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Public review draft: A method for assessing carbon stocks, carbon sequestration, and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of the United States under present conditions and future scenarios

The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA), Section 712, authorizes the U.S. Department of the Interior to develop a methodology and conduct an assessment of the Nation's ecosystems focusing on carbon stocks, carbon sequestration, and emissions of three greenhouse gases (GHGs): carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. The major requirements include (1) an assessment of all ecosystems (terrestrial systems, such as forests, croplands, wetlands, shrub and grasslands; and aquatic ecosystems, such as rivers, lakes, and estuaries), (2) an estimation of annual potential capacities of ecosystems to increase carbon sequestration and reduce net GHG emissions in the context of mitigation strategies (including management and restoration activities), and (3) an evaluation of the effects of controlling processes, such as climate change, land use and land cover, and wildlfires. The purpose of this draft methodology for public review is to propose a technical plan to conduct the assessment. Within the methodology, the concepts of ecosystems, carbon pools, and GHG fluxes used for the assessment follow conventional definitions in use by major national and international assessment or inventory efforts. In order to estimate current ecosystem carbon stocks and GHG fluxes and to understand the potential capacity and effects of mitigation strategies, the method will use two time periods for the assessment: 2001 through 2010, which establishes a current ecosystem GHG baseline and will be used to validate the models; and 2011 through 2050, which will be used to assess future potential conditions based on a set of projected scenarios. The scenario framework is constructed using storylines of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report Emission Scenarios (SRES), along with initial reference land-use and land-cover (LULC) and land-management scenarios. An additional three LULC and land-management mitigation scenarios will be constructed for each storyline to enhance carbon sequestration and reduce GHG fluxes in ecosystems. Input from regional experts and stakeholders will be solicited to construct realistic and meaningful scenarios. The methods for mapping the current LULC and ecosystem disturbances will require the extensive use of both remote-sensing data and in-situ (for example, forest inventory data) to capture and characterize landscape-change events. For future potential LULC and ecosystem disturbances, key drivers such as socioeconomic, policy, and climate assumptions will be used in addition to biophysical data. The product of these analyses will be a series of maps for each future year for each scenario. These annual maps will form the basis for estimating carbon storage and GHG emissions. For terrestrial ecosystems, carbon storage, carbon-sequestration capacities, and GHG emissions under the current and projected future conditions will be assessed using the LULC and ecosystem-disturbance estimates in map format with a spatially explicit biogeochemical ensemble modeling system that incorporates properties of management activities (such as tillage or harvesting) and properties of individual ecosystems (such as elevation, vegetation characteristics, and soil attributes). For aquatic ecosystems, carbon burial in sediments and GHG fluxes are functions of the current and projected future stream flow and sediment transports, and therefore will be assessed using empirical modeling methods. Validation and uncertainty analysis methods described in the methodology will follow established guidelines to assess the quality of the assessment results. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Level II ecoregions map (which delineates 24 ecoregions for the Nation) will be the practical instrument for developing and delivering assessment results. Consequently, the ecoregion will be the reporting unit of the assessment because the mitigation scenarios, assessment results, validation, and uncertainty analysis will be

Open-File Report↗

A method for assessing carbon stocks, carbon sequestration, and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of the United States under present conditions and future scenarios

he Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA), Section 712, mandates the U.S. Department of the Interior to develop a methodology and conduct an assessment of the Nation’s ecosystems, focusing on carbon stocks, carbon sequestration, and emissions of three greenhouse gases (GHGs): carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. The major requirements include (1) an assessment of all ecosystems (terrestrial systems, such as forests, croplands, wetlands, grasslands/shrublands; and aquatic ecosystems, such as rivers, lakes, and estuaries); (2) an estimate of the annual potential capacities of ecosystems to increase carbon sequestration and reduce net GHG emissions in the context of mitigation strategies (including management and restoration activities); and (3) an evaluation of the effects of controlling processes, such as climate change, land-use and land-cover change, and disturbances such as wildfires. The concepts of ecosystems, carbon pools, and GHG fluxes follow conventional definitions in use by major national and international assessment or inventory efforts. In order to estimate current ecosystem carbon stocks and GHG fluxes and to understand the potential capacity and effects of mitigation strategies, the method will use two time periods for the assessment: 2001 through 2010, which establishes a current ecosystem carbon and GHG baseline and will be used to validate the models; and 2011 through 2050, which will be used to assess potential capacities based on a set of scenarios. The scenario framework will be constructed using storylines of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES), along with both reference and enhanced land-use and land-cover (LULC) and land-management parameters. Additional LULC and land-management mitigation scenarios will be constructed for each storyline to increase carbon sequestration and reduce GHG fluxes in ecosystems. Input from regional experts and stakeholders will be solicited to construct these scenarios. The methods for mapping the current LULC and ecosystem disturbances will require the extensive use of both remote-sensing data and field-survey data (for example, forest inventories) to capture and characterize landscape-changing events. For potential LULC changes and ecosystem disturbances, key drivers such as socioeconomic and climate changes will be used in addition to the biophysical data. The result of these analyses will be a series of maps for each future year for each scenario. These annual maps will form the basis for estimating carbon storage and GHG emissions. For terrestrial ecosystems, carbon storage, carbon-sequestration capacities, and GHG emissions under the present conditions and future scenarios will be assessed using the LULC-change and ecosystem-disturbance estimates in map format with a spatially explicit biogeochemical ensemble modeling system that incorporates properties of management activities (such as tillage or harvesting) and properties of individual ecosystems (such as energy exchange, vegetation characteristics, hydrological cycling, and soil attributes). For aquatic ecosystems, carbon burial in sediments and fluxes of GHG are functions of the present and future potential stream flow and sediment transport and will be assessed using empirical hydrological modeling methods. Validation and uncertainty analysis methods described in the methodology will follow established guidelines to assess the quality of the assessment results. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Level II ecoregions map will be the practical instrument for developing and delivering assessment results. Consequently, the ecoregion (there are 22 modified ecoregions) will be the reporting unit of the assessment because the scenarios, assessment results, validation, and uncertainty analysis will be produced at that scale. The implementation of these methods will require collaborations among various Federal agencies, State agencies, nongovernmental organizations, and the science community. Using the method described in this document, the assessment can be completed in approximately 3 to 4 years. The primary deliverables will be assessment reports containing tables, charts, and maps that will present the estimated GHG parameters annually for 2001 through 2050 by ecosystem, pool, and scenario. The results will permit the evaluation of a range of policies, mitigation options, and research topics, such as the demographic, LULC-change, or climate-change effects on carbon stocks, carbon sequestration, and GHG fluxes in ecosystems.

Scientific Investigations Report↗

Surficial materials of Massachusetts—A 1:24,000-scale geologic map database

The surficial materials geologic map database defines the distribution of nonlithified earth materials at the land surface in the 189 7.5-minute, 1:24,000-scale quadrangles that cover the Commonwealth of Massachusetts (index map). Across the State, these materials range in thickness from a few feet to more than 500 feet (ft). In some places, surficial materials are absent where bedrock is at the land surface. The geologic map database differentiates surficial materials of Quaternary age on the basis of their lithologic characteristics (such as grain size and sedimentary structures), constructional geomorphic features, stratigraphic relationships, and age. The mapped distribution of surficial materials defines the areas of exposed bedrock and the boundaries between glacial till, glacial stratified deposits, and overlying postglacial deposits at a 1:24,000-scale level of accuracy. Most of the surficial materials in Massachusetts are deposits of the last two continental ice sheets that covered all of New England in the latter part of the Pleistocene ice age. The glacial deposits are divided into two broad categories, glacial till and moraine deposits, and glacial stratified deposits. Widespread till deposits were laid down directly on bedrock or on semi-consolidated coastal plain strata by glacier ice. Tills in thick-till (>15 ft thick) drumlin landforms are found in all parts of the State. Areas of shallow bedrock contain thin discontinuous till deposits and numerous bedrock outcrops, and are located chiefly in rocky upland areas. Moraine deposits related to glacial ice lobes of the last ice sheet are located mostly in southeastern Massachusetts. Glacial stratified deposits are concentrated in valleys and lowland areas and were laid down by glacial meltwater in streams, lakes, and the sea in front of the retreating ice margin during the last deglaciation. Postglacial deposits, primarily flood-plain alluvium and swamp deposits, make up a lesser proportion of the unconsolidated materials. The geodatabase included with this report contains MapUnitPolys, MapUnitOverlayPolys, and OverlayPolys, which show the distribution of geologic units that cover the entire map area and are intended for use at quadrangle scale (1:24,000). These data layers can be clipped by quadrangle or by town boundary. Unlike the units in conventional geologic maps, the digitally defined MapUnitOverlayPolys are arranged in order according to superposition. The polygons for till and bedrock are on the bottom and are overlain by the succeeding stratified deposits; these materials are shown everywhere they occur, including beneath postglacial deposits such as swamp deposits, and also beneath water bodies. The postglacial deposits are on top because these materials overlie the other, older deposits. Instructions for using the digital files are included in the README file. A series of map figures in the pamphlet illustrates the stacking of geologic units in a portion of the Mount Toby quadrangle. The BaseMaps folder contains the 1:24,000-scale topographic base map images (1944–1977 editions) used for this compilation. This report supersedes U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Reports 2006-1260-A, -B, -C, -D, -E, -F, -G, and -I.

