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W.H. Prescott

Publications and source records attributed to W.H. Prescott.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
USGS2012

Precision of geodolite surveys: A reply to Jackson and Cheng

Jackson and Cheng have suggested that the changes in areal dilatation measured in Geodolite surveys by the U.S. Geological Survey may be simply an artifact of the measuring system. Although systematic error could conceivably account for the observed excursions in dilatation, we maintain that the specific criticisms by Jackson and Cheng are incorrect: the excursions in dilatation cannot be attributed to the offset correction nor to proportional error associated with temperature. The absence of both errors is demonstrated by using data that are particularly sensitive to the two effects.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Absence of strain accumulation in the Shumagin seismic gap, Alaska, 1980-1987

Measurements of the deformation of a trilateration network in the Shumagin seismic gap in the interval 1980–1987 failed to detect any significant strain accumulation (observed extension rate in the direction of plate convergence 0.00±0.03 μstrain/yr). Dislocation models of the subduction process and measurements at a comparable network at a known seismic subduction zone (Nankai Trough, Japan) suggest that a rate of the order of −0.2 μstrain/yr should have been observed if the main thrust zone beneath the Shumagin Islands were locked. The simplest explanation of the observed absence of strain accumulation in the Shumagin seismic gap is that the main thrust zone beneath the Shumagin Islands is not presently locked. Other possible explanations depend upon very particular circumstances.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Historic surface slip along the San Andreas Fault near Parkfield, California

The Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment is focusing close attention on the 44-km-long section of the San Andreas fault that last ruptured seismically in 1966 ( M s 6.0). The 20-km-long central segment of the 1966 Parkfield rupture, extending from the mainshock epicenter at Middle Mountain southeastward to Gold Hill, forms a 1- to 2-km salient northeastward away from the dominant N40°W strike. Following the 1966 earthquake afterslip, aseismic slip has been nearly constant. Moderate Parkfield earthquakes have recurred on average every 21 years since 1857, when a great earthquake ( M ≈8) ruptured at least as far north as the southern Parkfield segment. Many measurements of slip have been made near Parkfield since 1966. Nevertheless, much of the history of surface slip remained uncertain, especially the total amount associated with the 1966 event. In 1985 we measured accumulated slip on the four oldest cultural features offset by the fault along the 1966 Parkfield rupture segment. We interpret net slip on each feature as a sum of event slip (sum of coseismic and rapid preseismic and postseismic slip) from Parkfield earthquakes and steady interseismic slip as measured over the last 20 years on nearby alinement arrays, creep meters, and trilateration lines. We assumed for each site that event slip was identical for the 1922, 1934, and 1966 Parkfield events and that long-term average rate of interseismic slip was constant between all events. Two fences on the southern segment, southeast of Gold Hill, indicate event slip of 13 and 15 cm and interseismic slip rate of 0.36 and 0.30 cm/yr since 1959 and 1908, respectively. At these sites, redundant independent data support our assumption that both event and interseismic slip occur uniformly. On the central segment, near Parkfield, both the 1934 and the 1966 ruptures offset a bridge built in 1932. Interseismic slip rate near the bridge has been about 1.1 cm/yr since 1966; thus we deduce an average event slip of 31 cm for the 1934 and 1966 earthquakes. On a parallel fault trace, 1 km to the southwest, slip was about 8 cm in 1966; thus total event slip summed across the entire fault zone near Parkfield was nearly 40 cm. On Middle Mountain, 4 km north of the 1966 mainshock epicenter, an offset fence indicates 17 cm of slip in 1966 and a 2.26-cm/yr interseismic slip rate since circa 1946. Thus the central segment of the 1966 rupture is characterized by much larger event slip (∼40 cm) than both distal segments (∼15 cm). This amount of surface slip per event is about twice what had been previously assumed. Larger 1966 surface slip in the central part of the rupture is geodetically compatible with a coseismic slip of 65±10 cm slip on a narrow, buried asperity between Middle Mountain and Gold Hill that has been inferred from the depth distribution of early aftershocks. Assuming our characteristic surface slip model, one can further deduce a deficit in slip since the great 1857 earthquake. Taking the long-term slip rate as 3.3 cm/yr, the surface slip deficit is 3±0.2 m south of Gold Hill but only 0.3±0.3 m northward from Parkfield.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2004

