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Geology topics

Melia G. Nafus

Publications and source records attributed to Melia G. Nafus.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
USGS2026

Genomic structural variation rescues a classic biological invader from a population bottleneck

Invasion genetics presents a classic paradox: how do species successfully spread despite severe population bottlenecks? The brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) in Guam represents a striking example of this phenomenon, having been introduced with only a handful of individuals. We show that the population endured an extreme bottleneck, with roughly half of the genome exhibiting runs of homozygosity, comparable to species of conservation concern. Despite this, we uncovered extensive diversity in the form of nearly 19,000 genomic structural variants, which affect almost eight times more of the genome than single-nucleotide variants and provide material for ‘rescuing’ the population from inbreeding-driven declines. Structural variant density was highest in gene promoters, where recombination and DNA repair often occur, providing a mechanism for rapid evolution of gene-linked diversity. This diversity is enriched in genes vital for adaptive immunity and olfaction, suggesting genomic diversity in key chromosomal regions can rescue populations from inbreeding. This work has critical implications for invasion biology and conservation genetics practitioners.

BioRxiv↗
USGS2026

Designing biosurveillance using target analysis for a cryptic invasive species, the brown treesnake (Boiga irregularis)

Biosurveillance is especially important for invasive species that are difficult to control or remove once established. Target analysis, or the strategic evaluation of factors that affect or improve detection of organisms, is one approach to improve biosurveillance over time. Due to their ecologically and economically devastating effects, brown treesnakes ( Boiga irregularis ), an invasive snake in the United States territory of Guam, have a dedicated biosecurity program to prevent their spread. Guam has been occupied by brown treesnakes since the 1940s, and they are distributed throughout the island. The neighboring Saipan Island, otherwise known as Saipan, participates in biosecurity programs designed to prevent their establishment. We evaluated biosurveillance protocols within rapid response and detection exercises for brown treesnakes. Our goal was to identify, account for, and reduce potential error when inferring absence from lack of detection using data collected in Guam and Saipan. We evaluated 1) whether brown treesnake detection probability was density dependent; 2) whether using terrestrial environmental DNA ( eDNA ) sampling detected snakes in occupied areas; 3) the likelihood brown treesnakes would have been detected in Saipan, given sampling effort during a biosurveillance exercise, and whether lizards could be used as a proxy on snake-free islands for estimating factors that affect detection; 4) the effect of transect design on pacing and subsequently pacing on lizard counts; and 5) the importance of observer training in surveying for cryptic reptiles and completing broad versus targeted bioinventories. We found that brown treesnake detection probability was density dependent when using visual surveys and declined with abundance in Guam, supporting that greater effort was required to have high confidence that lack of detection supported absence in areas with low snake densities. The terrestrial eDNA sampling protocol we developed was effective at detecting snakes in occupied locations in Guam and may be a complementary tool. However, further validation of eDNA protocols would still be required for early detection application. We also found that among trained observers, the ability to detect lizards was positively predictive of the number of snakes they detected at the standard snake densities in Guam. Thus, lizard detection appeared to be a reasonable proxy for evaluating visual search protocols for snakes on snake-free islands. Overall, creating easy pace-setting relationships between time and distance (i.e., 10 m per min), with flagging that clearly marked location on a transect, greatly reduced variability in search pace across survey nights. Observers that were continuously trained to maintain brown treesnake search profiles detected twice as many, on average, cryptic reptiles compared to individuals who had never received training, which was not true for the non-reptiles (birds and small mammals). Additionally, conducting broad bioinventories with many target species reduced detection of the target species, and this was increasingly true as years since the observer completed training for the target species increased. We thus found that designing biosurveillance exercises to evaluate search protocols can help improve or refine survey methods to reduce noise in the data, and accounting for that can improve the estimated confidence that failure to detect an invasive species infers absence.

