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Assessing locations susceptible to shallow landslide initiation during prolonged intense rainfall in the Lares, Utuado, and Naranjito municipalities of Puerto Rico

Hurricane Maria induced about 70 000 landslides throughout Puerto Rico, USA, including thousands each in three municipalities situated in Puerto Rico's rugged Cordillera Central range. By combining a nonlinear soil-depth model, presumed wettest-case pore pressures, and quasi-three-dimensional (3D) slope-stability analysis, we developed a landslide susceptibility map that has very good performance and continuous susceptibility zones having smooth, buffered boundaries. Our landslide susceptibility map enables assessment of potential ground-failure locations and their use as landslide sources in a companion assessment of inundation and debris-flow runout. The quasi-3D factor of safety, F 3 , showed strong inverse correlation to landslide density (high density at low F 3 ). Area under the curve (AUC) of true positive rate (TPR) versus false positive rate (FPR) indicated success of F 3 in identifying head-scarp points (AUC = 0.84) and source-area polygons (0.85 ≤ AUC ≤ 0.88). The susceptibility zones enclose specific percentages of observed landslides. Thus, zone boundaries use successive F 3 levels for increasing TPR of landslide head-scarp points, with zones bounded by F 3 at TPR = 0.75, very high; F 3 at TPR = 0.90, high; and the remainder moderate to low. The very high susceptibility zone, with 118 landslides km −2 , covered 23 % of the three municipalities. The high zone (51 landslides km −2 ) covered another 10 %.

Puerto Rice

Polystyrene microplastics alter the accumulation and elimination dynamics of silver nanoparticles in Daphnia magna

Rationale Microplastics (MPs) can interact with engineered nanomaterials and alter their environmental fate and bioavailability. However, their influence on the bioaccumulation dynamics of silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) in aquatic filter feeders under environmentally relevant conditions remains poorly understood. We hypothesized that polystyrene microplastics (PS-MPs) alter the uptake, elimination and overall bioaccumulation dynamics of AgNPs in Daphnia magna . Methodology Adult D. magna were exposed to isotopically labeled citrate-coated 109 AgNPs in the presence and absence of PS-MPs. Waterborne uptake, dietary uptake, assimilation efficiency, food ingestion and elimination were quantified experimentally and incorporated into a biodynamic model to predict steady-state silver (Ag) concentrations under environmentally relevant exposure scenarios. Results PS-MPs increased waterborne Ag accumulation by approximately eightfold compared with AgNPs exposure alone. However, Ag elimination was substantially faster, with 98% of accumulated Ag eliminated after five days of depuration compared with 66% without PS-MPs. PS-MPs also reduced food ingestion rates (IRs), while assimilation efficiency remained largely unchanged. Biodynamic modeling predicted that steady-state Ag accumulation was approximately fivefold greater in the presence of PS-MPs, with waterborne exposure becoming the dominant accumulation pathway. Discussion These findings suggest that PS-MPs alter bioaccumulation dynamics of AgNPs in filter-feeding organisms by enhancing organism-associated Ag during waterborne exposure while accelerating Ag elimination, likely through particle-associated transport and gut egestion. Collectively, these results underscore the complexity of Ag bioaccumulation processes when MPs and AgNPs interact and highlight the importance of studies conducted under environmentally relevant conditions.

