Re-oligotrophy in the Upper Mississippi River, USA, occurred in just a few years

Killian Davis; Wako Bungula; Danelle M. Larson

doi:10.1086/738457

Home/Archive/USGS

USGS · 70272172

Re-oligotrophy in the Upper Mississippi River, USA, occurred in just a few years

Killian Davis·Wako Bungula·Danelle M. Larson

View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Ecological systems can undergo large changes and regime shifts that are either catastrophic, neutral, or desirable. Rivers worldwide have recently undergone desirable regime shifts related to re-oligotrophy, which is a notable and ongoing reduction in concentrations of total suspended solids (TSS), total N, total P, or phytoplankton. For example, the Upper Mississippi River, USA, has experienced major water-quality changes in multiple river reaches in recent decades. In this study, we sought to understand the timing and magnitude of re-oligotrophy in the Mississippi River over a 20-y period. We used 2 topological data analysis algorithms to address hypotheses related to the following questions: What were the order and timing of water-quality changes? What was the time period over which the major changes occurred? What was the magnitude of water-quality change before and after change points (i.e., specific years when water-quality conditions transitioned abruptly to new states)? We examined 6 water-quality state variables that defined the ecological regime for the Upper Mississippi River. In one river reach, we found that strong reductions in phytoplankton/chlorophyll a had occurred first (2008), followed by total P (2013), and last in TSS (2014). In a downriver reach, we found notable reductions for chlorophyll a (2007) but substantial increases in TSS (2013). In both reaches, the water-quality changes trended over ≥15 y, but the largest changes and a likely regime shift occurred in just 6 y. The timing (2007–2014) and range (~6 y) of water-quality changes were similar between the 2 river reaches, but the directionality of the regime shift indicated re-oligotrophy for the upstream reach and water-quality degradation for the downstream reach. Topological methods applied to long-term datasets can aid our understanding of re-oligotrophication and degradation processes and may help resource managers restore desirable regimes.

Explore related subjects

Freshwater Science Article

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeX RIS

Killian Davis, Wako Bungula, Danelle M. Larson. 2025-10-15. Re-oligotrophy in the Upper Mississippi River, USA, occurred in just a few years. https://doi.org/10.1086/738457

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

USGS2026

Stream health shows indirect and threshold responses to implementation of agricultural conservation practices

Many agricultural conservation practices (hereafter conservation practices) are intended to protect streams from the deleterious effects of agriculture, but desired effects of their implementation are not always realized. Understanding the pathways through which conservation practices influence stream health can guide future implementation. Our goal was to quantify how conservation practices influence stream health in pastureland watersheds. We asked 4 research questions: R1) What are the effects of land use and conservation practices on instream conditions? R2) What are the effects of instream conditions on biota? R3) What are the relative effects of land use, conservation practices, and instream conditions on biota? R4) How do conservation practice density (no./ha) and agricultural land use interact to influence stream health? We collected data on water quality (total suspended solids, total N, total P, and Escherichia coli bacteria), instream habitat (substrate embeddedness and bank stability), and macroinvertebrate communities from 31 sites in the upper Tennessee River basin of southwest Virginia, USA. The sites collectively represented spatial analytical gradients of agricultural land use and density of conservation practices, with the dominant practices including prescribed grazing, brush management, and fencing. We found that conservation practice implementation was indirectly related to biotic assemblages through changes in water quality and habitat, but practice density in the study area was not associated with instream conditions that supported biotic communities representative of reference conditions. Further improving instream habitat conditions may require innovative conservation practices, targeted placement of practices in critical source areas of pollutants, or higher densities of practices.

Virginia↗

USGS2026

Predicting reach-scale macroinvertebrate community changes due to declining flows in an aridland river

Understanding the connection between streamflow and macroinvertebrate community structure is critical for managing river ecosystems under scenarios of change caused by human activities and drought. Streamflow influences physical habitat characteristics, including depth, water velocity, and substrate composition, which structure macroinvertebrate communities. Although strong empirical evidence has linked macroinvertebrates to these variables, most studies are correlative, and predictive approaches that link altered streamflow to changes in habitat availability and community structure remain limited. To address this gap, we coupled benthic macroinvertebrate surveys with reach-scale, 2-dimensional hydraulic models to quantify changes in community structure in response to altered streamflows. We characterized macroinvertebrate communities and physical habitat conditions in riffle, run, and pool mesohabitats across 3 reaches of a free-flowing section of the Verde River (Arizona, USA) over 3 y and developed hydraulic models using overflight data, ground surveys, and streamflow monitoring. Macroinvertebrate communities differed among mesohabitats, with riffles supporting higher macroinvertebrate densities and pools exhibiting higher taxonomic richness. The 2-dimensional hydraulic models indicated that declining streamflows could reduce the area of suitable habitat in riffles and runs relative to pools, potentially shifting the distribution of mesohabitats and altering community composition. These changes may lead to declines in overall macroinvertebrate diversity and abundance under reduced flow conditions. By explicitly linking streamflow to habitat availability and community structure, this study demonstrates how integrating hydraulic modeling with biological surveys can improve predictions of ecological response to flow alteration. This framework provides a basis for flow management strategies aimed at maintaining habitat heterogeneity and supporting biodiversity in river networks.

Arizona↗

USGS2026

Fish introductions related to strong and diversifying effects on zooplankton assemblages in high-elevation mountain lakes

Freshwater environments are threatened by multiple anthropogenic stressors. High-elevation mountain lakes are particularly vulnerable to introduced nonnative fish and nutrient deposition because they were historically fishless and typically oligotrophic. To understand the potential effects of fish introduction and nutrient levels on high-elevation lake ecosystems, we assessed differences in zooplankton size, biomass, and density in 76 alpine and subalpine lakes in the Wind River Range, Wyoming, USA, and related those differences to the presence of introduced trout and to food quality (seston nutrient content) and quantity (chlorophyll a concentration). Trout presence, and to a lesser extent trout species, were the strongest predictors of zooplankton composition. Fishless lakes were dominated by low densities of copepods and other large-bodied taxa, and lakes with introduced trout were dominated by high densities of cladocerans, rotifers, and other small-bodied taxa. These assemblage differences are likely because trout reduce or eliminate all large zooplankton taxa by size-selective predation, including predation on Hesperodiaptomus shoshone (S. A. Forbes, 1893), a keystone species that effectively controls populations of rotifers and small crustacean zooplankton taxa. In contrast, the quantity and quality of seston was not associated with zooplankton assemblages. Zooplankton composition in lakes with Rocky Mountain Cutthroat Trout Oncorhynchus virginalis (Girard, 1856) or Golden Trout Oncorhynchus aguabonita (Jordan, 1892) was highly variable, but in lakes with primarily Brook Trout Salvelinus fontinalis (Mitchill, 1814), zooplankton composition was consistently distinct from that in fishless lakes, suggesting that Brook Trout introductions altered the zooplankton assemblage to a greater extent than Cutthroat or Golden trout did. These results contribute to global evidence that predatory fish introductions fundamentally restructure alpine lake food webs. The slow or incomplete recovery of native zooplankton assemblages following fish removal suggests long-term ecological legacies of fish introductions and highlights the importance of understanding factors that promote resilience in high-elevation lake ecosystems.

Wyoming↗