Strain accumulation across the Coast Ranges at the latitude of San Francisco, 1994-2000

A 66-monument geodetic array spanning the Coast Ranges near San Francisco has been surveyed more than eight times by GIPS between late 1993 and early 2001. The measured horizontal velocities of the monuments are well represented by uniform, right-lateral, simple shear parallel to N29°W. (The local strike of the San Andreas Fault is ∼N34°W.) The observed areal dilatation rate of 6.9 ± 10.0 nstrain yr −1 (quoted uncertainty is one standard deviation and extension is reckoned positive) is not significantly different from zero, which implies that the observed strain accumulation could be released by strike-slip faulting alone. Our results are consistent with the slip rates assigned by the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities [2003] to the principal faults (San Gregorio, San Andreas, Hayward-Rodgers Creek, Calaveras-Concord-Green Valley, and Greenville Faults) cutting across the GPS array. The vector sum of those slip rates is is 39.8 ± 2.6 mm yr −1 N29.8°W ± 2.8°, whereas the motion across the GPS array (breadth 120 km) inferred from the uniform strain rate approximation is 38.7 ± 1.2 mm yr −1 N29.0°W ± 0.9° right-lateral shear and 0.4 ± 0.9 mm yr −1 N61°E ± 0.9° extension. We interpret the near coincidence of these rates and the absence of significant accumulation of areal dilatation to imply that right-lateral slip on the principal faults can release the accumulating strain; major strain release on reverse faults subparallel to the San Andreas Fault within the Coast Ranges is not required.

California↗
USGS2003

Near-field postseismic deformation associated with the 1992 Landers and 1999 Hector Mine, California, earthquakes

After the Landers earthquake (Mw = 7.3, 1992.489) a linear array of 10 monuments extending about 30 km N50??E on either side of the earthquake rupture plus a nearby offtrend reference monument were surveyed frequently by GPS until 2003.2. The array also spans the rupture of the subsequent Hector Mine earthquake (Mw = 7.1, 1999.792 . The pre-Landers velocities of monuments in the array relative to interior North America were estimated from earlier trilateration and very long baseline interferometry measurements. Except at the reference monument, the post-Landers velocities of the individual monuments in the array relaxed to their preseismic values within 4 years. Following the Hector Mine earthquake the velocities of the monuments relaxed to steady rates within 1 year. Those steady rates for the east components are about equal to the pre-Landers rates as is the steady rate for the north component of the one monument east of the Hector Mine rupture. However, the steady rates for the north components of the 10 monuments west of the rupture are systematically ???10 mm yr1 larger than the pre-Landers rates. The relaxation to a steady rate is approximately exponential with decay times of 0.50 ?? 0.10 year following the Landers earthquake and 0.32 ?? 0.18 year following the Hector Mine earthquake. The postearthquake motions of the Landers array following the Landers earthquake are not well approximated by the viscoelastic-coupling model of Pollitz et al. [2000]. A similar viscoelastic-coupling model [Pollitz et al., 2001] is more successful in representing the deformation after the Hector Mine earthquake.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2003

Initiation of deformation of the Eastern California Shear Zone: Constraints from Garlock fault geometry and GPS observations

We suggest a 2-stage deformation model for the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ) to explain the geometry of the Garlock fault trace. We assume the Garlock fault was originally straight and then was gradually curved by right-lateral shear deformation across the ECSZ. In our 2-stage deformation model, the first stage involves uniform shear deformation across the eastern part of the shear zone, and the second stage involves uniform shear deformation across the entire shear zone. In addition to the current shape of the Garlock fault, our model incorporates constraints on contemporary deformation rates provided by GPS observations. We find that the best fitting age for initiation of shear in eastern part of the ECSZ is about 5.0 ?? 0.4 Ma, and that deformation of the western part started about 1.6 Myr later.

