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Structural analysis of brittle-plastic shear zones in the Sangre de Cristo Range, southern Colorado USA: Superposition of Rio Grande rift extension on Laramide contraction

The Sangre de Cristo Range in southern Colorado exposes some of the deepest Cenozoic structural levels in the Rocky Mountain region, including mylonitic shear zones associated with both the Laramide orogeny and Rio Grande rift. We investigated the relation between Laramide contraction and Rio Grande rift extension with detailed geologic mapping, kinematic analysis, and geochronometry in a 50 km 2 area centered on the Independence Mine shear zone (IMSZ). The 15−100-m-thick IMSZ is one of several shallowly to moderately (∼45° ± 20°) W-SW−dipping brittle-plastic shear zones along the western flank of the range. These shear zones display microstructural evidence of initiation as top-NE contractional mylonite zones, consistent with regional Laramide kinematics, which have been pervasively overprinted by shear fabrics indicating top-SW extensional reactivation. Both top-NE and top-SW shear fabrics involve cataclasis and quartz dislocation creep, although top-SW shear is more commonly localized along phyllosilicate-lined shear bands. Shear zones are hosted predominately within Proterozoic gneiss, and contain abundant chlorite and white mica derived from alteration of hornblende and feldspar, which indicates that weakening driven by fluid reactions played an important role in localizing strain. Extensional overprinting appears to be most pervasive along more steeply dipping portions of shear zones and where secondary phyllosilicates form an interconnected weak phase, which suggests that reactivation was primarily controlled by geometry and rheological contrasts inherited from contraction. One top-SW shear zone adjacent to the IMSZ cuts a late Oligocene gabbro stock, and monazite grains synkinematic with top-SW shear in the IMSZ yielded late Oligocene to Early Miocene U-Th-Pb dates that correspond with initiation of the Rio Grande rift. Reactivation of weak reverse faults may represent an important structural control during initial extension in the middle crust, prior to slip along the high-angle Sangre de Cristo normal fault system.

Colorado

Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite by LA-ICP-MS/MS

Re-Os geochronology is a powerful tool to directly date sulphide mineralisation using phases such as molybdenite, pyrite and chalcopyrite. We present a snapshot of a method in development utilizing laser ablation inductively coupled-plasma ‘triple quad’ mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS/MS) for Re-Os geochronology of molybdenite. While traditional LA-(MC)-ICP-MS measurements are limited by the >90% isobaric interference correction of parent radioactive 187 Re on radiogenic daughter 187 Os, the MS/MS technology minimizes this correction through careful instrument tuning and use of a (CH 4 + H 2 + He) reaction gas mixture to mass shift 187 Os away from 187 Re. We demonstrate the potential of the MS/MS technique by presenting robust Re-Os dates for three different molybdenite samples ranging in age from ~28 to 1520 Ma.

Conference Paper

A model uncertainty quantification protocol for evaluating the value of observation data

The history-matching approach to parameter estimation with models enables a powerful offshoot analysis of data worth—using the uncertainty of a model forecast as a metric for the worth of data. Adding observation data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will reduce it. Removing existing data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will increase it. The history-matching framework makes it possible to perform this quantitative analysis leveraging the connections among observations, model parameters, and model forecasts. We show this behavior on a specific groundwater flow model of the Mississippi Alluvial Plain and show where the analysis can be informative for considering the potential design of an observation network based on existing or potential observations.

Scientific Investigations Report

Computation of regional groundwater budgets for the Virginia Coastal Plain aquifer system

