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At least 1,477 records · Page 82Linked to original sources

USGS2026

Year-round daytime pCO2 undersaturation in an instream series of urban reservoirs with a history of harmful algal blooms

Daytime water quality was determined monthly over two years in an instream series of four urban reservoirs with recurring blooms of Prymnesium parvum —a cool-season toxigenic species. Temperature, pH, and laboratory-measured total alkalinity were used to estimate p CO 2 . System-wide, p CO 2 was negatively associated with dissolved oxygen. Chlorophyll- a , phycocyanin (cyanobacterial pigment), and P. parvum were negatively associated with p CO 2 and positively with dissolved oxygen. Three reservoirs were productive and, during daytime, p CO 2 -undersaturated year-round or near-year-round, while a fourth (third in the series) was unproductive and mostly p CO 2 -oversaturated. Seasonal phycocyanin and chlorophyll- a patterns indicated that cyanobacterial and eukaryotic ( P. parvum included) phytoplankton growth drives daytime CO 2 depletion in the productive reservoirs during the warm and cool seasons, respectively. The system’s moderate alkalinity (HCO 3 − ) may serve as an alternative carbon source for photosynthesis; however, the persistent depletion of CO 2 and the energetic cost of using HCO 3 − are consistent with a scenario where phytoplankton growth is CO 2 -limited. Daytime p CO 2 undersaturation across seasons has been rarely reported, but this study indicated it occurs more often than recognized. The non-monotonic spatial patterns in productivity and carbonate system conditions across the study reservoirs indicate that localized influences from a heterogeneous urban landscape may help shape individual lake metabolism.

Texas↗

USGS2026

Waterfowl move less in heterogeneous and human-populated landscapes, with implications for spread of avian influenza viruses

Animal movements contribute to the spread of infectious diseases and are driven in part by environmental conditions. We investigated the links among the environment, animal movement, and infectious disease dynamics in waterfowl, which are among the primary wildlife hosts of avian influenza viruses. By combining telemetry data on 4606 individuals from 26 waterfowl species with data on land cover, weather, and vegetation, we found that waterfowl moved less in areas of higher land cover heterogeneity and higher human population density. Moreover, predicted waterfowl movement distances were weakly but positively correlated with distances between detections of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza in wild waterfowl, suggesting that environmental conditions might contribute to the spread of this disease via their effects on bird movements. By considering wildlife movements alongside other drivers of infectious disease dynamics, such as livestock production and human mobility, we move closer to predicting outbreaks and informing interventions.

Ecology Letters↗

USGS2026

Linking community-climate disequilibrium to ecosystem function

Turnover in species composition often lags behind the pace of climate change, resulting in mismatches between climate and communities. However, the impact of these community-climate disequilibria on ecosystem functions is rarely considered, and current methods for measuring disequilibria assume that species ranges were, until recently, in equilibrium with climate. Here, we develop a simple theoretical model to address both of these problems by linking community-climate disequilibrium with ecosystem functioning. We show how disequilibrium can impair functioning in the near-term even when climate change is expected to enhance functioning in the long-term. Responses are most likely to change over time in communities where turnover is slow, the impact of disequilibrium counteracts the direct effects of climate on ecosystem function, and pre-existing disequilibrium is large. These findings emphasise the importance of precise and unbiased estimates of community-climate disequilibria for improving ecological forecasts. By fitting our model to time series of both climate and ecosystem function from a metacommunity simulation, we show the potential for community-climate disequilibrium to be inferred without direct knowledge about species' distributions or climatic tolerances. We end by outlining a research agenda to apply dynamic disequilibrium concepts and test novel hypotheses across diverse ecosystems.