Environmental Chemistry

Hydrogeologic framework of the Mountain Home area, southern Idaho

In the arid western Snake River Plain around the City of Mountain Home, Idaho, declining groundwater levels concern agricultural, municipal, and other water users who rely on groundwater for sustenance because surface-water resources are limited. The U.S. Geological Survey developed this hydrogeologic framework to provide an updated characterization of groundwater resources in the western Snake River Plain around the City of Mountain Home. The hydrogeologic framework comprises: (1) a conceptual description of hydrogeologic units, (2) a three-dimensional hydrogeologic model and borehole database, (3) a map of groundwater levels and change, and (4) a discussion of groundwater occurrence and movement within the study area. Hydrogeologic units were defined based on existing literature and the borehole database compiled for this study; the five hydrogeologic units are granite, rhyolite, basalt, fine-grained sediments, and coarse-grained sediments. Each unit can bear water, but the main regional aquifer in the study area occurs in the basalt and fine-grained sediment units with depth to water ranging from 150 to 765 feet. A perched groundwater zone near the City of Mountain Home is primarily hosted in basalt and used domestically with most depths to water ranging from 30 to 100 feet. Interflow zones, scoria, and vertical fractures create heterogeneity within the basalt hydrogeologic unit that exerts strong control on groundwater movement, creating horizontal perching conditions and zones of enhanced vertical conductivity that facilitate downward groundwater percolation. In the fine- and coarse-grained sediments and rhyolite units, inferred faults both impede and enhance groundwater movement. The borehole database was constructed by digitizing 540 well-driller reports and was used to build a three-dimensional hydrogeologic framework model which reasonably represents the spatial distribution of hydrogeologic units in the study area. Generally, fine-grained sediments underlie much of the study area, with basalt concentrated in the central and western study area and rhyolite and granite in the uplands to the north. Groundwater levels were measured in 180 wells in March and November 2023; these data were used to develop water-table contour maps and describe groundwater-level change over an irrigation season. Groundwater generally flows south-southwest to the Snake River and groundwater levels declined across most of the study area (from 0.03 to 22.01 feet) between spring and autumn 2023, which is consistent with long-term declines in the Cinder Cone Butte Critical Groundwater Area and Mountain Home Groundwater Management Area. Groundwater levels rose (0.6 to 15.44 feet) over the irrigation season in most wells in the perched groundwater zone near the City of Mountain Home and near the Snake River, indicating the importance of surface-water recharge to groundwater in areas where surface water irrigation occurs. In aggregate, this hydrogeologic framework provides an updated characterization of and new insights into groundwater resources in the study area to help inform water resources management.

Idaho

The 3D National Topography Model Call for Action—Part 2: The Next Generation 3D Elevation Program

The three-dimensional (3D) National Topography Model initiative to integrate elevation and hydrography data includes the next generation of hydrography data from the 3D Hydrography Program and the next generation of elevation data from the 3D Elevation Program (3DEP). The first-ever collection of light detection and ranging (lidar) data for the nation (IfSAR for Alaska) provides a critical baseline reference, and the addition of multiple repeat elevation mapping projects as part of the next generation of 3DEP would substantially expand analysis capabilities. As the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is closing in on our goal of complete coverage with 3DEP data available or in progress for 98.3 percent of the Nation at the end of fiscal year 2024, the USGS is already transitioning to the next generation of 3DEP. Based on the 3D Nation Study results and input from a broad range of stakeholders, the USGS National Geospatial Program has finalized a new design for 3DEP that provides increased lidar quality levels and refresh rates. The new program is designed with more flexibility to meet changing user needs and take advantage of improvements in mapping technologies. The program will aim to expand the level of interagency coordination for topobathymetric lidar acquisition for inland rivers. The next generation of 3DEP will also aim to emphasize research, including advancing program design, products, and services and engaging and leveraging the evolving 3D industry. Research goals also include becoming more flexible in meeting user needs and taking advantage of evolving remote-sensing technologies. The program also plans to move from focusing on producing standard products to producing a concept of a 3D Nation Ecosystem with a variety of inputs, products, and services.