Computation of detailed groundwater flow budgets for subdivisions of the Virginia Coastal Plain aquifer system has enabled quantification and more thorough understanding of groundwater flow within this important water resource. A zone budget analysis based on previously published groundwater models of the Virginia Coastal Plain and Virginia Eastern Shore indicates that groundwater conditions vary substantially throughout the Coastal Plain aquifer system because of local variations in hydrogeology and historical and ongoing variations in groundwater use and management. Decades of substantial groundwater withdrawal from the Coastal Plain aquifer system have altered groundwater flow from predevelopment conditions. Rates of sustainable withdrawal are limited because the downward groundwater flow rate into confined aquifers is a relatively small part of the total groundwater budget for the aquifer system compared to the rate of recharge at the land surface. Analyses of groundwater budgets from the Virginia Coastal Plain model indicate that groundwater flow is generally outward from the surficial aquifer to rivers and coastal waterbodies and downward through a series of underlying aquifers and confining units to the Potomac aquifer, which is the deepest aquifer and the source of most groundwater withdrawals. Downward flow into the Potomac aquifer is estimated to be only 7 percent of total net precipitation-derived net recharge at the land surface but makes up about 66 percent of inflow to the aquifer in Virginia, with much of the remaining inflow occurring laterally from outside of defined groundwater budget regions in Virginia. For several decades prior to 2010, high rates of withdrawal from the Potomac aquifer resulted in substantial decline in groundwater storage in the aquifer and in most overlying aquifers and confining units. From 2010 to 2023, rates of withdrawal substantially lower than the historical maximum resulted in small net increases in groundwater storage in the confined aquifer system for most regions of the Virginia Coastal Plain. Nevertheless, for the same period, groundwater storage for the entire model domain continues to incrementally decline, indicating that storage recovery in Virginia is offset by a continued decrease in storage in areas beneath the Chesapeake Bay or adjacent areas of Maryland and North Carolina. Withdrawals from the Potomac aquifer have induced substantial downward flow which is a large part of groundwater budgets for confined aquifers such as the Potomac. For the most recent simulated conditions (2023) downward groundwater flow continues, but because vertical flow rates are a function of the difference between water pressure in the upper surficial systems and lower confined units, rates of downward flow are lower than those in earlier decades as the confined water levels partially recover from larger groundwater withdrawals in the past. Geographically, groundwater flow is generally inward from perimeter regions of the Virginia Coastal Plain toward central regions with the largest withdrawal rates. Groundwater inflow from coastal regions could be contributing to saltwater intrusion, even though that was not measured in this study. Analyses of groundwater budgets from the Virginia Eastern Shore peninsula, a geographic region of the Virginia Coastal Plain, indicate that groundwater flow for that isolated aquifer system is generally outward from the surficial aquifer to coastal water bodies and downward into the confined Yorktown-Eastover aquifer system, which is the source of most withdrawals. Downward groundwater flow into the confined Yorktown-Eastover aquifer system is estimated to be less than 2 percent of total recharge and less than 9 percent of net recharge at the water table but makes up more than 93 percent of all inflow to the confined aquifer system. Decades of substantial but relatively consistent groundwater withdrawals have induced greater downward flow rates into the confined aquifer system but also have resulted in loss of groundwater from storage. For the most recent simulated period (2023), estimated storage loss accounts for slightly under 7 percent of withdrawals from the confined aquifer system. The reported withdrawal rate for this period from the confined Yorktown-Eastover system is near the highest reported rate for the Virginia Eastern Shore, which means that the storage depletion is expected to continue, even though groundwater levels appear to be relatively stable. Estimated groundwater flow rates upward from the confining unit underlying the Yorktown-Eastover system and low rates of inflow from coastal water bodies underscore ongoing concerns about up-coning and lateral intrusion of salty groundwater.

Virginia

Groundwater and surface-water interactions in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed, O‘ahu, Hawai‘i—Analysis of historical data and numerical groundwater-model simulations

