Geology topics

Jack Boatwright

Publications and source records attributed to Jack Boatwright.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2019

Ground-motion attenuation in the Sacramento-San Joaquin delta, California, from 14 Bay Area earthquakes, including the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa earthquake

Peak ground motions (acceleration and velocity) radiated by earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay area and recorded within the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta generally attenuate faster with distance than the Next Generation Attenuation-West2 ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs). We evaluate the attenuation for a wide set of paths into the Delta by analyzing recorded ground motions from fourteen 4 ≤ M < 7 earthquakes located on major Bay area faults: the San Andreas, Calaveras, Hayward, West Napa, and Green Valley faults. We select stations within azimuthal ranges of 38°–114° into the Delta and calculate the residuals of the peak ground motions relative to the Boore et al. (2014) GMPEs. We then fit the natural log of these peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity residuals for each earthquake to the function a−krγ, in which a is an event term and krγ is the differential attenuation. Although there is some variation in the differential attenuation obtained for each earthquake, the peak ground motions from most of the 14 events attenuate faster than predicted by the Boore et al. (2014) GMPEs. The differential attenuation does not appear to depend on azimuth or magnitude of the earthquake; however, earthquake depth may have an effect. Our results suggest that attenuation models for the Delta can be significantly improved through regionalization, although this regionalization will increase the model complexity and the epistemic uncertainty.

California↗

USGS2019

Precision of VS30 values derived from noninvasive surface wave methods at 31 sites in California

We study the inter- and intra-method variability of VS30 results by inverting/forward-modeling individual dispersion data for 31 seismographic stations located in California where combinations of surface-wave methods were applied and the minimum recorded wavelength from each method satisfies the 30-meter depth criteria. These methods consist of noninvasive geophysical (active and passive surface-wave techniques) multi-station approaches, including the Multi-channel Analysis of Surface Waves (MASW; Rayleigh and Love waves), Spectral Analysis of Surface Waves (SASW), Microtremor Array [using Extended Spatial Autocorrelation (ESAC) processing methods], and Refraction Microtremor (ReMi) methods. Depending on the apparent geologic or seismic complexity of the site, field crews applied one or a combination of these methods whenever economically feasible to estimate the one-dimensional shear-wave velocity (VS) profile and calculate VS30, the time-averaged VS to a depth of 30 m. For each of the 31 sites, we find both types of variability in VS30 estimates generally remain insignificant (arithmetic mean of 5 % difference). We also find similar results (3 %) when we evaluate individual-method based VS30 estimates against composite-method based estimates. We note that VS30 values vary insignificantly when using a combination of complementary methods, e.g., active MASW data combined with passive MAM data, and that the most reliable results are also based on close fitting of the theoretical dispersion data to the representative (experimental) dispersion data.

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USGS2018

The Hayward Fault—Is it due for a repeat of the powerful 1868 earthquake?

On October 21, 1868, a magnitude 6.8 earthquake struck the San Francisco Bay area. Although the region was sparsely populated, the quake on the Hayward Fault was one of the most destructive in California’s history. U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) studies show that similar Hayward Fault quakes have repeatedly jolted the region in the past and that the fault may be ready to produce another magnitude 6.8 to 7.0 earthquake. Such an earthquake could unexpectedly change people’s lives and impact the Bay Area’s infrastructure and economy, but updated building codes and retrofits, as well as planning, community training, and preparedness, will help reduce the effects of a future Hayward Fault earthquake.

California↗

USGS2018

Regional spectral analysis of moderate earthquakes in northeastern North America—Final Report to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Project V6240, Task 3

We analyze the Fourier spectra of S + Lg +surface wave groups from the horizontal and vertical components of broadband and accelerogram recordings of 120 small and moderate (2< M w <6) earthquakes recorded by Canadian and American stations sited on rock at distances from 3 to 600 kilometers. There are seven M w 4.0–4.5, six M w 4.5–5.0, and three M w ≥5 earthquakes in this event set. We test the regional spectral analysis by comparing the moment magnitudes with the moment magnitudes from the earthquake moment tensors determined by Bob Herrmann (St. Louis University) for 27 events, obtaining d M w =0.004±0.074. We determine the Lg attenuation in seven regions within northeastern North America: Charlevoix, lower St. Lawrence, Maine, Northern New York, lower Great Lakes, Ontario, and Nunavut. These attenuation estimates yield an average attenuation Q = (368±13) f (0.54±0.02) for the Appalachian region, a stronger attenuation Q = (317±16) f (0.54±0.03) for the Appalachian lowlands, and a weaker attenuation Q=(455±20) f (0.51±0.02) for Ontario and western Quebec. For events in Nunavut and northernmost Quebec, we estimate a similar attenuation for r <450 km, but a weaker attenuation Q = (773±70) f (0.27±0.06) for Lg propagation for 450< r <1700 kilometers. This far-regional attenuation allows us to analyze recordings of the 1989 Ungava and Payne Bay earthquakes obtained in Ontario and southern Quebec. We use these regional attenuations to determine the corner frequencies, stress drops, and radiated energies of the 120 earthquakes.

Open-File Report↗

USGS2008

The Hayward Fault— Is it due for a repeat of the powerful 1868 earthquake?

On October 21, 1868, a magnitude 6.8 earthquake struck the San Francisco Bay region. Although the region was then sparsely populated, this quake on the Hayward Fault was one of the most destructive in California's history. Recent studies show that such powerful Hayward Fault quakes have repeatedly jolted the region in the past. U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists describe this fault as a tectonic time bomb, due anytime for another magnitude 6.8 to 7.0 earthquake. Because such a quake could cause hundreds of deaths, leave thousands homeless, and devastate the region's economy, the USGS and other organizations are working together with new urgency to help prepare Bay Area communities for this certain future quake.

California↗