@misc{indiciae1cacfe06cdba,
  title = {A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities},
  author = {William L. Ellsworth and Mark V. Matthews and Robert M. Nadeau and Stuart P. Nishenko and Paul A. Reasenberg and Robert W. Simpson},
  year = {1999},
  doi = {10.3133/ofr99522},
  url = {https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/ofr99522},
  note = {Source identifier: ofr99522}
}