Circular

An investigation of shallow ground-water quality near East Fork Poplar Creek, Oak Ridge, Tennessee

Alluvial soils and fill materials in and near the floodplain of East Fork Poplar Creek in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, are contaminated with various trace metals (primarily mercury), organic compounds, and radionuclides that were lost to the stream as a result of past operations at the Y-12 Plant, a nuclear-processing facility located within the U.S. Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge Reservation. Observation wells were installed in the shallow (above bedrock) aquifer in and near the floodplain of East Fork Poplar Creek and water-quality samples were collected to determine if contaminants found in the soils and fill are also present in the shallow ground water. The shallow aquifer in the East Fork Poplar Creek flood plain consists primarily of alluvial silt and clay with lesser amounts of sand and gravel. Thickness of the shallow aquifer ranges from essentially zero to as much as 20 feet. A silty-clay glei horizon is present between the base of the alluvium and the top of bedrock at most flood-plain locations and, where present, likely impedes downward ground-water movement. Water in the shallow aquifer near East Fork Poplar Creek occurs under water-table conditions. Recharge to the shallow aquifer is principally from precipitation, and discharge is through springs and seeps to East Fork Poplar Creek and its tributaries. During spring, summer; and fall, evapotranspiration also accounts for the removal of water in storage in the shallow aquifer. Water levels in the shallow aquifer fluctuate seasonally in response to variations in recharge and evapotranspiration. Generally, the depth to water in the observation wells ranged from about 1 to 4 feet below land surface in late winter, and from about 2 to 7 feet below land surface in late fall. During extremely dry periods, the water table recedes below the top of bedrock in some flood-plain areas, possibly causing East Fork Poplar Creek to lose water to the shallow aquifer along some reaches. Contaminants found in water samples collected from several of the observation wells in concentrations (total and (or) total-recoverable) which equaled or exceeded drinking-water standards established by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency are antimony, chromium, lead, mercury, selenium, total phenols, and strontium-90. Total and dissolved uranium concentrations exceeded 1.0 microgram per liter in samples from nearly 70 percent of the wells in the East Fork Poplar Creek flood plain. Organic compounds that were identified in low concentrations in samples from a few wells in the flood plain are: Arochlor 1260, benzo(a)anthracene, benzo(b)fluoranthene, chrysene, 3,3-dichlorobenzidine, di-n-butylphthalate, N-nitrosodiphenylamine, and pyrene. Water from one well in the East Fork Poplar Creek flood plain at a contaminated fill site contained 37and 8 micrograms per liter of trichloroethene and trans-1,2-dichloroethene, respectively. Comparison of the results of total and (or) total-recoverable trace-metal determinations with those from dissolved determinations demonstrates that elevated concentrations of these substances in water collected from several of the wells in the East Fork Poplar Creek flood plain resulted from sorption of trace metals (and possibly organic compounds and radionuclides) by fine sediment suspended in the samples. The occurrence of contaminated sediment in these samples is suspected to be the result of borehole contamination during well installation.

Tennessee

Metaproteomics and metagenomics reveal microbial pathways of organic matter degradation and methanogenesis in a marginally producing natural gas well

The expansion of natural gas production and utilization worldwide has led to the decline of many once-productive wells, eventually resulting in costly well-plugging and unused infrastructure. However, in areas like the Michigan basin, MI, where the majority of natural gas is biogenically produced, microbial communities could potentially be stimulated to generate additional methane, increasing gas supply and reducing the need to drill new wells. In this study, we performed metaproteomic, metagenomic, and geochemical analyses of Antrim Shale formation water from a marginally producing natural gas well to evaluate resident microbial community functions in the context of potential bioenergy production. Functional proteins involved in methanogenesis, degradation/catabolism (including organic matter degradation), biosynthesis, energy utilization, transmembrane transport, and stress response were among the most commonly identified groups. Three metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) were characterized, including Methanomicrobiaceae, Methanothrix , and Smithella . For each, the identified proteins involved in methanogenesis and the degradation of diverse organic compounds, strongly suggest their role in utilizing shale-derived organic matter. These findings provide an increased understanding of the microorganisms and their metabolisms generating natural gas in the Antrim Shale and establish a foundation for future stimulation efforts aimed at enhancing biogenic methane production in marginal gas wells.