Geophysical Research Letters↗
USGS2002

Strain accumulation and rotation in western Nevada, 1993-2000

The positions of 44 GPS monuments in an array extending from the Sierra Nevada at the latitude of Reno to near Austin, Nevada, have been measured several times in the 1993–2000 interval. The western half of the array spans the Walker Lane belt, whereas the eastern half spans the central Nevada seismic zone (CNSZ). The principal strain rates in the Walker Lane belt are 29.6 ± 5.3 nstrain yr −1 N88.4°E ± 5.4° and −12.8 ± 6.0 nanostrain yr −1 N01.6°W ± 5.4°, extension reckoned positive, and the clockwise (as seen from above the Earth) rotation rate about a vertical axis is 13.6 ± 4.0 nrad yr −1 . The quoted uncertainties are standard deviations. The motion in the Walker Lane belt can then be represented by a zone striking N35°W subject to 16.8 ± 4.9 nstrain yr −1 extension perpendicular to it and 19.5 ± 4.0 nstrain yr −1 right-lateral, simple shear across it. The N35°W strike of the zone is the same as the direction of the local tangent to the small circle drawn about the Pacific-North America pole of rotation. The principal strain rates for the CNSZ are 46.2 ± 11.0 nstrain yr −1 N49.9°W ± 6.0° and −13.6 ± 6.1 nstrain yr −1 N40.1°E ± 6.0°, and the clockwise rotation rate about a vertical axis is 20.3 ± 6.3 nrad yr −1 . The motion across the CNSZ can then be represented by a zone striking N12°E subject to 32.6 ± 11.0 nstrain yr −1 extension perpendicular to it and 25.1 ± 6.3 nstrain yr −1 right-lateral, simple shear across it. The N12°E strike of the zone is similar to the strikes of the faults (Rainbow Mountain, Fairview Peak, and Dixie Valley) within it.

California, Nevada↗
USGS2002

Strain accumulation and rotation in western Oregon and southwestern Washington

Velocities of 75 geodetic monuments in western Oregon and southwestern Washington extending from the coast to more than 300 km inland have been determined from GPS surveys over the interval 1992–2000. The average standard deviation in each of the horizontal velocity components is ∼1 mm yr −1 . The observed velocity field is approximated by a combination of rigid rotation (Euler vector relative to interior North America: 43.40°N ± 0.14°, 119.33°W ± 0.28°, and 0.822 ± 0.057° Myr −1 clockwise; quoted uncertainties are standard deviations), uniform regional strain rate (ε EE = −7.4 ± 1.8, ε EN = −3.4 ± 1.0, and ε NN = −5.0 ± 0.8 nstrain yr −1 , extension reckoned positive), and a dislocation model representing subduction of the Juan de Fuca plate beneath North America. Subduction south of 44.5°N was represented by a 40‐km‐wide locked thrust and subduction north of 44.5°N by a 75‐km‐wide locked thrust.

Oregon, Washington↗
USGS2001

Strain accumulation near Yucca Mountain, Nevada, 1993-1998

A 50‐km aperture geodetic network centered on the proposed high‐level radioactive waste disposal site at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, was surveyed with GPS in 1993 and 1998. The average deformation rate across the area is described by the principal strain rates 22.8±8.8 nstrain yr N77.6°W±13.5° and −8.8±11.9 nstrain yr N12.5°E±13.5° (extension reckoned positive) and a clockwise rotation rate about a vertical axis of 9.6±7.4 nrad yr relative to fixed North America. Quoted uncertainties are standard deviations. Those strain rates are consistent with the geodetic strain rates (2±12 nstrain yr N87°±12°W and −22±12 nstrain yr N03°±12°E) previously reported by . [1999] for the 1983–1998 interval and with the low extension rate (5–20 nstrain yr) [., 1998] inferred from the geologic record. None of those strain rates is consistent with the 50±9 nstrain yr N65°W extension rate for the area reported by Wernicke et al.

