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Research about Montana, North Dakota

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Montana, North Dakota.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Water temperature regimes and thermal drivers in semi-natural and flow-regulated rivers of the northern Great Plains

Rivers of the northern Great Plains have lacked long-term, continuous water temperature assessments, and there is limited information on thermal regimes of these systems and factors driving water temperature. We collected and assembled 2001–2022 water temperature data from 18 sites on four reaches of three rivers that differ in anthropogenic impacts: semi-natural Yellowstone River (YR), flow-impacted Milk River (MK), 351-km of the Missouri River affected by hypolimnetic releases from Fort Peck Dam (FPD), and the semi-natural Missouri River (MR3093) upstream from FPD. Objectives were to: (1) compare May–September mean daily water temperature ( T w ), day of year of maximum water temperature ( T maxdoy ), and maximum water temperature ( T wmax ) among reaches, (2) evaluate air temperature ( T a ), river discharge ( Q w ), and dam-release water temperature ( T wdam ) as T w drivers, and (3) model longitudinal recovery of T w downstream from FPD. Mean T w and T wmax were greatest at the YR, MR3093 and MK sites, and significantly less through 291-km downstream from FPD. T maxdoy at initial sites downstream from FPD was delayed 43–69 days relative to the semi-natural reach upstream from FPD. T a was the primary correlate of T w for the semi-natural sites; whereas, T wdam and T a varied inversely as primary drivers for sites downstream from FPD. Thermal recovery from hypolimnetic releases was incomplete 291-km downstream from FPD and warming persisted 351-km downstream. Results quantify the varied water temperature regimes of rivers in the northern Great Plains and improve understanding of controls affecting T w among reaches. Water temperature attributes of semi-natural reaches could be used as restoration targets for 300-km of Missouri River presently impacted by hypolimnetic releases.

Montana, North Dakota

Insights on using solid bitumen reflectance as a thermal maturity proxy in the Bakken Formation, Williston Basin, USA

To further refine the use of solid bitumen reflectance (BR o in %) as a measurement of thermal maturity in source-rock reservoirs, we examined its relationship to other thermal proxies in the Bakken Formation. Comparisons included criteria from programmed temperature pyrolysis, gas chromatography (GC), and Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy. Thirty-two organic-rich samples from the lower and upper shale members of the Devonian–Lower Carboniferous Bakken Formation were collected from eight cores across the Williston Basin, USA, at depths (∼7575–11,330 ft) representing immature through post peak oil/early condensate thermal maturity conditions based on proximity to current hydrocarbon production. Unmodified BR o values were correlated to programmed temperature pyrolysis parameters (hydrogen index, production index, and T max ), normal hydrocarbon and isoprenoid analysis of extractable organic matter (pristane/ n -C 17 and phytane/ n -C 18 ) from GC analysis, and peak ratios from FTIR spectroscopy (branching ratio and A -factor). Strong correlations between unmodified BR o values (not corrected to a vitrinite reflectance equivalent, VR e ) and other thermal proxies suggest that BR o can be used as a direct thermal proxy in marine Paleozoic source-rock reservoirs where vitrinite is rare or absent. Moreover, an apparent overestimation of VR e at the lowest thermal maturity investigated herein may argue against the application of BR o conversion to VR e in the Bakken Formation. Solvent extraction caused a consistent decrease in BR o when average post-extraction values from a given well were compared to BR o prior to extraction, although the decrease in mean value was not statistically significant. These results are discussed in the context of advocating for the use of unmodified BR o values as a best practice for thermal maturity determination in Paleozoic marine source-rock reservoirs.

Montana, North Dakota

The influence of channel morphology and hydraulic complexity on larval pallid sturgeon (Scaphirhynchus albus) drift and dispersal dynamics in the Fort Peck Segment, Upper Missouri River: Insights from particle tracking simulations

