USGS ScienceSearch

Geology topics

Melanie R. Boudreau

Publications and source records attributed to Melanie R. Boudreau.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Forecasting spread of invasive fish over a largescale network of lakes using local expert knowledge

Understanding spatial distribution patterns is essential to management of invasive species. Aquatic invasive species can be notably challenging to detect due to the substantial effort required to locate them underwater. This limitation has resulted in a lack of timely distribution maps, particularly over vast regions, and hindered efforts to understand, forecast, and manage the proliferation of invasive bigheaded carps ( Hypophthalmichthys spp.). Much of the Mississippi River basin, particularly the Lower Mississippi Alluvial Valley, provides access to a massive network of interconnected floodplain lakes. In the absence of lake-specific monitoring data on carp occurrence status, we used local expert knowledge, provided by fish managers interviewed virtually, in conjunction with Maximum Entropy ( MaxEnt ) modeling, to predict bigheaded carps distribution in relation to lake physical characteristics. We predicted widespread carp invasion in more than 60% of over one thousand floodplain lakes, with lake size, inundation, and proximity to rivers closely related to carp presence. The resultant distribution map may be imprecise given the swift proliferation of bigheaded carps and sparse monitoring data, but it offers a baseline upon which presence data and range can be compared. This assessment method is also a resource for identifying priority management and conservation areas and can serve as a first step in conservation planning.

Lower Mississippi River Valley

Population trends of dabbling ducks wintering in the alluvial valleys of Arkansas and Mississippi

Population abundances, distributions, and compositions across a diversity of taxa are changing, partly as a consequence of human-induced global modifications. Although linking population fluctuations to anthropogenic-induced alterations can be challenging, it is increasingly clear that long-term monitoring is critical to understanding changing populations. For waterfowl, concerns over recent declines in breeding populations or possible redistribution from using traditional wintering grounds for some species support continued monitoring of regional populations. To further understand population trends on traditional wintering grounds, we examined abundance trends over time within the Mississippi and Arkansas portions of the Mississippi Alluvial Valley, using two sources of data: systematic aerial surveys and citizen science data. We found great annual variability in rates of population change ( r ranging from −1.04 to 0.71) in five species of dabbling ducks. Despite this annual variation, green-winged teal Anas carolinensis , mallards Anas platyrhynchos , northern pintail Anas acuta , and northern shoveler Spatula clypeata showed no significant trends in population size over approximately 15 years in Mississippi and Arkansas, but gadwall Mareca strepera showed a 4% annual increase in the citizen science data for Mississippi. Despite substantial variation in annual abundance, the timing of peak abundance was remarkably consistent from year to year, with peaks typically occurring in January. Our results demonstrate that autumn–winter population numbers of dabbling ducks can be quite variable interannually, but they lack a consistent trend in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley during the past two decades. Going forward, investigation into how citizen science data could be leveraged to increase the precision of trends within this landscape might be of benefit, and sampling efforts could perhaps be added towards the latter portion of the wintering period. As populations continue to adjust in a changing world, maintaining monitoring surveys in regions important to waterfowl is an effective and important means of evaluating trends.

Arkansas, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississip

Hydrologic connectivity in floodplain systems: A multiscale review of concepts, metrics and management

Hydrologic connectivity (HC), particularly in floodplain systems, is pivotal in regulating ecosystem services by facilitating the movement of nutrients, sediments, chemicals, and biota. However, human interventions such as dam construction, levee installation, water management practices, and alterations in vegetation have significantly disrupted natural HC patterns globally. To provide a structured entry into the growing body of HC research, we conducted a systematic literature review of 1920 studies, analysing diverse definitions, influencing factors, quantification approaches, spatial and temporal scales, and management strategies. In addition to traditional review methods, our approach integrates keyword and cluster analysis to elucidate dominant research themes and trends across the literature. Our review reveals that the literature is heavily skewed towards research in North America and Europe (accounting for 72% of studies) and predominantly utilises field investigations, simulation modelling, and remote sensing integrated with geographic information systems. Although these methodologies have advanced our understanding, most studies focus on restricted spatial scales such as individual hillslopes, catchments, or stream networks and short temporal intervals, including single precipitation events or seasonal cycles. A narrow focus becomes a limitation when such studies do not contribute to broader efforts aimed at scaling insights across larger domains. These limitations highlight the potential benefits of innovative conceptual frameworks and quantification methods to better capture HC across broader environments and extended temporal scales. We conclude by discussing challenges in defining and quantifying floodplain HC and outlining potential future research directions to advance connectivity science and management, particularly in floodplain systems characterised by frequent hydrologic fluctuations, such as seasonal inundation and changing flow paths.

Hydrological Processes

Confluence of time and space: An innovation for quantifying dynamics of hydrologic floodplain connectivity with remote sensing and GIS

Hydrologic connectivity is a crucial determinant of aquatic ecosystem services, governing the exchange of nutrients, sediments, chemicals, and biota. Various indices and metrics exist for quantifying hydrologic connectivity across diverse environments and scales. However, existing methodologies often fail to adequately capture lateral connectivity between floodplain lakes and streams across vast, low-relief, multi-lake floodplain systems. This study introduces a novel approach for quantifying lateral hydrologic connectivity specifically tailored for floodplain lakes connecting to streams within the expansive floodplain of the Lower Mississippi River. This approach centers on the spatial and temporal intersection of lakes and streams, leveraging remote sensing and GIS data to estimate nine distinct metrics of hydrologic connectivity. To assess the reliability of the method, the study estimated connectivity metrics for 92 randomly selected floodplain lakes, comprising 53 lakes connected to large streams (Strahler order >7), 13 lakes connected to medium (order 4-6) streams, and 26 lakes connected to small (order 1-3) streams. As expected, there was significant variability in hydrologic connectivity across different stream size classes. The outlined approach contributes valuable insights into the hydrologic connectivity of floodplain lakes and offers a generalizable framework applicable to other floodplains. Its versatility makes it a practical tool for understanding connectivity requirements for biota and facilitating applications in conservation and water resources management. Thus, this work represents a meaningful step toward advancing our understanding of lateral hydrologic connectivity dynamics in complex aquatic ecosystems.

Arkansas, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississip

Connectivity patterns between floodplain lakes and neighboring streams in the historical floodplain of the Lower Mississippi River

Hydrologic connectivity, the network of water pathways linking aquatic habitats, is vital for the exchange of organisms and abiotic materials between rivers and adjacent waterbodies. This study quantified hydrologic connectivity for 1,283 lakes in the Lower Mississippi River floodplain using satellite imagery, streamgauge data, and geospatial information. We aimed to assess connection frequency patterns between lakes and streams. Eight metrics describing temporal aspects of hydrologic connectivity were estimated, identifying trends by lake features and by stream size. Each lake exhibited a distinct pattern of connection, with specific months of connectivity followed by disconnection, likely influenced by lake characteristics and seasonal precipitation. Larger lakes showed increased connectivity, likely due to their surface area and volume, while smaller lakes were more prone to isolation, especially during dry periods. Lakes connected to large streams exhibited more prolonged and recurring connections, with less seasonal variation. In contrast, lakes near agricultural areas experienced reduced connectivity. However, local factors such as levees and artificial channels often disrupted these general trends. This hydrologic connectivity analysis can provide insight to support floodplain management, facilitate development of frameworks that restore connectivity, promote preservation of ecological integrity, and support management of invasive species spread in agricultural floodplains.

Lower Mississippi River floodplain