Assessment of pollution and other impairments of US reservoirs based on expert opinion

Abstract

A comprehensive understanding of the prevailing pollution and other impairments to reservoirs is necessary at the national level to analyze patterns and causes as well as allocate national resources effectively. Most of these impairments are associated with sedimentation, nutrient contamination, and other pollution factors. The costs involved in conducting on-site surveys at multiple locations are potential obstacles for obtaining empirical data on large-scale spatial impairments. In such cases, inputs from specialists may be required to offset the absence of empirical data for determining the impairment statuses of thousands of geographically dispersed reservoirs. Thus, our aim was to examine whether expert opinion could offer a comprehensive review of the impairment statuses of numerous reservoirs in the United States. We designed and executed an internet-based survey of reservoir specialists to gather their ratings on visually evident elements of reservoir impairment. To evaluate the ratings, we searched for correlations with factors known to have impacts on reservoir impairment. Canonical correlation analyses indicated that nine metrics used by experts to rate impairment levels on an ordinal scale were correlated with metrics descriptive of the physical qualities of reservoirs, land use in catchments, and prevailing local climate. We thus conclude that expert opinions may facilitate assessments of impairment levels over large geographical areas. Lastly, we define the circumstances under which it is permissible to rely on expert opinions and propose criteria that could improve the quality of the data collected.