USGS Science⌕ Search

USGS · 70254070

Fluviomorphic trajectories for dryland ephemeral stream channels following extreme flash floods

Abstract

Ephemeral alluvial streams pose globally significant flood hazards to human habitation in drylands, but sparse data for these regions limit understanding of the character and impacts of extreme flooding. In this study, we document decadal changes in dryland ephemeral channel patterns at two sites in the lower Colorado River Basin (southwestern United States) that were ravaged by extraordinary flash floods in the 1970s: Bronco Creek, Arizona (1971), and Eldorado Canyon, Nevada (1974). We refer to these two floods as ‘fluviomorphic erasure events’, because they produced blank slates for the channels that were gradually moulded by more frequent but much smaller flood events. We studied georectified aerial photos that span ~60 years at each site to show that both study sites recovered to their pre-flood condition after ~25 years. We employ channel network metrics: stream-link area (SLA), geometric braiding index and junction-node density. Each metric decreased during the short-duration extreme flood erasure events. Subsequently, a fluviomorphic trajectory at a decadal tempo returned the channels to pre-flood values. The SLA decreased at rates of 3.6%–4.1% per year in the decade following the floods. The extreme flood events decreased the pre-flood geometric braiding index at the two sites by 56%–68%, and it took 15–24 years for this index to recover to pre-flood values. In contrast, it took 30–35 years for the channels to recover to a uniform pre-flood channel form, as indicated by the spatial distribution of bars and junction nodes. Our results document baseline examples of ephemeral stream channel evolution trajectories, as future climatic change will likely accelerate increases in the magnitudes and frequencies of extreme floods and geomorphic erasure events.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Eliisa Lotsari, Kyle House, Petteri Alho, Victor R. Baker. 2024-05-03. Fluviomorphic trajectories for dryland ephemeral stream channels following extreme flash floods. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5847

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

Remote detection of streambank erosion and channel incision using high-resolution, repeat lidar-derived metrics in Raleigh, North Carolina

This study evaluated the use of lidar data to detect streambank erosion and channel incision throughout Raleigh, North Carolina. The study included five components. (1) Generation of lidar-derived rasters, including a digital elevation model of difference that represented channel erosion and positive openness rasters that represented channel incision. (2) Completion of site-based field assessments throughout the study area. (3) Spatial analysis of raster datasets at three spatial scales: erosion patches, channel segments, and subbasins. (4) Comparison of field assessment results with lidar-derived metrics. (5) Pairing of landscape attributes with lidar-derived metrics to evaluate potential causative factors associated with variations in channel incision. Field assessment results indicated 74% of surveyed sites had Bank Erosion Hazard Index ratings ranging from ‘high’ to ‘extreme’ and 77% had ‘high’ or ‘severe’ degrees of channel incision. Select field measures showed agreement with lidar-derived metrics. Lidar-derived erosion patches, ranging in size from 20 to 948 m 2 , were detected in 24.3% of channel segments, and patch density increased with Strahler stream order. Channel segments, ranging from 50 to 150 m, had inconsistent spatial patterns of erosion and incision. Erosion in channel segments increased with Strahler stream order and 36% of channel segments became more incised during the study period. Lidar-derived metrics across subbasins revealed variability of erosion and incision throughout the study area. The assessment of landscape drivers could not explain variability at the channel-segment scale, but subbasins with fewer forests tended to have greater erosion and incision. However, unexplained variability remained, demonstrating the complexity of stream stability in urban watersheds. As lidar datasets become more widespread, pairing remote data with field assessments may be a viable approach to characterize and understand stream geomorphology in urban settings.

North Carolina↗

Deep learning models for mapping surficial geology in selected physiographic regions of New York

Surficial geologic mapping is required for decisions including infrastructure and water-resource development and management. Deep learning, a type of machine learning that uses training data to self-learn and perform tasks, is explored as a tool to help increase efficiency of the labour- and time-intensive mapping process. Deep learning models were trained, and their potential to aid in mapping surficial geology was explored for two physiographic regions in New York: the high-relief Allegheny Plateau and the low-relief Erie-Ontario Lowlands. Key to the development of deep learning models is the availability of highly detailed surficial geologic maps in each of these regions from which the models can learn. Through exploring different groupings of surficial deposits and their corresponding spatial data, deep learning models were iteratively developed to reproduce published mapping for greater than 79% of the training areas, and with similar accuracy in test areas within the same physiographic region. These models were trained using only two inputs: high-resolution lidar data and previously published surficial geologic maps. This straightforward approach is intended to make the methods and models created easily reproducible using widely accessible datasets. This research describes the strengths and limitations of lidar-derived surficial geologic models and how broadly grouping surficial types, characteristics of different physiographic regions, and testing models in physiographic regions outside of their training areas affect model creation and performance. In addition, the models created could be used as a tool for mapping surficial geology in similar physiographic regions, in addition to establishing a framework for creating similar models elsewhere.

New York↗

Regional models for postfire debris-flow likelihood and rainfall thresholds across the western United States

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) uses an empirical model developed with logistic regression (the ‘M1’ model) to rapidly assess debris-flow likelihood and to identify quantitative rainfall thresholds for debris flows after wildfire in the western United States. The M1 model was calibrated to a debris-flow inventory from southern California (United States) and has been applied throughout the western United States. Limited spatial coverage in the calibration dataset has motivated evaluation of M1 model accuracy outside the calibration region (e.g., the Sierra Nevada or the eastern Cascade Range, United States). Previous test cases showed that M1 overpredicts debris-flow likelihood and underpredicts rainfall thresholds for some locations (e.g., Arizona, northern California, Colorado, New Mexico, United States). We sought to improve the regional applicability of a debris-flow likelihood model by expanding the debris-flow inventory used for calibration, testing multiple potential models and generating an updated model framework. The updated inventory includes 3788 observations from 67 burned areas paired with short duration rainfall ratios. The updated model framework consists of a modified model structure and sets of coefficients calibrated separately to the entire updated inventory and to subsets of the inventory that intersect three Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Level 2 ecoregions (Mediterranean California, Upper Gila Mountains and Western Cordillera). Comparisons of predictions from the updated models with observed rainfall and debris-flow activity show that the updated models outperform the M1 model by ~15%–60% and improve the uniformity of predictive performance across the western United States. The updated models also reduce false positive rates relative to M1 and generate rainfall thresholds that are better aligned with relative differences in regional climatology and debris-flow activity.

Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nev↗