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99 records · Page 6Linked to original sources
USGS2025

Systematic shifts in the variation among host individuals must be considered in climate-disease theory

To make more informed predictions of host–pathogen interactions under climate change, studies have incorporated the thermal performance of host, vector and pathogen traits into disease models to quantify effects on average transmission rates. However, this body of work has omitted the fact that variation in susceptibility among individual hosts affects disease spread and long-term patterns of host population dynamics. Furthermore, and especially for ectothermic host species, variation in susceptibility is likely to be plastic, influenced by variables such as environmental temperature. For example, as host individuals respond idiosyncratically to temperature, this could affect the population-level variation in susceptibility, such that there may be predictable functional relationships between variation in susceptibility and temperature. Quantifying the relationship between temperature and among-host trait variation will therefore be critical for predicting how climate change and disease will interact to influence host–pathogen population dynamics. Here, we use a model to demonstrate how short-term effects of temperature on the distribution of host susceptibility can drive epidemic characteristics, fluctuations in host population sizes and probabilities of host extinction. Our results emphasize that more research is needed in disease ecology and climate biology to understand the mechanisms that shape individual trait variation, not just trait averages.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sci↗
USGS2025

The influence of human presence and footprint on animal space use in US national parks

Given the importance of protected areas for biodiversity, the growth of visitation to many areas has raised concerns about the effects of humans on wildlife. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to temporary closure of national parks in the United States, offering a pseudonatural experiment to tease apart the effects of permanent infrastructure and transient human presence on animals. We compiled GPS tracking data from 229 individuals of 10 mammal species in 14 parks and used third-order hierarchical resource selection functions to evaluate the influence of the human footprint on animal space use in 2019 and 2020. Averaged across all parks and species, animals avoided the human footprint, whether the park was open or closed. However, although animals in remote areas showed consistent avoidance, on average those in more developed areas switched from avoidance to selection when protected areas were closed. Findings varied across species: some responded consistently negatively to the footprint (wolves, mountain goats), some positively (mule deer, red fox) and others had a strong exposure-mediated response (elk, mountain lion). Furthermore, some species responded more strongly to the park closure (black bear, moose). This study advances our understanding of complex interactions between recreation and wildlife in protected areas.

western United States↗
USGS2025

Spring weather influences breeding propensity, the most important productivity component for Arctic-nesting lesser snow geese

Animal reproduction is composed of several stages, which collectively determine overall productivity. Yet, it is not fully understood how different productivity components contribute to population change. To bridge this gap, we leveraged integrated population modelling and transient life-table response experiments, together with population-level data on lesser snow geese ( Anser caerulescens caerulescens ) breeding on Wrangel Island, Russia, from 1970 to 2022. We assessed contributions of breeding propensity, clutch size, nest success, egg survival, hatching success and pre-fledging survival to population change, and tested hypotheses about the effects of environmental drivers and density dependence on different components. Breeding propensity contributed the most to variation in population growth, followed by nest success. These two components were negatively affected by the timing of snow melt. We found no overall deleterious effects of climate change on productivity. Density dependence had a positive effect on multiple productivity components, likely through predator swamping. Our results show the importance of breeding propensity to the population dynamics of this long-lived animal, which is notable because this productivity component is often overlooked. Our results also demonstrate that the effects of environmental conditions and density dependence can differ among animal populations of different sizes, locations and life histories.

Wrangel Island↗
USGS2025

Longer rorqual whale mothers produce more female offspring

Multiple hypotheses have arisen that predict how mammals with the ability to adapt fetal sex ratios should invest in male versus female offspring to maximize inclusive fitness, but large wild-population datasets necessary for testing these hypotheses are challenging to collect. We used whaling data ( n = 209 254 sexed fetuses from seven rorqual whale species) to test whether mothers with more resources to invest in offspring produce more male or female offspring. We first modelled fetal sex misidentification in the data and estimated that missexing occurred for fetuses under 30–120 cm across five of seven species. Using Bayesian generalized linear mixed models and a size-restricted dataset to account for misidentification, we estimated a 90% posterior probability that longer mothers have more female offspring overall, ranging from 77% for humpback whales to 99% for sei whales. Our results likely reflect both the difficulty of excluding small males from competition in aquatic environments and the exceptionally high costs of gestation and lactation in baleen whales.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B↗
USGS2026