Longitudinal dispersal of migratory fish species can be interrupted by factors that fragment rivers, such as dams and reservoirs with incompatible habitats, and indirect alterations to variables, such as water temperature or turbidity. The endangered pallid sturgeon ( Scaphirhynchus albus ) population in the Upper Missouri River Basin in North Dakota and Montana is an example of such fragmentation and alteration due to the construction of dams. We applied a high-resolution, 2+-dimensional modelling framework composed of hydrodynamic and Lagrangian particle tracking components to simulate pallid sturgeon larval drift and dispersal along a 33-km section of the Upper Missouri River to evaluate three main issues: a comparison between multidimensional models and traditional 1-dimensional models, the sensitivity of hydrodynamics to channel morphology, and the implications of channel morphology on retention and transport-time metrics for larval fish. The results indicate that multidimensional models better represent breakthrough curves of transporting larvae compared to 1-dimensional models, especially for the long tail of slow drifters in the population. Results also indicate that channel morphology and hydraulic complexity play significant roles in larval dispersal with certain flow conditions and channel features increasing larval retention and providing potential management options to increase survival rates by adjusting flow conditions during spawning events. For example, modelling indicates increased retention times at discharges 23–38% daily flow exceedance, coincident with emergence of mid-channel sandbars. Findings additionally emphasize the need for improved understanding of biological factors that affect larval drift and dispersal.

Montana, North Dakota

Geomorphic classification framework for assessing reproductive ecology of Scaphirhynchus albus (pallid sturgeon), Fort Peck segment, Upper Missouri River, Montana and North Dakota

The segment of the Upper Missouri River between Fort Peck Dam and the headwaters of Lake Sakakawea is home to a population of the endangered Scaphirhynchus albus (pallid sturgeon). Lack of population growth (recruitment failure) has been attributed to inadequate dispersal distance of larvae between spawning locations and the headwaters of Lake Sakakawea, where conventional wisdom holds that anoxic water-quality conditions are lethal to larval sturgeon. River-management objectives to recover pallid sturgeon in this segment therefore focus on increasing available drift distance, decreasing drift rate, increasing larval development rate, or a combination of these objectives. Understanding of channel morphological conditions along this about 400-kilometer segment may provide insight into upstream spawning habitat potential (where sturgeon likely spawn) and into geomorphic factors that may contribute to flow complexity, hence drift rate. This report documents a continuous geomorphic classification of the Fort Peck segment of the Upper Missouri River using remotely sensed datasets to provide contextual information about spatial variations potentially affecting pallid sturgeon reproductive ecology.

Montana, North Dakota

Spawning locations of pallid sturgeon in the Missouri River corroborate the mechanism for recruitment failure

Conservation propagation of pallid sturgeon ( Scaphirhynchus albus) upstream of Fort Peck Reservoir, Montana, USA has successfully recruited a new generation of spawning-capable pallid sturgeon where there would otherwise be fewer than 30 remaining wild reproductively mature pallid sturgeon. Successful recovery of pallid sturgeon will now rely on the behavior of pallid sturgeon (e.g., successful spawning in locations that provide adequate drift distance for larvae to recruit). We used location data of pallid sturgeon during four putative spawning seasons to answer the following questions: where do pallid sturgeon spawn; are spawning locations related to discharge; are substrate characteristics at the spawning locations similar to other river reaches; and do spawning-capable females, spawning-capable males, and female pallid sturgeon undergoing mass ovarian follicular atresia use the river similarly? Additionally, we consider if spawning locations are far enough from the river-reservoir transition zone to provide adequate drift distance for larvae to recruit. Spawning-capable pallid sturgeon did explore upstream locations, and four spawning-capable pallid sturgeon were located in the Marias River during the spawning season in 2018 when discharge was at an unprecedented high. Pallid sturgeon exited the Marias River and moved downstream prior to spawning, and when spawning occurred, it was not far enough upstream to prevent larvae from entering the transition zone of Fort Peck Reservoir. Thus, management of discharge and water temperature to mimic 2018 conditions may increase use of the Marias River by pallid sturgeon during the spawning season, which would increase drift distance available to larvae and increase the probability of successful recruitment.

Montana, North Dakota

Modeling the maturation history of the stacked petroleum systems of the Williston Basin, USA

