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359 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Site response and wave propagation effects in the eastern United States

Fourier amplitude spectra from regional earthquakes in the eastern United States are used in a parametric inversion for source, path, and site effects. Five earthquakes are selected for analysis during the installation of the United States National Seismic Network (US), Earthscope’s USArray Transportable Array (TA), and other temporary arrays to maximize station coverage. A global search algorithm is used to solve for site response from 0.1 to 15 Hz, corner frequency, geometrical spreading ( r - γ ), and frequency dependent anelastic attenuation in the form Q(f) = Q o f α . Tradeoff between moment and geometric spreading is handled by fixing the moment. The tradeoff between corner frequency and Q(f) is solved by selecting the value of corner frequency that minimizes an objective function defined over all stations. Values of site response and attenuation parameters show a strong spatial correlation with the physiographic provinces of the eastern United States. Site response for the Atlantic Coastal Plain is consistent with previous work using spectral ratios relative to a reference site, defined by strong resonance peaks correlated with the thickness of sediments. Site response for the other physiographic provinces is markedly different from the coastal plain, with a lack of distinct resonance peaks and a broad moderate high at frequences from 0.1 to 0.5 Hz consistent with the hard-rock geology of the regions. Like site response, Q(f) has a strong correlation with physiographic province, showing lower values on the coastal plain and higher values inland. Geometric spreading exponent, γ, decreases with increasing hypocenter distance from just above 1 at a few tens of kilometers to 0.9 at 500 km. The limited range in geometric spreading values is attributed to starting the Fourier transform window at the S ‐wave arrival for all distances and averaging over multiple wave types.

eastern United States

A methods framework for evaluating measurement consistency across spectrometers for multispectral uncrewed aerial system vegetation mapping applications

The U.S. Geological Survey collects remote sensing data to support national scientific assessments of natural resources, hazards, and landscape change. Spectrometers and spectroradiometers are essential for gathering point-based spectral measurements used in applications such as uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) multispectral image calibration, validation, and analysis. Evaluating how different instruments perform in laboratory and field environments helps determine whether they provide consistent, interoperable measurements. Such verification can expand access to spectral ground data during UAS operations by allowing scientists to use alternative instruments when budgets, logistics, or field conditions limit options. We propose and test a methodological framework for evaluating spectrometers for measurement consistency during UAS multispectral vegetation mapping applications. There are three central evaluation components to the framework: laboratory, field, and relative to UAS multispectral imagery. By evaluating the instruments in both relatively controlled and uncontrolled environments, we thoroughly examine measurement consistency and when/why measurements may differ. We opportunistically selected two instruments for a case study in a coastal marsh setting: a compact laboratory spectrometer we modified for field use and a field-ready spectroradiometer. The instruments produced consistent measurements in both environments. We found differences between the field spectra and UAS spectra that likely reflect the perspectives of ground vs. aerial data and indicate that further radiometric calibration may be needed.

Massachusetts

Site response in the Walnut Creek–Concord region of the San Francisco Bay, California: Ground motion amplification in a fault-bounded basin

Thirty‐seven portable accelerometers were deployed in the eastern San Francisco Bay communities of Walnut Creek and Concord to study site response in a fault‐bounded, urban, sedimentary basin. Local earthquakes were recorded for a period of two years from 2017 to 2019 resulting in 101 well‐recorded events. Site response is estimated by two methods: the reference site spectral ratio method and a source‐site spectral inversion method. The reference site spectral ratio method allows investigation of the variability of site amplification with source azimuth and frequency. The source‐site spectral inversion method yields the best least‐squares fit to site response for a database of ground‐motion records. Both methods show substantial amplification in the Walnut Creek–Concord basin below 2 Hz indicating strong surface‐wave development. Greater amplification is seen for sources aligned along the long axis of the basin. Inversion using close‐in sources at short distances yields lower amplification at longer periods than the entire data set due to reduced surface‐wave generation for steeper angles of incidence. Inversion of site response spectra for shallow shear‐wave velocity using a global search algorithm yields V S30 values consistent with generalized mapping results based on geology and topography but with greater variability due to local site variations. 3D finite‐element modeling shows greater amplification in the Walnut Creek–Concord basin with a basin‐edge effect likely contributing to higher ground motions. Topography is also seen to lead to increased scattering and shadowing effects.

