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Terrie Mackin Lee

Publications and source records attributed to Terrie Mackin Lee.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Effects of recharge, Upper Floridan aquifer heads, and time scale on simulated ground-water exchange with Lake Starr, a seepage lake in central Florida

Lake Starr and other lakes in the mantled karst terrain of Florida's Central Lake District are surrounded by a conductive surficial aquifer system that receives highly variable recharge from rainfall. In addition, downward leakage from these lakes varies as heads in the underlying Upper Floridan aquifer change seasonally and with pumpage. A saturated three-dimensional finite-difference ground-water flow model was used to simulate the effects of recharge, Upper Floridan aquifer heads, and model time scale on ground-water exchange with Lake Starr. The lake was simulated as an active part of the model using high hydraulic conductivity cells. Simulated ground-water flow was compared to net ground-water flow estimated from a rigorously derived water budget for the 2-year period August 1996-July 1998. Calibrating saturated ground-water flow models with monthly stress periods to a monthly lake water budget will result in underpredicting gross inflow to, and leakage from, ridge lakes in Florida. Underprediction of ground-water inflow occurs because recharge stresses and ground-water flow responses during rainy periods are averaged over too long a time period using monthly stress periods. When inflow is underestimated during calibration, leakage also is underestimated because inflow and leakage are correlated if lake stage is maintained over the long term. Underpredicted leakage reduces the implied effect of ground-water withdrawals from the Upper Floridan aquifer on the lake. Calibrating the weekly simulation required accounting for transient responses in the water table near the lake that generated the greater range of net ground-water flow values seen in the weekly water budget. Calibrating to the weekly lake water budget also required increasing the value of annual recharge in the nearshore region well above the initial estimate of 35 percent of the rainfall, and increasing the hydraulic conductivity of the deposits around and beneath the lake. To simulate the total ground-water inflow to lakes, saturated-flow models of lake basins need to account for the potential effects of rapid and efficient recharge in the surficial aquifer system closest to the lake. In this part of the basin, the ability to accurately estimate recharge is crucial because the water table is shallowest and the response time between rainfall and recharge is shortest. Use of the one-dimensional LEACHM model to simulate the effects of the unsaturated zone on the timing and magnitude of recharge in the nearshore improved the simulation of peak values of ground-water inflow to Lake Starr. Results of weekly simulations suggest that weekly recharge can approach the majority of weekly rainfall on the nearshore part of the lake basin. However, even though a weekly simulation with higher recharge in the nearshore was able to reproduce the extremes of ground-water exchange with the lake more accurately, it was not consistently better at predicting net ground-water flow within the water budget error than a simulation with lower recharge. The more subtle effects of rainfall and recharge on ground-water inflow to the lake were more difficult to simulate. The use of variably saturated flow modeling, with time scales that are shorter than weekly and finer spatial discretization, is probably necessary to understand these processes. The basin-wide model of Lake Starr had difficulty simulating the full spectrum of ground-water inflows observed in the water budget because of insufficient information about recharge to ground water, and because of practical limits on spatial and temporal discretization in a model at this scale. In contrast, the saturated flow model appeared to successfully simulate the effects of heads in the Upper Floridan aquifer on water levels and ground-water exchange with the lake at both weekly and monthly stress periods. Most of the variability in lake leakage can be explained by the average vertical head difference between the lake and a re

Water-Resources Investigations Report

Factors affecting ground-water exchange and catchment size for Florida lakes in mantled karst terrain

In the mantled karst terrain of Florida, the size of the catchment delivering ground-water inflow to lakes is often considerably smaller than the topographically defined drainage basin. The size is determined by a balance of factors that act individually to enhance or diminish the hydraulic connection between the lake and the adjacent surficial aquifer, as well as the hydraulic connection between the surficial aquifer and the deeper limestone aquifer. Factors affecting ground-water exchange and the size of the ground-water catchment for lakes in mantled karst terrain were examined by: (1) reviewing the physical and hydrogeological characteristics of 14 Florida lake basins with available ground-water inflow estimates, and (2) simulating ground-water flow in hypothetical lake basins. Variably-saturated flow modeling was used to simulate a range of physical and hydrogeologic factors observed at the 14 lake basins. These factors included: recharge rate to the surficial aquifer, thickness of the unsaturated zone, size of the topographically defined basin, depth of the lake, thickness of the surficial aquifer, hydraulic conductivity of the geologic units, the location and size of karst subsidence features beneath and onshore of the lake, and the head in the Upper Floridan aquifer. Catchment size and the magnitude of ground-water inflow increased with increases in recharge rate to the surficial aquifer, the size of the topographically defined basin, hydraulic conductivity in the surficial aquifer, the degree of confinement of the deeper Upper Floridan aquifer, and the head in the Upper Floridan aquifer. The catchment size and magnitude of ground-water inflow increased with decreases in the number and size of karst subsidence features in the basin, and the thickness of the unsaturated zone near the lake. Model results, although qualitative, provided insights into: (1) the types of lake basins in mantled karst terrain that have the potential to generate small and large amounts of ground-water inflow, and (2) the location of ground-water catchments that could be managed to safeguard lake water quality. Knowledge of how ground-water catchments are related to lakes could be used by water-resource managers to recommend setback distances for septic tank drain fields, agricultural land uses, and other land-use practices that contribute nutrients and major ions to lakes.

