drought. Here, we pose the question: does the extent of watershed-level tile drainage lead to an increased susceptibly and magnitude of streamflow droughts? To answer this, we use daily streamflow data for 122 watersheds throughout the Midwestern United States to quantify streamflow drought duration, frequency, and intensity. Using spatial multiple regression models, we find that agricultural tile drainage generates statistically significant ( p < 0.05) increases in streamflow drought duration and intensity while significantly reducing drought frequency. The magnitude of the effect of tile drainage on streamflow drought characteristics is similar to that of water table depth and precipitation seasonality, both of which are known to influence streamflow droughts. Furthermore, projected changes in regional precipitation characteristics will likely drive the installation of additional tile drainage. We find that for each 10% increase in tile-drained watershed area, streamflow drought duration and intensity increase by 0.03 d and 12%, respectively, while frequency decreases by 0.10 events/year. Such increases in tile drainage may lead to more severe streamflow droughts and have a detrimental effect on the socio-environmental usage of streams throughout the Midwest.

Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio↗
USGS2026

Non-destructive sampling of larval amphibians shows tail tissues reflect whole-body methylmercury concentrations and trophic-related differences in bioaccumulation

Mercury (Hg), and specifically methylmercury (MeHg), is a contaminant of global concern to humans and wildlife, but there is still limited understanding of its effects on many taxa. Amphibians are closely associated with water, where Hg is converted to MeHg, and high concentrations of MeHg can reduce survival of amphibians in the wild. However, limited non-lethal proxies exist for estimating MeHg bioaccumulation in amphibian larvae, which could be used to reduce destructive sampling and allow sampling of imperiled species. We evaluated whether tail clips were indicative of whole-body MeHg concentrations of larval amphibians, whether dragonflies were an effective bioindicator of Hg concentrations of larval amphibians, and compared MeHg bioaccumulation in predatory caudate (salamanders, newts) and non-predatory anuran (frogs, toads) larvae. Tail-clip and whole-body MeHg concentrations were strongly correlated, especially for caudates. There was high variability among sites and species, but caudates had higher MeHg than anurans, and MeHg concentrations of caudates and anurans were strongly correlated. Dragonflies were a weak indicator of MeHg for anurans but strong indicators for larval caudates, likely because caudates and dragonflies are carnivorous and occupy similar trophic positions. Our study revealed that sampling tails can be an effective non-destructive index of whole-body MeHg for larval amphibians and demonstrates differences in MeHg bioaccumulation related to trophic position in larval amphibians and dragonflies. All post-embryo life stages for a broad suite of amphibian species can now be sampled non-lethally for MeHg, allowing for a broader examination of population-level effects and focus on imperiled species that cannot be sampled destructively.

conterminous United States↗
USGS2024

Factors contributing to pesticide contamination in riverine systems: The role of wastewater and landscape sources

Wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) discharges can be a source of organic contaminants, including pesticides, to rivers. An integrated model was developed for the Potomac River watershed (PRW) to determine the amount of accumulated wastewater percentage of streamflow (ACCWW) and calculate predicted environmental concentrations (PECs) for 14 pesticides in non-tidal National Hydrography Dataset Plus Version 2.1 stream segments. Predicted environmental concentrations were compared to measured environmental concentrations (MECs) from 32 stream sites that represented a range of ACCWW and land use to evaluate model performance and to assess possible non-WWTP loading sources. Statistical agreement between PECs and MECs was strongest for insecticides, followed by fungicides and herbicides. Principal component analysis utilizing optical fluorescence and ancillary water quality data identified wastewater and urban runoff sources. Pesticides that indicated relatively larger sources from WWTPs included dinotefuran, fipronil, carbendazim, thiabendazole, and prometon whereas imidacloprid, azoxystrobin, propiconazole, tebuconazole, and diuron were more related to urban runoff. In addition, PECs generally comprised a low proportion of MECs, which indicates possible dominant loading sources beyond WWTP discharges. Cumulative potential toxicity was higher for sites with greater ACCWW and/or located in developed areas. Imidacloprid, fipronil, and carbendazim accounted for the largest portion of predicted potential toxicity across sites. The chronic aquatic life toxicity benchmarks for freshwater invertebrates were exceeded for 82 % of the imidacloprid detections ( n = 28) and 47 % of the fipronil detections ( n = 19). These results highlight the ecological implications of pesticide contamination from WWTP discharges and also the potential legacy effects from accumulated soil and groundwater sources. Pesticide management strategies that mitigate both current and historical impacts may improve the health of aquatic ecosystems.

Potomac River watershed↗
USGS2026

Riverscape heterogeneity shapes population diversity for a migratory fish

Habitat patch dynamics can scale up to influence population demography and diversity with implications for resilience to environmental stochasticity. But how the spatial arrangement and size of habitat patches interact with other components of habitat heterogeneity to shape population diversity at larger spatial scales is not well understood. For riverine fishes, there is increasing evidence that tributary streams provide critical demographic support to main stem rivers. However, the extent to which main stem rivers rely on demographic contributions from tributaries, and the factors underlying this dependence, have not been assessed. Here, we used genetic stock identification to evaluate the effect of tributaries on population diversity of Yellowstone cutthroat trout ( Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri ) occupying the main stem Snake River, Wyoming, USA. We found that the main stem relied almost entirely on tributaries for demographic support, but main stem composition varied spatially among river sections. Distance between habitat patches, catchment area, and groundwater availability acted in concert to determine the contribution of specific tributaries to the main stem, but contributions were ultimately modulated by habitat connectivity. We also found evidence for multi-scale spatial structure in tributary contributions, providing insight into untested drivers of main stem river population diversity. Our results demonstrate how spatially discrete and distributed riverscape attributes influence population diversity at broader spatial scales, illustrating how ecosystem resilience emerges from the dynamic, two-way exchange of individuals and energy across habitat networks. Management plans for large rivers that address the ecological contributions of tributaries may be needed to achieve optimal outcomes. Similarly, conservation strategies that exclusively focus on headwater streams may fail to capture the broader habitat requirements necessary to maintain robust cold-water fish populations and associated recreational fisheries, particularly under global environmental change.

Wyoming↗