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USGS2026

Hazards related to man-made structures: Buildings, noise, electric power

Many man-made structures can form a hazard to avian wildlife. The most common hazard is one of collision, and this paper will look at problems with glass in buildings, power lines, and wind turbines all as sources of collision and trauma to avian wildlife. However, other anthropogenic factors that can adversely affect avian wildlife can be those that effectively eliminate suitable habitat for avian wildlife. These can include noise factors associated with such things as wind turbines and construction areas and the loss of habitat to large solar arrays, not to mention strip mining for coal and oil-sands. All these factors can contribute to the estimated loss of 3 billion birds in the last five decades.

Book chapter↗

USGS2026

Archean to Mesozoic–Cenozoic seismic crustal structure: Implications for geological and biological evolution

We use >4500 measurements of crustal structure to investigate the seismic structure of continental crust, Archean to Mesozoic–Cenozoic. The mean crustal thickness of continents, including their margins, is 36.5 km. We find that Archean, Paleoproterozoic, and Mesoproterozoic crust have similar mean crustal thickness (41 km), seismic velocities, Vp/Vs ratio, and density. Crusts of these ages span 3 Ga, from 4.0 to 1.0 Ga, and their similarity of physical properties (thickness, density, and seismic velocities) suggests that the process of crustal formation may have been similar during this time period, which covers 66% of Earth's history. Neoproterozoic crustal properties differ significantly from Mesoproterozoic and older crusts. The mean thickness of Neoproterozoic crust is 32 km, some 9 km thinner than the mean thickness of Archean, Paleoproterozoic, and Mesoproterozoic crust. A lithospheric root with a thickness of 150–200 km underlies Archean, Paleoproterozoic, and Mesoproterozoic crusts, and this root resists lithospheric rifting and crustal extension and thinning. Based on these observations, particularly the lithospheric thickness, we conclude that Archean, Paleoproterozoic, and Mesoproterozoic lithosphere are unique and together form the stable cratonic nuclei, defined as the thick (150–250 km), long-lived cores of continents. Higher mantle temperatures during the Archean, Paleoproterozoic, and Mesoproterozoic may have played a key role in the formation of the thick lithospheric roots. The second key finding is that the similarities of mean seismic properties indicate that the process of crustal formation operating in the Archean continued during the Paleoproterozoic and Mesoproterozoic. The thin (mean value < 135 km) lithospheric root beneath Neoproterozoic and younger crust may be related to the steady decrease in mantle temperature through time. Neoproterozoic and Paleozoic crust have similar physical properties, and these eras are characterized by pronounced biodiversification, including the renowned Garden of Ediacara, the Cambrian Explosion, and the Great Ordovician Biodiversification. Mesozoic–Cenozoic crust is the most diverse and reflects the current tectonic and magmatic processes of crustal formation.

Book chapter↗

USGS2026

Using quantitative polymerase chain reaction to assess phytoplankton and indicate eutrophication in freshwater rivers: A multiyear nationwide study across the United States