Michigan

Critical minerals in orogenic (gold) and Coeur d’Alene-type mineral systems of the United States

Orogenic and Coeur d’Alene-type mineral systems are produced by metamorphic devolatilization of thick volcanic or siliciclastic sedimentary rock sequences and the focused flow of hydrothermal fluids upwards along crustal-scale faults. Most orogenic systems are found along the Cordilleran orogen, stretching from California northwards into Alaska, whereas most Coeur d’Alene-type systems occur in the Proterozoic Belt Basin in Idaho and Montana. Although the deposit types in these systems are exploited for precious and base metals, potential exists for the production of critical minerals necessary for current (2025) societal needs in the United States. Publicly available geochemical data compiled for these mineral systems, coupled with mineralogical characteristics, indicate that several critical minerals could potentially be recovered from unmined resources and processed mine waste: arsenic, antimony, tellurium, cobalt, and tungsten from orogenic gold deposits and zinc, antimony, arsenic, and manganese from Coeur d’Alene-type systems. These critical minerals reside primarily in arsenopyrite (arsenic), scheelite (tungsten), siderite (manganese), sphalerite (zinc), tetrahedrite (antimony and arsenic), stibnite (antimony), and telluride (tellurium) minerals.

continental United States

Site response and wave propagation effects in the eastern United States

Fourier amplitude spectra from regional earthquakes in the eastern United States are used in a parametric inversion for source, path, and site effects. Five earthquakes are selected for analysis during the installation of the United States National Seismic Network (US), Earthscope’s USArray Transportable Array (TA), and other temporary arrays to maximize station coverage. A global search algorithm is used to solve for site response from 0.1 to 15 Hz, corner frequency, geometrical spreading ( r - γ ), and frequency dependent anelastic attenuation in the form Q(f) = Q o f α . Tradeoff between moment and geometric spreading is handled by fixing the moment. The tradeoff between corner frequency and Q(f) is solved by selecting the value of corner frequency that minimizes an objective function defined over all stations. Values of site response and attenuation parameters show a strong spatial correlation with the physiographic provinces of the eastern United States. Site response for the Atlantic Coastal Plain is consistent with previous work using spectral ratios relative to a reference site, defined by strong resonance peaks correlated with the thickness of sediments. Site response for the other physiographic provinces is markedly different from the coastal plain, with a lack of distinct resonance peaks and a broad moderate high at frequences from 0.1 to 0.5 Hz consistent with the hard-rock geology of the regions. Like site response, Q(f) has a strong correlation with physiographic province, showing lower values on the coastal plain and higher values inland. Geometric spreading exponent, γ, decreases with increasing hypocenter distance from just above 1 at a few tens of kilometers to 0.9 at 500 km. The limited range in geometric spreading values is attributed to starting the Fourier transform window at the S ‐wave arrival for all distances and averaging over multiple wave types.

eastern United States

Hydrologic investigation of water level fluctuations at Moreau Lake, Moreau Lake State Park, town of Moreau, New York

The causes of water level fluctuations at Moreau Lake, within Moreau Lake State Park in the town of Moreau, New York, were investigated from 2016 to 2021 after lake water levels dropped between 2015 and 2016, raising concerns about the loss of a shallow swimming area at the park beach. Annual variation in precipitation records from the area did not account for the lake water level decline. Two possible causes for the low lake water levels were investigated: the increase in groundwater withdrawals from new residential development since about 2000 and seasonal changes (nongrowing and growing seasons) in precipitation. Investigation of the potential effects of nearby groundwater withdrawals required the compilation and collection of well-log data, seismic surveys, and measurements of lake and groundwater levels, field chemical parameters, and water isotopes to define the hydrogeologic system and to estimate water use. The net result of this work was the determination that Moreau Lake is a “flow though” lake with no surface water outlet; groundwater enters the lake on the upgradient side and exits through the downgradient side, however, groundwater does not flow southward from the lake toward nearby groundwater withdrawals from the semiconfined aquifer, and thus groundwater withdrawals were unlikely to have an effect on lake water levels. Investigation of the historic precipitation records during nongrowing (November through April) and growing (May through October) indicated that (1) nongrowing season precipitation from 2011–12 to 2015–16 was more deficient than any similar period during the past 78 years and (2) since about 2000, nongrowing seasons have been drier overall and growing seasons have been considerably wetter. Initiation of lake water level monitoring in 2016 provided an opportunity to compare seasonal precipitation with seasonal lake water level changes. Nongrowing season lake water levels are very sensitive to precipitation, such that high precipitation (40 percent above the seasonal median) resulted in a 5-foot rise in lake water level. In contrast, the growing season lake water levels are sensitive to dry conditions; for example, deficient rainfall (about 6 percent below the seasonal median) resulted in a decline of lake water levels of about 3.5 feet. However, lake water levels are insensitive to high growing season rainfall inputs (about 10 to 47 percent above the seasonal median); lake water levels consistently declined about by 0.8 feet above this range of seasonal excessive precipitation.