NeoBiota↗
USGS2025

A comparative evaluation of bait types taken by brown treesnakes or other nontarget species, including ants

Evaluating invasive species removal can help improve efficacy or application of control tools. Toxic baiting is a primary method used to suppress many invasive species, including the brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) in Guam. Based on limited alternative approaches to assess tool efficacy in snake removal, bait take is often used as a proxy for snake removal, despite evidence that nontarget species remove baits in a spatially heterogeneous manner. Using photographic validation, we tested take rates of mouse, chick, and rat baits by brown treesnakes and nontargets, including invertebrates, at three sites undergoing snake removal for vertebrate conservation goals. We also identified the ant species present on baits for a subset of baits. Take rates by snakes and nontargets varied by site. We found that nontarget take (22–42%) was considerably greater than take by brown treesnakes (1–13%). In addition, baits that had ants were taken less often by snakes as compared to baits without ants (7–12% vs. 8–52%, respectively). The dominant ant species collected from ant bait stations affiliated with baits was Solenopsis spp. Ant presence appeared to have deterred brown treesnakes from consuming baits, and ant removal or prevention may improve take rates by brown treesnakes. There was not, however, a consistent correction factor that could be applied across sites to estimate brown treesnake take rates of baits without photographic validation.

Pacific Science↗
USGS2025

Using periodic matrix models to simulate the effectiveness of alternative reintroduction strategies for lizards on a seasonal tropical island

Conservation translocations and reintroductions are widely used to improve conservation outcomes for declining species. Reintroductions are unlikely to be successful if the threats that led to the extirpation of the focal species, such as non-native predators, have not been ameliorated. The non-native brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) was introduced to Guam in the mid-20th century and has devastated the native lizard fauna of this Pacific Island. Native lizard populations persist on small islands near Guam and could act as sources for reintroductions. Recently, trapping methods have been shown to greatly reduce the density of brown treesnakes, raising the possibility that native lizards could be reintroduced where brown treesnake abundance is controlled. Here we developed demographic models for four lizard species present on Guam to assess their validity as a trial for reintroducing species to meet native species recovery goals. These four species vary in their size, activity, and susceptibility to predation by brown treesnakes. We used periodic matrix models to simulate changes in lizard vital rates driven by the wet-dry seasonal cycle found on Guam. We found that the release of 60 individuals of each species was likely to result in successful reintroduction outcomes provided adult survival in the wild is similar to rates estimated based on life history parameters. Demographic models can be used to forecast reintroduction outcomes, including predicting the probability of success and evaluating causes of failure in the event that populations do not establish.

Guam↗
USGS2025

Behavioral plasticity in detection height of an invasive, arboreal snake based on size, condition, and prey

Context Animals may adjust their behavior in predictable ways to balance tradeoffs between resource acquisition and survival or fecundity. Microhabitat selection based on individual traits or environmental conditions is one measure of risk–reward tradeoffs by individuals. Aims We used data from observational and manipulative studies to investigate whether an arboreal snake (brown treesnake, Boiga irregularis ) had context-dependent behavior based on the relationship between estimated prey availability, body condition, size, and detection height (microhabitat use) in two Mariana Islands. Methods We used observational data collected in four study sites and data from a manipulative study that we collected over a 5-year period. The observational data focused on four sites with different counts of three prey types, including lizards, birds, and small mammals. During the manipulative study we removed snakes, which resulted in increased prey counts over time. Using these two approaches, we tested whether prey counts predicted body condition and then evaluated how prey counts, snake size, and snake condition interactively predicted the detection height of captured individuals. Key results We found that body condition was greater at sites or in years with greater prey counts across both the observational and manipulative studies. We also found that snakes displayed differential microhabitat use based on both their condition and size. Larger snakes tended to be detected lower than smaller snakes, but only at sites or during years with few bird or small mammal counts. Snakes at sites with greater mammal and bird counts had a positive relationship between size and detection height. Snakes with greater condition scores tended to be detected higher irrespective of size, but this was also dependent on prey counts. At sites with low bird counts, snakes that were in better condition tended to be closer to the ground. Conclusions Brown treesnakes modified microhabitat use based on their condition, size, and the number or type of prey available. Our findings were consistent with a hypothesis that they optimized habitat use to secure food resources and maximize survival. Implications Context-dependent behavioral plasticity may be an important consideration for management of reptiles for population control or growth.