Phytoplankton are essential primary producers in fresh surface water that are critical to the health of ecosystems. However, phytoplankton overgrowth due to eutrophication threatens ecological, economic, and public health. Therefore, assessing phytoplankton is fundamental for understanding the productivity, health, and trophic status of freshwater ecosystems. Light microscopy and chlorophyll a assessment are common approaches for studying phytoplankton. They are easy to use, cost-effective, and reliable but have significant limitations. Microscopy has a low throughput and is time-consuming and labor-intensive. Chlorophyll a assessment does not reveal phytoplankton community composition and structure. For comparison, quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) is widely applied in quantifying microorganisms, offering multiple advantages, including high throughput, sensitivity, accuracy, and robustness. However, a research gap remains regarding the feasibility of using qPCR to assess phytoplankton and indicate trophic status of freshwater bodies. We conducted a nationwide, multiyear study in the United States to compare the performance of qPCR, microscopy, and chlorophyll a assessment in assessing phytoplankton and trophic statuses of multiple freshwater rivers. From early summer to late fall in 2017, 2018, and 2019, we assessed phytoplankton, chlorophyll a , pheophytin a , and the overall Trophic Level Index ( TLI Overall ) at the sampling sites in 12 large freshwater rivers in three regions (western, midcontinent, and eastern) across the United States. The seasonal summed abundance of four major phytoplankton taxa [Bacillariophyta (diatoms), Cyanobacteria (blue-green algae), Chlorophyta (green algae), and Dinoflagellates (Dinophyta)] ranged from 6.88 log 10 (GCN·L –1 ) (the Connecticut River, 2017) to 9.29 log 10 (GCN·L –1 ) (the Kansas River, 2019) (GCN: gene or genome copy number). qPCR- and microscopy-based phytoplankton abundance of eight phytoplankton taxa had a significant positive allometric or log-linear correlation (adjusted R 2 = 0.836, p -value < 0.001, n = 815). In addition, qPCR-based phytoplankton abundance had positive allometric or log-linear correlations with chlorophyll a (adjusted R 2 = 0.5437, p -value < 0.001, n = 164), pheophytin a (adjusted R 2 = 0.3378, p -value < 0.001, n = 164), and TLI Overall (adjusted R 2 = 0.4789, p -value < 0.001, n = 164). Therefore, qPCR is a promising alternative to microscopy and chlorophyll a for studying phytoplankton and trophic status in freshwater rivers. Moreover, phytoplankton abundance had limited temporal variation within each sampling season and over the three sampling seasons in 2017, 2018, and 2019 but showed clear spatial variation. The midcontinent sites had significantly higher phytoplankton abundance, chlorophyll a concentrations, pheophytin a concentrations, and TLI Overall values than those in the eastern and western rivers, reflecting the higher trophic statuses of the midcontinent rivers. This work also provides the thresholds of qPCR-based phytoplankton abundance for delineating trophic statuses in freshwater rivers. Overall, this work demonstrates that qPCR is a promising tool for studying phytoplankton and characterizing the trophic status of freshwater rivers.

Book chapter↗

USGS2026

Quantifying the subfield heterogeneity in winter cereal cover crop biomass across farms in the Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain

Winter cover crops can reduce erosion and improve water quality. Ecosystem services generally increase with higher cover crop biomass, but they are known to be variable within the field. We generated a large remotely-sensed biomass dataset from more than 8,000 fields enrolled in a cover crop cost share program to study biomass heterogeneity from fields in the Choptank and Chester-Sassafras watersheds in the Delmarva Peninsula, across four years. We also used soil and topography data to determine drivers of subfield heterogeneity in cover crop biomass. We found that winter cover crop biomass heterogeneity is higher in fields with large cover crops, and that low-lying or poorly-drained positions on the landscape often had lower biomass in the most variable fields. Random forest model performance at predicting subfield cover crop biomass was slightly improved at 9 m compared to 3 m spatial resolution. We demonstrate that remotely-sensed normalized difference vegetation index, soil, and topography data can be used to quantify variation in cover crop biomass at a watershed scale.

Maryland↗

USGS2026

Erosion and transport of sediments in watersheds of southwest Puerto Rico determined from strontium isotopes and mixing models

Sediment outflow from streams to coastal regions can adversely affect water quality and the health of ecosystems including Puerto Rico's southwestern carbonate platform with shallow marine communities. Knowledge of sediment provenance and erosional areas would aid effective restoration to reduce excessive sedimentation. Strontium (Sr) isotopic ratios ( 87 Sr/ 86 Sr) can be used to differentiate between sediment eroded into streams from different lithologies, or rock types, and used in mixing models to estimate proportions of source materials in downstream mixtures. The goal of this study was to use Sr isotopes to differentiate between river sediments in drainages with distinct geologies and present a case study where Sr isotope mixing models are used to identify sediment sourcing to Río Loco and Bahía de Guánica, a priority watershed of the U.S. Coral Reefs Task Force. For the Río Loco watershed, model results indicate that serpentinites in the uplands contributed approximately 71 % of sediment to Bahía de Guánica. About 21 % of sediment was from trachy-andesitic basalts in the foothills, and the remaining 8 % originated from sources on the coastal plain. Neither the uppermost headwater region of Río Loco, the Canal Principal De Riego Valle De Lajas, nor the tributary Quebrada Susúa appeared to be significant sources of sediment to Río Loco's mainstem or Bahía de Guánica at the time of the study. Our results demonstrate that sediment from the serpentinite-bearing areas of Río Loco watershed was effectively transported to the lowlands, which then discharge into Guánica Bay, and highlight the potential use of Sr isotopes as tracers of sediment provenance. This will, in turn, enable better science-based restoration efforts aimed at reducing terrestrial sediment erosion and impacts to marine ecosystems.