New York

Public water-supply systems and water use in Tennessee, 1988

This report summarizes the results of a study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation (TDEC), Division of Water Supply in 1988. Data gathered during an inventory by the TDEC were collated to determine water use, supply sources, population served, and design and storage capacities of the systems. The inventory was limited to systems that were active on June 30, 1988. Results of a survey of the systems conducted by the Tennessee Department of Health and Environment during 1988 were a primary source of data for this report. Data from computer and manual files maintained by the Tennessee Department of Health and Environment and the U.S. Geological Survey also were used. The Division of Water Supply, TDEC, surveyed 541 public water-supply systems. These systems served 81 percent of the population of the State, or 3.95 million people. The gross per capita use statewide for public-supplied water was 179 gallons per day. Total water withdrawals for public supply increased about 39 percent from 510 million gallons per day (Mgal/d) in 1980, to 708 Mgalld in 1988. During the same period, the population increased about 7 percent. Surface-water withdrawals accounted for 63 percent (446 Mgal/d) of the total water withdrawn in the State. All of these withdrawals occurred in the Tennessee (56 percent or 249 Mgal/d) and the Ohio (44 percent or 197 Mgalld) hydrologic regions. Ground water supplied 262 Mgal/d or 37 percent of the total water withdrawn by public-supply systems statewide. Of that amount, 79 percent, or 208 Mgalld, was used in western Tennessee.

Tennessee

How does the onset of offset influence geologic slip rates?

Geologic slip rates are typically based on the displacement accrued by a geomorphic or stratigraphic feature and the age of the offset feature. Because slip rates are commonly calculated by dividing the displacement of a faulted marker by its age, they contain two open time intervals: the elapsed time between the age of an offset feature and the age of the earthquake that displaced the feature, and the time between the present‐day and the most recent earthquake. Here, we explore the influence of including unconstrained open intervals in geologic slip rate calculations. We test the degree to which these open intervals affect geologic slip rates and their uncertainties, and we find that their influence depends primarily on mean earthquake recurrence intervals (RIs). Slip rates on faults with longer RIs, such as the Wasatch fault, can be greatly influenced by an increase of up to 20% when accounting for open intervals. In contrast, slip rates on faults with shorter RIs, such as the San Andreas fault, are only slightly influenced by the assumption that slip rates calculated over open intervals approximate those calculated over closed intervals. Our analyses indicate that faults with moderate slip rates (∼0.2–5 mm/yr) are sensitive to both open interval effects themselves, as well as methods to quantify and account for these effects. We re‐evaluate how slip rates are calculated and defined in displacement–time space using published deformation records. We explore the utility of assigning a probability distribution to the initiation of offset of the oldest faulted feature and the timing of the most recent earthquake (MRE). We find that calculating geologic slip rates without using probability distributions that capture the timing of the MRE and the onset of offset of the oldest faulted feature, especially on slow‐to‐moderate slip rate faults, can lead to systematic underestimation of average geologic slip rates.

