Scott R. Koproski | USGS Science

USGS2016

Reply to comments by Riley and Dunlop on He et al. (2015)

He et al. (2015) described piscivory patterns in the main basin of Lake Huron 1984-2010, during which there was also a pattern of stepwise declines in the abundance of dominant prey fish species. The approach of He et al. (2015) was to couple age-structured stock assessment and fish bioenergetics models to estimate prey fish consumption, and to compare these patterns with prey fish biomass from a bottom trawl survey. Riley and Dunlop (2015) were highly critical of the methods and conclusions reached by He et al. (2015). They claimed that we incorrectly interpreted the bottom trawl survey data, and did not account for uncertainty. We respond to these and other criticisms below, which we find do not undermine our findings.

Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences↗

USGS2015

Coupling age-structured stock assessment and fish bioenergetics models: a system of time-varying models for quantifying piscivory patterns during the rapid trophic shift in the main basin of Lake Huron

We quantified piscivory patterns in the main basin of Lake Huron during 1984–2010 and found that the biomass transfer from prey fish to piscivores remained consistently high despite the rapid major trophic shift in the food webs. We coupled age-structured stock assessment models and fish bioenergetics models for lake trout ( Salvelinus namaycush ), Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ), walleye ( Sander vitreus ), and lake whitefish ( Coregonus clupeaformis ). The model system also included time-varying parameters or variables of growth, length–mass relations, maturity schedules, energy density, and diets. These time-varying models reflected the dynamic connections that a fish cohort responded to year-to-year ecosystem changes at different ages and body sizes. We found that the ratio of annual predation by lake trout, Chinook salmon, and walleye combined with the biomass indices of age-1 and older alewives ( Alosa pseudoharengus ) and rainbow smelt ( Osmerus mordax ) increased more than tenfold during 1987–2010, and such increases in predation pressure were structured by relatively stable biomass of the three piscivores and stepwise declines in the biomass of alewives and rainbow smelt. The piscivore stability was supported by the use of alternative energy pathways and changes in relative composition of the three piscivores. In addition, lake whitefish became a new piscivore by feeding on round goby ( Neogobius melanostomus ). Their total fish consumption rivaled that of the other piscivores combined, although fish were still a modest proportion of their diet. Overall, the use of alternative energy pathways by piscivores allowed the increases in predation pressure on dominant diet species.

Lake Huron↗