California

Hyperspectral (VNIR-SWIR) analysis of roll front uranium host rocks and industrial minerals from Karnes and Live Oak Counties, Texas Coastal Plain

VNIR-SWIR (400–2500 nm) reflectance measurements were made on the surfaces of various cores, cuttings and sample splits of sedimentary rocks from the Tertiary Jackson Group, and Catahoula, Oakville and Goliad Formations. These rocks vary in composition and texture from mudstone and claystone to sandstone and are known host rocks for roll front uranium occurrences in Karnes and Live Oak Counties, Texas. Spectral reflectance profiles, 569 in total, were reduced to 125 representative spectral signatures, which were analyzed using the U.S. Geological Survey's (USGS) Material Identification and Characterization Algorithm (MICA). MICA uses an automated continuum-removal procedure together with a least-squares linear regression to determine the fit of observed sample spectral absorption features to those of reference mineral standards in a spectral library. The reference minerals include various clay, mica, carbonate, ferric and ferrous iron minerals and their mixtures. In addition, absorption feature band-depth analysis was done to identify rock surfaces exhibiting absorption features related to uranium and zeolite minerals, which were not included in the command files used to execute MICA. Rocks from each of the four geologic units produced broadly similar spectral signatures as a result of comparable mineral compositions, but there were some notable differences. For example, Ca- and Na-montmorillonite was matched most frequently to the spectral absorption features in 2-μm (∼2000–2500 nm) wavelengths, while goethite occurred often at 1-μm (∼400–1000 nm) wavelengths. The latter is related to limonitic iron-staining in and around oxidized zones of the uranium roll front as described in previous papers. Rocks of the Jackson Group differed from those of the Catahoula, Oakville and Goliad units in that the former exhibited spectral features we interpret as being due to the presence of lignite-bearing mudstone layers. Goliad rocks exhibit spectral features related to dolomite, gypsum, anhydrite, and an unidentified green clay mineral that is possibly glauconite . Jackson Group rocks also exhibit weak but well-resolved absorption features at 964 and 1157 nm related to either or both zeolite minerals clinoptilolite and heulandite. These zeolite minerals and a few spectra exhibiting hydrous silica absorption features are indicative of alteration of volcanic glass in tuffaceous mudstone and claystone layers. A few sample spectra exhibited strong absorption features at around 1135 nm related to the uranium mineral coffinite. Both the 1135 nm coffinite and 1157 nm zeolite absorption features overlap somewhat, potentially making them difficult to distinguish without additional hyperspectral field, laboratory or remote sensing data. The results of this study were compared to mixtures of minerals described for ore, gangue and alteration minerals in deposit models for sandstone-hosted uranium, sedimentary bentonite and sedimentary zeolite. Use of these spectra can help facilitate mapping of both waste materials from the legacy mining of the above commodities, as well as future exploration and resource assessment activities.

Texas

Apatite (U-Th)/He thermochronology from Marsh Creek anticline reconciles Cenozoic and Holocene strain patterns and elucidates the Cenozoic canning displacement zone of Arctic Alaska