A three-dimensional petroleum systems model was built to support U.S. Geological Survey assessments of undiscovered oil and gas resources in the Williston Basin of North Dakota, Montana, and South Dakota. Numerous Paleozoic source rocks have been proven or postulated in the basin, of which five were the focus of maturation and migration modeling: the Ordovician Icebox Formation, the kukersite beds of the Ordovician Red River Formation, the shales of the Devonian–Mississippian Bakken Formation, the Mississippian Madison Group, and the Pennsylvanian Tyler Formation. Calibration of the three-dimensional model to present-day temperature data indicates the existence of a north-south trend of high heat flow in western North Dakota, along with a region of high heat flow in eastern Montana. These high heat flow trends strongly control the maturity of all studied source intervals. A Bakken-specific hydrocarbon generation kinetic model was developed to match the calibrated time-temperature history of the basin to spatial trends in hydrogen index from programmed pyrolysis data. Generation of hydrocarbons occurred in the Cretaceous through Paleogene due to increased burial. Subsequent uplift and erosion in the Neogene cooled the basin, ending hydrocarbon generation for all source rocks. The cumulative volume of hydrocarbons generated by each of the source rocks was calculated and used to compare their relative robustness. The shales of the Bakken Formation are estimated to have generated approximately 460 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BBOE), while the Red River Formation generated approximately 130 BBOE, the Tyler Formation 94 BBOE, the Madison Group 44 BBOE, and the Icebox Formation 28 BBOE. Gross migration trends were analyzed with respect to historical oil and gas production in the basin and generally indicate segregation of petroleum systems throughout the stratigraphic column. However, most modeled scenarios indicated significant loss of Bakken oil to the Madison Group, suggesting that mixing of Madison and Bakken oils may be more prevalent than has recently been recognized in the U.S. portion of the Williston Basin and is particularly likely in fractured regions of the basin.

Montana, North Dakota

Energy-related wastewater contamination alters microbial communities of sediment, water, and amphibian skin

To inform responsible energy development, it is important to understand the ecological effects of contamination events. Wastewaters, a common byproduct of oil and gas extraction, often contain high concentrations of sodium chloride (NaCl) and heavy metals (e.g., strontium and vanadium). These constituents can negatively affect aquatic organisms, but there is scarce information for how wastewaters influence potentially distinct microbiomes in wetland ecosystems . Additionally, few studies have concomitantly investigated effects of wastewaters on the habitat (water and sediment) and skin microbiomes of amphibians or relationships among these microbial communities. We sampled microbiomes of water, sediment, and skin of four larval amphibian species across a gradient of chloride contamination (0.04–17,500 mg/L Cl) in the Prairie Pothole Region of North America. We detected 3129 genetic phylotypes and 68 % of those phylotypes were shared among the three sample types. The most common shared phylotypes were Proteobacteria, Firmicutes, and Bacteroidetes. Salinity of wastewaters increased dissimilarity within all three microbial communities, but not the diversity or richness of water and skin microbial communities. Strontium was associated with lower diversity and richness of sediment microbial communities, but not those of water or amphibian skin, likely because metal deposition occurs in sediment when wetlands dry. Based on Bray Curtis distance matrices, sediment microbiomes were similar to those of water, but neither had substantial overlap with amphibian microbiomes. Species identity was the strongest predictor of amphibian microbiomes; frog microbiomes were similar but differed from that of the salamander, whose microbiome had the lowest richness and diversity. Understanding how effects of wastewaters on the dissimilarity, richness, and diversity of microbial communities also influence the ecosystem function of communities will be an important next step. However, our study provides novel insight into the characteristics of, and associations among, different wetland microbial communities and effects of wastewaters from energy production.

Montana, North Dakota

Growth and survival rates of dispersing free embryos and settled larvae of pallid sturgeon (Scaphirhynchus albus) in the Missouri River, Montana and North Dakota

We released nearly 1.0 million 1-day post-hatch (dph) and 5-dph pallid sturgeon ( Scaphirhynchus albus ) free embryos in the Missouri River on 1 July 2019 and sequentially captured survivors at multiple sites through a 240-km river reach to quantify daily growth and survival rates during the early life stages. Genetic analysis was used to assign captured fish to released family lots and known ages. Growth rate was similar (0.74–0.75 mm day −1 ) between the 1- and 5-dph age groups during the 3–4-day dispersal period when water temperature averaged 16.8 °C. Daily survival rate was 0.64 during 1–4 dph for the original 1-dph age group and 0.80 during 5–7 dph for the original 5-dph age group. Total survival during free embryo dispersal (hatch to 9 dph) was estimated as 0.0437. The transition from dispersing as free embryos to settling as benthic larvae was verified for fish originally released as 5 dph. Growth of settled larvae was quantified with a Gompertz model through 75 dph (9 September; 112 mm) when water temperature was 18.8–21.0 °C in the rearing areas. Settled larvae had an estimated daily survival rate of 0.96, and estimated total survival during 9–75 dph was 0.0714. This study provides the first empirical survival estimates for pallid sturgeon early life stages in natural settings and is one of few studies reporting similar information for other sturgeon species. Applications of this work extend to pallid sturgeon restoration programs where population models are being developed to predict recruitment potential and population responses to river management alternatives.