Ecology Letters↗

USGS2026

A conceptual framework and methods for studying the connectivity of fishes

Connectivity is a multifaceted concept that has important implications for the management and conservation of marine and freshwater fishes. We developed a conceptual framework that encompasses multiple, interrelated categories of connectedness, including landscape (e.g., structural, functional) connectivity and ecological (e.g., trophic, genetic, demographic) connectivity, that together shape the flow of organisms, energy and information across ecosystems. We also synthesised six key methods that can be used to study connectivity of fishes: (1) telemetry, including satellite, acoustic, radio and passive integrated transponders (PIT), (2) mark-recapture, (3) environmental tracers, including stable isotopes and otolith-microchemistry, (4) genetics, (5) community structure analysis and (6) emerging technologies and tools (e.g., remote sensing and artificial intelligence). For each method, we describe the categories of connectivity it can assess and provide real-world examples where they have been effectively used. We also identify limitations of each method. This article highlights the diverse and evolving toolbox of methods used to assess fish connectivity, underscoring the need for continued collaboration, innovation and integration of new approaches to refine our understanding and address remaining challenges in this critical area of aquatic ecology and fisheries management.

Fish and Fisheries↗

USGS2026

The development of long-term mean annual total nitrogen and total phosphorus load models for Mississippi, U.S., using RSPARROW

Water-quality degradation from nutrient pollution remains a major challenge for resource managers. Developing effective strategies requires tools to characterize nutrient sources and transport. This study used the RSPARROW framework to develop and assess new, smaller-scale models for Total Nitrogen (TN) and Total Phosphorus (TP) transport across Mississippi (MS). These state-level models were built using 15 years (2005–2020) of observation data and considered variables including multiple nutrient sources, land characteristics, and attenuation processes. The MS models demonstrated comparable accuracy to larger regional SPARROW models, validating the use of smaller-scale models for local management. Results showed agricultural sources are the major contributors to TN, dominated by fertilizer in northern MS and livestock manure in the south. Urban land cover also significantly influenced TN and was the second most significant source of TP, following geologic material (background P). Fertilizer and manure were also important TP sources. This study provides valuable, spatially explicit data on nutrient distribution in MS streams, supporting the state’s nutrient reduction planning. It concludes by highlighting the need for future model improvements via updated source data and mean annual flow estimates.

Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Ca↗

USGS2026

Mountain goat declines in a protected, interior, native population

A shifting climate poses threats to alpine-adapted species including mountain goats. We used long-term (12 years) citizen science monitoring data and Bayesian N-mixture modeling to estimate population trends and drivers of population metrics among mountain goats in Glacier National Park (GNP). Median goats per site ( n = 37 sites) declined by 45% (95% credible interval [CRI] = 32%, 57%) from 77.8 (95% CRI = 64.4, 95.1) in 2008 to 42.3 (95% CRI = 34.3, 52.2) in 2019, with consistent declines from 2008 until 2015, when the number of estimated goats stabilized. The decline exceeds IUCN criteria for classifying a population as vulnerable, >30% declines over only two generations. Across years, relatively few goats occupied northwestern GNP. Goat numbers declined the most at northeastern sites, trended toward decline in most southern sites, and increased at only two west-central sites. The proportion of permanent snow and glaciers, the presence of natural mineral licks, and habituation strongly increased the initial abundance of goats in the area. Weather variables had the greatest influence on population growth rates, particularly precipitation between May 15 and June 15 of the previous summer, the neonatal period. Lower growth occurred with less snow water equivalent and lower mean winter temperature, early summer temperature, and early summer precipitation. Projected reductions of permanent snow, increasing spring and summer temperatures, and insufficient and variable spring precipitation raise concerns for the future of native goats in this region. Our analyses reveal ways to improve detection rates of goats during surveys, which is important for optimizing the precision of estimates and the power to detect future trends. Detection increased with goat habituation, retention of observers with experience, use of binoculars, and conducting surveys at lower temperatures and earlier dates. Improving detection will be particularly important given the lower number of goats currently observed in the park. Research to estimate park-wide population size, evaluate genetic structure and diversity, assess changing habitat, human recreation levels and forage, and forward-project climate effects on persistence will be crucial to understanding the context of these results and conserving this iconic, metapopulation at the southern edge of the distribution of native mountain goats.