The northeastern Brooks Range is a vast fold-thrust belt that records the northernmost expression of Cenozoic deformation in Alaska, likely with complex dynamic linkages to distant tectonic elements. The principal focus of this manuscript is the Marsh Creek anticline (MCA), which is a large and recently active structure within the broader northeastern Brooks Range. The MCA is a complex, polyphase structure mostly buried beneath the Arctic coastal plain. We present apatite (U-Th)/He (AHe) dates from six outcrop samples, all near the structural crest of the anticline, as well as supporting detrital zircon U/Pb (ZUPb) age spectra from five outcrop samples. The AHe sample transect spans ~3 km of structural relief. The four shallowest AHe samples are not reset. However, the two deepest samples exhibit low intrasample variability among replicates and strong date versus grain radius correlations, suggesting post-depositional burial heating to within the AHe partial retention zone. Inverse thermal history modeling of these data resolves a protracted phase of exhumational cooling that began around 33–28 Ma. Detrital ZUPb age spectra from Paleogene strata support an interpretation of diverse inherited thermal histories recorded by the AHe data, and they are also consistent with extant reconstructions of Paleogene sediment dispersal. Placed into regional context, the results constrain a phase of increasing structural relief in the northeastern Brooks Range fold-thrust belt that began by the Eocene. The relief developed in a zone characterized by diminishing structural relief to the west called the Canning displacement zone. Although this zone was active since the Eocene, several structures including the studied part of the MCA were rapidly exhumed in the Oligocene. Lastly, we argue for kinematic compatibility between Cenozoic contraction and active strike-slip in the northeastern Brooks Range, with the temporal change in strain style likely reflecting the increase in structural relief and topography.

Alaska

New occurrences of the rare, REE minerals daqingshanite, törnebohmite, biraite, sahamalite, and ferriperbøeite from the Sheep Creek area, Montana, USA

Over 30 small, discontinuous, tabular carbonatite bodies are located in the Sheep Creek area, Ravalli County, southwest Montana. The age and origin of these REE-Nb-rich deposits are currently being investigated. The purpose of this paper is to document the occurrence of several rare minerals, including daqingshanite, törnebohmite, biraite, sahamalite, and ferriperbøeite, in two of the carbonatite bodies. These minerals are found in association with monazite, hydroxylbastnäsite, ferriallanite, calcite, dolomite, baryte, quartz, actinolite, apatite, celsian, and Sr-rich aragonite. Automated SEM-EDS was used to target the areas of interest in polished specimens for more detailed spot SEM-EDS and electron probe microanalysis. Raman spectra were also acquired for each of the rare minerals. The complex mineralogy of the Sheep Creek carbonatites is most likely due to several overlapping thermal events, including primary magmatic, overprinting hydrothermal, and supergene weathering stages. The rare minerals described in this study are believed to be hydrothermal and/or carbothermal in origin, although no estimates of temperature are available at this time.

Montana

Geology and geochemistry of Jurassic plutonic rocks, Baboquivari Mountains, south-central Arizona

Among the plutons of the Jurassic magmatic arc segment in southern Arizona, northern Sonora, and southern California, two distinctive rock types dominate, occurring together in numerous mountain ranges: porphyritic, titanite-bearing hornblende-biotite granodiorite; and biotite leucogranite. These characteristic rocks are particularly well preserved and well exposed around Kitt Peak, in the Baboquivari Mountains, southern Arizona. The Middle to early Late Jurassic Kitt Peak Plutonic Suite (KPPS) comprises three units: Aguirre Peak Quartz Diorite (APQD;<170 Ma, >=165 Ma, U-Pb), chiefly hornblende mesodiorite; Kitt Peak Granodiorite (KPGD; 165 Ma), hornblende-biotite granodiorite and monzogranite; and Pavo Kug Granite (PKG; 159 Ma), equigranular biotite leucogranite. This range also hosts a fourth, regionally unusual, Jurassic plutonic unit: the Baboquivari Peak Perthite Granite, related to post-arc, Late Jurassic crustal extension. Binary variation diagrams, incompatible element patterns, and REE spectra indicate APQD and KPGD are consanguineous. APQD basaltic mesodiorite evidently approximates the parental magma for the APQD–KPGD series. More evolved rocks of this series evidently formed by combinations of fractional crystallization and mixing with or assimilation of crustal material. PKG is less directly related to APQD and KPGD than these two are to one another.

