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Joshuah S. Perkin

Publications and source records attributed to Joshuah S. Perkin.

8 recordsLinked to original sources
USGS2025

Meta-analysis of a megafish: Assessing patterns and predictors of Alligator Gar movement across multiple populations

Background Freshwater megafishes are among some of the most commercially and ecologically important aquatic organisms yet are disproportionately threatened with range and population reduction. Anthropogenic alterations of rivers influencing migrations are among the most significant causes for these declines. However, migratory fishes do not always respond similarly to movement barriers and thus it is necessary to develop models to predict movements of freshwater migratory fishes in the face of anthropogenic alteration. Predicting movement of freshwater fishes is often investigated using statistical packages. However, empirical studies assessing these packages have led to mixed results, questioning its applicability to all taxa. We argue that spatial, temporal, and environmental attributes are more influential for movement of a migratory megafish, the Alligator Gar ( Atractosteus spatula ), than the current parameters explored in a globally relevant fish movement model. Methods This study explored two independent mobile telemetry datasets investigating Alligator Gar movement on the Brazos and Trinity rivers. Environmental associations were investigated to predict Alligator Gar displacement and dispersal using generalized additive models, generalized linear models, and model selection. Leptokurtosis of Alligator Gar populations was also assessed. Predictability of the movement model was tested by comparing observed to model derived stationary and mobile components making up a leptokurtic movement distribution. Results Our study suggests that current and antecedent measures of discharge and water temperature are positively correlated with Alligator Gar displacement and dispersal. However, these patterns are only detectable when monthly relocation intervals are explored rather than seasonal scales. Leptokurtosis was observed in both Alligator Gar populations. However, movement was normally distributed (i.e., mesokurtic) under tracking events following high flood pulses. Additionally, predicted Alligator Gar movement was significantly farther under modeled values compared to observed values, in part because the species undergoes cyclical migrations for reproduction that are sensitive to water temperature and discharge. Discussion In conclusion, this study provides an alternative framework to assess the movement patterns of migratory fishes, which could be tested on additional freshwater fishes, and suggests that assessing spatial, environmental, and temporal processes simultaneously are necessary to capture the complexities of fish movement which currently are unavailable for the movement model we investigated.

Texas↗
USGS2024

A multiscale perspective for improving conservation of Conchos pupfish

Desert spring systems of the American southwest hold high local fish endemism and are ranked among the most threatened ecosystems in the world. The prioritization of conservation resources to protect species living within these arid landscapes requires knowledge of species abundance and distribution. The plight of Conchos pupfish ( Cyprinodon eximius ) is representative of freshwater fishes the world over, including population extirpations caused by human poisoning of streams and reservoir construction, to the extent that the species was once considered extinct in the USA. We developed a distance-sampling framework to monitor Conchos pupfish abundance and coupled this approach with species distribution modeling to guide conservation actions. Our multiscale approach included surveying abundances within 5-m transects at three reaches of the Devils River, where the last known USA populations persist. We combined this fine-scale analysis with species distribution modeling for stream segments across the range of the species in Mexico and USA. Modeling revealed Conchos pupfish abundance among transects was negatively correlated with current velocity and detection was negatively correlated with water depth. Estimated abundance at a reach where the species was previously reintroduced was greater than other reaches combined in November 2019, lowest in March 2021 when reach water levels were very low, then equivalent with other reaches by October 2021 after water returned to the reach. Modeled Conchos pupfish distribution illustrated a high probability of occurrence on the periphery of the species' overall range within Texas, USA and broadly across Chihuahua, Mexico, where proposed protected areas might benefit the species. Our study provides conservation guidance by establishing (1) baseline and trajectory values for abundance, (2) transect locations where abundances might be managed within existing protected areas, (3) reaches where high abundances could be used for future repatriation, and (4) stream segments where future surveys might be conducted to assess conservation opportunities.