The Waihe‘e-Kahaluʻu watershed and surrounding areas lie in a dike-impounded groundwater setting of the Ko‘olau Range, O‘ahu, Hawai‘i, where groundwater withdrawal from wells and tunnels have resulted in reductions in streamflow. Resource managers and surface-water users seek information that can be used to balance the needs of competing uses of groundwater and streamflow in the watershed. This study assesses the effects of four groundwater developments in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed—Kahaluu Tunnel, Waihee Tunnel, Kahaluu Well, and Waihee Incline Wells—on Kahalu‘u and Waihe‘e Streams. Analyses of historical streamflow, withdrawal, and rainfall data indicate that base flow (the component of streamflow that is supplied from groundwater discharge) in Kahalu‘u and Waihe‘e Streams decreased in response to withdrawals from wells and tunnels within and outside the watershed. Groundwater-model simulations indicate that shutdown of selected tunnels and wells in the Waihe‘e-Kahaluʻu watershed will result in increases of groundwater discharge, but not all of the increase will occur in streams within the watershed; increases will also occur in streams outside the basin, the ocean, and tunnels other than those that were shut down. The analysis of historical data and model simulations is consistent in showing that the effects of withdrawal changes on streams are not constrained by the topographic boundaries of watersheds. Stream base flows in the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed are subject to a complex interaction of multiple withdrawals from wells and tunnels installed at various times within and outside the watershed. The correspondence between withdrawals and base-flow changes is consistent with the conceptual model and understanding of the connection between groundwater and streamflow in the dike-impounded groundwater setting of the Waihe‘e-Kahalu‘u watershed and the Ko‘olau Range.

Hawaii

Legacy of the fumigant 1,2-dibromo-3-chloropropane (DBCP) in California groundwater

The fumigant pesticide 1,2-dibromo-3-chloropropane (DBCP) was widely used in California agriculture during the 1960s and 1970s before being banned in 1979. Despite this ban, DBCP continues to contaminate groundwater due to its persistence and mobility. This study evaluates the distribution, historical trends, and projected persistence of DBCP in California using data from over 13,000 public supply wells and additional domestic, irrigation, and observation wells (1980-2022). Since 2010, DBCP has been detected in 9% of public supply wells statewide, with higher frequencies in the San Joaquin Valley (21%) and upper Santa Ana River watershed (13%), where DBCP use was most prevalent. Approximately 70% of wells had decreasing concentration trends, whereas increases were more common in deeper wells, indicating downward vertical migration of the DBCP front. Groundwater age estimates show that recharge timing aligns with the 1960s–1970s loading period, enabling reconstruction of peak inputs and providing a basis for age based modeling. To estimate future persistence, we applied a one dimensional advection–dispersion model that simulates long term declines in peak concentrations based on groundwater age, historical loading, and a 38 year degradation half life. Model projections suggest that concentrations above the maximum contaminant level may persist in a declining number of wells until approximately 2080 (range: 2048–2109), with longer persistence in the San Joaquin Valley. The simplified modeling framework, based on age distributions typical of wells capturing peak concentrations, can provide practical regional scale assessment of non-point source contaminants where long-term monitoring exists. This study highlights how the legacy of DBCP contamination will likely affect California's groundwater resources throughout the 21st century.

California

Cenozoic stratigraphy of Colorado

As a successor to previous Colorado stratigraphy charts (MS-53 Colorado Stratigraphic Chart and MS-54 Cretaceous Stratigraphy of Colorado), this Colorado Geological Survey (CGS) publication resulted from a collaboration between the CGS, USGS, and the Denver Museum of Nature and Science (DMNS). The chart was designed to illustrate Cenozoic stratigraphy spanning the state’s many sedimentary basins. It builds upon the work of dozens of colleagues and updates Richard Pearl’s seminal 1974 stratigraphy chart. The chart leverages the community’s stratigraphic work in both the subsurface and outcrop, and depicts new geochronologic constraints for many units. To facilitate comparison of strata to external forcing factors, the chart employs a linear timescale. Each unit’s dominant depositional environment is depicted, as are major mountain building events, erosional events, and regional unconformities.

Colorado

New U-Pb geochronology and geochemistry of Paleozoic metaigneous rocks from western Yukon and eastern Alaska, cross-border synthesis, and implications for tectonic models

