Geology topics

Nora J. Casson

Publications and source records attributed to Nora J. Casson.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2024

Threshold changes in winter temperature and precipitation drive threshold responses across nine global climate zones and associated biomes

Globally, winter temperatures are rising, and snowpack is shrinking or disappearing entirely. Despite previous research and published literature reviews, it remains unknown whether biomes across the globe will cross important thresholds in winter temperature and precipitation that will lead to significant ecological changes. Here, we combine the widely used Köppen–Geiger climate classification system with worst-case-scenario projected changes in global monthly temperature and precipitation to illustrate how multiple climatic zones across Earth may experience shifting winter conditions by the end of this century. We then examine how these shifts may affect ecosystems within corresponding biomes. Our analysis demonstrates potential widespread losses of extreme cold (<−20°C) in Arctic, boreal, and cool temperate regions. We also show the possible disappearance of freezing temperatures (<0°C) and large decreases in snowfall in warm temperate and dryland areas. We identify important and potentially irreversible ecological changes associated with crossing these winter climate thresholds.

Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systemati↗

USGS2023

Global methane emissions from rivers and streams

Methane (CH 4 ) is a potent greenhouse gas and its concentrations have tripled in the atmosphere since the industrial revolution. There is evidence that global warming has increased CH 4 emissions from freshwater ecosystems 1 , 2 , providing positive feedback to the global climate. Yet for rivers and streams, the controls and the magnitude of CH 4 emissions remain highly uncertain 3 , 4 . Here we report a spatially explicit global estimate of CH 4 emissions from running waters, accounting for 27.9 (16.7–39.7) Tg CH 4 per year and roughly equal in magnitude to those of other freshwater systems 5 , 6 . Riverine CH 4 emissions are not strongly temperature dependent, with low average activation energy ( E M = 0.14 eV) compared with that of lakes and wetlands ( E M = 0.96 eV) 1 . By contrast, global patterns of emissions are characterized by large fluxes in high- and low-latitude settings as well as in human-dominated environments. These patterns are explained by edaphic and climate features that are linked to anoxia in and near fluvial habitats, including a high supply of organic matter and water saturation in hydrologically connected soils. Our results highlight the importance of land–water connections in regulating CH 4 supply to running waters, which is vulnerable not only to direct human modifications but also to several climate change responses on land.

Nature↗

USGS2023

GRiMeDB: The Global River Database Methane Database of concentrations and fluxes

Despite their small spatial extent, fluvial ecosystems play a significant role in processing and transporting carbon in aquatic networks, which results in substantial emission of methane ( CH 4 ) into the atmosphere. For this reason, considerable effort has been put into identifying patterns and drivers of CH 4 concentrations in streams and rivers and estimating fluxes to the atmosphere across broad spatial scales. However, progress toward these ends has been slow because of pronounced spatial and temporal variability of lotic CH 4 concentrations and fluxes and by limited data availability across diverse habitats and physicochemical conditions. To address these challenges, we present a comprehensive database of CH 4 concentrations and fluxes for fluvial ecosystems along with broadly relevant and concurrent physical and chemical data. The Global River Methane Database (GriMeDB; https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/f48cdb77282598052349e969920356ef , Stanley et al., 2023) includes 24 024 records of CH 4 concentration and 8205 flux measurements from 5029 unique sites derived from publications, reports, data repositories, unpublished data sets, and other outlets that became available between 1973 and 2021. Flux observations are reported as diffusive, ebullitive, and total CH 4 fluxes, and GriMeDB also includes 17 655 and 8409 concurrent measurements of concentrations and 4444 and 1521 fluxes for carbon dioxide ( CO 2 ) and nitrous oxide ( N 2 O ), respectively. Most observations are date-specific (i.e., not site averages), and many are supported by data for 1 or more of 12 physicochemical variables and 6 site variables. Site variables include codes to characterize marginal channel types (e.g., springs, ditches) and/or the presence of human disturbance (e.g., point source inputs, upstream dams). Overall, observations in GRiMeDB encompass the broad range of the climatic, biological, and physical conditions that occur among world river basins, although some geographic gaps remain (arid regions, tropical regions, high-latitude and high-altitude systems). The global median CH 4 concentration (0.20 µmol L −1 ) and diffusive flux (0.44 mmol m -2 d -1 ) in GRiMeDB are lower than estimates from prior site-averaged compilations, although ranges (0 to 456 µmol L −1 and − 136 to 4057 mmol m -2 d -1 ) and standard deviations (10.69 and 86.4) are greater for this larger and more temporally resolved database. Available flux data are dominated by diffusive measurements despite the recognized importance of ebullitive and plant-mediated CH 4 fluxes. Nonetheless, GriMeDB provides a comprehensive and cohesive resource for examining relationships between CH 4 and environmental drivers, estimating the contribution of fluvial ecosystems to CH 4 emissions, and contextualizing site-based investigations.