Puerto Rico↗

USGS2026

PFAS exposure suppresses leaf litter decomposition in a stream ecosystem

Decomposition of organic matter is critical to the biogeochemical cycling of carbon and nutrients in all ecosystems. In streams, decomposition can be influenced by anthropogenic impacts, including contaminants. Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are resistant to degradation and widespread in freshwater ecosystems, yet little is known about their influence on organic matter processing in streams. We paired an observational field study of a PFAS-impacted stream via food processing wastewater with a 28-day laboratory experiment to investigate PFAS effects on leaf litter processing using multiple lines of evidence. Leaf litter decomposition rates and microbial respiration were significantly lower downstream of the PFAS point-source compared to the paired upstream site. We hypothesized that PFAS suppressed microbial activity thereby resulting in slower decomposition rates. To investigate further and better isolate PFAS, we dosed aquatic mesocosms containing leaf packs with differing concentrations of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS). Over the 28-day incubation, decomposition rates did not differ, but we observed lower respiration rates on day 28 and higher dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in PFOS-dosed mesocosms, suggesting that PFAS may suppress microbial activity and inhibit carbon processing. These results underscore that concerns regarding PFAS contamination extend beyond organismal toxicity to ecosystem-level effects. Further research is needed to understand the scale, implications, and mechanisms responsible for these changes.

Upper Mississippi River Basin↗

USGS2026

Global change and threats to waterbirds in the Asian flyways

Avian migration represents one of nature’s most spectacular phenomena, providing critical ecological services and acting as an indicator of environmental change. Flyways are geographical ranges through which migrating bird species move, and the flyway concept has been used to identify countries that share species to highlight their collective responsibility for conservation. Of the nine recognized global waterbird flyways, the Central Asian Flyway (CAF) and the East Asian–Australasian Flyway (EAAF) are among the most important areas in Eurasia, supporting millions of waterbirds across a vast network of habitats. We proposed this special issue in Avian Research entitled “Global Change and Threats to Waterbirds in the Asian Flyways” to synthesize recent findings from 12 papers covering a wide range of topics. The CAF stretches from the Siberian tundra through Central Asia including Mongolia, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the Trans-Caucasus, and the Himalayas, extending south to the Indian subcontinent and parts of the Middle East. The EAAF spans eastern Siberia and Alaska to Southeast Asia, Australia, and New Zealand, including China, Japan, the Korean Peninsula, and the Russian Far East. These two flyways include 47 countries comprising critical wetlands, river basins, and coastal areas, which are vital breeding, stopover, and wintering grounds for waterbirds. Seasonal migration in these flyways is fundamentally influenced by climate and weather conditions, land cover dynamics, and anthropogenic activities, and contributes significantly to ecological processes such as pest control, nutrient cycling, and organism dispersal. However, migratory waterbirds and their habitats are undergoing enormous challenges. Changes in climate, habitat availability and connectivity, and human activities are altering the phenology, distribution, population dynamics, and health of the migratory bird populations. As migratory waterbirds travel across international boundaries, understanding their movements and responses to environmental change requires collaborative, cross-border research efforts that promote knowledge sharing and interdisciplinary approaches.

Avian Research↗

USGS2026

Wildfire smoke reduces the vocal activity of imperiled grassland birds in New York State

Smoke from new fire regimes driven by climate change may affect biodiversity in new regions of the world. Wildfires that occurred in eastern Canada in 2023 burned nearly 7.8 million hectares of forest, sending smoke throughout the northeastern United States. We leveraged passive acoustic monitoring to investigate real-time effects of wildfire smoke on vocalization behavior of globally imperiled grassland birds during the breeding season in open land covers across New York State. We determined an overall negative effect of elevated smoke levels on breeding grassland bird vocal activity. We observed the strongest vocalization responses in Bobolink ( Dolichonyx oryzivorus ) – a colonial breeding, grassland-obligate species; Bobolink vocal activity sharply dropped during intense smoke early in the breeding season, yet increased during a milder smoke event later in the breeding season. Our results indicate that wildfire smoke can present an additive stressor to already imperiled grassland bird species via potential fitness reductions from decreased communication. While some aspects of smoke exposure may be uncontrollable, our results suggest that increased attention to conservation practices that promote grassland birds in the Northeast could be prioritized to offset negative effects of increased smoke associated with global change.