The tectonic evolution of and relation between the Yukon-Tanana terrane and the Lake George assemblage, as well as other associated tectonic assemblages in western Yukon and eastern Alaska, have been debated for decades. The Yukon-Tanana terrane is widely considered to be an allochthonous rifted fragment derived from the Laurentian continental margin, whereas the Lake George assemblage and associated assemblages are currently interpreted to be part of the parautochthonous continental margin of western North America (Laurentia). To address these topics, we present 40 new U-Pb zircon ages and 20 new whole-rock geochemical analyses. We incorporate these data into a new compilation of available geological mapping for a large area that straddles the Alaska-Yukon border, together with 34 previously published U-Pb age determinations and an extensive geochemical database of metaigneous rocks from Late Devonian to Early Mississippian and middle to late Permian assemblages in this area. Magmatism in the Lake George assemblage and related assemblages occurred in two pulses from about 371 to 360 and from about 358 to 347 million years ago (Ma); geochemical discrimination diagrams indicate a large crustal component, possibly indicative of arc magmatism, for felsic metaigneous rocks and a range of tectonic environments for mafic rocks. Magmatism in the Fortymile River and related assemblages, and parts of the Nasina assemblage—all parts of the Yukon-Tanana terrane—are mainly Early Mississippian and span a crystallization age range from about 361 to 343 Ma; geochemical discrimination diagrams for these rocks indicate primarily arc geochemical signatures for both mafic and felsic rocks. Middle to late Permian crystallization ages (about 261–253 Ma) are indicated for felsic metaigneous rocks in the Klondike assemblage and some of the felsic metaigneous rocks in the Nasina assemblage. Based on our mapping, we propose the existence of a possible unconformity between the Mississippian and Permian felsic metavolcanic rocks within the Nasina assemblage that is marked by sporadic occurrences of stretched-pebble conglomerate. Our combined database supports the well-established model of a magmatic arc comprising the Fortymile River and Finlayson assemblages of the rifted Yukon-Tanana terrane continental fragment on which a middle to late Permian arc (Klondike assemblage) was later built. The assemblages of the Yukon-Tanana terrane were subsequently intruded by Late Triassic to Early Jurassic granitoids, presumably during reaccretion of the Yukon-Tanana terrane to the continental margin. Permian and Late Triassic to Early Jurassic intrusions have not been mapped in the now structurally lower plate Lake George assemblage; their absence is one of the lines of evidence that have been used to support the parautochthonous, rather than allochthonous, origin of the Lake George assemblage and related assemblages. Our new data, together with previously published ranges of igneous crystallization ages and geochemical tectonic signatures of the Late Devonian to Early Mississippian magmatic rocks in the Lake George assemblage and associated assemblages and in the Fortymile River, Nasina, and correlated assemblages of the Yukon-Tanana terrane, indicate that the currently accepted interpretation of the Lake George assemblage and associated rocks being part of parauthochthonous North America is not the only possible interpretation of this tectonic entity. Approximately half of the dated intrusive rocks in the Lake George assemblage are contemporaneous with the metaigneous rocks of the Yukon-Tanana terrane arc (<361 Ma). We speculate that our approximately 361 Ma U-Pb age for quartz syenite in part of the North American continental margin in south-central Yukon defines the beginning of rifting of the Laurentian margin. Although the currently favored model of prolonged middle Paleozoic subduction and extension in both the Yukon-Tanana terrane and parautochthonous North America allows for simultaneous middle Paleozoic magmatism on both sides of the Slide Mountain Ocean, we now propose an alternative hypothesis in which the Lake George assemblage represents a deeper part of the rifted Yukon-Tanana terrane arc. If this is the case, the absence of Permian and Late Triassic to Early Jurassic arc rocks in the Lake George assemblage could be explained either by the arcs of these ages not being wide enough to have affected the Lake George assemblage or by tectonic displacement of these arc rocks away from the Lake George assemblage. Our approximately 259 Ma U-Pb zircon age and geochemical analyses of metarhyolite in the Seventymile terrane in Alaska, which comprises remnants of the back-arc basin that separated the Yukon-Tanana terrane from the Laurentian continental margin, confirm the presence of a late middle Permian volcanic arc component to the terrane. Our approximately 319 Ma U-Pb zircon age from the Chicken assemblage (as redefined in this study) in eastern Alaska, combined with previously reported fossil ages and a U-Pb zircon age from this assemblage, indicate that it is a Late Mississippian to Early Pennsylvanian arc assemblage. We propose several other relatively young, locally developed arc assemblages outboard of the ancient continental margin of Laurentia that may correlate with the Chicken assemblage, but we consider its origin to remain an enigma.