Animal Conservation↗
USGS2023

Scale-dependent tradeoffs between habitat and time in explaining Alligator Gar (Atractosteus spatula) movement

Ecological theory predicts that movement by riverine fishes at the population level is characterized by both stationary and mobile individuals together creating a leptokurtic distribution of movement distances. However, studies testing this theory typically ignore spatial heterogeneity in riverscapes, and the theory has not been tested using Alligator Gar ( Atractosteus spatula ), a species of growing interest among anglers and fisheries managers alike. We characterized movements and habitat associations of Alligator Gar in the Brazos River, Texas, at fine (every 2 h for 24 h) and coarse (every month for 16 months) spatiotemporal scales. We tested for the presence of leptokurtosis and relationships between movement distance, habitat dissimilarity, and time-at-large using multivariate and univariate statistical approaches. Dispersal by Alligator Gar revealed leptokurtosis at the coarse scale but not the fine scale. At the fine scale, mixed effects quantile regression revealed there was no relationship between habitat dissimilarity and dispersal distance, but dispersal was positively correlated with time. At the coarse scale, dispersal was positively correlated with increased habitat dissimilarity and time, but only for the most mobile individuals. Our work suggests that short-term movements by riverine Alligator Gar during warm seasons and at base flows increased with time but were unrelated to habitat, and long-term movements over an annual cycle during warm season flow pulses revealed highly mobile members of the population accessed distant and novel floodplain environments.

Environmental Biology of Fishes↗
USGS2023

Conservation at the nexus of niches: Multidimensional niche modeling to improve management of Prairie Chub

Objective A central challenge in applied ecology is understanding how organisms are spatially and temporally distributed and how management might be tailored to maintain or restore species distributions. The niche concept is central to understanding species distributions, but the diversity of niche definitions requires that multiple dimensions be considered. For example, the Grinnellian niche concept focuses on environmental conditions that allow species to persist, the Eltonian niche concept stresses the influence of biotic interactions, and the fundamental niche concept considers both abiotic and biotic environmental features to define spaces that organisms could occupy. Methods We combined abiotic ( A ), biotic ( B ), and movement ( M ) information (collectively, BAM model) to map the multidimensional niche of Prairie Chub Macrhybopsis australis , a regionally endemic freshwater fish currently under review for listing under the Endangered Species Act. We estimated A using remotely sensed environmental riverscape variables, B using the spatial distribution of a hybridization zone between Prairie Chub and Shoal Chub M. hyostoma , and M using data from a mark–recapture study. Result The BAM model estimated the spatial extent of multiple niches, including the Grinnellian ( A ; extent = 944 km of river), Eltonian ( B ; 2974 km), and fundamental niche (overlap of A + B ; 645 km) niches. When A , B , and M components were combined, the estimated extent of the Prairie Chub niche was 645 km. Conclusion Our work shows that the realized, multidimensional niche of Prairie Chub includes medium to large rivers with high habitat connectivity in the upper–middle Red River basin upstream of the distribution of Shoal Chub. The current Prairie Chub distribution could be maintained by preventing further habitat fragmentation and maintaining the environmental gradient separating Prairie Chub from Shoal Chub. Expansion of the species distribution may be possible through restoration of longitudinal fluvial connectivity.

North American Journal of Fisheries Management↗
USGS2023

Why are larger fish farther upstream? Testing multiple hypotheses using Silver Chub in two Midwestern United States riverscapes

Objective Three competing hypotheses might explain the widely documented intrapopulation larger-fish-upstream phenomenon. The age-phased recruitment hypothesis posits that fish spawn downstream and move upstream as they age and grow, the static population with growth and mortality gradients hypothesis posits that fish spawn throughout a riverscape and growth is greater upstream while recruitment is greater downstream, and the colonization cycle hypothesis posits that fish spawn upstream, larvae drift downstream, and individuals move upstream as they age and grow. Methods We tested for the larger-fish-upstream pattern using populations of Silver Chub Macrhybopsis storeriana in the Arkansas and Ohio rivers, as well as investigated longitudinal variation in reproductive investment (Arkansas River), age structure for adult fish (Arkansas River), and number and occurrence of age-0 fish (Ohio River). Result The larger-fish-upstream pattern was temporally persistent in both riverscapes. In the Arkansas River, reproductive investment was greatest upstream, where initiation of spawning likely occurred based on gonadosomatic indices. Adult fish were most numerous in the Arkansas River 125–175 km upstream from Kaw Reservoir, with age-2 fish numbers peaking farther upstream compared with age-1 fish. In the Ohio River, age-0 fish counts increased downstream and were rare among the shortest river fragments (<100 km) between lock-and-dam structures. These findings are inconsistent with the age-phased recruitment hypothesis based on upstream spawning in the Arkansas River and inconsistent with the static population with growth and mortality gradients hypothesis based on virtual absence of age-2 fish downstream (Arkansas River) and age-0 fish upstream (Ohio River). The most likely explanation for longitudinal variation in Silver Chub size distribution is downstream drift of ichthyoplankton followed by net upstream movement (i.e., colonization cycle hypothesis), but formal assessments of movement and ova characteristics require more research. Conclusion Managing multidimensional riverscapes requires insight into the mechanisms that regulate upstream-to-downstream patterns in fish populations, and our work underscores a potential size-related benefit to maintaining broadscale longitudinal connectivity.