New York↗

USGS2026

Where will the cat cross the road? Comparing camera and GPS-based models for identifying wildlife corridors

Designing effective wildlife corridors is a critical conservation challenge in fragmented landscapes. GPS-based step selection functions strongly predict dispersal corridors and connectivity, but GPS collaring can be expensive and invasive. Camera-based occupancy models are widely used for connectivity analyses but may involve trade-offs in data resolution. Despite widespread use of both approaches, few studies have directly compared them using concurrent datasets. We developed a stacked single-species, single-season occupancy model and a Circuitscape connectivity surface for mountain lions (Puma concolor) on Washington’s Olympic Peninsula, USA, and compared them with a connectivity surface from an existing integrated step selection function. Both models predicted mountain lion GPS locations well, with binned Spearman rank correlations of 1 for Circuitscape and 0.96 for the step selection function, though step selection better identified habitat use by dispersers. Connectivity predictions were moderately correlated across the landscape ( r = 0.26), but agreement was strongest in human-dominated areas most critical for corridor planning. We conclude that GPS-based approaches are advantageous when data collection is feasible and the focus is on dispersal or fine-scale movement. However, camera-based approaches may be preferable for multi-species monitoring, large spatial and temporal scales, noninvasive sampling, when resources are limited, or when fine-scale or dispersal-specific inference is not required.

Washington↗

USGS2026

Experimentally quantifying how long recreation noise displaces mammals: Recovery over weeks to months varies by disturbance type and species tolerance

Outdoor recreation is expanding across public lands, yet managers lack evidence for how long wildlife responses to recreation persist and whether response duration depends on disturbance type and frequency. Using a field-based acoustic playback experiment in the Bridger–Teton National Forest, Wyoming, USA, we isolated recreation noise from other components of human presence and quantified how long mammal detections took to return to baseline. Across 12 sites over two field seasons, we broadcast motorized and non-motorized recreation sounds at rates mimicking high- and low-use trails, paired with nature-sound controls. We quantified treatment effects as deviations from expected weekly detections at our control sites, defining time-to-return as the first week when deviations overlapped zero. Response duration differed between disturbance types. High-rate motorized playbacks produced the longest suppression: all species except mule deer did not return to baseline within our 15-week season, whereas mule deer recovered by six weeks. For high-rate non-motorized playbacks, all species except for mule deer had suppressed detections until seven weeks while mule deer detections were not different from baseline. For low-rate non-motorized playbacks, mule deer detections returned to baseline at nine weeks while all other species returned to baseline at seven weeks. Species differences indicate that apparent overall recovery can mask prolonged avoidance by less tolerant taxa. Recreation effects persisted for weeks to months and varied with disturbance type and exposure frequency, highlighting how temporal patterns of use influence wildlife responses and where recreational planning of spatial refugia or seasonal restrictions could reduce impacts on sensitive species.

Wyoming↗

USGS2026

Flying under the radar: The demographic importance of immatures in long-lived seabird populations

Demographic assessments are essential for effective biological conservation management, allowing early detection of population declines and timely allocation of resources to avoid possible crises. For species with slow life-history strategies like seabirds, only the breeding adults are monitored routinely. The dynamics of immatures, often unobservable from fledging to recruitment, are less well understood and typically not accounted for in conservation status assessments. Here, we quantify the importance of changes in the survival and abundance of immatures in shaping the past and forecasted dynamics of a long-lived marine top-predator. We use integrated population models (IPM) incorporating the dynamics of immatures, based on multi-decadal demographic monitoring of the black-browed albatross ( Thalassarche melanophris ) at three globally important breeding sites. The populations showed differences in breeding and survival rates, highlighting a degree of life history flexibility in response to the environment. Using a retrospective sensitivity analysis, we consistently identified immature survival as the key contributor to population growth rate. At all sites, even those with increasing or stable breeding populations, the total population has been declining, largely due to decreases in immature survival. Although not directly apparent from counts, this decline is already underway and is projected to emerge at the level of the breeding population over the coming three generations. This contrasts with a model focusing solely on counts of breeding adults, which mostly indicate an overall population increase. Collectively, our findings highlight that conservation assessments must account for the dynamics of subadult stages, or risk providing an inaccurate picture of population status.