Alaska

Assessment of long-term changes in surface-water extent within Klamath Marsh, south-central Oregon, 1985–2021

The annual maximum extent of surface water in Klamath Marsh has naturally fluctuated in response to periods of wet and dry conditions in the surrounding basin. Field observations during the 2010s indicate that the annual maximum extent of surface water has been declining and the marsh is not responding to hydrologic inputs as it had historically. This report describes the results of a hydrologic evaluation of Klamath Marsh to characterize and understand multi-year declines in the surface-water extent and increased intermittency of streamflow exiting the marsh. Landsat imagery collected during 1985–2021 was processed to create a time series of annual maximum surface-water extent to assess changes in surface-water inundation within the marsh. A 50-percent decrease in the mean surface area of annual total open-water extent (TOWE) during the latter half of the study period (2003–21) compared to the first half (1985–2003) was observed in this 37-year time-series dataset. The change in open-water extent was offset by a corresponding increase in dry land in the marsh. Time series of streamflow, groundwater level, total annual precipitation, annual mean temperature, and anthropogenic water use and water management were compiled and evaluated to improve understanding of the factors affecting TOWE. Statistically significant downward trends in the regional groundwater table and streamflow into and out of the marsh were identified as well as statistically significant upward trends in annual mean temperature. Statistically significant correlations among TOWE, streamflow, and groundwater level also were identified. The decreasing trends could not be attributed to changes in total annual precipitation or changing anthropogenic groundwater use within the study area. Declines in the open-water extent of Klamath Marsh since 2000 principally are due to a decoupling of the groundwater and surface-water system beneath the marsh because of regional declines in groundwater level. Regional increases in air temperature and the reestablishment of more than 55,000 acres of forested land within the study area have likely contributed to increasing evapotranspiration, leaving less water available for groundwater recharge and stream base flow and resulting in basin-wide declines in streamflow and groundwater levels.

Oregon

High frequency and region-scale simulations of large (Mw7+) earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault, Washington, USA

We simulate ground shaking in western Washington State from hypothetical M w 7.0–7.5 earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault (SWIF). Ground motions are modeled considering kinematic source distributions on a complex fault plane, a 3D seismic velocity model, and region‐specific soil velocity models. We run simulations with varying model resolutions, including regional‐scale simulations with a maximum‐modeled frequency of ∼1 Hz and local‐scale simulations with a maximum‐modeled frequency of ∼2.5 Hz. Additional local‐scale simulations are run considering high‐resolution surface topography. We explore how source parameters (i.e., magnitude, hypocenter location, and dip direction) and 3D velocity structure impact peak shaking intensity and its variability. In particular, we find that earthquakes on the SWIF would likely produce strong shaking throughout the populated Puget Lowland, including in the cities of Everett, Seattle, Bellevue, and Tacoma, Washington. Simulated short‐period ( T ≤ 2 s) spectral accelerations are strong throughout the Puget Lowland, and long‐period shaking ( T ≥ 5 s) is strong in the deep regional sedimentary basins, especially the Everett and Seattle basins. Source parameters strongly influence intra‐ and interevent variability in response, primarily through changes in source and site geometry, as well as rupture directivity. We also note a potential coupling between rupture directivity and basin effects, wherein directivity pulses are seemingly guided through the region’s deep, interconnected sedimentary basins. Overall, this work highlights the impacts of 3D source, path, and site effects on seismic hazard in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and substantially expands the catalog of simulated ground motions for Puget Sound area crustal faults.

Washington

Hypothetical CO2 leakage into, and hydrological plume management within, an underground source of drinking water at a proposed CO2 storage facility, Kemper County, Mississippi, USA

A large Geologic Carbon Sequestration (GCS) hub has been proposed in Kemper County, Mississippi. The target injection interval consists of numerous Cretaceous-aged deep saline aquifers overlain by a competent and extensive regional sealing layer. Above the seal, the deepest Underground Source of Drinking Water (USDW) at the site is the Eutaw aquifer of the Eutaw Group and McShan Formation, undifferentiated. To assess potential risks of leakage from the deep sequestration reservoir, a model of a portion of the Cretaceous Eutaw Group was constructed in this study. Simulations tested various permeabilities, hypothetical leakage rates, and plume mitigation strategies utilizing existing wells. Results suggest that, under the influence of regional groundwater flow fields, leaking CO 2 would effectively bypass the existing wells, and to influence this migration would require very large water extraction rates. Therefore, to ensure plume detection, monitoring for leakage at the injection wells themselves is very important.