Seismological Research Letters

The role of bedrock circulation depth and porosity in mountain streamflow response to prolonged drought

Quantitative understanding is lacking on how the depth of active groundwater circulation in bedrock affects mountain streamflow response to a multi‐year drought. We use an integrated hydrological model to explore the sensitivity of a variety of streamflow metrics to bedrock circulation depth and porosity under a plausible extreme drought scenario lasting up to 5 years. Endmember depth versus hydraulic conductivity relationships and porosity values for fractured crystalline rock are simulated. With drought, a deeper circulation system with higher drainable porosity more effectively buffers minimum flow and significantly limits perennial stream loss in comparison to a shallow circulation system. Streamflow buffering is accomplished through extensive groundwater storage loss. However, deeper circulation systems experience prolonged recovery from drought in comparison to storage‐limited shallow systems. Research highlights the importance of characterizing the deeper bedrock hydrogeology in mountainous watersheds to better understand and predict drought impacts on stream ecosystem health and water resource sustainability.

Colorado

Transmissivity and water quality of water-producing zones in the intermediate aquifer system, Sarasota County, Florida

The intermediate aquifer system is an important water source in Sarasota County, Florida, because the quality of water in it is usually better than that in the underlying Upper Floridan aquifer. The intermediate aquifer system consists of a group of up to three water-producing zones separated by less-permeable units that restrict the vertical movement of ground water between zones. The diverse lithology, that makes up the intermediate aquifer system, reflects the variety of depositional environments that occurred during the late Oligocene and Miocene epochs. Slight changes in the depositional environment resulted in aquifer heterogeneity, creating both localized connection between water-producing zones and abrupt culmination of water-producing zones that are not well documented. Aquifer heterogeneity results in vertical and areal variability in hydraulic and water-quality properties. The uppermost water-producing zone is designated producing zone 1 but is not extensively used because of its limited production capability and limited areal extent. The second water-producing zone is designated producing zone 2, and most of the domestic- and irrigation-supply wells in the area are open to this zone. Additionally, producing zone 2 is utilized for public supply in southern coastal areas of Sarasota County. Producing zone 3 is the lowermost and most productive water-producing zone in the intermediate aquifer system. Public-supply well fields serving the cities of Sarasota and Venice, as well as the Plantation and Mabry Carlton Reserve well fields, utilize producing zone 3. Heads within the intermediate aquifer system generally increase with aquifer depth. However, localized head-gradient reversals occur in the study area, coinciding with sites of intense ground-water withdrawals. Heads in producing zones 1, 2, and 3 range from 1 to 23, 0.2 to 34, and 7 to 42 feet above sea level, respectively. Generally, an upward head gradient exists between producing zones 3 and 2. However, an upward head gradient between producing zones 2 and 1 does not consistently occur throughout Sarasota County, probably the result of greater ground-water withdrawals from producing zone 2 than from producing zone 1. The transmissivity of the intermediate aquifer system is spatially variable. Specific-capacity data from selected wells penetrating producing zones 2 and 3, were used to estimate transmissivity. Estimated transmissivity values for producing zones 2 and 3 range from about 100 to 26,000 feet squared per day and from about 1,300 to 6,200 feet squared per day, respectively. Because the capacity of specific water-producing zones is highly variable from site to site, estimating the performance of a specific water-producing zone as a water resource is difficult. Water samples collected during the study were analyzed for major-ion concentrations. Generally, bicarbonate type water from rock interaction occurs in northern Sarasota County; enriched calcium-magnesium-sulfate type water from deeper aquifers occurs in central Sarasota County; and sodium-chloride type water from saltwater mixing occurs in southern Sarasota County. In some areas of northern Sarasota County, the major-ion concentrations in water are lower in producing zone 2 than in producing zone 1. Major-ion concentrations in water are higher in producing zone 3 throughout the study area. A major objective of the study was to evaluate hydraulic and water-quality data to determine distinctions that could be used to characterize a particular producing zone. However, data indicate that both hydraulic and water-quality properties are highly variable within and between zones, and are more related to the degree of connection between and areal extent of water-producing zones than to aquifer depth and distance from the coast.