Montana↗

USGS2026

Best practice guidelines for targeted environmental DNA-based proficiency testing in non-regulatory contexts

The effective use of environmental DNA (eDNA) tools is contingent on strict adherence to established and validated methods. Differences in eDNA methods and quality assurance protocols may contribute to variability in results. However, quality assurance measures such as proficiency testing can provide independent evaluation of laboratory performance against pre-established test criteria. With this commentary, we discuss how broad implementation of recurring proficiency testing in eDNA laboratories can build decision-maker confidence in eDNA results. It can also create a culture of continuous evaluation and improvement that minimizes error and meets performance requirements to inform the sustainable use or monitoring of natural resources. We provide an overview of proficiency testing across molecular disciplines, review the state of proficiency testing in eDNA applications, and draft a roadmap for the expanded application of proficiency testing informed by best practices for targeted eDNA detection. We suggest that best practice proficiency testing can be conducted by an independent, third-party sample provider. By demonstrating that laboratories are competent and capable of producing reliable results, implementation of proficiency testing best practices should foster confidence in eDNA measurements and its use in decision-making processes. Increased confidence in eDNA methods and a clear expectation of what is considered satisfactory performance are also likely to create more favorable conditions for investments in eDNA-based monitoring.

Environmental DNA↗

USGS2026

Microtextural characteristics of adularia in banded quartz veins from the Midas low-sulfidation epithermal deposit, Nevada

High-grade ores at the Miocene Midas low-sulfidation epithermal deposit in northern Nevada are confined to crustiform quartz veins containing abundant adularia. Micro-X-ray fluorescence elemental mapping reveals that adularia is a common gangue mineral occurring in colloform bands, bands showing bladed textures, and bands with dendritic terminations. The adularia aggregates have delicate shapes and are comprised of stacked, submillimeter crystals hosted by fine-grained quartz. The textural evidence suggests that the adularia aggregates originally formed within a gel-like, noncrystalline silica matrix, which subsequently transformed into quartz. This indicates that the adularia did not precipitate in open space along the vein walls. Correlative microscopy, involving scanning electron microscopy-based automated mineralogy and optical petrography, demonstrates that bands containing abundant adularia are not the primary host to ore minerals. The ore minerals occur in different bands within the crustiform veins, implying that adularia and ore mineral precipitation did not always occur simultaneously. It is hypothesized here that fluid flow at Midas involved intermittent short-lived events of fluid flashing, causing rapid solute supersaturation in the liquid. During each flashing event, different amounts of vapor were produced along a given vein. Compositional differences between adjacent bands in the crustiform quartz veins may, therefore, be linked to variations in the amount of vapor formed during each flash event.

Nevada↗

USGS2026

Strength of depensation not influenced by fish population productivity

A long-held assumption in the management of exploited fisheries is that fish populations will compensate with increased recruit survival to replenish the population when adult stock size is reduced through harvest. Observations of depensatory recruitment (reduced recruit survival at low adult stock size) and critical depensatory thresholds have challenged the compensation assumption. Post et al. (2002) postulated that critical depensatory thresholds were related to fish population productivity. Walleye Sander vitreus are a culturally, economically, and recreationally important sportfish whose persistence is being challenged by natural recruitment declines throughout much of its native range. Depensation, among other abiotic and biotic stressors, has been implicated in walleye natural recruitment declines. If walleye population productivity is related to critical depensatory thresholds, then population productivity benchmarks could be established to reduce the probability of crossing them. We used empirically-derived and model predicted depensation values ( q ) and empirical estimates of walleye population productivity to test for relationships between these variables in northern Wisconsin lakes. We found little evidence for a relationship between q and walleye population productivity across all lakes examined. Our finding failed to support the theoretical postulation of a relationship between these variables by Post et al. (2002) for walleye. Little evidence for a relationship between q and population productivity suggests that depensatory thresholds may differ among individual walleye populations and that walleye populations may transition abruptly between compensatory and depensatory states. Given our findings, conservation efforts for walleye that solely focus on low productivity populations may miss other trends because population productivity may not be considered a broad predictor of crossing a critical depensatory threshold.