Mississippi

Natural attenuation of chlorinated volatile organic compounds in ground water at Area 6, Naval Air Station Whidbey Island, Washington

Natural attenuation is a viable alternative to pump and treat for meeting remediation objectives in the vicinity of the southern contaminant plume. The combination of historically low contaminant concentrations in ground water, a landfill cap that limits source area contributions, favorable conditions for degradation of VC, and a relatively long downgradient distance to potential receptors are all favorable for natural attenuation as a remediation alternative. Natural attenuation could effectively meet all but one remediation goal that extraction wells PW- 2, PW-4, PW-6, PW-7, PW-8 and PW-9 are currently being employed to meet. The goal of preventing migration of all VC across the site boundary could not be met by natural attenuation. Some VC would migrate south of the Navy boundary, but the potential for subsequent VC mineralization downgradient of the base and the existing institutional controls would result in minimal additional risk from using natural attenuation. In the western contaminant plume natural attenuation is not currently a viable alternative to pump and treat for meeting remediation objectives. There is a possibility that rates for reductive dechlorination of TCE and TCA could increase substantially if the plume was allowed to migrate beneath the Oak Harbor landfill, but there are not enough data to be certain of such an increase. TCA and TCE concentrations at the leading edge of the western plume need to be reduced to at least 25 and 40 µg/L, respectively, to be protective of potential downgradient receptors. Source area TCA and TCE concentrations have decreased substantially over the past ten years, and the extraction wells PW-3 and PW-5 in particular are removing a significant mass of contaminants from ground water, so natural attenuation may be a viable alternative for the western plume in the future. There would be some possible side benefits of using natural attenuation as an alternative to pump and treat in the southern contaminant plume. The first would be that the resulting decrease in the amount of treated water that would need to be recharged in the swale north of the landfill would result in less off-base migration of contamination across the western site boundary. The second benefit would be a substantial reduction in the amount of dissolved iron and manganese being extracted from the shallow aquifer and run through the treatment system. Removing that source of operation and maintenance problems would result in more effective containment and removal of contamination in the western contaminant plume. The most critical data gap identified in this evaluation is the paucity of contaminant chemistry information downgradient of the Navy boundary in the vicinity of the southern contaminant plume. Without such data, the behavior of the plume and the protectiveness of natural attenuation to downgradient receptors cannot be verified, and field attenuation rates for VC cannot be determined directly. The existing long-term monitoring plan would need to be reviewed and revised if natural attenuation is selected as a remedy for the contamination in the southern plume. In particular, additional performance monitoring wells may be required downgradient of the property.

Washington

Integrated stratigraphic and geochemical analysis of organic-rich intervals of the Lewis Shale in the eastern Washakie Basin, Wyoming

Geological studies in the Cretaceous Western Interior Seaway (KWIS) in North America reveal highly variable sedimentological conditions on its western shore caused by rapidly changing sea level and detrital input during the seaway’s closure. Here we examine a 601-foot (183 meters) continuous core through the lower part of the Maastrichtian Lewis Shale in the eastern Washakie Basin, Wyoming, through integrating stratigraphic and geochemical analyses to better understand organic matter deposition and preservation during the final marine transgression within the seaway. The core penetrates eight organic-rich flooding intervals (F1-F8) and a regional condensed section, informally known as the Asquith marker. The lower portions of the core record sediment input from a southern source, likely the Sierra Madre/Park Ranges, while the upper part records sediment input from a northern source, likely the Granite Mountains. This provenance transition is supported by regional stratigraphic analysis and changes in bulk mineral and trace metal composition. The Asquith marker and early flooding surfaces are enriched in oil-prone, marine organic matter deposited under dysoxic to euxinic conditions, whereas younger flooding surfaces show increased terrigenous input and poorer preservation conditions. The Asquith marker is identified as a prime oil-prone source rock. Although younger flooding surfaces also exhibit favorable source-rock properties, their generative potential is reduced due to increased clastic and terrigenous organic matter deposition caused by regression. These results emphasize the importance of sediment source variability, organic matter preservation, and changing redox conditions to provide insight into the sediment provenance and petroleum potential of the Lewis Shale in the context of the final transgression within the KWIS.