Biological Conservation↗

USGS2026

Spatial ecology and recovery patterns of a translocated mammal community in southern Africa

Conservation translocations are an increasingly common tool to restore wildlife populations within protected areas. Along with identifying and mitigating threats, post-release monitoring allows managers to evaluate recovery effectiveness and improve success rates. Multispecies translocations present challenges in monitoring design, data processing, and analysis. Camera traps coupled with computer-vision-assisted workflows, environmental data, and spatially explicit occupancy models show promise for efficient multispecies monitoring over broad spatiotemporal scales. We applied this approach to a large translocation program in Nkhotakota Wildlife Reserve, Malawi, using a six-year camera-trap dataset to assess recovery patterns of nine large herbivore species. We fit spatial occupancy models to estimate species distributions and trends in landscape use while incorporating environmental covariates and accounting for spatial autocorrelation. African bush elephants ( Loxodonta africana ) and cape buffalo ( Syncerus caffer ) showed the strongest evidence of establishment and expansion, while common eland ( Taurotragus oryx ), greater kudu ( Tragelaphus strepsiceros ), plains zebra ( Equus quagga ), and impala ( Aepyceros melampus ) showed positive but weaker or uneven trends. Sable antelope ( Hippotragus niger ) showed evidence of establishment without expansion, whereas waterbuck ( Kobus ellipsiprymnus ) and warthog ( Phacochoerus africanus ) exhibited negative trends, although support for waterbuck declines was weak. Species exhibited variable and seasonally specific relationships with tree density, proximity to water, elevation, slope, and the reserve boundary, indicating that a range of environmental conditions support this mammal community. Our results demonstrate how spatial occupancy models can provide interpretable recovery indicators for multispecies translocations while highlighting how long-term monitoring can distinguish early recovery, behavioral shifts, and interannual variation from long-term population responses.

Nkhotakota Wildlife Reserve↗

USGS2026

Rhyolitic and basaltic reference materials for TC/EA analysis: Investigation of water extraction and D/H ratios

Increasingly, water and D/H ratios of silicic and basaltic glasses are used to investigate magmatic degassing and secondary hydration, as well as for study these parameters in the mantle and crustal magmas. The advent of the High Temperature Conversion Element Analyzer (TC/EA) continuous flow mass spectrometry made the determination of hydrogen isotopes relatively quick and precise (±0.04 wt% H 2 O and 1–3‰ δ 2 H). Many labs around the world have such systems, thus there is a need to develop both silicic and basaltic volcanic glass reference materials (RMs) that can be used for interlaboratory comparison by bulk and microanalytical methods. Here, we report results of such investigation run against solid RMs (USGS micas) and water RMs (including VSMOW) in three different labs and describe analytical protocols. We report on the effects of glass size fraction, the mass of aliquots measured, and yield dependency for two glasses: UOR (drill cutting of IDDP-1 rhyolite, Iceland) and UOB (an E -MORB basalt from the East Pacific Rise). Proposed RM values are: UOB rhyolitic glass ( n = 31): H 2 O = 1.84 ± 0.06 wt% (1 s.d.), and δ 2 H = −115.5 ± 2.6‰ (1 s.d.). UOB basaltic glass ( n = 60): H 2 O = 0.37 ± 0.03 wt% (1 s.d.), and δ 2 H = −82.1 ± 5.7‰ (1 s.d.). Glass reference materials are available in 100 mg quantities from the Stable Isotope Laboratory at the University of Oregon for a nominal fee.

Chemical Geology↗

USGS2026

Utilization of multiple geochronology techniques to constrain the age of laterization and mineralization of the world-class Mount Weld rare earth element deposit, Western Australia

Pervasive chemical weathering on stable cratons may form thick regoliths and elemental enrichment, but constraining the age of regolith formation is challenging. In this study we utilize multiple geochronological techniques on different minerals from the world-class Mount Weld rare earth element (REE) deposit, formed by lateritic weathering of a carbonatite, to constrain the age of formation and provide insight into landscape evolution. The oldest dates, ca. 100 to 38 Ma, are from Lu-Hf dating of churchite [HREE(PO 4 )·2(H 2 O)], a heavy REE phosphate mineral. Growth bands on individual minerals show a younging outwards. 40 Ar/ 39 Ar geochronology of cryptomelane [K(Mn 4+ ,Mn 2+ )₈O₁₆] yielded dates from ca. 40 to 27 Ma. Similarly, (U-Th)/He geochronology of goethite [FeO(OH)] yielded dates ranging from ca. 45 to 19 Ma. Integrating results into regional constraints, suggests 1) churchite formed by mineral saturation in a karst-like setting below the water table from ca. 100 to 40 Ma, 2) with minor uplift and erosion, cryptomelane and goethite formed at or near the water table between ca. 45 and 19 Ma, 3) after ca. 15 to 10 Ma chemical weathering within the profile had ended. Other studies document that the region experienced minimal uplift and a wet, warm climate from ca. 100 Ma to 15 Ma. These conditions and the high carbonate content of the carbonatite promote extensive chemical weathering, a deep weathering profile, and the preservation of the weathered section. This study highlights the use of multiple geochronological techniques utilizing different minerals to provide insight into how laterites form and to constrain the timing and history of the formation of this important mineral deposit.