Fisheries Research↗

USGS2026

Miocene evolution of the Humboldt Current

Diatom records from the East Pisco Basin (EPB) of southern Peru and offshore Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Hole 682 A reveal stepwise increases in the primary productivity of the Humboldt Current during the middle and late Miocene. Although diatoms are present back through the late middle Eocene, successively enhanced diatom production occurs during the Miocene in four steps. The first step between 14.2 and 13.8 Ma marks the onset of diatom deposition in the Pisco-0 sequence. A second step at ∼12.9 Ma coincides with a major drop in global sea level during which diatom deposition ceased in the EPB but continued in ODP 682 A as well as in Chile, Ecuador, and Colombia. Beginning at 10.4 to 10.0 Ma, a major increase in diatom sedimentation rates in both the EPB and in ODP 682 A signals an abrupt intensification of the Humboldt Current productivity, which may be related to the closure of the Central American Seaway to deeper water circulation. A fourth step coincides with the transgressive deposition of the diatom-rich Pisco-2 sequence at 8.4 Ma and is enhanced by the onset of the global Late Miocene Biogenic Bloom (8.0–4.5 Ma). Between 7 and 6 Ma, common subtropical diatoms in ODP 682 A contrast with high diatom deposition rates in the EPB, suggesting variable El Niño-La Niña conditions. During this time, fossil vegetation evidence from southern Peru supports the presence of seasonal periods of enhanced rainfall typical of El Niño conditions. The Miocene trend of increasing sea mammal diversity in the EPB parallels these steps, further supporting stepwise enhancement of primary productivity in the Humboldt Current during the Miocene.

Humboldt Current↗

USGS2026

Reconstructing Great Lakes air temperature and ice dynamics data back to 1897

Ice cover on the Great Lakes plays an important role in regional climate, supports tourism and recreation, and provides ecological habitat. As the climate warms, ice cover in the Great Lakes is expected to decline, which in turn will create more lake effect precipitation, reduce ice cover for recreation, and alter habitat for aquatic species. While it is important to understand the historical ice patterns to better understand past distributions of aquatic species and improve the accuracy of forecasts for future ice cover on the lakes, Great Lakes ice cover data prior to 1973 is scarce, due to the limited routine satellite observations. We used weather station data around the Great Lakes to compile daily air temperature, calculate cumulative freezing degree-days and net melting degree-days from 1897–2023, and develop raster layers estimating ice duration and variability spatially during the historical period from 1897–1960.

Great Lakes↗

USGS2026

Estimating the power of a standardized monitoring program for sportfish in Georgia, USA

Objective Biological monitoring is a major component of management decisions and operating budgets of many natural resource management agencies. Given the scientific and financial commitments to monitoring, it is critical to estimate the ability to detect trends through time (i.e., power). Methods The Georgia Department of Natural Resources has monitored reservoir sport fish populations since the 1980s. We estimated the power to detect simulated long-term (≥10 years) changes in relative abundance (CPUE) for Largemouth Bass (some of which are a potential genetic admixture of the recently described species Micropterus nigricans [now known as Largemouth Bass] and M. salmoides [now known as Florida Bass)] and Black Crappie Pomoxis nigromaculatus sampled with electrofishing and gill nets, respectively, across multiple reservoirs ( n = 21). Reservoir-specific simulations were parameterized using 13 years (∼2010–2022) of monitoring data. Power was calculated as the proportion of simulations ( n = 1,000) resulting in significant ( P ≤ 0.1) temporal trends across a 10-year period. We considered power ≥0.8 (i.e., 80% of simulations with significant trends) as the threshold for sufficient power across reservoirs. For both species, we estimated power under three scenarios: (1) declining CPUE, (2) increasing CPUE, and (3) reduction to biennial sampling effort with a 50% decline in CPUE. Results Most reservoirs had sufficient power to detect either a 50% decline or a 100% increase in CPUE of Largemouth Bass across a 10-year period. Switching from annual to biennial sampling for Largemouth Bass reduced the number of reservoirs with sufficient power by half. Power was generally lower for Black Crappie until larger declines (75%) or increases (400%) were imposed. Conclusions We found that Largemouth Bass monitoring was generally near or beyond our reference threshold, but post hoc correlation analyses suggested that the power of Black Crappie data could be increased with more within-reservoir station replication. Overall, using data simulation to estimate power proved a valuable tool in assessing the potential ability of common monitoring approaches to detect change.