Colorado, Wyoming

Depth of magma crystallization and fluid exsolution beneath the porphyry-skarn Cu deposits at Santa Rita and Hanover-Fierro, New Mexico, USA

The depth level at which porphyry Cu–forming magmas fractionated and exsolved mineralizing fluids is actively debated. In the classic model, extensive magma fractionation occurs in large, upper crustal magma chambers, and concomitant fluid exsolution leads to forceful expulsion of residual magmas in the form of porphyry dikes, stocks, and breccia pipes, which subsequently serve as pathways for the mineralizing fluids. In contrast, some recent studies highlighting the role of deep crustal magma fractionation in the production of fertile magmas essentially deny the existence of upper crustal magma chambers at the time of mineralization. To address this, we conducted a detailed thermobarometric investigation of 13 intermediate to felsic, porphyritic intrusive rocks related to porphyry-skarn Cu mineralization at Santa Rita and Hanover-Fierro, New Mexico, United States, representing two premineralization magmas (61–60 Ma), seven synmineralization magmas (60–58 Ma), and four late- to postmineralization magmas (58–57 Ma). For each sample, the pressure of last magma crystallization before final magma ascent to the current exposure level was reconstructed based on Al-in-hornblende barometry of small hornblende inclusions trapped within quartz phenocrysts and through titanium-in-quartz (TitaniQ) thermobarometry of the host quartz phenocrysts themselves. Since quartz is one of the last crystallizing magmatic minerals, and no significant phenocryst growth could have occurred in small dikes and stocks after final magma emplacement, quartz phenocrysts and their contained hornblende inclusions record the depth of last magma crystallization before final magma ascent. When present, hornblende phenocrysts and hornblende inclusions within other major phenocrysts were also analyzed. Both quartz and hornblende barometers return consistent average pressures of 3.2 ± 0.4 kbar for the entire suite of pre- to postmineralization magmas, corresponding to depths of 11 to 14 km. The synmineralization magmas return even more consistent average pressures of 3.1 ± 0.2 kbar, corresponding to a depth of 12 ± 1 km. The volume of the mineralizing porphyry dikes and stocks at the emplacement level is far too small to have provided all the fluids and metals required to form the observed ore deposits. Therefore, the majority of the ore-forming fluids must have originated from the magmas that crystallized at 12 ± 1 km depth. The ore deposits, conversely, formed at ~5-km paleodepth. This implies that most of the mineralizing fluids traveled an average vertical distance of ~7 km from their magmatic source to the eventual site of ore precipitation. The relatively unaltered nature and low veining degree of deeper parts of mineralized porphyry dikes and stocks suggest that the fluid transport through these intrusive bodies occurred mostly at near-solidus conditions by means of fluid percolation along grain boundaries. In summary, our results suggest that (1) a large, upper crustal pluton exists ~7 km beneath the Santa Rita and Hanover-Fierro deposits; (2) abundant phenocryst crystallization occurred at this depth level; and (3) this pluton was the main source for the exsolution of ore-forming fluids. However, the investigated rocks have elevated whole-rock Sr/Y ratios, indicating magma fractionation at deep crustal levels. As a result, our preferred model is a combination of the two end-member models introduced above, with most magma fractionation having occurred in the deep crust and with residual, intermediate to felsic melts having ascended and accumulated at 11 to 14 km paleodepth, where they continued to crystallize with comparatively little crystal-liquid separation, before some of these magmas ascended further to shallow levels and quenched to porphyries.