Wildlife Research↗
USGS2023

Pilot study for invasive brown treesnake baiting in residential areas

The nocturnal brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ; BTS) was accidentally introduced to the island of Guam, USA, in the Western Pacific in 1945. The BTS has spread throughout all terrestrial habitats, causing wildlife loss and economic damage. Several tools and techniques have been developed to locally reduce BTS numbers and prevent their spread to other islands. The common analgesic acetaminophen has been registered as a low-risk pesticide to manage BTS in non-residential areas. Prior to a more intensive toxic baiting campaign on Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, as part of a larger study to evaluate the effects of BTS control on native bird survival, we conducted a pilot study from May 18 to October 6, 2020, to assess the efficacy and safety of BTS baiting within a residential area. We administered large and small domesticated mouse ( Mus musculus ) and bird chick ( Coturnix japonica and Gallus domesticus ) nontoxic carrion baits (without acetaminophen) in bait stations to evaluate BTS and nontarget bait take rates, bait preferences, movements following nighttime bait uptakes, and interactions of humans and domestic animals with baits. We monitored baits with cameras and implanted them with radio-transmitters to verify the species taking the bait and to track BTS to their daytime sheltering locations. Successful BTS bait take rates were low at 20 of 482 baits (4.1%), as were nontarget bait take rates (4 baits; 0.8%). No preference among bait types was discernible, though power to detect differences was limited due to low overall uptake. All first daytime refugia were within vegetation except for 1 location on the roof of a house. No evidence of bait removal or human tampering was found at any of the bait stations. Based on our pilot study, there appeared to be little human or nontarget risk from acetaminophen baiting in this relatively uniform and sparsely vegetated residential area. Because most of the residential areas on Guam are much more variable, similar assessments within a broader diversity of residential areas may be advisable before promoting large-scale use of acetaminophen for managing BTS in close contact with human habitations.

Human-Wildlife Interactions↗
USGS2022

Individual heterogeneity influences the effects of translocation on urban dispersal of an invasive reptile

Background Invasive reptiles pose a serious threat to global biodiversity, but early detection of individuals in an incipient population is often hindered by their cryptic nature, sporadic movements, and variation among individuals. Little is known about the mechanisms that affect the movement of these species, which limits our understanding of their dispersal. Our aim was to determine whether translocation or small-scale landscape features affect movement patterns of brown treesnakes ( Boiga irregularis ), a destructive invasive predator on the island of Guam. Methods We conducted a field experiment to compare the movements of resident (control) snakes to those of snakes translocated from forests and urban areas into new urban habitats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical model to analyze snake movement mechanisms and account for attributes unique to invasive reptiles by incorporating multiple behavioral states and individual heterogeneity in movement parameters. Results We did not observe strong differences in mechanistic movement parameters (turning angle or step length) among experimental treatment groups. We found some evidence that translocated snakes from both forests and urban areas made longer movements than resident snakes, but variation among individuals within treatment groups weakened this effect. Snakes translocated from forests moved more frequently from pavement than those translocated from urban areas. Snakes translocated from urban areas moved less frequently from buildings than resident snakes. Resident snakes had high individual heterogeneity in movement probability. Conclusions Our approach to modeling movement improved our understanding of invasive reptile dispersal by allowing us to examine the mechanisms that influence their movement. We also demonstrated the importance of accounting for individual heterogeneity in population-level analyses, especially when management goals involve eradication of an invasive species.