Georgia↗

USGS2026

The biosphere in the Anthropocene

Earth’s biosphere is in a period of rapid change, resulting from anthropogenic pressures such as climate change, habitat loss and species translocation and extinction. The extraordinary pace of change has led to the suggestion that we live in a new geological epoch of time called the Anthropocene. In this theme issue, we explore the major changes to the terrestrial and marine biospheres, from the deep oceans to the agricultural landscapes of the Anthropocene. We take a deliberately pluralistic approach that represents different viewpoints from the sciences and social sciences, examining our negative and sometimes calamitous impacts on species and ecosystems and our potential for positive interactions with the biosphere, and exploring change over millennia.

Transactions of the Royal Society of London↗

USGS2026

Compilation of a nationwide river image dataset for identifying river channels and river rapids via deep learning

Remote sensing enables large-scale, image-based assessments of river dynamics, offering new opportunities for hydrological monitoring. We present a publicly available dataset consisting of 281,024 satellite and aerial images of U.S. rivers, constructed using an Application Programming Interface (API) and the U.S. Geological Survey’s National Hydrography Dataset. The dataset includes images, primary keys, and ancillary geospatial information. We use a manually labeled subset of the images to train models for detecting rapids, defined as areas where high velocity and turbulence lead to a wavy, rough, or even broken water surface visible in the imagery. To demonstrate the utility of this dataset, we develop an image segmentation model to identify rivers within images. This model achieved a mean test intersection-over-union ( 𝐼 𝑜 𝑈 ) of 0.57, with performance rising to an actual 𝐼 𝑜 𝑈 of 0.89 on the subset of predictions with high confidence (predicted 𝐼 𝑜 𝑈 > 0.9). Following this initial segmentation of river channels within the images, we trained several convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures to classify the presence or absence of rapids. Our selected model reached an accuracy and F1 score of 0.93, indicating strong performance for the classification of rapids that could support consistent, efficient inventory and monitoring of rapids. These data provide new resources for recreation planning, habitat assessment, and discharge estimation. Overall, the dataset and tools offer a foundation for scalable, automated identification of geomorphic features to support riverine science and resource management.

Remote Sensing↗

USGS2026

Remote compositional analyses of space-weathered lunar maria

Visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) reflectance spectroscopy has revolutionized our understanding of planetary surface compositions. However, space-weathering processes on airless bodies complicate quantitative compositional analyses. Here, we present a framework to isolate the signatures of space weathering in VSWIR spectra of lunar maria by leveraging radiative transfer modeling under the assumptions that (i) a space-weathered target can be expressed as a mixture of fresh and fully space-weathered components and (ii) remaining signatures can be modeled by including agglutinates as an end-member component. We first validate this approach against laboratory spectra of space-weathered Apollo mare soils of known mineral compositions using a probabilistic Markov Chain Monte Carlo implementation of the Hapke radiative transfer model. Second, we illustrate how this approach can be applied to orbital Moon Mineralogy Mapper data. The proposed space-weathering correction workflow for lunar maria could be expanded to other lunar lithologies and applied to existing and future data sets.