New Mexico

Characterization of change in tree cover state and condition over the conterminous United States

Variability in the effects of disturbances and extreme climate events can lead to changes in tree cover over time, including partial or complete loss, with diverse ecological consequences. It is therefore critical to identify in space and time the change processes that lead to tree cover change. Studies of change are often hampered by the lack of data capable of consistently detecting different types of change. Using the Landsat satellite record to create a long time-series of land cover and land cover change, the U.S. Geological Survey Land Change Monitoring Assessment and Projection (LCMAP) project has made an annual time series of land cover across the conterminous United States for the period 1985 to 2018. Multiple LCMAP products analyzed together with map validation reference plots provide a robust basis for understanding tree cover change. In LCMAP (Collection 1.2), annual change detection is based on harmonic model breaks calculated at each Landsat pixel from the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) algorithm. The results showed that the majority of CCDC harmonic model breaks (signifying change) indicated partial tree cover loss (associated with management practices such as tree cover thinning) as compared to complete tree cover loss (associated with practices like clearcut harvest or fire disturbance). Substantially fewer occurrences of complete tree cover loss were associated with change in land cover state. The area of annual tree cover change increased after the late 1990s and stayed high for the rest of the study period. The reference data showed that tree harvest dominated across the conterminous United States. The majority of tree cover change occurred in evergreen forests. Large estimates of disturbance-related tree cover change indicated that tree cover loss may have previously been underreported due to omission of partial tree cover loss in prior studies. This has considerable implications for forest carbon accounting along with tracking ecosystem goods and services.

Forests

Status and performance of the ShakeAlert® earthquake early warning system: 2019-2023

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)‐operated ShakeAlert® system is the United States West Coast earthquake early warning system ( Given et al. , 2018 ). In this study we detail ShakeAlert’s performance during some of the largest events seen by the system thus far. Statewide public alerting using ShakeAlert messages was authorized in California in October 2019. Over the next few years, public alerts were expanded into Oregon and then into Washington ( U.S. Geological Survey, 2024 ). ShakeAlert source results are routinely compared to the USGS Comprehensive Catalog (ComCat; Guy et al. , 2015 ; U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Hazards Program, 2017 ), which contains the earthquake location and magnitude determined using complete waveform data. M 4.5 and larger is the threshold used for public alerting and was deliberately set below the level where damage is likely to compensate for cases where the system underestimates the magnitude. Between 17 October 2019 and 1 September 2023, the ShakeAlert system created 95 events with maximum magnitude estimates of M ≥4.5, the public alerting threshold. 94 of the 95 events were due to real earthquakes. Seven were categorized “false” per ShakeAlert’s internal definition that there was no matching catalog event within 100 km and 30 s of origin time; however, all but one of these were real earthquakes that were poorly located, primarily because they were at the edges of the seismic network. Three detected events were labeled “missed” because they were very poorly located (>100 km location error). In addition, the system did not produce solutions for four ComCat events M ≥4.5 ( U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Hazards Program, 2017 ), which were all at the edge of the alerting and network boundaries. The ShakeAlert system has accurately detected the majority of earthquakes that have occurred within the operational region since completing the public rollout, and alerts from the system have been delivered to millions of cell phone users throughout the West Coast.

California, Oregon, Washington

Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake

On 5 April 2024, 10:23 a.m. local time, a moment magnitude 4.8 earthquake struck Tewksbury Township, New Jersey, about 65 km west of New York City. Millions of people from Virginia to Maine and beyond felt the ground shaking, resulting in the largest number (>180,000) of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) “Did You Feel It?” reports of any earthquake. A team deployed by the Geotechnical Extreme Events Reconnaissance Association and the National Institute of Standards and Technology documented structural and nonstructural damage, including substantial damage to a historic masonry building in Lebanon, New Jersey. The USGS National Earthquake Information Center reported a focal depth of about 5 km, consistent with a lack of signal in Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar data. The focal mechanism solution is strike slip with a substantial thrust component. Neither mechanism’s nodal plane is parallel to the primary northeast trend of geologic discontinuities and mapped faults in the region, including the Ramapo fault. However, many of the relocated aftershocks, for which locations were augmented by temporary seismic deployments, form a cluster that parallels the general northeast trend of the faults. The aftershocks lie near the Tewksbury fault, north of the Ramapo fault.

New Jersey