Nevada↗
USGS2001

Deformation across the Pacific-North America plate boundary near San Francisco, California

We have detected a narrow zone of compression between the Coast Ranges and the Great Valley, and we have estimated slip rates for the San Andreas, Rodgers Creek, and Green Valley faults just north of San Francisco. These results are based on an analysis of campaign and continuous Global Positioning System (GPS) data collected between 1992 and 2000 in central California. The zone of compression between the Coast Ranges and the Great Valley is 25 km wide. The observations clearly show 3.8±1.5 mm yr −1 of shortening over this narrow zone. The strike slip components are best fit by a model with 20.8±1.9 mm yr −1 slip on the San Andreas fault, 10.3±2.6 mm yr −1 on the Rodgers Creek fault, and 8.1±2.1 mm yr −1 on the Green Valley fault. The Pacific-Sierra Nevada-Great Valley motion totals 39.2±3.8 mm yr −1 across a zone that is 120 km wide (at the latitude of San Francisco). Standard deviations are one σ. The geodetic results suggest a higher than geologic rate for the Green Valley fault. The geodetic results also suggest an inconsistency between geologic estimates of the San Andreas rate and seismologic estimates of the depth of locking on the San Andreas fault. The only convergence observed is in the narrow zone along the border between the Great Valley and the Coast Ranges.

California↗
USGS2001

Crustal deformation rates in Central and Eastern U.S. inferred from GPS

Analysis of continuous GPS observations between 1996 and 2000 at 62 stations distributed throughout the central and eastern United States suggests that the area is generally stable. Seven of the 62 stations show anomalous velocities, but there is reason to suspect their monument stability. Assuming the remaining 55 stations are stable with respect to interior North America, we have found the North America-ITRF97 Euler vector (-1.88 o ± 1.04 o N, 77.67 o ± 0.39 o W, 0.201 o ± 0.004 o Myr -1 ) that minimizes the RMS station velocity. Referred to fixed North America, all of these velocities are less than 3.2 mm yr-1. Motion of several stations suggests the Mississippi embayment may be moving southward away from the rest of the continent at a rate of 1.7±0.9 mm yr -1 . The motion of the embayment produces a large gradient in velocity which, in turn, implies the highest seismic moment accumulation rate that we found. Although the highest rate is only marginally significant, the fact that it occurs near New Madrid, where earthquake risk is thought to be high, argues that the anomaly may be real. Nevertheless, the identification of the anomaly remains tentative.

Geophysical Research Letters↗
USGS2000

Strain accumulation across the Eastern California Shear Zone at latitude 36°30'N

The motion of a linear array of monuments extending across the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ) has been measured from 1994 to 1999 with the Global Positioning System. The linear array is oriented N54°E, perpendicular to the tangent to the local small circle drawn about the Pacific-North America pole of rotation, and the observed motion across the ECSZ is approximated by differential rotation about that pole. The observations suggest uniform deformation within the ECSZ (strike N23°W) (26 nstrain yr −1 extension normal to the zone and 39 nstrain yr −1 simple right-lateral shear across it) with no significant deformation in the two blocks (the Sierra Nevada mountains and southern Nevada) on either side. The deformation may be imposed by right-lateral slip at depth on the individual major fault systems within the zone if the slip rates are: Death Valley-Furnace Creek fault 3.2±0.9 mm yr −1 , Hunter Mountain-Panamint Valley fault 3.3±1.6 mm yr −1 , and Owens Valley fault 6.9±1.6 mm yr −1 . However, this estimate of the slip rate on the Owens Valley fault is 3 times greater than the geologic estimate.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS1999

Deformation across the Alaska-Aleutian Subduction Zone near Kodiak

The Kodiak-Katmai geodetic array, nine monuments distributed along a profile trending north-northwestward across Kodiak Island and the Alaska Peninsula, was surveyed in 1993, 1995 and 1997 to determine the deformation at the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone. Velocities on Kodiak island measured relative to the stable North American plate decrease with distance from the Alaska-Aleutian trench (distance range 106 to 250 km), whereas no appreciable deformation was measured on the Alaska Peninsula (distances 250 to 370 km from the trench). The measured deformation is reasonably well predicted by the conventional dislocation representation of subduction with the model parameters determined independently (i.e., not simply by fitting the observations). The deformation of Kodiak Island is in striking contrast to the very minor deformation measured in the similarly situated Shumagin Islands, 450 km southwest of Kodiak along the Alaska-Aleutian trench.