Florida

Analysis of aquifer framework and properties, Alvahs Lane well field, Cutchogue, New York

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Suffolk County Water Authority, evaluated the aquifer transmissivity and storage properties at the Alvahs Lane well field north of the village of Cutchogue, New York. This analysis of aquifer properties provides the Suffolk County Water Authority with hydrogeologic information needed to develop water supplies to meet the increasing water demands of the residents of Suffolk County, New York. An aquifer test was conducted at the Alvahs Lane well field from October 18 through October 21, 2022, when a production well was pumped at 550 gallons per minute for about 24 hours, and groundwater-level drawdown and recovery were measured in two monitoring wells. The three wells are screened in a glaciofluvial aquifer under unconfined (water table) conditions. Drawdown and recovery data were analyzed with an analytical solution for partial penetration and delayed yield in an unconfined aquifer to provide estimates of the glaciofluvial aquifer properties. Inclusion of lateral aquifer boundaries was not necessary for the analysis to result in satisfactory matches with the observed water-level responses. Aquifer transmissivity was estimated at 32,000 feet squared per day. Assuming a saturated aquifer thickness of 120 feet, this result is equivalent to a horizontal hydraulic conductivity value of 270 feet per day. Specific yield was estimated at 0.15 (dimensionless). The estimated properties are consistent with those of a highly transmissive unconfined aquifer.

New York

Mafic alkaline magmatism and rare earth element mineralization in the Mojave Desert, California: The Bobcat Hills connection to Mountain Pass

Occurrences of alkaline and carbonatite rocks with high concentrations of rare earth elements (REE) are a defining feature of Precambrian geology in the Mojave Desert of southeastern California. The most economically important occurrence is the carbonatite stock at Mountain Pass, which constitutes the largest REE deposit in the United States. A central scientific goal is to understand the genesis of the carbonatite ore body in the context of widespread REE-rich igneous activity. A swarm of mafic alkaline (shonkinite) dikes has been mapped and sampled at Bobcat Hills, 65 km southeast of the Mountain Pass mine. Whole-rock geochemistry and zircon geochronology demonstrate a clear affinity to the ca. 1.4 Ga Mountain Pass intrusive system. Bobcat Hills dikes have comparably high REE concentrations (La ∼1,000× chondritic) and an error-weighted mean 207 Pb/ 206 Pb zircon crystallization age of 1,426 ± 2 Ma (2 σ ). Unlike the alkaline intrusions at Mountain Pass, which have abundant inherited zircon from Paleoproterozoic basement rocks and crustally influenced oxygen isotope compositions (δ 18 O zircon = 6.5–7.5‰), the Bobcat Hills dikes lack any evidence of crustal assimilation and have oxygen isotope values that overlap a mantle range (Bobcat Hills average δ 18 O zircon = 5.6 ± 0.3‰). The dikes were a high-temperature, early center of mafic alkaline magmatism in the Mojave Desert that serve as a snapshot of melt generation from a spatially extensive, metasomatized mantle source. We propose that modification of the crust over many tens of Myr at Mountain Pass created an environment that favored crustal assimilation and enabled ascent of late-stage, REE-rich carbonatite magmas.

California

The U.S. Geological Survey 2025 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands time-independent earthquake rupture forecast

We present the 2025 U.S. Geological Survey Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands (PRVI) time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast (ERF), developed for the 2025 update to the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for PRVI. The updated ERF improves upon a prior model from 2003, including an expanded fault inventory with slip‐rate estimates, updated seismicity catalogs, and refined subduction zone geometries and deformation models. It applies the fault‐system inversion methodology to solve for rates of ruptures on modeled faults, adapted from the 2023 NSHM (NSHM23) for the western United States, including the first application of the inversion to model rates on a U.S. subduction interface. Off‐fault and intraslab seismicity are constrained by observed seismicity and use updated methods developed for NSHM23. Uncertainties in model components are substantial, and the ERF represents epistemic uncertainties through a comprehensive logic tree consisting of 1.7 billion logic‐tree branches combined across all sources.

Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands

An evaluation of the effects of different deicing salt application rates on three watersheds in Essex County, New York

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the New York State Department of Transportation, evaluated the effects of different deicing salt application rates on surface water, groundwater, and highway runoff quality near State highways in northern New York. Three reaches of State highways were tested with different deicing treatments between October 2019 and November 2022: a salt-sand mixture (Treatment A), a salt mixture applied at a lower rate (Treatment B), and a control mixture consistent with typical deicing salt amounts and application rates. Data on pavement conditions and the quality of surface water, highway runoff, and groundwater were collected. Surface electromagnetic data were also collected. Surface-water and groundwater quality downgradient from the State highways were compared with water quality at upgradient locations. The percentage of snow or ice coverage was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the salt applications. This report provides an overview of the transport of deicing salt. The Treatment B watershed had deicing mixture applied more frequently than other highway reaches, which caused it to have the highest annual total chloride application. Despite differences in chloride application, flow-weighted mean chloride concentrations in highway runoff were comparable across treatments. Chloride concentrations were elevated in surface water and groundwater downgradient from highways relative to chloride concentrations upgradient from highways. A chloride mass balance, calculated for one treatment watershed, indicated that groundwater affected by legacy deicing practices may be contributing additional chloride to surface water. Spatial patterns from electromagnetic surveys show a shallow saline plume alongside the highway in that area. Differences in winter severity and pavement-surface conditions drove deicing salt applications in the treatment areas. This study found that several factors affect chloride loads in the watersheds, including variable winter conditions, adaptive snow and ice management, legacy management practices, and area-specific aquifer and groundwater conditions.

New York

Conceptualization and simulation of groundwater flow and groundwater availability in the Boone and Roubidoux aquifers in northeastern Oklahoma, 1980–2017

Oklahoma Groundwater Law (Oklahoma Statute § 82-1020.5) requires that the Oklahoma Water Resources Board conduct hydrologic investigations to determine the maximum annual yield for the State’s groundwater basins. The Boone and Roubidoux aquifers (also known as the Springfield Plateau aquifer and Ozark aquifer, respectively) are bedrock aquifers that extend from northeastern Oklahoma into Kansas, Arkansas, and Missouri. At present (2024), the Oklahoma Water Resources Board has yet to legally issue orders for the final determination of maximum annual yields for the Boone and Roubidoux aquifers. To support determination of a maxi­mum annual yield, the U.S. Geological Survey, in coopera­tion with the Oklahoma Water Resources Board, developed a hydrogeologic framework, a conceptual groundwater-flow model, and a calibrated numerical groundwater-flow model for the Boone and Roubidoux aquifers. Three types of groundwater-availability scenarios were simulated by using the calibrated numerical model. These scenarios were used to (1) estimate equal-proportionate-share groundwater withdrawal rates (groundwater withdrawal applied equally over the aquifer), (2) quantify the potential effects of projected groundwater withdrawals on groundwater storage over a 50-year period, and (3) simulate the poten­tial effects of a hypothetical 10-year drought. For the Boone aquifer, equal-proportionate-share groundwater withdrawal rates were 1.10, 0.98, and 0.96 acre-feet per acre per year for the 20-, 40-, and 50-year scenarios, respectively. For the Roubidoux aquifer, equal-proportionate-share groundwater withdrawal rates were 1.76, 1.34, and 1.25 acre-feet per acre per year for the 20-, 40-, and 50-year simulations, respectively. For the 50-year scenarios, stream seepage was minimally affected. Over the 10-year drought scenario, groundwater storage in the Boone and Roubidoux aquifers decreased by 660,451 acre-feet (6.7 percent) and 508,472 acre-feet (1.0 per­cent), respectively.

Oklahoma