Movement Ecology↗
USGS2021

Demographic response of brown treesnakes to extended population suppression

From a management perspective, reptiles are relatively novel invasive taxa. Few methods for reptile control have been developed and very little is known about their effectiveness for reducing reptile populations, particularly when the goal is eradication. Many reptiles, and especially snakes, are cryptic, secretive, and undergo extended periods of inactivity, traits that decrease detection probabilities and create challenges in estimating population size or evaluating management effects. The brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) is a notorious invasive species that continues to cause major ecological and economic harm following their introduction to the island of Guam after World War II. They have been the subject of intensive research on the effectiveness of various techniques to control snakes, including the first ever aerial system for the distribution of toxic acetaminophen baits for reptile control. We provide a cohort-based life table for a cryptic and invasive reptile undergoing extended population control using toxic baits from March 2017–2020. We also evaluated the effects of single (toxic bait) versus multi-tool (toxic bait and live trapping) management efforts on population trajectories, and estimated which population vital rates are most important for influencing population growth or decline in a treated landscape. Treatment of the population with acetaminophen-laced baits resulted in an immediate reduction followed by a gradual population decline that suggested that eradication was the probable outcome given sufficient treatment time but that the period of treatment was decades in magnitude. Inclusion of live trapping reduced the predicted time required to achieve eradication by more than half. Preventing the transition of 1,000-mm snout-vent length (SVL) females to larger sizes was predicted to have the greatest effect on population reduction based on integral projection modeling. Our results suggest that toxic baits are capable of eradicating brown treesnakes in an enclosure, although inclusion of trapping reduced overall treatment time required. Tools that effectively target females >1,000 mm SVL may have the greatest effect on reducing overall treatment timelines.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗
USGS2021

Brown treesnake mortality after aerial application of toxic baits

Quantitative evaluation of control tools for managing invasive species is necessary to assess overall effectiveness and individual variation in treatment susceptibility. Invasive brown treesnakes ( Boiga irregularis ) on Guam have caused severe ecological and economic effects, pose a risk of accidental introduction to other islands, and are the greatest impediment to the reestablishment of extirpated native fauna. An aerial delivery system for rodent-based toxic baits can reduce brown treesnake abundance and heterogeneity among individuals may influence bait attraction or toxicant susceptibility. Previous baiting trials have either been simulated aerial treatments or relied on slightly different bait capsule compositions and the results of aerial delivery of toxic baits under operational conditions may not be directly comparable. We monitored 30 radio-tagged adult snakes (990–1,265 mm snout-vent length) during an aerial baiting operation in a 55-ha area using transmitters equipped with accelerometers and receivers programed to display a status code indicating mortality if a snake failed to move for >24 hours. We used known-fate models to estimate mortality and evaluate a priori hypotheses explaining differences in mortality based on size, sex, and treatment effects. Eleven radio-tagged snakes died in the aerial baiting treatment period (0.37, 95% CI = 0.21–0.55) and no individuals (0.00, 95% CI = 0.00–0.04) died during the non-treatment period. Our data provide strong evidence for an additive size-based treatment effect on mortality, with smaller adults (0.59, 95% CI = 0.35–0.80) exhibiting higher mortality than larger snakes (0.14, 95% CI = 0.02–0.37) but did not support a sex effect on mortality. The high mortality of snakes during the treatment period indicates that aerial baiting can reduce brown treesnake abundance, but further refinement or use in combination with other removal tools may be necessary to overcome size-based differences in susceptibility and achieve eradication.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗
USGS2021

Using enclosed Y-mazes to assess chemosensory behavior in reptiles

Reptiles utilize a variety of environmental cues to inform and drive animal behavior such as chemical scent trails produced by food or conspecifics. Decrypting the scent-trailing behavior of vertebrates, particularly invasive species, enables the discovery of cues that induce exploratory behavior and can aid in the development of valuable basic and applied biological tools. However, pinpointing behaviors dominantly driven by chemical cues versus other competing environmental cues can be challenging. Y-mazes are common tools used in animal behavior research that allow quantification of vertebrate chemosensory behavior across a range of taxa. By reducing external stimuli, Y-mazes remove confounding factors and present focal animals with a binary choice. In our Y-maze studies, a scenting animal is restricted to one arm of the maze to leave a scent trail and is removed once scent-laying parameters have been met. Then, depending on the trial type, either the focal animal is allowed into the maze, or a competing scent trail is created. The result is a record of the focal animal's choice and behavior while discriminating between the chemical cues presented. Here, two Y-maze apparatuses tailored to different invasive reptile species: Argentine black and white tegu lizards (Salvator merianae) and Burmese pythons (Python bivittatus) are described, outlining the operation and cleaning of these Y-mazes. Further, the variety of data produced, experimental drawbacks and solutions, and suggested data analysis frameworks have been summarized.