Planetary Science Journal↗

USGS2026

An energetic tradeoff best explains parturition timing in grizzly bears

Timing of grizzly bear ( Ursus arctos ) parturition during hibernation has been explained by ancestral traits (delayed implantation, altricial young, obligate maternal denning), but the ultimate driver underlying precise timing has not been fully explored. Capitalizing on an observed latitudinal increase in denning duration among four populations in interior North America, we tested two alternative hypotheses. First, that birth timing results from a physiological cue that synchronizes implantation with the onset of hibernation, allowing females to forgo reproduction should they lack adequate fat stores. Alternatively, that parturition is optimally timed relative to den exit to balance an energetic tradeoff between minimizing lactation time to protect the mother and maximizing developmental time to increase cub survival. Using parturition dates previously predicted from accelerometer data (27 Dec–28 Feb), we classified 115 females according to apparent litter survival when first visually observed after den exit: 57% successful (with cubs), 22% unsuccessful (alone), and 21% unknown (not observed). The number of days between birth and den exit showed no association with latitude ( p = 0.29). It averaged 103 days among successful females but only 77 days among unsuccessful females ( p < 0.001) owing to later births and earlier exit. With each increasing degree of latitude, birth date increased by 1.0 and number of days between den entry and birth increased by 2.5 ( p < 0.001). Implantation dates were not centered on den entry dates ( p < 0.001). These results supported the energetic tradeoff hypothesis and suggested natural selection has favored a consistent number of days between parturition and den exit under average body conditions and shifts toward later or earlier births for females with lower or higher levels of bodily stored energy, respectively. This flexible tradeoff may support resilience to climate change and present a possible mechanism explaining reduced natality and cub survival in high-density populations.

Alaska, British Columbia, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming↗

USGS2026

Timing the tuxedo transformation: Moult phenology reflects breeding investment and intrinsic constraints in Adélie penguins

Vertebrate life histories are often divided into distinct periods, with the breeding season typically receiving the most research attention. For polar seabirds, non-breeding phases like moult remain understudied, despite their importance for survival and overall fitness. Adélie penguins ( Pygoscelis adeliae ) replace their highly specialized feathers during an approximately 19-day annual moult, typically carried out while fasting on sea ice. The required fast and elevated metabolic rate may create a significant energetic bottleneck. We analysed data from geolocating dive recorders deployed on known-age Adélie penguins and non-known-age pairs from two Ross Island colonies over three winters (2017–2019). Moult start date was influenced by breeding success, intrinsic factors (age, sex) and extrinsic factors (year), with males, older birds and successful breeders moulting later. Moult duration varied primarily with individual ID, though later initiation correlated with shorter duration, particularly when located further south. Moult duration was longer in the western Ross Sea, a region that was used exclusively by males. The association between moult start date and duration may lead to differential sex and breeding status effects, with older males more likely to face a trade-off between successful breeding and self-maintenance tasks like feather replacement.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B↗

USGS2026

Distribution, abundance, breeding activities, and habitat use of the Least Bell's Vireo at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, California—2020–24 summary report

