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Ryota Kiuchi

Publications and source records attributed to Ryota Kiuchi.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Ground-motion prediction equations for the western Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for the western Kingdom of Saudi Arabia are developed by employing a mixed-effects regression model to modify the Boore and others (2014) Next Generation Attenuation-West2 (NGA-West2) project GMPEs. NGA-West2 addressed several key issues concerning GMPEs for shallow crustal earthquakes in active tectonic regions. However, the NGA-West2 input data do not include many earthquakes in extensional regimes, such as those occurring in Saudi Arabia. This deficiency is redressed by calculating a magnitude scaling of the new Saudi Arabia-specific GMPEs compared to those of Boore and others (2014). Furthermore, there is a clear difference in distance scaling for the Saudi Arabian GMPEs in comparison with the NGA-West2 GMPEs. This difference is especially significant at large distances and is mainly due to lower anelastic attenuation in the crystalline crust of western Saudi Arabia. Our empirical data demonstrate that the GMPEs presented here are in good agreement with observed earthquake ground motions in western Saudi Arabia.

Professional Paper

Probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis for the western Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

We present a probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis (PSHA) for the west-central part of the Arabian Peninsula. Our study area includes the northern Harrat Rahat volcanic field and the nearby city of Al Madīnah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. This young, active volcanic field experienced one historical eruption in 1256 C.E. (654 in the year of the Hijra) that vented 20 to 22 kilometers (km) southeast of the center of Al Madīnah, which has a present population of about 1.4 million. The field also erupted numerous times in the late Pleistocene and possibly in the early Holocene. We used recently developed regional ground-motion prediction equations for Saudi Arabia to calculate the severity of ground shaking as a function of distance from the earthquake source. This information was combined with two key volcanic parameters for this area: (1) the return period of volcanic eruptions and (2) the spatial probability of the next vent opening. The calculated ground-motion levels of peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity with a 2-percent probability of exceedance in 50 years are expected to be about 0.14 the acceleration due to gravity ( g ) and 10 centimeters per second (cm/s), respectively, at the most probable vent opening location, about 25 km southeast of Al Madīnah’s center, and about 0.07 g and 3 cm/s, respectively, in the city interior. These ground motions are higher than previous estimates that did not consider the nearby earthquakes associated with volcanic activity.

Professional Paper