Massachusetts↗

Aeromagnetic map of the Bopolu quadrangle, Liberia

Aeromagnetic and total-count gamma radiation surveys were flown simultaneously during the 1967-68 dry season over the entire country and consist of approximately 140,000 km of traverse, mostly along north-south lines 0.8 km apart over land and 4 km apart over the continental shelf. Continuous photography and Doppler navigation provided horizontal control. Flight altitude was 150 m above terrain. Time variations in the magnetic field measured with a fluxgatc magnetometer were removed by adjustment at crossings of east-west control lines. Variable contour intervals of 10, 50, 250, and 1000 gammas were used depending on horizontal gradient. The airborne geophysical data obtained during the Liberian survey are being prepared in a series of maps at 1:250,000 scale showing aeromagnetic and total-count gamma radiation data for each. The index map shows the location of the quadrangles.The radioactivity map of the Bopolu quadrangle should be used with this report (Behrendt and Wotorson, 1971). The surveys were flown by Lockwood, Kessler, and Bartlett, under contract to the Liberian Geological Survey. The purpose of both surveys was to assist in the geologic mapping program undertaken cooperatively by the Liberian Geological Survey and the U. S. Geological Survey under the auspices of the Liberian Government and the Agency for International Development, U. S. Department of State. The entire country is heavily forested, access is difficult, outcrops are sparse, and thick laterite is a characteristic feature. Consequently, it was hoped that; the surveys would be useful in interpolating and extrapolating from the known geologic information and in locating potential targets for mineral exploration.

Open-File Report↗

Aeromagnetic map of the Buchanan quadrangle, Liberia

Aeromagnetic and total-gamma radiation surveys were flown simultaneously during the 1967-68 dry season over the entire country and consist of approximately 140,000 km of traverse, mostly along north-south lines 0.8 km apart over the land and 4 km apart over the continental shelf. Continuous photography and Doppler navigation provided horizontal control. Flight altitude was 150 m above terrain. Time variations in the magnetic field measured with a fluxgate magnetometer were removed by adjustment at crossings of east-west control lines. Variable contour intervals of 10, 50, 250, and 1000 gammas were used depending on horizontal gradient. The airborne geophysical data obtained during the Liberian survey are being prepared in a series of maps at 1:250,000 scale showing aero-magnetic and total-count gamma,radiation data for each of ten quadrangles.The index map shows the location of the quadrangles. The radioactivity map of this quadrangle should be used with this report (Behrendt and Wotorson,1971). The surveys were flown by Lockwood, Kessler, and Bartlett, undercontract to the Liberian Geological Survey. The purpose of both surveys was to assist in the geologic mapping program undertaken cooperatively by the Liberian Geological Survey and the U. S. Geological Survey under the auspices of the Liberian Government and the Agency for International Development, U. S. Department of State. The entire country is heavily forested, access is difficult, outcrops are sparse, and thick laterite is a characteristic feature. Consequently, it was hoped that the surveys would be useful in interpolating and extrapolating from the known geologic information and in locating potential targets for mineral exploration. Figure 1 shows the tectonic interpretation for sheets 1 and 2 of the map based on available geologic information (White and Leo, 1969; unpub. data in files of Liberian Geol. Survey). Figure 2 is part of the residual total magnetic intensity map of Liberia obtained by digitizing the data of the map on a one-minute grid, tying to an absolute survey (Lowrieand Escowitz, 1969) by a constant of ±25,980 It 35 gammas and, removing Cain's "Field G" (Cain and others, 1965).