Geophysical Research Letters↗
USGS1998

Deformation across the rupture zone of the 1964 Alaska earthquake, 1993–1997

A linear array of 15 geodetic monuments was installed in 1993 across the rupture zone of the 1964 Alaska earthquake ( M w = 9.2). The array extends from Middleton Island (at the edge of the continental shelf and 80 km from the Alaska‐Aleutian trench) to north of Palmer, Alaska (380 km from the trench), in the approximate direction of Pacific‐North American plate convergence (N15.5°W). The array was surveyed in June 1993, May 1995, and June 1997. The changes between surveys are a measure of the deformation of the continental margin across the subduction zone in southern Alaska. Measured relative to the interior of the North American plate, the horizontal velocities on the outer plate margin are parallel to the direction of plate convergence (N15.5°W ) and reach a maximum (58 mm yr −1 ) about 150 km from the trench. Beyond about 300 km from the trench the observed horizontal velocities are small. A narrow (halfwidth 50 km) zone of significant uplift (10 mm yr −1 maximum) is observed about 300 km from the trench, coinciding roughly with the locus of maximum coseismic subsidence associated with the 1964 Alaska earthquake. Although the deformation is roughly described by the conventional model of deformation at a subduction zone (deformation due to virtual back slip on the main thrust zone at the 55 mm yr −1 plate convergence rate), a better fit is given with a 65 mm yr −1 virtual back (normal) slip rate. This higher rate is attributed to continued postseismic relaxation. The model does not explain the relatively high uplift rate and low N15.5°W velocity observed at Middleton Island. That anomalous motion is attributed to continued thrusting on postulated upward trending splays from the subduction zone beneath the island.

Alaska↗
USGS1998

Deformation following the 1994 Northridge Earthquake (M=6.7), Southern California

Following the 1994 M w =6.7 Northridge earthquake, a 65‐km‐long, north‐south array of 11 geodetic monuments was established across the rupture. The array was surveyed with GPS ten times in the 4.25 yr after the earthquake. Although there is evidence for modest nonlinear postseismic relaxation in the first few weeks after the Northridge earthquake, the deformation in the subsequent four years can be adequately described by constant station velocities. The observed S70°E velocity components are consistent with the deformation expected from steady strain accumulation on the San Andreas fault. The N20°E velocity components indicate that the southern Northridge fault block is moving almost as a unit N20°E with repect to the northern fault block, the motion being accommodated by a zone of convergence (width 20 km) at the north end of the Northridge rupture.

California↗
USGS1996

Observed discrepancy between geodolite and GPS distance measurements

Comparison of contemporaneous measurements of 84 distances in the range of 10 to 50 km by both Global Positioning System (GPS) and Geodolite (an electro-optical distance-measuring instrument) indicates that the Geodolite measurements are systematically longer by 0.283 ± 0.100 parts per million of the measured distance. Quoted uncertainty is 1 standard deviation. This amounts to 11.3 ± 4.0 mm at 40 km, which is near the maximum Geodolite range. The systematic difference is within the random uncertainty of an individual GPS-Geodolite comparison and was detected only from an analysis of a large number (84) of such comparisons. The source of the systematic difference has not been identified.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS1986

Strain accumulation in the Shumagin and Yakataga seismic gaps, Alaska

Strain accumulation during the 1980-85 interval has been measured by means of trilateration surveys in the Shumagin and Yakataga seismic gaps, which are the two regions identified as the most likely sites for the next great thrust earthquakes along the Alaska-Aleutian arc. No significant strain accumulation was detected in the Shumagin gap, but experience at similar subduction zones and simple models of the subduction process suggest that a measurable amount of strain should have accumulated. The most likely explanation of the observation is that subduction mere is either aseismic or episodic. The strain accumulation measured in the Yakataga gap is consistent with that expected for the plate convergence rate, although the direction of maximum compression may suggest a somewhat more oblique convergence than expected.

Alaska↗