Montana, North Dakota

Diet composition and overlap of larval pallid sturgeon and shovelnose sturgeon from the upper Missouri River, USA

Early life stages of pallid sturgeon Scaphirhynchus albus are rarely collected, and thus information on their biology and ecology is extremely limited. We sampled 75 larval pallid sturgeon (25-110 mm) and 148 larval shovelnose sturgeon S. platorynchus (15-95 mm) by trawl from the upper Missouri River (USA) in 2019. Stomach contents were identified to compare food use and diet overlap between the 2 sturgeon species at the order, family, and genus levels of taxonomic prey identification. Analyses were conducted with sites pooled and with sites separated by the confluence of the Yellowstone River (upper and lower). Abundance of dominant prey in the gut (Diptera larvae) increased with fish length for both species, and regression slopes were similar. Diet overlap at pooled sites decreased from 0.94 to 0.49 when prey were identified to order and genus, respectively, and decreases in diet overlap at individual sites were more pronounced. Larval pallid sturgeon consumed a maximum of 11 unique taxa, whereas shovelnose sturgeon consumed 6 taxa that were not consumed by pallid sturgeon. These results indicate that larval diets are similar between species when evaluated at coarse taxonomic scales, but at fine taxonomic scales, notable differences exist. As information about the diets of larval pallid sturgeon captured from a riverine environment are scarce and the use of shovelnose sturgeon as an indicator of available suitable food and habitat and as a dietary surrogate for pallid sturgeon has been under consideration, our results suggest that caution be exercised in modeling efforts or management actions relating to surrogacy.

Montana, North Dakota

Experimental evaluation of predator exclosures on nest, chick, and adult survival of piping plovers

Species of conservation concern often receive intensive management to improve vital rates and facilitate recovery. Piping plovers ( Charadrius melodus ) are federally listed in the United States and concerns over nest depredation have prompted widespread use of plover-permeable predator exclosures placed around nests (0.5–2-m radius). While effectiveness of exclosures for improving nest survival has been demonstrated, concerns remain about decreased chick survival (through predator cueing or density-dependent processes) or increased vulnerability of adults to predation (ambush as adult leaves exclosure). Either one of these concerns could demographically outweigh the benefits of increased nest survival. During 2014–2016, we conducted an experiment designed to evaluate survival of uniquely identified nests ( n = 418), chicks ( n = 453), and adults ( n = 367) at wetlands across the Northern Great Plains, USA. We assigned wetlands ( n 2014 = 26, n 2015 = 28, n 2016 = 25) into 2 groups: wetlands in which half of the nests received exclosures and wetlands in which none of the nests received exclosures. Exclosed nests had greater cumulative survival (0.73 [85% CI = 0.70–0.77]) than unexclosed nests at treatment wetlands (0.58 [0.54–0.62]) or unexclosed nests at control wetlands (0.52 [0.49–0.56]). Survival to fledging was highest for chicks hatched from exclosed nests (0.51 [0.47–0.56]), and similar between chicks hatched from unexclosed nests at treatment (0.34 [0.30–0.39]) and control (0.37 [0.32–0.42]) wetlands. Cumulative survival of adults during incubation varied by exclosure status, but adults associated with exclosed nests (0.90 [0.88–0.93]) and unexclosed nests at treatment wetlands (0.89 [0.86–0.92]) had greater survival than those associated with unexclosed nests at control wetlands (0.75 [0.64–0.84]). Adult annual survival rates varied by year (0.79–0.95) but not by exclosure status. The positive influence of exclosures on nest survival was not offset by a reduction in chick or adult survival, indicating that exclosures are a viable tool for piping plover conservation.

Montana, North Dakota

Assessment of undiscovered continuous oil resources in the Bakken and Three Forks Formations of the Williston Basin Province, North Dakota and Montana, 2021

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean resources of 4.3 billion barrels of oil and 4.9 trillion cubic feet of gas (associated) in the Bakken and Three Forks Formations of the Williston Basin Province, North Dakota and Montana.

