USGS ScienceSearch

USGS · 70212319

Group inverse sampling: An economical approach to inverse sampling

Abstract

Inverse sampling is an adaptive design in the sense that the final sampling effort during a search for rare events will depend on what is found during the survey. Conventional inverse sampling (CIS) designs successively select individual sampling units to find, for example, the k th rare event. In real sampling situations, use of successive one‐by‐one sampling can be cost prohibitive. Here, we introduce an inverse sampling design that uses successive selection of groups instead of individuals, named group inverse sampling (GIS). An unbiased estimator and its variance estimator of the population mean are derived based on the Murthy estimator. CIS is a special case of the generalized design with group size equal to one. We simulate the GIS design to evaluate its efficiency using populations of rare freshwater mussels in West Virginia, USA. For cost consideration, we calculate distance traveled among the sampling units. Results show that GIS was more cost efficient than CIS in all cases. The group size for successive sampling (d ) was the most influential design parameter for reducing cost and increasing precision. Also, GIS found more rare units with greater consistency compared to simple random sampling without replacement (SRS). An important characteristic of the GIS design is that sampling stops when the target number of rare units is found, which prevents unnecessary sampling and contrasts favorably with other adaptive designs such as adaptive cluster sampling.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Bardia Panahbehagh, David R. Smith. 2017-07-18. Group inverse sampling: An economical approach to inverse sampling. https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2459

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

Animal trajectory imputation and uncertainty quantification via deep learning

Imputing missing data in animal trajectories is crucial for understanding animal movements during unobserved periods. However, the traditional methods, such as linear interpolation and the continuous-time correlated random walk model, are often inadequate to capture the complexity of animal movements. Here, we develop a deep learning approach to animal trajectory imputation by a conditional diffusion model. Unlike the traditional methods, our deep learning method uses observed data and external covariates to impute missing positions along an animal trajectory, capturing periodic patterns and the influence of covariates, which leads to more accurate imputations. In a case study of imputing deer trajectories, our method not only provides more accurate deterministic imputations than existing approaches but also achieves uncertainty quantification through probabilistic imputation.

Environmetrics

Spatiotemporal causal inference with mechanistic ecological models: Evaluating targeted culling on chronic wasting disease dynamics in cervids

Spatiotemporal causal inference methods are needed to detect the effect of interventions on indirectly measured epidemiological outcomes that go beyond studying spatiotemporal correlations. Chronic wasting disease (CWD) causes neurological degeneration and eventual death to white-tailed deer ( Odocoileus virginianus ) in Wisconsin. Targeted culling involves removing deer after traditional hunting seasons in areas with high CWD prevalence. The evaluation of the causal effects of targeted culling in the spread and growth of CWD is an important unresolved research and CWD management question that can guide surveillance efforts. Reaction–diffusion partial differential equations (PDEs) can be used to mechanistically model the underlying spatiotemporal dynamics of wildlife diseases, like CWD, allowing researchers to make inference about unobserved epidemiological quantities. These models indirectly regress spatiotemporal covariates on diffusion and growth rates parameterizing such PDEs, obtaining associational conclusions. In this work we develop an innovative method to obtain causal estimators for the effect of targeted culling interventions on CWD epidemiological processes using an inverse-probability-of-treatment-weighted technique by means of marginal structural models embedded in the PDE fitting process. Additionally we establish a novel scheme for sensitivity analysis under unmeasured confounder for testing the hypothesis of a significant causal effect in the indirectly measured epidemiological outcomes. Our methods can be broadly used to study the impact of spatiotemporal interventions and treatment exposures in the epidemiological evolution of infectious diseases that can help to inform future efforts to mitigate public health implications and wildlife disease burden.

Wisconsin

Bayesian spatio-temporal survival analysis for all types of censoring with application to a wildlife disease study

In this article, we consider modeling arbitrarily censored survival data with spatio-temporal covariates. We demonstrate that under the piecewise constant hazard function, the likelihood for uncensored or right-censored subjects is proportional to the likelihood of multiple conditionally independent Poisson random variables. To address left- or interval-censored subjects, we propose to impute the exact event times and convert them into uncensored subjects, enabling the application of the integrated nested Laplace approximation to update model parameters using the imputed data. We introduce an iterative algorithm that alternates between imputing event times for left- and interval-censored subjects and re-estimating model parameters. The proposed method is assessed through a simulation study and applied to analyze a spatio-temporal survival dataset in a wildlife disease study investigating bovine tuberculosis in white-tailed deer in Michigan.

Environmetrics