Arizona, Sonora

Effective site coefficients for the 2024 International Building Code (IBC)

The U.S. National Seismic Hazard Models (NSHMs), developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), have long been the scientific foundation of seismic design guidelines and have been used to compute design ground motions for construction of new buildings and retrofit of existing buildings in the United States and its territories. The 2018 NSHM is adopted by the 2024 International Building Code (IBC). Prior to the 2018 NSHM update, hazard calculations were required only at one reference site condition defined by V S30 =760 m/s (where V S30 is the time-averaged shear wave velocity from the surface to a depth of 30 m) and three periods (peak ground acceleration, PGA, and pseudo spectral accelerations at periods of 0.2 and 1 s, S s and S 1 ). Site coefficients, F PGA , F a , and F v , were then defined by the Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) Provisions Update Committee (PUC) in the site-specific procedures of National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program (NEHRP) Recommended Seismic Provisions to calculate ground motions for other site classes with different V S30 values at the given periods. The design ground motions at other periods were then estimated using a generic spectral shape that was also defined by the BSSC PUC in NEHRP provisions. In recent years, the engineering community has realized there were deficiencies with the F a and F v site coefficients and the generic spectral shape. To avoid potentially dangerous underestimations of design ground motions for long period structures on soft site conditions in high seismicity regions, the BSSC PUC recommended the use of multi-period response spectra (MPRS) in 2017. As a result, the USGS produced multi-period and multi-V S30 response spectral values in the 2018 NSHM for calculations of design ground motions and the site coefficients F a and F v were eliminated from the 2020 NEHRP Provisions. As these site coefficients were widely used inside and outside of the United States, in this study we back-calculate the “effective” site coefficients F a,eff , and F v,eff by comparing MPRS for various site classes with the MPRS for the reference site condition, and discuss the changes that are observed in the 2024 IBC compared to its previous version in 2021. The effective site coefficients are presented for test site locations and their dependence on various factors including period, ground motion intensity, and regional models are discussed. Ratio maps between the new effective site coefficients and the old ones are then presented for soft site classes and for short and long periods. For soft site classes at short periods, the new effective site coefficients are lower than the old site coefficients for high seismicity regions and higher for low seismicity regions. As it was expected, for soft site classes at long periods and high seismicity regions, the new effective site coefficients are much larger than the old site coefficients without imposing the 50% increase as a penalty that was suggested in the 2021 IBC, whereas they could be much smaller if the 50% increase would have been imposed particularly around New Madrid and Charleston high seismicity regions. For low seismicity regions, the long period effective site coefficients can be smaller or larger by 20% compared to the 2021 IBC coefficients.

Conference Paper

Using peak geometry and shifts in the x-ray spectrum of carbon from electron probe microanalysis to determine thermal maturity of organic matter

During the burial of mudstones, the associated organic matter undergoes gradual thermal maturation, a key process that can influence the reactivity of organic matter during catagenesis, the formation of hydrocarbon deposits and the chemical weathering of mudstones. Conventional methods for assessing the thermal maturity of organic matter often fail to reflect the geochemical heterogeneity between individual organic phases in mudstone samples. Here, we report an alternative, non-destructive, surficial and micro-scale (analytical spot size of ~ 300 nm with about 4 μm diffusion depth for micrometre-size organic grains) method to evaluate the thermal maturity of organic matter in mudstones using the carbon K α X-ray spectrum measured by field emission-electron probe microanalyser (FE-EPMA). Using this method, we observed correlations between parameter values derived from FE-EPMA spectra, including the peak position, the peak area and the intra-sample heterogeneity of these measurements, and independently measured vitrinite/solid bitumen reflectance for a suite of mudstones, representing different age, geological context and burial depth. With the increased values in peak area and position, we identified an increase in the carbon mass fraction of organic matter and the mean nominal oxidation state of carbon approaching zero. These trends, which are consistent with aromatisation and graphitisation, provide the rationale for using FE-EPMA to estimate the thermal maturity of organic matter. To explore some of these trends in more detail, we employed time-of-flight secondary ionisation mass spectrometry, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy and optical reflectance measurements on a subset of samples.

Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research

An orbital comparison of a late mantling unit on Aeolis Mons with other erosion-resistant strata explored by MSL in Gale crater, Mars

Previous investigations along Curiosity 's traverse in Gale crater have explored the relationship between orbital and in situ observations. This work aims to better understand the geologic environment of units only observable from orbit and compare them to the properties of units examined by Curiosity . Here, we map an erosion-resistant dark-toned mantling unit that overlies the modern topography of Aeolis Mons (informally known as Mt. Sharp) and compare this unit to two other previously mapped dark-toned resistant units, the marker band and the mound skirting unit (MSU), that have been inferred to represent different geologic environments (lacustrine and aeolian, respectively). Visible to short wave infrared spectra from the Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars and visual images from the High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment and Context Cameras aboard the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter are used for this comparison. Spectral data suggest a mafic composition with minor alteration, although the composition varies more with location around Mt. Sharp rather than between units. Morphologically, the mantling unit has strong similarities to the marker band based on their consistent low-albedo, erosion-resistance, and smooth appearance, contrasting with the highly variable surface texture of the MSU. We hypothesize that all three units had a similar sediment source but experienced aqueous alteration at different times: early ubiquitous cementation in a surface aqueous environment in the mantling unit and marker band versus patchy late diagenesis in the MSU. If true, these results suggest that water activity continued within the Gale crater long after the erosion of Mt. Sharp.

JGR Planets

Pre-Acadian tectonics of the eastern Orange-Milford Belt, south-central Connecticut

This excursion presents a reinterpretation of mapping and new analytical data from the eastern Orange-Milford belt (OMB) in south-central Connecticut. The OMB is a fault-bound terrane of argillites and mafic rocks of anomalously low metamorphic grade—and of poorly constrained ages and tectonic affinity—wedged between kyanite/sillimanite-grade peri- Laurentian rocks to the west and anatectic peri-Gondwanan rocks to the east (Fig. 1A). Our data demonstrate that Ordovician(?) igneous and sedimentary rocks of the OMB were variably metamorphosed in the Ordovician and Silurian but escaped regionally pervasive, high-grade Devonian and later metamorphism. Previous interpretations (Fritts 1963a, 1965a, 1965b; Burger, 1967; Burger and others, 1968; Rodgers, 1985) described these rocks as a conformable sequence of low-grade, Ordovician to Devonian metasediments and metavolcanics. Our results reveal that the “metavolcanics” are not extrusive rocks but rather slivers of lower oceanic crust with complicated high- and low-grade metamorphic fabrics, intruded by a swarm of Silurian sheeted basalt dikes, and in fault contact with the surrounding metasediments. The purpose of this trip is to show evidence of early Paleozoic (Taconic) deformation and metamorphism preserved in rocks of the eastern OMB. These rocks remained shallow, cool, and sufficiently dry during the regionally dominant Acadian and Alleghanian orogenies to have avoided significant overprinting. As such, these rocks serve as windows into a geologic history otherwise unavailable between anatectic rocks of the peri-Gondwanan Bronson Hill, Avalon, and Gander terranes east of the Hartford basin and sillimanite-grade rocks of the peri-Laurentian Hartland and gneiss dome belts west of the OMB. We present major and trace element geochemistry including rare-earth element patterns for all mafic units in the eastern OMB as well as 40 Ar/ 39 Ar age spectra of amphibole, muscovite, and K-feldspar from rocks of the Maltby Lakes complex (of Deasy and others, 2017), Savin Schist, and Wepawaug Schist. Our evidence demonstrates that the units of the OMB have been assembled by faulting or intrusion, and that no stratigraphic relationships exist between the argillaceous schists and the metaigneous rocks.

Connecticut

Geological context and significance of the clay-sulfate transition region in Mount Sharp, Gale crater, Mars: An integrated assessment based on orbiter and rover data