Journal of Visualized Experiments↗
USGS2021

Foraging behavior in a generalist snake (brown treesnake, Boiga irregularis) with implications for avian reintroduction and recovery

Broad foraging classifications, such as generalist or specialist forager, are generally beneficial for population management in defining expectations of typical behavior. However, better understanding as to how individual variance in behavior interfaces with management actions, such as control of an invasive predator (such as brown treesnakes; Boiga irregularis ) responsible for ecological collapse of a taxonomic group (birds), may affect conservation goals. In the context of predator control, better understanding of foraging ecology and prey specificity helps to ensure that food-based control programs are removing the target individuals. We sought to quantify whether differences in a dietary generalist snake species was measurable during captive trials using mice or birds as the prey choice. We presented snakes with prey choices that could be or are integrated with tools deployed by managers for control to directly relate choice or preference to management action. We collected wild brown treesnakes and classified them as bird eaters or of unknown diet based on food items present in their digestive tract at the time of capture. In experimental tests, we used live birds and live mice in traps, as well as bird and mouse carrion presented on platforms, to measure interest, take rates, and repeatability (preference) by snakes. We found that all individuals spent more time investigating live birds than they did mice, independent of dietary history, which resulted in twice as many snakes being captured in traps with live birds compared to live mice. There was, however, roughly equal interest in mouse and bird carrion. Within individuals, there was evidence for decreased interest in mouse carrion, if individuals ate birds in the wild. Choice of carrion type was repeatable across trials, suggesting preference may exist. Overall, interest in both live mice and mouse carrion was greatest for medium-bodied snakes, while interest in bird carrion was independent of snake size. Our results indicate that management of invasive predators, including reptiles, may more rapidly achieve conservation targets when managers consider individual heterogeneity in behavior. For brown treesnakes more interested in birds, managers may remove more snakes if they use avian food lures; increased removal of avian specialists may facilitate avian recovery.

Applied Animal Behavior Science↗
USGS2021

Surface material and snout-vent length predict vertical scaling ability in brown treesnakes:an evaluation of multispecies barriers for invasive species control on Guam

The combination of snake-proof barriers and an aerial toxicant delivery system for snake suppression may allow large-scale control of invasive brown treesnakes (Boiga irregularis) on Guam. However, suppression or local eradication of several other species (e.g., introduced ungulates, cats, rodents) may be required for successful restoration and recovery of forest habitat and reintroduction of native fauna. Island-wide eradication of invasive species is unlikely on Guam, and existing snake-proof barriers are largely ineffective against cats, rodents, shrews, or monitors. Improved barrier technology and pest-control tools may together provide a viable solution to support localized restoration of species and habitats. We designed and tested prototype multispecies barriers using materials known to repel ungulates, cats, and rodents, with a focus on testing the ability of a rolled hood installed over three different mesh designs to repel brown treesnakes and black rats (Rattus rattus). Woven wire (4.9 × 12 mm aperture, 2.5 mm dia. wire) repelled 99.1% of all snakes, including ≥1031 breach attempts by 112 individuals and 2 successful breaches by 1 small individual. Woven wire (6 × 6 mm aperture, 2.7 mm dia. wire) repelled 100% of all snakes, including 611 breach attempts by 65 individuals. Mini chain link mesh (7 × 9 mm aperture, 1 mm dia. wire) repelled 100% of all snakes, including 1053 breach attempts by 97 individuals. Brown treesnakes were unable to climb either of the two woven wire designs (1642 breach attempts by 160 individuals), making the rolled hood serve as a redundant secondary snake barrier. The rolled hood repelled 100% of all snakes when individuals were provided a climbable surface to access the hood (94 breach attempts by 39 snakes). The probability of a snake being able to climb the mini chain link mesh was inversely related to SVL. The rolled hood repelled 100% of all rats, with 5079 breach attempts by 21 individuals. Recommended next steps include consultation with engineers to address wind loading, structural integrity, material interactions, and integration of decision support tools to optimize cost and efficacy of barrier designs on the landscape.