Water-Resources Investigations Report

Influence of evaporation, ground water, and uncertainty in the hydrologic budget of Lake Lucerne, a seepage lake in Polk County, Florida

Evaporation losses and the interaction of ground water with Lake Lucerne were studied to determine the influence of these two processes on the hydrologic budget of a seepage lake. Lake Lucerne is representative of the numerous seepage lakes of sinkhole origin in the karst terrain of central Florida. Because of permeable surficial deposits, ground-water inflow is the only significant contribution from the surrounding watershed. The lake recharges the underlying Upper Floridan aquifer and, as a result, is susceptible to increased leakage induced by pumping from this aquifer. Ground-water fluxes determined in the study were analyzed to define the proportion of the total lake leakage induced by pumping from the Upper Floridan aquifer. A hydrologic budget is analyzed for the 1-year period from October 1985 to September 1986. Ground-water inflow and leakage are significant components of the hydrologic budget. Changes in the quantity of either of these fluxes can substantially alter lake stage. Ground-water inflow contributed from 20 to 37 percent of the total annual inflow to the lake. Leakage from the lake accounted for 18 to 23 percent of the total annual outflow. Water withdrawals from the Upper Floridan aquifer increased annual lake leakage by 22 percent over nonpumping conditions. Most of the increase (92 percent) in leakage occurred during April, May, and June 1986, when local citrus irrigation was highest. For the study year, ground-water inflow and leakage volumes were calculated by flow-net analysis to be equal to 10.5 and 12.6 inches, respectively, of water depth above (or below) the lake surface. These estimates were revised upward on the basis of an analysis of the error in the hydrologic-budget equation. Revised ground water inflow exceeded annual leakage from the lake. Ground-water inflow rates were increased by 120 percent to 23.6 inches, and leakage was increased by 40 percent to 17.5 inches. Differences between the two estimates probably reflect the uncertainty in the hydraulic conductivity estimates of the porous media around the lake and the unaccounted effect of transient ground-water inflow. The geometry of the sinkhole complex beneath Lake Lucerne and pumping in the Upper Floridan aquifer are primary controls on ground water interactions with the lake and, in particular, lake leakage. A numerical ground-water model was used to test the effects of these two factors on ground-water interactions with the lake. Results indicate that the intermediate confining unit below Lake Lucerne has been breached and replaced by materials about two orders of magnitude more conductive. Anisotropy in the surficial aquifer is approximately 100 and controls the depth of the ground-water flow intercepted by the lake. Lake sediments having low permeability may control the distribution of leakage through the lakebed but did not appreciably reduce total leakage rates in these simulations. Evaporation loss was the major outflow component of the hydrologic budget. Annual lake evaporation determined by the energy-budget method was 57.9 inches, about 8 inches greater than long-term estimates for the region. The greater rate was attributed to drier than normal conditions: rainfall totaled 40.9 inches during the study year, about 10 inches less than the long-term average. Similar annual evaporation rates were determined by the energy-budget method, the simpler mass-transfer method, and by corrected pan evaporation from an onsite pan; however, the probable errors associated with these other two methods were greater than for the energy budget. Weekly energy-budget evaporation rates ranged from 0.04 inch per day in early January 1986 to 0.26 inch per day in early May 1986. The largest monthly energy-budget evaporation rates occurred in April and May 1986, 7.16 and 7.12 inches per month, respectively. Monthly evaporation estimated from corrected pan evaporation generally was within 10 percent of the energy-budget estimate but differed by as much as 35 percent. Daily energy-budget evaporation also was computed for 321 days during the year.

Florida