Timing the tuxedo transformation: Moult phenology reflects breeding investment and intrinsic constraints in Adélie penguins

Vertebrate life histories are often divided into distinct periods, with the breeding season typically receiving the most research attention. For polar seabirds, non-breeding phases like moult remain understudied, despite their importance for survival and overall fitness. Adélie penguins ( Pygoscelis adeliae ) replace their highly specialized feathers during an approximately 19-day annual moult, typically carried out while fasting on sea ice. The required fast and elevated metabolic rate may create a significant energetic bottleneck. We analysed data from geolocating dive recorders deployed on known-age Adélie penguins and non-known-age pairs from two Ross Island colonies over three winters (2017–2019). Moult start date was influenced by breeding success, intrinsic factors (age, sex) and extrinsic factors (year), with males, older birds and successful breeders moulting later. Moult duration varied primarily with individual ID, though later initiation correlated with shorter duration, particularly when located further south. Moult duration was longer in the western Ross Sea, a region that was used exclusively by males. The association between moult start date and duration may lead to differential sex and breeding status effects, with older males more likely to face a trade-off between successful breeding and self-maintenance tasks like feather replacement.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B↗
USGS2025

From fences to roads: Changes in barrier behaviour of Mongolian gazelle across different types of linear infrastructure in Mongolia

Poorly designed linear infrastructure can reduce habitat connectivity and be major barriers for migratory wildlife. An important start at effective mitigation is understanding how individuals respond when barriers are encountered. This can be done via comparison of fine- and broad-scale behavioural responses to various anthropogenic barrier types. We classified fine-scale responses of 62 Mongolian gazelles ( Procapra gutturosa ) across different barrier types, seasons and times of day. We also investigated interactions at a broader scale by measuring the length of linear infrastructure traced, interaction duration and crossing success rate. We learned that gazelle behaviour varied according to barrier permeability, and that fences were major obstacles. Gazelles exhibited similar bouncing behaviour when confronted with paved roads as with fences, suggesting paved roads can act as semi-permeable barriers during high traffic volume. Broad-scale movement patterns revealed gazelles travelled considerable distances along fences—averaging 40.2 km, and up to 211.6 km—before moving away or crossing. Long-distance tracing movements can help identify areas with the strongest barrier effect and guide mitigation measures for current and future linear infrastructure. Designing infrastructure and implementing conservation strategies for ungulates in steppe ecosystems will benefit from taking into account behavioural responses at both fine and broad scales.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sci↗
USGS2013

A comparison of bats and rodents as reservoirs of zoonotic viruses: are bats special?

Bats are the natural reservoirs of a number of high-impact viral zoonoses. We present a quantitative analysis to address the hypothesis that bats are unique in their propensity to host zoonotic viruses based on a comparison with rodents, another important host order. We found that bats indeed host more zoonotic viruses per species than rodents, and we identified life-history and ecological factors that promote zoonotic viral richness. More zoonotic viruses are hosted by species whose distributions overlap with a greater number of other species in the same taxonomic order (sympatry). Specifically in bats, there was evidence for increased zoonotic viral richness in species with smaller litters (one young), greater longevity and more litters per year. Furthermore, our results point to a new hypothesis to explain in part why bats host more zoonotic viruses per species: the stronger effect of sympatry in bats and more viruses shared between bat species suggests that interspecific transmission is more prevalent among bats than among rodents. Although bats host more zoonotic viruses per species, the total number of zoonotic viruses identified in bats (61) was lower than in rodents (68), a result of there being approximately twice the number of rodent species as bat species. Therefore, rodents should still be a serious concern as reservoirs of emerging viruses. These findings shed light on disease emergence and perpetuation mechanisms and may help lead to a predictive framework for identifying future emerging infectious virus reservoirs.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B↗