Arkansas River, Ohio River↗
USGS2022

Flow–recruitment relationships for Shoal Chub and implications for managing environmental flows

Objective Regulation of river flow regimes by dams and diversions impacts aquatic biota and ecosystems globally. However, our understanding of the ecological consequences of flow alteration and ecological benefits of flow restoration lags behind our ability to manipulate flows, and there is a need for broader development of flow–ecology relationships. Approaches for establishing flow–ecology relationships have recently shifted away from state-based methods that analyze snapshots of ecological conditions and towards rate-based methods focused on mechanisms that link hydrology with dynamics of important ecological components and processes. Methods We used a rate-based approach to validate environmental flow standards developed for the lower Brazos River, Texas, by analyzing the relationship between flow regime components and recruitment strength of imperiled Shoal Chub Macrhybopsis hyostoma , a fluvial specialist and pelagic-broadcast-spawning fish. We collected 254 age-0 Shoal Chub (9–40 mm total length), extracted their otoliths to estimate age in days, and used a generalized additive model to regress the number of captured recruits that hatched on a calendar date against flow regime metrics, such as pulse magnitude, flow rate of change, and pulse timing in relation to environmental flow standards proposed by a science advisory committee (Brazos Basin and Bay Area Expert Science Team). Result The model revealed that flow magnitude, rate of change, and timing were all significant predictors that collectively explained 60% of variation in the recruitment strength index. Hindcasting for 1919–2020 showed a general reduction in recruitment strength following commencement of flow regulation in the lower Brazos River and revealed that high recruitment correlated with years in which most or all proposed flow tiers were attained, whereas low recruitment correlated with years when less than half of the targeted tiers were attained. Conclusion Our work represents an effective validation method for environmental flow recommendations and reveals specific flow regimes that benefit an imperiled fish species.

New Mexico, Texas↗
USGS2019

Riverscape correlates for distribution of threatened spotfin chub Erimonax monachus in the Tennessee River Basin, USA

Globally, aquatic biodiversity is imperiled at an increasing rate, especially in diversity hotspots such as the southeastern USA. The spotfin chub Erimonax monachus is a federally threatened minnow with a disjunct distribution resulting from numerous impoundments on the Tennessee River and its tributaries in the heart of the southeastern USA. Recovery actions required to remove federal protection for E. monachus are dependent on the establishment of additional populations within the historical range of the species, but little is known regarding macroscale habitat requirements that could guide conservation planning. We analyzed local- and network-scale watershed attributes to develop an ecological niche model (ENM) for E. monachus useful for directing conservation actions at sampled and unsampled sites across the Tennessee River Basin. We found E. monachus occurred most often in larger streams with large upstream catchment areas and minimal alteration to forested uplands, but all of these sites were in close proximity to high densities of downstream dams due to populations being restricted to large-stream habitat upstream of reservoirs. The ENM showed the highest probability of E. monachus occurrence among catchment locations with known extant populations; however, additional historical and previously unoccupied catchments showed potential for successful (re)introductions, provided that fine-scale habitats are appropriate. Our framework can be used to identify potential survey and (re)introduction sites for E. monachus as well as other rare riverine fishes and represents a method for identifying areas of high priority for conserving aquatic biodiversity.

Alabama, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Car↗