Open-File Report↗

Estimated 2016 groundwater level and drawdown from predevelopment to 2016 in the Santa Fe Group Aquifer System in the Albuquerque Area, Central New Mexico

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Albuquerque Bernalillo County Water Utility Authority (ABCWUA), has developed a series of maps and associated reports to document changes in the groundwater level in the production zone of the Santa Fe Group aquifer system in the Albuquerque, New Mexico, area. The current map and associated report document the construction of contours representing the groundwater-level surface of winter (November to March) conditions for water year 2016 and estimated net groundwater-level declines (called drawdown) since widespread groundwater pumping began in the early 1960s (called predevelopment conditions). Prior to 2008, groundwater withdrawal from the Santa Fe Group aquifer system was the principal water supply for the study area. The large quantity of withdrawal relative to recharge resulted in drawdown throughout the Albuquerque area. In response, the ABCWUA implemented a strategy for sustainable development of its water resources, including the diversion of surface water as part of the San Juan-Chama Drinking Water Project in 2008. The 2016 groundwater-level contours indicate that the general direction of groundwater flow is towards clusters of production wells in the eastern and northwestern parts of the study area. Drawdown from predevelopment to 2016 is greatest along the eastern margin of the study area and in the northwestern part of the study area, likely correlated with groundwater withdrawals and potentially compounded by proximity to faults. Comparing drawdown in water year 2016 to that of water years 2002, 2008, and 2012 shows a reduction in drawdown (groundwater-level rebound) in the study area since 2008, which corresponds with the timing of reductions in groundwater withdrawals as a result of the ABCWUA’s San Juan-Chama Drinking Water Project. Time-series analysis of groundwater-level measurements in piezometers within the study area also indicates the recent groundwater-level rebound since 2008.

New Mexico↗

Topographic mapping: A challenging future

The United States Geological Survey was established by Congress in 1879 to make a systematic study of the geology and natural resources of the United States. To provide the essential base maps for these studies, the Survey immediately began a program of topographic mapping. In 1882 a general plan was adopted for a standard series of general-purpose topographic maps covering the entire country. Today ... the primary job of the Topographic Division of the Geological Survey is to carry out topographic surveys, and to publish the results as quadrangles in the National Topographic Map Series.

Report↗

Classifying and mapping wetlands and peat resources using digital cartography

Digital cartography allows the portrayal of spatial associations among diverse data types and is ideally suited for land use and resource analysis. We have developed methodology that uses digital cartography for the classification of wetlands and their associated peat resources and applied it to a 1:24 000 scale map area in New Hampshire. Classifying and mapping wetlands involves integrating the spatial distribution of wetlands types with depth variations in associated peat quality and character. A hierarchically structured classification that integrates the spatial distribution of variations in (1) vegetation, (2) soil type, (3) hydrology, (4) geologic aspects, and (5) peat characteristics has been developed and can be used to build digital cartographic files for resource and land use analysis. The first three parameters are the bases used by the National Wetlands Inventory to classify wetlands and deepwater habitats of the United States. The fourth parameter, geological aspects, includes slope, relief, depth of wetland (from surface to underlying rock or substrate), wetland stratigraphy, and the type and structure of solid and unconsolidated rock surrounding and underlying the wetland. The fifth parameter, peat characteristics, includes the subsurface variation in ash, acidity, moisture, heating value (Btu), sulfur content, and other chemical properties as shown in specimens obtained from core holes. These parameters can be shown as a series of map data overlays with tables that can be integrated for resource or land use analysis.