Executive Summary The purpose of this report is to provide the Marine Corps with a summary of abundance, breeding activity, demography, and habitat use of endangered Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ) at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, California (MCBCP or Base). The report presents results of vireo surveys and monitoring in 2024 and summarizes a subset of data collected from 2020 through 2024. Surveys for the Least Bell's Vireo were completed at MCBCP between April 4 and July 9, 2024. Core survey areas and a subset of non-core areas in drainages containing riparian habitat suitable for vireos were surveyed two to four times. We detected 542 territorial male vireos and 17 transient vireos in core survey areas. An additional 102 territorial male vireos and 2 transients were detected in non-core survey areas. Transient vireos were detected on 5 of the 10 drainages/sites surveyed (core and non-core areas). In core survey areas, 87 percent of vireo territories were on the four most populated drainages, with the Santa Margarita River containing 67 percent of all territories in core areas surveyed on Base. In core areas, 77 percent of male vireos were confirmed as paired; 76 percent of male vireos in non-core areas were confirmed as paired. The number of documented Least Bell’s Vireo territories in core survey areas on MCBCP decreased 3 percent from 2023. In five core survey area drainages, the number of territories increased by at least two, and in two core survey area drainages, the Santa Margarita River and Las Flores Creek, the number of vireo territories decreased by at least nine between 2023 and 2024. The number of vireo territories at Marine Corps Air Station, Camp Pendleton did not change from 2023 to 2024. The proportion of surveys during which Brown-headed Cowbirds ( Molothrus ater ) were detected decreased to 0.03 from a peak of 0.45 in 2022. Cowbirds were detected in April and June in 2024. Most core-area vireos (58 percent, including transients) used mixed willow ( Salix spp.) riparian habitat. An additional 9 percent of birds occupied willow habitat co-dominated by Western sycamores ( Platanus racemosa ). Riparian scrub dominated by mule fat ( Baccharis salicifolia ), sandbar willow ( S. exigua ), or blue elderberry ( Sambucus mexicana ) was used by 33 percent of vireos. Habitat dominated by non-native vegetation was used by 1 percent of vireos. Since 2020, the number of vireos detected in each of the non-core survey groups was greater than expected, based on the change in vireo numbers in core survey areas. Although, the number of vireo territories on Base decreased from 2020–24, from approximately 1,224 to approximately 960, the trend in vireo territory numbers on Base since 2005 has been positive. In 2019, MCBCP began operating an artificial seep along the Santa Margarita River; then, in 2021, two additional artificial seeps became operational. The artificial seeps pumped water to the surface during daylight hours starting in mid-April and ending in August each year and were designed to increase the amount of surface water to enhance Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) breeding habitat. Although this enhancement was designed to benefit flycatchers, few flycatchers have inhabited MCBCP, including the seep areas, within the past several years; therefore, vireos were selected as a surrogate species to determine effects of the habitat enhancement. This report presents the fifth year of annual monitoring and analyses summarizing all 5 years of vireo and vegetation response to the artificial seeps. In 2020, we established four study sites along the Santa Margarita River, two surrounding and extending downstream from existing and proposed seep pumps at the Old Treatment Ponds and along Pump Road and two Reference sites in similar habitat downstream from the Seep sites. Seep pumps began operating at the Old Treatment Ponds in 2020 and along Pump Road in 2021. In 2023, seep pumps at the Pump Road Seep site did not function, and we recategorized that study site as Intermediate. We sampled vegetation at Seep, Intermediate, and Reference sites to determine the effects of surface-water enhancement by seep pumps. In 2024, vegetation cover was highest near the ground and decreased with increasing height. Woody vegetation made up most of the cover at all height categories. We determined that Seep and Intermediate sites differed from each other in addition to differing from Reference sites, which likely is, in part, because seep-pump operation at the Intermediate site was inconsistent compared to the Seep site. Soil saturation in 2024 was high at the Intermediate site and was associated with high native herbaceous cover and low non-native herbaceous cover. Sites differed, with the Intermediate site having more upper canopy cover in general, the Seep site having more low woody cover, and the Reference sites having more mid-canopy non-native vegetation cover. Soil saturation significantly increased from 2020 through 2024 at the Seep site and was significantly higher at Seep and Intermediate sites than at their paired Reference sites in all years. Soil saturation likely was increased by the supplemental surface water at the Seep site. However, soil saturation at the Intermediate site was not clearly associated with seep pumps but likely affected by soil saturation at the site before seep-pump installation and flooding from high precipitation. Canopy height increased at the Intermediate site