Recent trends in counts of migrant hawks from northeastern North America
Using simple regression, pooled-sites route-regression, and nonparametric rank-trend analyses, we evaluated trends in counts of hawks migrating past 6 eastern hawk lookouts from 1972 to 1987. The indexing variable was the total count for a season. Bald eagle ( Haliaeetus leucocephalus ), peregrine falcon ( Falco peregrinus ), merlin ( F. columbarius ), osprey ( Pandion haliaetus ), and Cooper's hawk ( Accipiter cooperii ) counts increased using route-regression and nonparametric methods (P < 0.05). Northern harrier ( Circus cyaneus ) counts increased based on the nonparametric method (P < 0.01) but not the route-regression method (P > 0.10). We found no consistent trends (P > 0.10) in counts of sharp-shinned hawks ( A. striatus ), northern goshawks ( A. gentilis ) red-shouldered hawks ( Buteo lineatus) , red-tailed hawks ( B. jamaicensis ), rough-legged hawsk ( B. lagopus ), and American kestrels ( F. sparverius ). Broad-winged hawk ( B. platypterus ) counts declined (P < 0.05) based on the route-regression method. Empirical comparisons of our results with those for well-studied species such as the peregrine falcon, bald eagle, and osprey indicated agreement with nesting surveys. We suggest that counts of migrant hawks are a useful and economical method for detecting long-term trends in species across regions, particularly for species that otherwise cannot be easily surveyed.