Conference Paper↗

Monitoring rangeland dynamics in Senegal with advanced very high resolution radiometer data

Time‐series Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data, computed from Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer data, are being used by regional and national programs in the African Sahel to monitor seasonal rangeland conditions. The data are often used as indicators of grazing conditions and drought. However, distinguishing rangelands from other vegetation cover types on NDVI images is difficult. A second complication is that rangeland types and their associated productivity vary geographically by soil type. To effectively assess rangeland conditions, seasonal fluctuations (due to climatic cycles) must be isolated from long‐term production characteristics associated with vegetation type and soil differences. Rangeland NDVI dynamics, including qualitative assessments of rangeland production, and the timing and length of the growing season in Senegal were examined by using 7.4‐km global area coverage satellite data. Analyses were based on 10‐day NDVI composite image data from 1982 through 1989. The NDVI image data were stratified by rangeland and soil polygons derived from locally available resource maps. Time‐series NDVI statistics were calculated from the resource polygons that had been interpreted into high, medium, and low production rangelands. Analysts monitoring rangeland conditions can better identify seasonal anomalies such as drought by comparing production potential within homogeneous; resource polygons with the current NDVI data.

Geocarto International↗

Assessing geomorphic change along the Trinity River downstream from Lewiston Dam, California, 1980-2011

The Trinity River Restoration Program, one of the nation’s largest adaptively managed river restoration programs, requires periodic assessment to determine the effectiveness of management actions in restoring channel dynamics and habitat features. This study documents riparian and channel changes along an intensively managed 65-kilometer reach of the Trinity River in California, downstream from Lewiston Dam. The two primary periods of interest, from 1980 to 2001 and from 2001 to 2011, are separated by a shift in restoration activities mandated by the U.S. Department of the Interior December 2000 Record of Decision. The post-2001 restoration strategy increased managed-flow releases, gravel augmentation, watershed restoration, and mechanical channel rehabilitation. We assessed the nature and extent of geomorphic change and a series of ecological performance measures (channel complexity, shoreline length, and channel–floodplain connectivity) by using a series of maps digitized from available rectified orthophotography acquired during low-flow conditions in 1980, 1997, 2001, 2006, 2009, and 2011. Lateral changes in riparian and channel features were used to quantify alluvial processes, and a review of existing streamflow, sediment, and restoration records was used to assess causal mechanisms. During the study period, natural bank erosion and mechanical rehabilitation of channel margins converted riparian features to channel features and expanded the active-channel area. The primary period of bank erosion and expansion of the active channel was from 1980 to 1997. Subsequent bar accretion from 1997 to 2001, followed by slightly greater bar scour from 2001 to 2006, took place primarily in the central and lower reaches of the study area, downstream of Indian Creek. In comparison, post‑2006 bank and bar changes were spatially limited to reaches that had sufficient local transport capacity or sediment supply supported by gravel augmentation, mechanical channel rehabilitation, and tributary contributions. The highest rates of change in the areal extents of channel and riparian features were observed during the pre‑2001 period, which was longer and relatively wetter than the post-2001 period. A series of tributary floods in 1997, 1998, and 2006 increased channel complexity and floodplain connectivity. During the post-2006 period, managed-flow releases, in the absence of tributary flooding, combined with gravel augmentation and mechanical restoration, caused localized increases in sediment supply and transport capacity that led to smaller, but measurable, increases in channel complexity and floodplain connectivity in the upper river near Lewiston Dam. Extensive pre-2001 channel widening and the muted geomorphic response of channel rehabilitation sites to post-2001 managed flows highlight the need for continued monitoring and assessment of the magnitude, duration, and timing of prescriptive flows and associated geomorphic responses.