Western Australia↗

USGS2026

Integrating detrital magnetite geochemistry and (U-Th)/He chronometry as a sediment provenance tool in geologic and metallogenic terranes

Magnetite is ubiquitous in porphyry Cu systems and in sediment sourcing both barren and mineralized regions, with potential as an indicator mineral in concealed and coarsely-mapped terranes. We develop and test a workflow for integrated geochemistry and (U–Th)/He (He) dating for inferring detrital magnetite (DMt) provenance in these settings. The ca. 70 Ma Taurus porphyry Cu–Mo(–Au) district in eastern interior Alaska serves as a test case. DMt from streams draining porphyry-related mineralization was characterized by geochemistry and mineral inclusion and microstructure observations, complemented by similar data for potential porphyry and host rock sources. Principal component analysis and clustering of DMt geochemical data resolve multiple populations in our samples geochemically and texturally compatible with derivation from metamorphic, porphyry-related hydrothermal, and igneous sources. Hydrothermal magnetite comprises ∼16–50% of DMt nearest porphyry mineralization but diminishes to ∼4% ∼15 km downstream. Subsampled grains within populations yield ∼160–110 Ma, ∼70 Ma, ∼55 Ma, and ∼20 Ma magnetite He date modes. Combined with provenance, He dates capture Early Cretaceous regional exhumation of metamorphic host rock and Late Cretaceous porphyry Cu mineralization. DMt grains showing partial hematite replacement yield ca. 55–20 Ma dates regardless of source, overlapping regional warm/wet climatic intervals. We interpret Cenozoic dates to reflect exhumation to near-surface oxidizing conditions and(or) supergene weathering. Magnetite is thus a promising target phase for (1) tracking the spatiotemporal distribution of porphyry systems, and (2) linking the formation and exhumation of these systems to a regional geologic history, both in Alaska and globally.

Alaska, Yukon↗

USGS2026

Release and recapture: Limited carbon mobilization in sediment adjacent to Central Atlantic Magmatic Province sills, Florida, USA

Large Igneous Provinces (LIPs) are associated with dramatic changes to the Earth system; their rapid release of carbon may initiate catastrophic climatic changes causing mass extinction. This carbon release is often associated with volcanic emissions, yet metamorphic carbon production is poorly constrained. Metamorphic carbon devolatilization occurs as intrusions interact with host sediment, potentially releasing substantial sedimentary carbon. While this process has been modeled, few studies use an observational approach. Here, we apply geochemical analysis, petrographic analysis, Raman spectroscopy, vitrinite reflectance, and thermodynamic modeling to understand carbon devolatilization in sediment adjacent to Central Atlantic Magmatic Province basaltic intrusions using two boreholes that penetrate the Florida basement. We find geochemical and petrographic evidence for CO 2 release from carbonates below a 10 m thick sill, with upward fluid transport and recapture of mobilized CO 2 at the top of the sill. Ultimately, we estimate 220 mols/m 2 to 9900 mols/m 2 of carbon were mobilized from sedimentary carbonate. Uncertainties in the extent of re‑carbonation suggest that anywhere from 0 mols/m 2 to 7100 mols/m 2 may have escaped to the surface. We find little evidence of organic carbon mobility, due partly to the increased activity of CO 2 from carbonate devolatilization. Discrepancies between measured temperatures and 1D thermal models suggest complexities in heat transport through aqueous pore fluid flow and short (hundred to thousand year) heating timescales. These results highlight that further field-based study can help clarify the roles that heating timescales, fluid flow, sediment chemistry, and other factors play in releasing and capturing carbon during LIP emplacement.