Montana, North Dakota

Evaluating corticosterone as a biomarker for amphibians exposed to increased salinity and ambient corticosterone

Physiological biomarkers are commonly used to assess the health of taxa exposed to natural and anthropogenic stressors. Glucocorticoid (GC) hormones are often used as indicators of physiological stress in wildlife because they affect growth, reproduction and survival. Increased salinity from human activities negatively influences amphibians and their corticosterone (CORT; the main amphibian GC) physiology; therefore, CORT could be a useful biomarker. We evaluated whether waterborne CORT could serve as a biomarker of salt stress for three free-living amphibian species that vary in their sensitivity to salinity: boreal chorus frogs ( Pseudacris maculata ), northern leopard frogs ( Rana pipiens ) and barred tiger salamanders ( Ambystoma mavortium ). Across a gradient of contamination from energy-related saline wastewaters, we tested the effects of salinity on baseline and stress-induced waterborne CORT of larvae. Stress-induced, but not baseline, CORT of leopard frogs increased with increasing salinity. Salinity was not associated with baseline or stress-induced CORT of chorus frogs or tiger salamanders. Associations between CORT and salinity were also not related to species-specific sensitivities to salinity. However, we detected background environmental CORT (ambient CORT) in all wetlands and spatial variation was high within and among wetlands. Higher ambient CORT was associated with lower waterborne CORT of larvae in wetlands. Therefore, ambient CORT likely confounded associations between waterborne CORT and salinity in our analysis and possibly influenced physiology of larvae. We hypothesize that larvae may passively take up CORT from their environment and downregulate endogenous CORT. Although effects of some hormones (e.g. oestrogen) and endocrine disruptors on aquatic organisms are well described, studies investigating the occurrence and effects of ambient CORT are limited. We provide suggestions to improve collection methods, reduce variability and avoid confounding effects of ambient CORT. By making changes to methodology, waterborne CORT could still be a promising, non-invasive conservation tool to evaluate effects of salinity on amphibians.

Montana, North Dakota

Insights on geochemical, isotopic, and volumetric compositions of produced water from hydraulically fractured Williston Basin oil wells

Tracing produced water origins from wells hydraulically fractured with freshwater-based fluids is sometimes predicated on assumptions that (1) each geological formation contains compositionally unique brine and (2) produced water from recently hydraulically fractured wells resembles fresher meteoric water more so than produced water from older wells. These assumptions are not valid in Williston Basin oil wells sampled in this study. Although distinct average 228 Ra/ 226 Ra ratios were found in water produced from the Bakken and Three Forks Formations, average δ 2 H, δ 18 O, specific gravity, and conductivity were similar but exhibited significant variability across five oil fields within each formation. Furthermore, initial produced water (“flowback”) was operationally defined based on the presence of glycol ether compounds and water from wells that had produced <56% of the amount of fluids injected and sampled within 160 days of fracturing. Flowback unexpectedly exhibited higher temperature, specific gravity, conductivity, δ 2 H, and δ 18 O, but lower oxidation–reduction potential and δ 11 B, relative to the wells thought to be producing formation brines (from wells with a produced-to-injected water ratio [PIWR] > 0.84 and sampled more than 316 days after fracturing). As such, establishing an overall geochemical and isotopic signature of produced water compositions based solely on chemical similarity to meteoric water and formation without the consideration of well treatments, well completion depth, or lateral location across the basin could be misleading if these signatures are assumed to be applicable across the entire basin. These findings have implications for using produced water compositions to understand the interbasin fluid flow and trace sources of hydraulic fracturing fluids.

Montana, North Dakota

Catch rates for sturgeon chubs and sicklefin chubs in the Upper Missouri River 2004–2016 and correlations with biotic and abiotic variables

A multiweek standardized sampling regime during 2004–2016 in a 60-km reach of the Upper Missouri River assessed reproduction and catch rates for Sturgeon Chub Macrhybopsis gelida and Sicklefin Chub Macrhybopsis meeki . We sampled age-0 Macrhybopsis (primarily Sturgeon Chubs, but potentially including Sicklefin Chubs) all years to indicate successful reproduction, but noted an inverse correlation of catch per unit area (CPUA) with year. There was an inverse correlation for CPUA of age-1+ Sturgeon Chubs with year. There was no correlation for CPUA of age-1+ Sicklefin Chubs with year, but we noted a depression in CPUA during 2010 and 2012. The study reach includes restoration directives for federally endangered Pallid Sturgeon Scaphirhynchus albus , with 245,000 hatchery-origin Pallid Sturgeon (HOPS) stocked since 1998 to supplement the declining wild stock. Pallid Sturgeon longer than 350 mm fork length transition to piscivory and are known to prey on Sturgeon Chubs and Sicklefin Chubs. We examined the hypothesis that mass additions of HOPS to the existing predator community could have population-level effects on the two chub species. Population modeling for the stocked HOPS through time yielded estimates of nearly 1,300 piscivore-sized HOPS in 2004, an increase to 26,000 HOPS in 2012, and decreasing numbers through 2016 (14,500). A negative correlation between HOPS abundance and age-0 Macrhybopsis CPUA had the best support among other candidate variables (discharge, water temperature, catch rates of Sauger Sander canadensis ). We found an inverse correlation for CPUA of age-1+ Sturgeon Chubs and estimated HOPS abundance, and there was also evidence of an inverse association between age-1+ Sicklefin Chub CPUA and HOPS in the study area. Results for a 60-km reach of the Upper Missouri River suggest declining CPUA for age-0 Macrhybopsis and Sturgeon Chubs during 2004–2016 and modest recovery of Sicklefin Chubs after 2012. Although causative factors driving CPUA changes through time are not known, correlative analyses suggest that large numbers of HOPS added to the Missouri River predator community potentially influence CPUA of Sturgeon Chubs and Sicklefin Chubs in the study area. Testing this hypothesis will require expanded quantification of chub populations and HOPS numbers through time.