California↗

The North American upper mantle: Density, composition, and evolution

The upper mantle of North America has been well studied using various seismic methods. Here we investigate the density structure of the North American (NA) upper mantle based on the integrative use of the gravity field and seismic data. The basis of our study is the removal of the gravitational effect of the crust to determine the mantle gravity anomalies. The effect of the crust is removed in three steps by subtracting the gravitational contributions of (1) topography and bathymetry, (2) low-density sedimentary accumulations, and (3) the three-dimensional density structure of the crystalline crust as determined by seismic observations. Information regarding sedimentary accumulations, including thickness and density, are taken from published maps and summaries of borehole measurements of densities; the seismic structure of the crust is based on a recent compilation, with layer densities estimated from P-wave velocities. The resultant mantle gravity anomaly map shows a pronounced negative anomaly (−50 to −400 mGal) beneath western North America and the adjacent oceanic region and positive anomalies (+50 to +350 mGal) east of the NA Cordillera. This pattern reflects the well-known division of North America into the stable eastern region and the tectonically active western region. The close correlation of large-scale features of the mantle anomaly map with those of the topographic map indicates that a significant amount of the topographic uplift in western NA is due to buoyancy in the hot upper mantle, a conclusion supported by previous investigations. To separate the contributions of mantle temperature anomalies from mantle compositional anomalies, we apply an additional correction to the mantle anomaly map for the thermal structure of the uppermost mantle. The thermal model is based on the conversion of seismic shear-wave velocities to temperature and is consistent with mantle temperatures that are independently estimated from heat flow and heat production data. The thermally corrected mantle density map reveals density anomalies that are chiefly due to compositional variations. These compositional density anomalies cause gravitational anomalies that reach ~250 mGal. A pronounced negative anomaly (−50 to −200 mGal) is found over the Canadian shield, which is consistent with chemical depletion and a corresponding low density of the lithospheric mantle, also referred to as the mantle tectosphere. The strongest positive anomaly is coincident with the Gulf of Mexico and indicates a positive density anomaly in the upper mantle, possibly an eclogite layer that has caused subsidence in the Gulf. Two linear positive anomalies are also seen south of 40°N: one with a NE-SW trend in the eastern United States, roughly coincident with the Grenville-Appalachians, and a second with a NW-SE trend beneath the states of Texas, New Mexico, and Colorado. These anomalies are interpreted as being due to (1) the presence of remnants of an oceanic slab in the upper mantle beneath the Grenville-Appalachian suture and (2) mantle thickening caused by a period of shallow, flat subduction during the Laramie orogeny, respectively. Based on these geophysical results, the evolution of the NA upper mantle is depicted in a series of maps and cartoons that display the primary processes that have formed and modified the NA crust and lithospheric upper mantle.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗

Geochemical, aeromagnetic, and generalized geologic maps showing distribution and abundance of lead and silver, Golconda and Iron Point quadrangles, Humboldt County, Nevada

Detailed geologic and geochemical studies of the four 7 1/2-minute quadrangles that make up the Edna Mountain 15-minute quadrangle in Humboldt County, Nevada, were begun during the 1969 summer field season. The objectives of the project are to map the geology of this struct urally complex area at 1:24·,000 scale and to determine the regional distribution and abundance of metals in rocks of the are\3. and the factors that control the distribution and abundance of those metals. Tungstenbearing hot-spring tufa, metalliferous black shale in Ordovician rocks, base-metal and barite deposits in Paleozoic sedimentary rocks, and copper-molybdenum in granodiorite plutons of Cretaceous age occur in the Edna Mountain area. None of these deposits have been of much economic significance, although tungsten was mined from the hot-spring deposits during World War II. The numerous occurrences of mineralized ground, however, along with the broad spectrum of types of mineralization, intensity of alteration, structural complexity, and abundance of intermediate to silicic igneous intrusive rocks suggest that concealed or heretofore unrecognized mineral deposits may exist in the area. Integrated geologic, geochemical, and geophysical studies on a district- wide scale might improve our un~erstanding of the factors that control the distribution, methods of emplacement, and spatial and genetic relationships (if any) of these different types of deposits. We hope that broad target areas or guidelines for mineral exploration in th.is area may be identified. This series of maps shows the distribu t ion and abundance of mercury, arsenic, antimony, tungsten, gold, copper, l ead, and s ilver related to a geologic and aeromagnetic base in the Golconda and Iron Point 7 1/2-minute quadrangles. All samples are rock samples; most are f rom shear or f ault zones, fractures, jasperoid, breccia reefs, and altered rocks . All the samples were prepared and analyzed in truck-mounted laboratories at Wi nnemucca, Nevada. Arsenic , tungs t en, copper, lead, and si lver were determined by semiquantitative spectrogr aph i c methods by D. F. Siems and E. F. Cooley . Mercury and gold were determined by atomi c absorption methods and antimony was determined by a colorimetric method by R. M. O'Leary, M. S. Erickson, and others.