Florida↗

USGS2026

Characterisation of bituminite and testing reproducibility of vitrinite and bituminite reflectance measurements in organic‑carbon-rich intervals of the Kimmeridge Clay Formation: ICCP Identification of Dispersed Organic Matter Working Group round robin exercises

Three round robin exercises (RRE) aimed at characterizing bituminite and testing the reproducibility of random vitrinite (VR o %) and bituminite (BitR o %) reflectance measurements on samples of dispersed organic matter from organic‑carbon rich shale intervals of Kimmeridge Clay Formation were conducted in 2016, 2018, and 2020. This work was conducted by the Identification of Dispersed Organic Matter Working Group (IDOM WG) of the International Committee for Coal and Organic Petrology (ICCP). The Kimmeridge Clay Formation represents the major marine source rock for the North Sea hydrocarbon province. Samples collected from Kimmeridge Bay, Dorset, England, United Kingdom and Filey Bay, North Yorkshire, England, United Kingdom outcrops and the 16/17–14 well in the Tiffany oil field, Viking Graben, North Sea, were analyzed by 19 to 23 participants in 15 to 17 laboratories from 14 to 15 countries. Samples contain moderate to high organic matter content [5.32 to 12.10 wt% total organic carbon (TOC) content] with thermal maturity ranging from immature to thermally mature (T max 418 to 445 °C). Participants used a standard description sheet to record bituminite morphological characteristics, including its form, size, mode of appearance, and impurities, for use in the revision of the bituminite definition. The usage of previously published classifications of bituminite types (e.g., bituminite I sensu Teichmüller and Ottenjann, 1977 ) in the RRE was not found to be helpful. The indistinct, amorphous character of boundaries of bituminite, and the poor preparation of whole rock pellets for the 2018 and 2020 RRE hampered identification of bituminite. Mean random BitR o %, including outlying values, varied in all three RRE from 0.19 to 0.35% and is reported here for the first time. Application of the criterion standard deviation (SD) < 0.15 × BitR o % to exclude outlying BitR o % values showed virtually no change in modified BitR o % in immature samples (2016 and 2018 RRE) and an unexpected increase to 0.43% BitR o in the thermally mature sample (2020 RRE). Mean VR o values, including outliers in the three RRE, range from 0.47 to 0.71%, confirming the immature to thermally mature nature of samples of the Kimmeridge Clay Formation used in this study. Application of the criterion SD < 0.15 × VR o to exclude outlying values results in a comparable range of modified VR o values and a decrease in group standard deviation. Precision of VR o values (including outlying values) evaluated via the averaged unsigned multiple of the standard deviation rule (< 1.5) showed moderate to high precision comparable to historical values from similar RRE. An average reproducibility limit (RL) of 0.29% (including outlying values) showed an improvement in reproducibility relative to similar historical RRE (0.35%), which was attributed to the application of a common methodology (ASTM D7708, 2014b, 2023) to enhance the quality of data from the reflectance test method.

Kimmeridge Bay↗

USGS2026

HyFlood: A surrogate-model-based framework for compound coastal flooding

Compound coastal flooding is a major threat to low-lying coastal regions and is expected to intensify under future climate change projections. However, modeling the joint interaction of waves, storm surge, tides, and rainfall remains computationally demanding, limiting the development of fast and reliable forecast tools. Here we present HyFlood, a hybrid statistical-numerical downscaling framework capable of computing and mapping high-resolution compound flood hazards while substantially reducing the computational cost compared with fully process-based hydrodynamic modeling. HyFlood combines statistical sampling and selection algorithms with a cascade of reduced-complexity surrogate models that emulate nearshore wave transformation, surf-zone hydrodynamics, and coastal, fluvial, and pluvial flooding. The surrogate models employ machine-learning and regression algorithms applied to a low-dimensional representation of the flooding outputs, obtained through statistical dimensionality reduction. The framework is demonstrated in southern O'ahu, Hawai'i, a region exposed to elevated sea levels driven by tides, waves, and storm surge along with frequent precipitation-driven flash flooding. Validation of the surrogates against the physics-based model outputs demonstrates that HyFlood accurately reproduces daily maxima of spatially distributed flooding depths. This hybrid approach offers a scalable and efficient tool to better quantify how changes in flooding drivers translate into hazard and impact assessments, and to support compound-flood risk assessments and climate-change adaptation planning.

Hawaii↗