Earth System Science Data↗

USGS2019

Northern forest winters have lost cold, snowy conditions that are important for ecosystems and human communities

Winter is an understudied but key period for the socio-ecological systems of northeastern North American forests. A growing awareness of the importance of the winter season to forest ecosystems and surrounding communities has inspired several decades of research, both across the northern forest and at other mid- and high-latitude ecosystems around the globe. Despite these efforts, we lack a synthetic understanding of how winter climate change may impact hydrological and biogeochemical processes and the social and economic activities they support. Here we take advantage of 100 years of meteorological observations across the northern forest region of the northeastern U.S. and eastern Canada to develop a suite of indicators that enable a cross-cutting understanding of 1) how winter temperatures and snow cover have been changing and 2) how these shifts may impact both ecosystems and surrounding human communities. We show that cold and snow-covered conditions have generally decreased over the past 100 years. These trends suggest positive outcomes for tree health as related to reduced fine root mortality and nutrient loss associated with winter frost but negative outcomes as related to the northward advancement and proliferation of forest insect pests. In addition to effects on vegetation, reductions in cold temperatures and snow cover are likely to have negative impacts on the ecology of the northern forest through impacts on water, soils, and wildlife. The overall loss of coldness and snow cover may also have negative consequences for logging and forest products, vector-borne diseases and human health, recreation and tourism, and cultural practices, which together represent important social and economic dimensions for the northern forest region. These findings advance our understanding of how our changing winters may transform the socio- ecological system of a region that has been defined by the contrasting rhythm of the seasons. Our research also identifies a trajectory of change that informs our expectations for the future as the climate continues to warm.

Ecological Applications↗

USGS2016

Regional meteorological drivers and long term trends of winter-spring nitrate dynamics across watersheds in northeastern North America

This study evaluated the contribution of winter rain-on-snow (ROS) events to annual and seasonal nitrate (N-NO3) export and identified the regional meteorological drivers of inter-annual variability in ROS N-NO3 export (ROS-N) at 9 headwater streams located across Ontario, Canada and the northeastern United States. Although on average only 3.3 % of annual precipitation fell as ROS during winter over the study period, these events contributed a significant proportion of annual and winter N-NO3 export at the majority of sites (average of 12 and 42 %, respectively); with the exception of the most northern catchment, where total winter precipitation was exceptionally low (average 77 mm). In years with a greater magnitude of ROS events, the timing of the peak N-NO3 export period (during spring melt) was redistributed to earlier in the year. Variability in ROS frequency and magnitude amongst sites was high and a generalised linear model demonstrated that this spatial variability could be explained by interactive effects between regional and site-specific drivers. Snowpack coverage was particularly important for explaining the site-specific ROS response. Specifically, ROS events were less common when higher temperatures eliminated snow cover despite increasing the proportion of winter rainfall, whereas ROS event frequency was greater at sites where sufficient snow cover remained. This research suggests that catchment response to changes in N deposition is sensitive to climate change; a vulnerability which appears to vary in intensity throughout the seasonally snow-covered temperate region. Furthermore, the sensitivity of stream N-NO3 export to ROS events and potential shifts (earlier) in the timing of N-NO3 export relative to other nutrients affect downstream nutrient stoichiometry and the community composition of phytoplankton and other algae.

Maine, New Hampshire, New York, Ontario,Vermont↗

USGS2015

The ecology of methane in streams and rivers: Patterns, controls, and global significance

Streams and rivers can substantially modify organic carbon (OC) inputs from terrestrial landscapes, and much of this processing is the result of microbial respiration. While carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is the major end-product of ecosystem respiration, methane (CH 4 ) is also present in many fluvial environments even though methanogenesis typically requires anoxic conditions that may be scarce in these systems. Given recent recognition of the pervasiveness of this greenhouse gas in streams and rivers, we synthesized existing research and data to identify patterns and drivers of CH 4 , knowledge gaps, and research opportunities. This included examining the history of lotic CH 4 research, creating a database of concentrations and fluxes (MethDB) to generate a global-scale estimate of fluvial CH 4 efflux, and developing a conceptual framework and using this framework to consider how human activities may modify fluvial CH 4 dynamics. Current understanding of CH 4 in streams and rivers has been strongly influenced by goals of understanding OC processing and quantifying the contribution of CH 4 to ecosystem C fluxes. Less effort has been directed towards investigating processes that dictate in situ CH 4 production and loss. CH 4 makes a meager contribution to watershed or landscape C budgets, but streams and rivers are often significant CH 4 sources to the atmosphere across these same spatial extents. Most fluvial systems are supersaturated with CH 4 and we estimate an annual global emission of 26.8 Tg CH 4 , equivalent to ~15-40% of wetland and lake effluxes, respectively. Less clear is the role of CH 4 oxidation, methanogenesis, and total anaerobic respiration to whole ecosystem production and respiration. Controls on CH 4 generation and persistence can be viewed in terms of proximate controls that influence methanogenesis (organic matter, temperature, alternative electron acceptors, nutrients) and distal geomorphic and hydrologic drivers. Multiple controls combined with its extreme redox status and low solubility result in high spatial and temporal variance of CH 4 in fluvial environments, which presents a substantial challenge for understanding its larger-scale dynamics. Further understanding of CH 4 production and consumption, anaerobic metabolism, and ecosystem energetics in streams and rivers can be achieved through more directed studies and comparison with knowledge from terrestrial, wetland, and aquatic disciplines.

Ecological Monographs↗