Nevada↗

Geochemical, aeromagnetic, and generalized geologic maps showing distribution and abundance of molybdenum and zinc, Golconda and Iron Point quadrangles, Humboldt County, Nevada

Detailed geologic and geochemical studies of the four 7½-minute quadrangles that make up the Edna Mountain 15-minute quadrangle in Humboldt County, Nevada, were begun during the 1969 summer field season. The objectives of the project are to map the geology of this structurally complex area at 1:24,000 scale and to determine the regional distribution and abundance of metals in rocks of the area and the factors that control the distribution and abundance of those metals. Tungsten-bearing hot-spring tufa, metalliferous black shale in Ordovician rocks, base-metal and barite deposits in Paleozoic sedimentary rocks, and copper-molybdenum in granodiorite pultons of Cretaceous age occur in the Edna Mountain area. None of these deposits have been of much economic significance, although tungsten was mined for the hot-spring deposits during World War II. The numerous occurrences of mineralized ground, however, along with the broad spectrum of types of mineralization, intensity of alteration, structural complexity, and abundance of intermediate to silicic igneous intrusive rocks suggest that concealed or heretofore unrecognized mineral deposits may exist in the area. Integrated geologic, geochemical, and geophysical studies on a district-wide scale might improve our understanding of the factors that control the distribution, methods of emplacement, and spatial and genetic relationships (if any) of these different types of deposits. We hope that broad target areas or guidelines for mineral exploration in this area may be identified. This series of maps shows the distribution and abundance of mercury, arsenic, antimony, tungsten, gold, copper, lead, and silver related to a geologic and aeromagnetic base in the Golconda and Iron Point 7½-minute quadrangles. All samples are rock samples; most are from shear or fault zones, fractures, jasperoid, breccia reefs, and altered rocks. All the samples were prepared and analyzed in truck-mounted laboratories at Winnemucca, Nevada. Arsenic, tungsten, copper, lead, and silver were determined by semiquantitative spectrographic methods by D.F. Siems and E.F. Cooley. Mercury and gold were determined by atomic absorption methods and antimony was determined by wet chemical methods by R.M. O'Leary, M.S. Erickson, and others.

Nevada↗

Development and implementation of a Bayesian-based aquifer vulnerability assessment in Florida

The Florida Aquifer Vulnerability Assessment (FAVA) was designed to provide a tool for environmental, regulatory, resource management, and planning professionals to facilitate protection of groundwater resources from surface sources of contamination. The FAVA project implements weights-of-evidence (WofE), a data-driven, Bayesian-probabilistic model to generate a series of maps reflecting relative aquifer vulnerability of Florida's principal aquifer systems. The vulnerability assessment process, from project design to map implementation is described herein in reference to the Floridan aquifer system (FAS). The WofE model calculates weighted relationships between hydrogeologic data layers that influence aquifer vulnerability and ambient groundwater parameters in wells that reflect relative degrees of vulnerability. Statewide model input data layers (evidential themes) include soil hydraulic conductivity, density of karst features, thickness of aquifer confinement, and hydraulic head difference between the FAS and the watertable. Wells with median dissolved nitrogen concentrations exceeding statistically established thresholds serve as training points in the WofE model. The resulting vulnerability map (response theme) reflects classified posterior probabilities based on spatial relationships between the evidential themes and training points. The response theme is subjected to extensive sensitivity and validation testing. Among the model validation techniques is calculation of a response theme based on a different water-quality indicator of relative recharge or vulnerability: dissolved oxygen. Successful implementation of the FAVA maps was facilitated by the overall project design, which included a needs assessment and iterative technical advisory committee input and review. Ongoing programs to protect Florida's springsheds have led to development of larger-scale WofE-based vulnerability assessments. Additional applications of the maps include land-use planning amendments and prioritization of land purchases to protect groundwater resources. ?? International Association for Mathematical Geology 2007.