Management of Biological Invasions.↗
USGS2020

Use of visual surveys and radiotelemetry reveals sources of detection bias for a cryptic snake at low densities

Transect surveys are frequently used to estimate distribution and abundance of species across a landscape, yet a proportion of individuals present will be missed because either they were out of view and unavailable for detection or they were available but not detected because the surveyors missed them. These situations lead to availability and perception bias, respectively, and can result in misleading estimates of abundance and habitat use. In this study, we examined potential biases of visual surveys used for the brown tree snake ( Boiga irregularis ), a cryptic invasive snake responsible for the extirpation of at least 15 vertebrates on Guam. We simultaneously executed visual surveys and radiotelemetry in a low‐density population of brown tree snakes with two goals in mind: to assess the efficacy of visual surveys in detecting subjects at low densities and to identify sources of perception and availability bias in such surveys. Results indicated that with considerable effort, visual surveys can predict the presence of this cryptic reptile even at low densities (0.4 animals/ha) but perform poorly at predicting areas of high use resulting in inaccurate estimates of relative habitat importance. Telemetered snakes used densely foliated plants including Pandanus tectorius and ferns (epiphytic and terrestrial species) for nearly half of their time, yet <9% of visual survey observations occurred in these microhabitats. Visibility of snakes decreased as they perched higher in the canopy mirroring the disparity between visual survey and telemetry detections but was also surprisingly low near the forest floor (0–1 m). Microhabitats identified in this study are likely to disproportionately affect visual surveys and would be appropriate resources to target for management purposes. When there is critical need to prevent false negatives, such as during an incipient invasion elsewhere, targeted searches of high‐use resources could augment other detection tools to improve detection probabilities of this and other cryptic species. ble for detection or they were available but not detected because the surveyors missed them. These situations lead to availability and perception bias, respectively, and can result in misleading estimates of abundance and habitat use. In this study, we examined potential biases of visual surveys used for the brown treesnake (Boiga irregularis), a cryptic invasive snake responsible for the extirpation of at least 15 vertebrates on Guam. We simultaneously executed visual surveys and radiotelemetry in a low-density population of brown treesnakes with two goals in mind: to assess the efficacy of visual surveys in detecting subjects at low densities and to identify sources of perception and availability bias in such surveys. Results indicated that with considerable effort, visual surveys can predict the presence of this cryptic reptile even at low densities (0.4 animals/ha) but perform poorly at predicting areas of high use resulting in inaccurate estimates of relative habitat importance. Telemetered snakes used densely foliated plants including Pandanus tectorius and ferns (epiphytic and terrestrial species) for nearly half of their time yet less than 9% of visual survey observations occurred in these microhabitats. Visibility of snakes decreased as they perched higher in the canopy mirroring the disparity between visual survey and telemetry detections but was also surprisingly low near the forest floor (0-1 meter). Microhabitats identified in this study are likely to disproportionately affect visual surveys and would be appropriate resources to target for management purposes. When there is critical need to prevent false negatives, such as during an incipient invasion elsewhere, targeted searches of high-use resources could augment other detection tools to improve detection probabilities of this and other cryptic species.