Montana, North Dakota

Uncovering process domains in large rivers: Patterns and potential drivers of benthic substrate heterogeneity in two North American riverscapes

Identifying and understanding functional process domains (sensu Montgomery, 1999) in rivers is paramount for linking the physical habitat template to ecosystem structure and function. To date, efforts to do this have been rare, especially in large rivers, as they require appropriate tools for quantifying habitat heterogeneity with fine-scale resolution across broad spatial extents. In this study, we used side-scan sonar technology to map riverbed substrate at six sites in the Yellowstone and Missouri rivers. Substrate maps were then analyzed and visualized using geospatial analysis to relate fine-grained spatial substrate patterns to process domain structure. Our findings revealed two distinct nested domains of substrate patchiness, suggesting that different factors are responsible for shaping patterns of substrate at different scales. Although small-scale patchiness in substrate was likely driven by internal, or autogenic, physical processes, patterns at larger segment extents (>3 km) were often driven by abrupt transitions in habitat related to exogenous factors such as lateral erosion of talus, tributary inputs, and bank armoring. Additionally, we found that heterogeneity in benthic substrate increased with spatial extent at all of our study sites; however, this relationship was lower in the Missouri River, which is altered by impoundment. Our study represents one of the first efforts to relate benthic habitat heterogeneity to nested process domain structure in large riverscapes, and offers a unique perspective for linking landscape processes, geomorphological habitat heterogeneity, and biological structure and function in large rivers.

Montana, North Dakota

Low occurrence of ranavirus in the Prairie Pothole Region of Montana and North Dakota (USA) contrasts with prior surveys

Ranaviruses are emerging pathogens that have caused mortality events in amphibians worldwide. Despite the negative effects of ranaviruses on amphibian populations, monitoring efforts are still lacking in many areas, including in the Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of North America. Some PPR wetlands in Montana and North Dakota (USA) have been contaminated by energy-related saline wastewaters, and increased salinity has been linked to greater severity of ranavirus infections. In 2017, we tested tissues from larvae collected at 7 wetlands that ranged in salinity from 26 to 4103 mg Cl l -1 . In 2019, we used environmental DNA (eDNA) to test for ranaviruses in 30 wetlands that ranged in salinity from 26 to 11754 mg Cl l -1 . A previous study (2013-2014) found that ranavirus-infected amphibians were common across North Dakota, including in some wetlands near our study area. Overall, only 1 larva tested positive for ranavirus infection, and we did not detect ranavirus in any eDNA samples. There are several potential reasons why we found so little evidence of ranaviruses, including low larval sample sizes, mismatch between sampling and disease occurrence, larger pore size of our eDNA filters, temporal variation in outbreaks, low host abundance, or low occurrence or prevalence of ranaviruses in the wetlands we sampled. We suggest future monitoring efforts be conducted to better understand the occurrence and prevalence of ranaviruses within the PPR.

Montana, North Dakota

Implications of aggregating daily production data on estimates of ultimate recovery from horizontal hydraulically fractured Bakken oil wells

The level to which data are aggregated can impact analytical and predictive modeling results. In this short paper we discuss some of our findings regarding the impacts of data aggregation on estimating change points in the production profiles of horizontal hydraulically fractured Bakken oil wells. Change points occur when production transitions from one flow regime to another. Change point determination is important because it governs calculation of ultimate recovery from these and similar wells drilled in shale plays.

Montana, North Dakota