Natural Resources Research↗

Satellite remote sensing of crop water use across the Missouri River Basin for 1986–2018 period

Understanding historical crop water use (CWU) dynamics is important to improve land and water management. In this study, well-validated (coefficient of determination = 0.91, percent bias = 4%, and percent root mean square error = 11.8%) Landsat-based actual evapotranspiration (ETa) time-series estimations were used to (1) assess summer season CWU (CWU-Su) dynamics, (2) investigate CWU-Su trends over the study period (1986–2018; 33 years) at the regional- and pixel-scales, and (3) attribute CWU-Su driving factors across Missouri River Basin. Spatial variability of the ETa estimations along with the observed bimodal probability density distribution of ETa highlighted a strong relation between land cover and water uses across the basin. The bimodal distribution of ETa also indicated the presence of two major landcovers in the basin. The drier foothill regions in northwestern Missouri River Basin, dominated by grassland/shrubland, showed lower ETa (< 500 mm/year), whereas cropland dominated regions in lower semi-humid basin and forested subbasins exhibited higher ETa (> 600 mm/year). The CWU-Su anomalies revealed the vulnerability of the basin to year-to-year weather conditions. The CWU-Su trend analysis revealed a significant positive trend (p < 0.1) at the regional-scale affecting 30% of basin’s cropland pixels. The cropland pixels under positive CWU-Su trend were found to be clustered in the eastern and central Missouri River Basin as a result of the combined effect of increased crop production area, increased crop yields, crop practice shifts to higher biomass crops, and increased irrigated land. The effect of improved irrigation and water management practices on reducing CWU-Su was observed in western Missouri River Basin, which had a stable major crop throughout the study period. Overall, the study highlights the usefulness of Landsat imagery and remote sensing-based ETa modeling approaches in generating historical time-series ETa maps over a wide range of elevation, vegetation, and climate.

Missouri River Basin↗

Multi-temporal mapping and analyses of post-wildfire surface soil moisture modeled from Landsat Thermal-IR and Sentinel-1 SAR

Wildfires alter surface soil moisture by consuming vegetation and exposing the soil to increased solar radiation, increased precipitation throughfall, and reduced infiltration from soil hydrophobicity. This can affect the water balance within the watershed and, in turn, influence post-fire nutrient cycling and ecosystem succession. Modeling surface soil moisture over large areas using satellite remote sensing can aid monitoring of soil moisture patterns and dynamics. We trained a random forest regression model using an in situ soil moisture network and examined pre- and post-fire soil moisture dynamics for three wildfires that burned in 2016 and 2017 in coastal California, U.S.A. Model inputs included Sentinel-1A synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and Landsat thermal infrared imagery (TIR), which produced a high resolution (30 m) soil moisture map time series with 18–20 estimates across 2 years. An unbiased root mean square error of 0.065 and an r 2 of 0.624 indicates a good fit between the model and reference data. We found a significant interaction between treatment (wildfire or unburned) and period (before or after wildfire) by examining the modeled surface soil moisture in high-severity burned areas. Before-after control-impact metrics showed that modeled surface soil moisture was lower after each fire within wildfire areas compared to unburned controls, and overall changes in soil moisture were greater in the wildfire perimeters than unburned areas. These results demonstrate the potential of Sentinel-1 SAR and Landsat TIR data for the development of high-resolution soil moisture time series products to support monitoring and assessment of post-fire soil hydrologic conditions.

California↗

Changes in population and agricultural land in conterminous United States counties, 1790 to 1997

We have developed a data set of changes in population and agricultural land for the conterminous United States at the county level, resulting in more spatial detail than in previously available compilations. The purpose was to provide data on the timing of land conversion as an input to dynamic models of the carbon cycle, although a wide variety of applications exist for the physical, biological, and social sciences. The spatial data represent the appropriate county boundaries for each census year between 1790 and 1997, and the census attributes are attached to the appropriate spatial region. The resulting time series and maps show the history of population (1790-1990) and the history of agricultural development (1850-1997). The patterns of agricultural development reflect the influences of climate, soil productivity, increases in population size, variations in the general economy, and technological changes in the energy, transportation, and agricultural sectors.

Global Biogeochemical Cycles↗

Summary of ground-water data, Post Headquarters and adjacent areas, White Sands Missile Range

Geohydrologic data have been obtained from more than 100 wells and test holes that have been drilled in the Post Headquarters and adjacent areas of White Sands Missile Range. Observation-well data show that, in general, a continuous decline of the water table has occurred in the vicinity of the well field since production began in 1949. Approximately 40,000 acre-feet of water has been produced from the aquifer to date (1972). A series of maps are presented which show the changes that have occurred in the well field as the result of development.

New Mexico↗