Ecosphere↗
USGS2020

Behavior, size, and body condition predict susceptibility to management and reflect post-treatment frequency shifts in an invasive snake

Foraging behavior can have population-level effects that are of interest for wildlife management. For invasive species, foraging behavior has been tied to establishment ability and rate of spread and is generally of import in understanding invasion biology. A major method for controlling invasive vertebrates is using food-based baits as attractants. Tool efficacy is therefore partially driven by individual decision-making during foraging, which may also affect population response to control. We used three studies on the invasive, arboreal brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) on Guam to measure 1) size, body condition, and behavioral correlates with mortality in response to control using toxic baits, 2) shifts in prevalence of those traits after control treatments occurred and, based on the prior two findings, 3) interactive relationships between size, body condition, and behavioral traits at the landscape scale for untreated populations. Each trait was selected due to a potential relationship with foraging behavior or energetic state of an arboreal snake, as a method to estimate how foraging behavior can inform control tool efficacy. We found that snakes were more likely to be killed by toxiic baits if they had a lower body weight, were more active leading up to a bait application, and encountered on the ground more frequently. Across two treated populations, both body size and condition of sampled snakes increased after treatment, while the incidence of ground encounters decreased. Throughout forested habitat on Guam, ground encounter probability was positively correlated with snake size and inversely correlated to body condition. Additionally, size and condition had interactive effects such that snakes in good condition were more arboreal. Thus, body size and behavior (ground encounters) correlated with control-tool susceptibility and frequency shifts occurred in those traits within sampled post-treatment populations. Individual decision-making during foraging may thus inform population responses to bait-based control tools. Management decisions such as prey suppression are likely to directly influence removal efficacy through altered foraging behavior in snakes.

Global Ecology and Conservatuin↗
USGS2020

Landscape dominance of introduced herpetofauna on an oceanic island

Habitat loss and fragmentation can negatively impact native wildlife and facilitate establishment of introduced species. On islands, introduced species are a primary cause of extinction and can alter community membership through predation or competition for resources. Consequently, elucidating the distribution of introduced and native species can improve understanding of the potential synergistic effects of land use and introduced species on native island species. The island of Saipan in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands has a long history of herpetofaunal introductions. However, the distribution of native and introduced herpetofauna on Saipan is poorly understood, and the effects of land use and introduced species on the native herpetofauna are largely unknown. In 2018, we randomly selected sites on Saipan from established island-wide transects and used multiple detection methods, repeated surveys, and single-season occupancy models to account for imperfect detection and construct species distribution models. We investigated the role of biotic and abiotic factors in explaining occupancy and detection of Saipan’s native and introduced herpetofauna. We recorded 2568 observations representing 1 amphibian and 11 reptile species. Introduced species were encountered 3.8 times more frequently and were 33% more broadly distributed than native species. Occupancy for the native forest dwelling species Emoia caeruleocauda and Perochirus ateles was positively associated with elevation and enhanced vegetation index, suggesting that human habitat modification at lower elevations may be reducing their suitable habitat.We found evidence of a range contraction for the imperiled P. ateles and suggest potential avenues for implementing targeted conservation of native herpetofauna.

Global Ecology and Conservation↗
USGS2020

Estimating detection probability for Burmese Pythons with few detections and zero recapture events

Detection has been a long-standing challenge to monitoring populations of cryptic herpetofauna, which often have detection probabilities that are closer to zero than one. Burmese Pythons (Python bivittatus =Python molurus bivittatus), a recent invader in the Greater Everglades Ecosystem of Florida, are cryptic snakes that have long periods of inactivity. In addition, management actions such as removal of every python encountered create challenges for estimating population size and quantifying effects of management using traditional statistical approaches. We used Bayesian analysis of data collected from 59 visual surveys (144 person-surveys) covering a total distance of 485.6 km (1185.1 person-km) and radiotelemetry to estimate detection probability for Burmese Pythons, estimates which can improve interpretation of encounter and removal data. We found that detection probability ranged from 0.0001 0.0146 depending on whether or not efforts units accounted for total human effort across multiple surveyors and statistical method used. Based on our surveys, detection probabilities for Burmese Pythons are therefore likely < 0.05, but factors such as the number of searchers or time of day may improve detection probability. Traditional capture-recapture or visual surveys are, however, unlikely to yield accurate information on Burmese Python population size or trends across time without cost-prohibitive effort. Consequently, novel method development to monitor or measure Burmese Python populations, including techniques better equipped to handle very low detection, is critically needed for informative and reliable inferences about population size or the management effects of python removal.

Journal of Herpetology↗