On Mars, phyllosilicate (“clay”) minerals are often associated with older terrains, and sulfate minerals are associated with younger terrains, and this dichotomy is taken as evidence that Mars’ surface dried up over time. Therefore, in situ investigation of the Mount Sharp strata in Gale crater, which record a shift from dominantly clay-bearing to sulfate-bearing minerals, as seen in visible−near-infrared orbital reflectance spectra, is a key science objective for the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) Curiosity rover mission. Here, we present regional (orbiter-based) and in situ (rover-based) evidence for a low-angle erosional unconformity that separates the lacustrine and marginal lacustrine deposits of the Carolyn Shoemaker formation from the dominantly eolian deposits of the lower Mirador formation within the orbitally defined clay-sulfate transition region. The up-section record of wetter (Carolyn Shoemaker formation) to drier (lower Mirador formation) depositional conditions is accompanied by distinct changes in diagenesis. Clay minerals occur preferentially within the Carolyn Shoemaker formation and are absent within the lower members of the Mirador formation. At and above the proposed unconformity, strata are characterized by an increase in diagenetic nodules enriched in X-ray amorphous Mg-sulfate. Early clay formation in the Carolyn Shoemaker formation may have created a hydraulic barrier such that later migrating magnesium- and sulfur-rich fluids accumulated preferentially within the lower members of the Mirador formation. The proposed unconformity may have also acted as a fluid conduit to further promote Mg-sulfate nodule formation at the Carolyn Shoemaker−Mirador formation boundary. These results confirm an association of the clay-sulfate transition with the drying of depositional environments, but they also suggest that at least some orbital sulfate signatures within the region are not time-congruent with the environmental signals extracted from primary sedimentology. Our findings highlight that complex interactions among primary depositional environment, erosion, and diagenesis contribute to the transition in clay-sulfate orbital signatures observed in the stratigraphy of Mount Sharp.

GSA Bulletin

Confocal laser-scanning microscopy (CLSM)-based thermal maturity of Tasmanites and progress in standardization of fluorescence microspectrometry

Evaluation of thermal maturity in vitrinite-free or vitrinite-deficient sediments via fluorescence microspectrometry can provide relevant information related to petroleum exploration and thermal history assessment. However, variation in spectral fluorescence properties of alginite macerals with increasing thermal maturity is largely underexplored. Here, authors of this study have applied confocal laser-scanning microscopy (CLSM) in conjunction with fluorescence microspectrometry to a maturity series of marine Upper Devonian Tasmanites algae from the Ohio Shale (Huron Member) and a single sample from the Marcellus Formation of the Appalachian Basin. Spectral fluorescence properties of Tasmanites were evaluated in relation to orientation, measurement location, and the number of measurements per sample, and were compared to published literature. Emission spectra of Tasmanites from continuous wave laser excitation (405 nm) were acquired from sections perpendicular and parallel to bedding and at different positions within individual Tasmanites bodies. The results showed a progressive red-shift in emission maxima (λ max ) in a large sample sized maturity series ( N = 19), e.g., 493 to 578 nm for the perpendicular section at middle position. Further, blue-shifted apex and mineral-adjacent positions within sections perpendicular to bedding were observed, with the latter being reported here for the first time. While blue-shift at apex positions can be attributed to mechanical deformation-induced reorientation of photoselected fluorophores, the blue-shifted mineral-adjacent positions could result from strain loading and development of a plastic deformation region at the mineral contact zone with Tasmanites . A decrease in standard deviation with increasing number of measured emission maxima is well-observed, and 15 to 20 individual measurements per sample appears sufficient for low standard deviation and coefficient of variance. CLSM-derived thermal maturity parameters indicated that a moderate positive correlation of red/green quotient (Q 650/500 ; R 2 = 0.67) with solid bitumen reflectance (BR o in %) exists. For reproducible results, the determination of λ max and Q 650/500 should be conducted exclusively in the middle position at perpendicular and parallel sections of the polished whole-rock pellets, where the lowest standard deviation in measurement was observed. These results strengthen the suitability and relevance of the CLSM technique in thermal maturity studies of dispersed organic matter (DOM) and contribute to the standardization of fluorescence microspectrometry methods in organic petrology investigation.

Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia, West Virginia

Constraining the earthquake recording threshold of intraslab earthquakes with turbidites in southcentral Alaska’s lakes and fjords

Strong ground motion from intraslab earthquakes, which do not produce primary paleoseismic evidence, may initiate gravity-driven turbidity flows in subaqueous basins. The resulting deposits (turbidites) can provide a paleoseismic proxy if the conditions that initiate these flows are known. To better constrain the initiating conditions, we use two recent intraslab earthquakes in southcentral Alaska, the M w 7.1 30 November 2018 Anchorage earthquake and the M w 7.1 24 January 2016 Iniskin earthquake, as calibration events. Through a multilake investigation, we document the occurrence, or the absence, of earthquake-generated turbidity flows from these two events. Both earthquakes are recorded by centimeter-scale turbidites that can be differentiated from climatically generated deposits, as well as other seismic sources based on deposit thickness, sedimentological properties, and deposit age. We show that a Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) of ∼V–V1/2 is the minimum shaking intensity required to generate localized sediment remobilization from deltaic slopes, and an MMI of ∼V1/2 is required to produce a deposit of sufficient thickness that a seismic origin can be confidently assigned. The documentation of seismically generated deposits in quick succession (∼2 years) with diagnostic features highlights the utility of using recent earthquakes as calibration events to investigate the subaqueous response to strong ground motion.

Alaska

Stress states on the eve of past earthquakes inform earthquake rupture through fault complexity along the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults

Estimating the evolving state of stress along active fault systems can provide insight into the conditions that generated past ground‐rupturing earthquakes and influenced their ability to propagate through areas of geometric complexity, such as fault branches and stepovers. We use quasi‐static forward numerical models that incorporate the 3D complex configuration of active faults in southern California to estimate shear tractions on the geometrically complex southern San Andreas and San Jacinto faults from 1000 to 1900 C.E. These tractions include interseismic accumulation of traction due to tectonic loading, viscoelastic relaxation of shear stress within the upper crust between earthquakes, and effects of other earthquakes on the fault network. We simulate ground‐rupturing earthquakes based on the along‐strike earthquake extents modeled by Scharer and Yule (2020) , assuming that stress drop is complete in each earthquake. We use Monte Carlo simulations to estimate uncertainty in evolving shear tractions due to uncertainties in earthquake timing and in upper‐crustal viscosity. Pre‐earthquake shear tractions typically do not exceed ∼2 MPa. Although ruptures with length <200 km have pre‐earthquake shear tractions that range from near zero to ∼1.75 MPa, these tractions are not less than ∼0.4 MPa for earthquakes with rupture length >200 km. Earthquakes with long (>200 km) ruptures occur only in the single‐stranded part of the system, whereas those with short (<125 km) rupture length and high pre‐earthquake shear traction occur near fault stepovers and branches. This suggests that high accumulated shear traction encourages longer rupture propagation, but may not be sufficient to overcome geometric complexities. This modeling approach informs our understanding of rupture propagation and provides estimates of fault shear tractions that are unavailable from direct measurements.

Callifornia

Earthquake probabilities and hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest

Earthquakes and their cascading consequences pose a significant threat to the people, environment, infrastructure, and economy of the U.S. Pacific Northwest. The Pacific Northwest is susceptible to three types of earthquakes: deep (intraslab) earthquakes, subduction zone (megathrust) earthquakes, and shallow crustal earthquakes. For each of these earthquake types, earth scientists can use a variety of methods to estimate the probability of occurrence for future events, which constrains seismic hazard and informs building codes. The timing of past earthquakes indicates that there is an 85-percent chance of a magnitude 6.5 or greater deep earthquake in the Puget Sound region; a 10-15-percent chance of an approximately magnitude 9 earthquake on the Cascadia Subduction Zone; and a 17-percent chance of a magnitude 6.5 or greater crustal fault earthquake in the Puget Sound region in the next 50 years. Individuals and communities can take simple steps to prepare for and reduce the impact of future earthquakes.

California, Oregon, Washington

Telecommunications fiber for sensing earthquake aftershocks: Progress and hurdles

Aftershocks offer valuable clues to earthquake behavior. The challenge: quickly deploying sensors to capture the early details of earthquake ruptures within the zone of aftershocks. Telecommunication fibers might be an answer, providing denser networks in otherwise difficult areas, potentially faster than traditional methods.

Conference Paper