from 2020 through 2024 and increased with increasing soil saturation at the Intermediate and Reference sites. The canopy at the Seep site was shorter than at the Intermediate and Reference sites and decreased from 2020 through 2024 because tall trees were damaged and killed by shothole borer beetles ( Euwallacea spp.). We used Redundancy Analysis to discover associations among vegetation types, plant species, and other environmental variables (soil saturation, site, precipitation, and seep operation, defined as the site and year seep pumps were operating). These associations explained less than 15 percent of the variability in the vegetation, with the remaining 85 percent of variation unexplained. Generally, as soil saturation increased, understory vegetation increased and non-native cover decreased in the mid-and upper canopy. Non-native herbaceous plant species decreased in wetter soil. The Seep site was characterized by more understory and less canopy, contrasting with the Intermediate site, which was characterized by less understory and more higher canopy cover. The addition of surface water via seep pumps or precipitation was associated with more vegetation near the ground. Higher early winter precipitation was associated with taller canopy and more woody vegetation in the upper canopy. We also created a Redundancy Analysis model isolating the components of Southwestern Willow Flycatcher habitat, as identified by Howell and others (2018). In this model, increased soil saturation resulted in increased cover of stinging nettle ( Urtica dioica ) and black willow ( Salix gooddingii ) below 3 meters (m), total cover 3–6 m, and black willow above 6 m. Cover of poison hemlock ( Conium maculatum ) and stinging nettle below 3 m was higher at the Seep site and lower at the Intermediate site. Vireo territory density among the Seep, Intermediate, and Reference sites was similar before the seep pumps were installed. However, vireo territory density at Seep and Intermediate sites combined was significantly higher than at Reference sites after the seep pumps were installed. We banded and resighted color banded vireos as part of a long-term evaluation of vireo survival, site fidelity, between-year movement, and the effect of surface-water enhancement on vireo return rate and between-year movement. We banded 164 Least Bell's Vireo nestlings during the 2024 season. In 2024, we resighted 31 Least Bell's Vireos on Base that had been banded before the 2024 breeding season, and we were able to identify 25 of them. Of the 25 that we could identify, 24 were banded on Base and 1 was originally banded on the San Luis Rey River. Adult birds of known age ranged from 1 to 9 years old. Base-wide survival of vireos was affected by sex, age, and year. Males had significantly higher annual survival than females (60 percent versus 47 percent, respectively). Adults had higher annual survival than first-year vireos (61 percent versus 11 percent, respectively). The return rate of adult vireos to Seep, Intermediate, or Reference sites was not affected by the original banding site (Seep versus Intermediate versus Reference). Most returning adult vireos, predominantly males, showed strong between-year site fidelity. Of the adults present in 2023, 92 percent (all males) returned in 2024 to within 100 m of their previous territory. The average between-year movement for returning adult vireos was 0.4±0.03 kilometers (km). The average movement of first-year vireos detected in 2024 that fledged from a known nest on MCBCP in 2023 was 2.4±3.1 km. We monitored 47 Least Bell's Vireo pairs to evaluate the effects of surface-water enhancement on nest success and breeding productivity. Breeding productivity in 2024 was similar among Seep, Intermediate, and Reference sites (2.8, 3.0, and 3.0 young fledged per pair, respectively), and the percentage of pairs that fledged at least one young was not significantly different among sites (83, 91, and 96 percent, respectively). According to the best model, daily nest survival from 2020–24 was not related to site. Other measures of breeding productivity were also similar among Seep, Intermediate, and Reference site pairs. Between 2020 and 2024, the number of vireo fledglings produced per pair increased with increasing native herbaceous cover under 3 m and decreasing cover of all herbaceous vegetation under 5 m and was not affected by precipitation, site, or seep operation. The number of vireo fledglings produced per egg was lower at the Seep and Intermediate sites than at the Reference sites and increased with decreasing late winter precipitation, cover of poison hemlock, black mustard, non-native vegetation above 2 m, and all vegetation over 2 m. Vireo pairs at Seep and Intermediate sites were less likely to fledge young than vireo pairs at Reference sites. All vireo pairs were more likely to fledge young with less cover of poison hemlock and more cover of poison oak. From 2020 through 2024, vireos placed their nests in 24 plant species. The most used plants in all years were willows, mostly red ( S. laevigata ), or arroyo ( S. lasiolepis ). The fate of a vireo nest (whether it successfully fledged young or not) was not affected by placement in native or non-native vegetation, by site, or by year, but nests were more likely to be successful if they were placed in woody plants than in herbaceous plants. Successful nests were placed higher in the host plant and farther from the outer edge of the nest clump than unsuccessful nests.

California↗